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Armin Schaefer

@arminschaefer.bsky.social
4.9K followers 824 following 198 posts

Professor for Comparative Politics @uni_mainz | Democracy | Political Participation | Inequality | Responsiveness & Populism

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Reposted by Armin Schaefer
Markus Tepe @markustepe.bsky.social · 16h
New in Electoral Studies w/ Eric Linhart & @cerpintaxt.bsky.social: How do voters weigh proportional representation against clear majorities? Our survey experiment in DE, NL & UK finds that voters favor proportionality, esp. when trade-offs are explicit. www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
sciencedirect.com
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Reposted by Armin Schaefer
Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 19h
It's finally publication day for this decade-in-the-making book. @noamlupu.bsky.social and I explain why working-class jobs make up 70% of the average democracy's labor force, but only 2% of the average democracy's national lawmakers had working-class jobs when they got into politics.
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Ansgar Wolsing @ansgarw.bsky.social · 03/10/2026
Parliamentary seat share in the German Bundestag since 1949 Inspired by @economist.com's chart showing how the factions and parties evolved in Israel's Knesset. #ggplot2 📊
A ribbon chart which shows the share of parliamentary seats of political factions in the German Bundestag. Each election year is marked on the vertical axis. Each party's seat share is connect with the next election year. The name of the chancellors are marked at the first legislative term of their time in office.
The chart shows a lot of stability, esp. between 1961 to 1980, with only 3 factions in the Bundestag. The Greens joined in 1983, the PDF/Leftist Party in 1990 after the reunification. The right-wing extremist AfD entered in 2017. Since 2025, the Bundestag consists of 5 factions + 1 MP from the SSW.
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Rhein-Main-Universitäten @rheinmainunis.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
🎉 WIR HABEN ES GESCHAFFT: Die Allianz der #RheinMainUniversitäten (RMU) aus @goetheuni.bsky.social, @unimainz.bsky.social & @tuda.bsky.social wird ab 2027 im Rahmen der #Exzellenzstrategie als #Exzellenzverbund gefördert: www.rhein-main-universitaeten.de/news/rhein-m... @dfg.de @wissenschaftsrat.de
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Tarik Abou-Chadi @tabouchadi.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
For my new research unit Politics of Democracy at the Berlin Social Science Center @wzb.bsky.social, we have 3 open research positions. 2 postdocs: 4 + 2 years (100%) 1 doc: 2 years (75%) Starting date: 1 March 2027 (negotiable) Application deadline: 1 November
Job adjob ad
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stevelevitsky.bsky.social @stevelevitsky.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Lucan Way and I have been writing about competitive authoritarianism for more than 25 years. We never thought we'd write this piece. www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/com...
journalofdemocracy.org
Competitive Authoritarianism in America | Journal of Democracy
The United States has slid into competitive authoritarianism. The slide has been modest and remains reversible—but it is real. Even after Donald Trump, American democracy will remain fragile.
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Hilma Lindskog @hilmal.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Do educational networks at workplaces shape political attitudes? 👬 Happy to share that the latest paper in my dissertation is now published in @bjpols.bsky.social.
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Toni Rodon @tonirodon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Having a job in a workplace with a considerable proportion of university-educated coworkers is associated with an increase in culturally liberal attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Ideas at Work: Educated Colleagues Shape Political Attitudes - Volume 56
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Manès Weisskircher @manesweisskircher.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
🆕 Our article "Varieties of left-wing authoritarianism?" shows how #BSW branches differ on key issues, what party and voters (don't) share, and what this reveals about an emerging ideology (with E. Linhart, @drphilphil.bsky.social, @benjaminhoehne.bsky.social). journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com
Varieties of left-wing authoritarianism? The local foundations and intra-party heterogeneity of the German challenger party BSW - Eric Linhart, Jan Philipp Thomeczek, Manès Weisskircher, Benjamin Höhn...
Research has emphasized both the existence of left-wing authoritarian attitudes among the European electorate and a lack of political supply. In Germany, this d...
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Reposted by Armin Schaefer
Noam Lupu @noamlupu.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
“Of the 919 candidates running as major-party nominees for the US House and Senate this November, only seven had a working-class job when they got into politics. That’s less than 1%, despite working-class jobs making up about half of the US labor force.” @carnes.bsky.social and I explain why.
bloomberg.com
Why Working-Class Candidates Are Almost Never on the Ballot
Less than 1% of major-party candidates competing for a seat in the US Congress have a background in manual trades or service industries.
