Reposted by Albert VarelaJan Vanhove @janhove.bsky.social · 18/09/2026New blog post: "Cluster analysis: A skeptic’s guide". In which I ask a few questions that social scientists wishing to identify hidden classes in their data ought to address. janhove.github.io/posts/2026-0... 416547
Reposted by Albert VarelaPeter Tennant @pwgtennant.bsky.social · 16/09/2026"Why epidemiology should not be automated: the case for slow epidemiology" Read my new letter with @haidonglu.bsky.social and @epidbydesign.bsky.social in @intjepidemiol.bsky.social explaining the limits of generative AI for epidemiological research! academic.oup.com/ije/article/... 310329
Reposted by Albert VarelaDanbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · 05/08/2026📄 New working paper out: osf.io/preprints/so... We (@thiloalbers.bsky.social @felixkersting.bsky.social and Fabian Kosse) try to understand why some citizens who are objectively well off still feel left behind, and why this matters for populist attitudes. 24818
Reposted by Albert VarelaNando Sigona @nandosigona.bsky.social · 23/05/2026Once again, more EU citizens are leaving the UK than arriving. A negative net migration figure of -42,000 — is this what @andyburnham.bsky.social, #ShabanaMahmood and #KeirStarmer celebrate as a success and a goal to achieve for #migration overall? 22918
Reposted by Albert VarelaEnrique Fernández Macías @quiquefm.bsky.social · 23/03/2026New paper out! With P. Casas, F. Martínez-Plumed, E. Gómez, I. González-Vázquez & S. Salotti, we revisit the occupational impact of AI in the GenAI era, tracking exposure from 2008 to 2024 across 127 occupations in Europe. Thread 1/13 #EconSky #sociologypublications.jrc.ec.europa.euRevisiting the occupational impact of AI in the generative AI eraGenerative AI is reshaping what artificial intelligence can do in the workplace, calling into question pre-GenAI assessments of which workers and tasks are most exposed. In this paper we trace the evo... 264
Reposted by Albert VarelaRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 22/03/2026Statistical Rethinking 2026 is done: 20 new lectures emphasizing logical and critical statistical workflow, from basics of probability theory to causal inference to reliable computation to sensitivity. It's all free, made just for you. Lecture list and links: github.com/rmcelreath/s... 12680215
Reposted by Albert VarelaSociological Science @sociologicalsci.bsky.social · 03/03/2026NEW: Haowen Zheng, Robert Andersen, Anders Holm, Kristian Bernt Karlson, "Is College Really “the” Equalizer? New Evidence Addressing Unobserved Selection." sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...sociologicalscience.com 1178
Reposted by Albert VarelaRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 03/03/2026Lecture A09 - I get mildly ranty about the low quality of papers on discrimination and somehow also introduce generalized linear models for events and illustrate post-stratification. The theme continues next week with modeling sensitivity to unmeasured confounding. I will try to be less ranty.youtube.comStatistical Rethinking Lecture A09 - Modeling EventsYouTube video by Richard McElreath 2498
Reposted by Albert VarelaHerman van de Werfhorst 🟥 @hermwerf.bsky.social · 21/02/2026A slacking occupational structure in Britain? Reflections on my substack on a piece in the @financialtimes.com by John Burn-Murdoch. And what does this piece imply for the debate on overeducation? @data.ft.com hermwerf.substack.com/p/a-slacking...hermwerf.substack.comA slacking occupational structure in Britain?Reflections on a recent column in the Financial Times 184
Reposted by Albert VarelaPer Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 17/02/2026Problem about the loneliness epidemic is, it's everywhere except in representative survey data. Let's look at where the claim comes from. 1/ 21592224
Reposted by Albert VarelaAndrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 11/02/2026I just whipped up this little #QuartoPub site last week that demonstrates how I teach p-values/hyp-testing through simulation both with live OJS and with #rstats, and I think it's super neat! It has examples for diff-in-means, diff-in-props, and regression slopes nullworlds.andrewheiss.com #statsky 313826
Reposted by Albert VarelaRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 30/01/2026This time I try to explain group-level confounding and some ways to deal with it. Lecture B04 of Statistical Rethinking 2026 - fixed effects, Mundlak machines, latent Mundlak machines, intro to social network analysis and the social relations model. Full lecture list: github.com/rmcelreath/s...youtube.comStatistical Rethinking 2026 Lecture B04 - Group-level confounding and intro to social networksYouTube video by Richard McElreath 510115
Reposted by Albert VarelaRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 08/01/2026As a statistical educator, it had not occurred to me that I need to caution students against regressing a variable on a function of itself. My naivete is unbounded. The Peri & Sparber paper (linked below) looks really good! It has synthetic data analyses and everything. 2576
Reposted by Albert VarelaRichard McElreath 🐈⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 06/01/2026And we're live, Lecture A1 is online. Introduction to Bayesian workflow, generative models, estimands, estimators, estimates, error checking, beginnings of probability theory and Bayesian updating. www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztbY...youtube.comStatistical Rethinking 2026 - Lecture A01 - Introduction to Bayesian WorkflowYouTube video by Richard McElreath 219764