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Julian Hamann @julianhamann.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Happy to share our new article on academic freedom. @paulita.bsky.social, Christiane Thompson and Gregor Fabian examine how academic rank shapes experiences, expectations and perceptions of restrictions on academic freedom, based on a survey of 9.083 academics in Germany. doi.org/10.1111/1468...
Screenshot showing abstract: This article investigates the relationship between academic career ranks and restrictions on academic freedom. Drawing on a representative survey of 9083 full-time academics at German higher education institutions, we examine how academics across different career ranks assess their freedom in teaching and research. Although precarious employment conditions and professional hierarchies may suggest otherwise, our findings show that doctoral candidates and postdocs on fixed-term contracts do not report experiencing restrictions on their academic freedom significantly more often compared to tenured professors. However, distinguishing between experienced restrictions, on the one hand, and expectations of restrictions as well as broader perceptions of academic freedom on the other, we find that non-tenured academics report more often to expect or perceive their academic freedom to be restricted compared to professors. We explain these rank-based differences with a chilling effect generated by a polemical and polarized discourse on ‘cancel culture.’ Academics on fixed-term contracts are more likely to be receptive to often polemical debates on ‘cancel culture’ and for the concerns that come with it. This suggests that structural employment insecurity plays a key role in shaping how academics assess their academic freedom. Our results challenge simplified accounts of ‘cancel culture’ by showing that discourse and institutional hierarchies intersect to produce differentiated vulnerabilities within academia. Although based in Germany, the findings speak to broader international concerns about restrictions on academic freedom and precarious academic labour.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Very cool paper! 👇
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Reposted by Armin Schaefer
EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
📢 The Call for Papers for EPSS 2027 is open! After a fantastic first conference in Belfast, we’re heading to Copenhagen 🇩🇰, 24–26 June 2027. ⏰ Deadline: 13 Nov 2026 👉 Call for papers: epssnet.org/2027-copenha... 1/2
epssnet.org
Call for Papers | EPSS Belfast 2026 Conference
Submit your abstract or full paper for EPSS Belfast 2026. Share cutting‑edge political science research, network with peers & contribute to academic impact.
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
We chair an open panel on "New Cleavage Identities" at the DVPW Convention 2027. Questions: Which identities are emerging as new cleavage identities? How do they form and stabilize? How do elites construct and mobilize them? How do they affect vote choice? CfP: www.dvpw.de/dvpw2027/en/...
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Martin Gross @martingross.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
The German Local Manifesto Project (GLMP) is now online! 🇩🇪 GLMP provides a systematically documented & reproducible corpus of local manifestos & related political programmes from municipalities across Germany. Browse & download the data: localmanifestoproject.de @christinajuen.bsky.social
localmanifestoproject.de
German Local Manifesto Project
Besuche den Beitrag für mehr Info.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
The upcoming election could deal a blow to the federal government. Schwesig is campaigning against the Berlin government, making the SPD less likely to support the current policy agenda. Meanwhile, Merz appears weak and will only become weaker following a disastrous CDU result in the Northeast.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
...also the Christian Democrats have been steadily losing support. They are now dangerously close to falling below the 5% threshold, which would be an unprecedented event. As the campaign focuses on the duel between the SPD and the AfD, the Christian Democrats continue to lose ground.
The graph shows the long-term polling trend for the Christian Democrats in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania. In the early 2000s, their poll ratings stood at around 40 per cent. Now it is between 6 and 7 per cent, and trending downwards.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
After Saxony-Anhalt, next Sunday's regional vote in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania could be even more devastating for the Christian Democrats. If current trends continue, the SPD may end up in first place, ahead of the AfD. The Greens and BSW are struggling to clear the electoral threshold, but...
The graph shows how the various parties have been polling in Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania since the last regional election. While the SPD has seen a surge in the polls over the last month, the CDU has been steadily losing support.
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Another great article from our SI on the 2025 GER election is out! Roßteutscher et al. find that “young men on lower tracks are the most likely to support the right-wing populist AfD, and that the political climate in their educational contexts amplifies this association.” doi.org/10.1016/j.el...
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Simone Leiber @sleiber.bsky.social · 12/09/2026
and one more in English 😄 (similar title, but with a different focus, emphasizing the role of social workers in advancing structural policy change): doi.org/10.1080/1369... [both articles—this one and the one from my previous post—are open access]
doi.org
Social work and the (in)accessibility of the welfare state: welfare mediation between street-level bureaucracy, clients’ everyday life, and policy-making
Social rights are not equally accessible to all. This article presents findings from a research project in Germany which aimed to analyse how and to what extent German social work actors represent ...
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Minimal non-connected winning coalition
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Es ist verblüffend, wie oft das in den Medien übersehen wird.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Da meine Danksagung im Veröffentlichungsprozess verloren ging, danke ich auf diesem Weg @sleiber.bsky.social @clandwehr.bsky.social @theflorislava.bsky.social @nilssteiner.bsky.social @pluggedchris.bsky.social @martingross.bsky.social für hilfreiche Hinweis und Kommentare!
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Die neue Rechte wendet sich aus meiner Sicht nicht gegen einen doppelten Liberalismus, sondern gegen den "doppelten Egalitarismus" aus Gleichwertigkeit und Gleichheit.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Weder mit den @manifestoproj.bsky.social Daten noch mit der @gles.bsky.social Kandidierendenbefragung oder dem Blick ins Wahlprogramm lässt sich bestätigen, dass rechts das neue links ist. Linkskonservative Positionen deckt wenn überhaupt das BSW, nicht die AfD ab.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
In diesem in der @pvs-journal.bsky.social veröffentlichten Aufsatz verorte ich Manows Buch "Spaltungslinien" in der Debatte zum Postliberalismus. Der zentralen Annahme, dass rechtspopulistische Parteien heute wirtschafts- und sozialpolitisch links stünden, widerspreche ich. rdcu.be/swtwc7WqF9ta
Titelblatt zum in der Politischen Vierteljahresschrift erschienenen Aufsatz "Ist rechts das neue links? Die postliberale Erklärung des Populismus". Der Aufsatz ist öffentlich zugänglich.
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
I am old enough to have written that...
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Saxony-Anhalt went to the polls, with the AfD falling just short of a majority. Here are some takeaways based on the preliminary results across all 218 municipalities and local socioeconomic characteristics. A thread 🧵(1 /n) Full analysis + write-up: juliuskoelzer.de/saxony-anhal...
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Interesting first insights of an ongoing survey 👇
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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Women remain underrepresented in politics. In POQ, Gothreau & Laustsen report the results from the most comprehensive and geographically diverse test of citizens’ preferences for women candidates to date. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
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PoWiMZ @powimz.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
ℹ️ Mehr Informationen unter: internationale.politik.uni-mainz.de/internationa... Jetzt noch bis Ende August bewerben!
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Arndt Leininger @aleininger.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
 📢 A new resource for referendum research is now online! We're excited to launch RefSurv – an infrastructure for facilitating comparative research on referendum voting. 🔎📊 Explore it here: referendumsurveys.org 1/
referendumsurveys.org
Welcome to RefSurv! - RefSurv
This website presents RefSurv - an infrastructure for facilitating comparative research on voting in referendums. RefSurv is short for referendum surveys and made for scholars who want to research re…
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Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Working-class people almost never go on to become politicians, and that's not a fluke or a recent development: it's a ***built-in feature of elections*** in all democracies (w/ @noamlupu.bsky.social) theconversation.com/why-working-...
theconversation.com
Why working-class people account for around 1% of lawmakers in the US – and only 2% in the average democracy around the world
Campaigning anywhere for any office at any level of government is personally burdensome.
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Julia Reuschenbach @juliareuschenbach.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
Ich bin über das Cover @spiegel.de aus der letzten Woche verzweifelt. Und vor allem über die zugehörige Erklärung von Chefredakteur Dirk Kurbjuweit. Freue mich sehr, dass meine Kritik nun im neuen SPIEGEL (online + Print) veröffentlicht wird 👉🏼 www.spiegel.de/politik/deut...
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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 18/08/2026
If you want to read something extremely bleak yet insightful this morning: www.newstatesman.com/cover-story/...
newstatesman.com
A dream of Cambridge
The university’s place in the public imagination is as illusory as Jason Arday’s academic credentials
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Ruth Dassonneville @rdassonneville.bsky.social · 13/08/2026
Our paper on citizens' expectations for and evaluations of democratic representation is now out in Representation! Great pleasure working with David Talukder on this paper! www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The Expectation Gap: Citizens’ Expectations for and Evaluations of Democratic Representation
Concerns about a potential erosion of political support in established democracies have motivated scholars to study the failure of democratic institutions in realising democratic representation. Ye...
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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Taktisches Wählen soll eine Regierung der AfD in Sachsen-Anhalt verhindern. Für @zeit.de schreibe ich, warum die Strategie der politischen Mitte in Ostdeutschland kurzfristig helfen mag, aber langfristig nicht ihre strukturellen Probleme löst – und mache einen Vorschlag. www.zeit.de/politik/deut...
shorturl.at
Landtagswahlen: Der Preis des taktischen Wählens
Je mehr Parteien es über die Fünf-Prozent-Hürde schaffen, desto geringer sind die Chancen der AfD auf eine Mehrheit. Über die Chancen und Schwächen der Strategie
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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 10/08/2026
Learned a lot talking to Peter Enns for my podcast’s latest deep dive intvw about his new paper "How a Seemingly Innocuous and Intuitive Methodological Choice Confused a Generation of Research on Policy Responsiveness." Some rare good news for democracy? www.gelliottmorris.com/p/deep-dive-...
gelliottmorris.com
Deep Dive episode: What if democracy is actually more responsive to public opinion than we think?
I sit down with Peter Enns, a political scientist at Cornell University, whose new research offers an optimistic view of democracy and representation
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Nils Steiner @nilssteiner.bsky.social · 06/08/2026
We are hiring a postdoc in Comparative Politics at JGU Mainz! Join our friendly and productive team, led by Armin Schäfer (@arminschaefer.bsky.social). • Full-time position • Five-year contract (!) • Start: from 1 October Apply by 22 August: stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de/jgu/job/56328 Please share!
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Kai Arzheimer @kai-arzheimer.com · 29/07/2026
Are you looking for a good home for your research on the dynamics of #farright mobilisation and its implications for democracy? Look no further than this call 📣 We're particularly interested in innovative theoretical and empirical studies that critically engage with the radical–extreme distinction
nature.com
Far-right mobilisation and democratic transformation
This Humanities and Social Sciences Communications Collection examines the contemporary dynamics of far-right mobilisation and its implications for democracy. ...
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
This is awful. I hope England wins.
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Thomas Kurer @thmskrr.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
🚨We are hiring a two-year postdoctoral researcher (80%) at the University of Zurich within the new Horizon Europe project WELFAIR on the political implications of technological change, demographic ageing and rising inequality. The full job ad is here: tinyurl.com/3b6ddm25 Apply by August 9, 2026.
tinyurl.com
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Heike Klüver @heikekluever.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
📣 We're hiring! Looking for a PostDoc? Join our team in Berlin! Work with @heikekluever.bsky.social, @macartan.bsky.social and Johannes Giesecke at Humboldt University, @scripts-berlin.eu and @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great project, great city! 🗓️ Deadline: 15 August 2026
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Twan Huijsmans @twanhuijsmans.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Europe’s growing urban-rural divide in voting along the transnational cleavage is not merely a reflection of underlying educational differences, as @theresakuhn.bsky.social, @bramlancee.bsky.social and I show in this new study in @ejprjournal.bsky.social. A short thread 🔽
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Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
Looking back at EPSS in Belfast, you might want to consider "Killing Thatcher".
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Andres Meza @nbody6.bsky.social · 05/07/2026
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Sarah Engler @saengler.bsky.social · 02/07/2026
Happy to see my work with @ivobantel.bsky.social and @lucasleemann.bsky.social published in Party Politics. We look at how affective polarization shapes voters' preferences for technocratic and populist governance in Germany showing that it largely depends on partisanship 1/4
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
NEW PUBLICATION!🚨 The 2023 Swiss federal elections were the first ever held under mandatory campaign finance disclosure rules. So how does an open-list PR influence campaign spending? Greater voters' ability to cast preference votes = more money spent onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 25/06/2026
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social - ‘Left behind’ and an undemocratic mind? The link between perceived marginalization and democratic orientations - cup.org/3Svhicc - @vanessaschwaiger.bsky.social #FirstView
Logo for the European Journal of Political Research displaying the text "EJPR European Journal of Political Research" in cream letters on a blue background, accompanied by the hashtag "#OpenAccess".
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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Arrived in Bamberg yesterday for a very special event: a workshop celebrating Thomas Saalfeld and his achievements. Safe to say that without Thomas, I would never have done a PhD. Thank you! If you'd like to read the Festschrift in his honor: www.routledge.com/Democracy-at...
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