Reposted by Albert VarelaJacob Edenhofer @jacobedenhofer.bsky.social · 30/12/2025Here are my favourite 2025 papers on climate policy/politics (listed in no particular order). 1. Ascari, Guido, Andrea Colciago, Timo Haber, and Stefan Wöhrmüller. 2025. ‘Inequality along the European Green Transition’. Economic Journal. doi.org/10.1093/ej/u... 1338
Reposted by Albert VarelaNando Sigona @nandosigona.bsky.social · 11/12/2025What do Britons know and think about #irregularmigration? Read new @iclaimeu.bsky.social report out today i-claim.eu/project/publ...i-claim.euPublic understanding and attitudes to irregular migration in the UK - I-CLAIMThis report summarises findings from the February 2025 I-CLAIM survey of 1,147 UK adults, exploring public knowledge of irregular migration, how people define it, and their attitudes toward irregular ... 32415
Reposted by Albert VarelaBen Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 30/09/2025On the morning of Keir Starmer's conference speech here's a new post on an odd psychopathology in British politics - our main parties don't like the people who vote for them - the dreaded Professional Managerial Class. And so they are acting out like a divorced dad seeking cooler voters. 1/nbenansell.substack.comBritish Politics' Midlife CrisisWhy British Parties Can't Make Peace with Their Actual Voters 211184471
Reposted by Albert VarelaJosé Antonio Noguera @josenoguerauab.bsky.social · 05/12/2025Young researchers in social policy, submit! 033
Reposted by Albert VarelaMichael Friendly @datavisfriendly.bsky.social · 28/11/2025#rstats It is with profound sadness I heard that my long-time friend and colleague, John Fox passed away this week. He was the author of {car}, {effects}, {Rcmdr}, ... and numerous influential books. I will miss him greatly. www.john-fox.cajohn-fox.caJohn Fox: Books and Software 1220266
Reposted by Albert VarelaCas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 22/11/2025After more than 10 years of “the Danish Model”, nativism is hegemonic in the country, the far right polls near level highs again, and the Social Democrats lost Copenhagen and poll at historic low. European Social Democrats should look at the facts, not the myths! Me in @theguardian.comtheguardian.comThe ‘Danish model’ is the darling of centre-left parties like Labour. The problem is, it doesn’t even work in Denmark | Cas MuddeThis week’s local elections are the latest reminder that when social democrats move rightwards, they’re making a mistake, says academic and author Cas Mudde 14635258
Reposted by Albert VarelaEmanuel Deutschmann @deutschmann.bsky.social · 19/11/2025New #openaccess study We made >16,000 visa appointment requests at German embassies and consulates worldwide Key finding: The poorer the country, the longer the wait time and the lower the chance to get an appointment. "A time panelty for the Global South?" shorturl.at/ZiAFb 34620
Reposted by Albert VarelaJulius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · 03/11/2025The electoral outcome most strongly linked to deprivation is not any party’s vote share, but turnout. Across almost all indicators, turnout is markedly lower in more deprived areas, with only barriers to housing & services and quality in the living environment showing weaker correlations. 23114
Reposted by Albert VarelaAndrew Bell @andrewjdbell.bsky.social · 22/10/2025Pleased to see this out in print - detailing MAIHDA's desirable statistical properties. "MAIHDA is especially valuable when inequalities are subtle or data for marginalised intersections are sparse - conditions common in practice" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... @clarerevans.bsky.socialjournals.sagepub.comThe Statistical Advantages of Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy for Estimating Intersectional Inequalities - George Leckie, Andrew Bell, Juan Merlo, SV Subram...Multilevel Analysis of Individual Heterogeneity and Discriminatory Accuracy (MAIHDA) is a multilevel regression approach grounded in intersectionality theory. I... 0218
Reposted by Albert VarelaEnrique Fernández Macías @quiquefm.bsky.social · 12/09/2025We just published a new report synthesizing more than 7 years of research on the impact of digital technologies on employment in Europe carried out with my team in the JRC. Lots of evidence and ideas for discussion! #EconSky #sociology @sergiotorrejon.com @lauranurski.bsky.socialpublications.jrc.ec.europa.euWork in the Digital Era: How Technology is Transforming Work and OccupationsThis report provides a comprehensive analysis of the impact of digital technologies on work and occupations in Europe, critically reassessing dominant narratives of mass unemployment and job polarisat... 1138
Reposted by Albert VarelaRonja Sczepanski @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social · 01/09/2025Ever asked yourself how to detect and extract social groups from texts with computational social science? @haukelicht.bsky.social and me have a solution for you out at @bjpols.bsky.social. You can also find the pre-trained models on huggingface! 29431
Reposted by Albert VarelaMike McCarthy @itsmccarthy.bsky.social · 01/09/2025What do unions do? On average they make the members about $870k more wealthy over time, new findings at Social Forces show. 14713
Reposted by Albert VarelaJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 25/08/2025Ever stared at a table of regression coefficients & wondered what you're doing with your life? Very excited to share this gentle introduction to another way of making sense of statistical models (w @vincentab.bsky.social) Preprint: doi.org/10.31234/osf... Website: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy... 461000285
Reposted by Albert VarelaCorey Moss-Pech @cmpech.bsky.social · 13/08/2025Check out my new article in the Journal of Organizational Sociology, where I examine how technology limits the autonomy of entry-level workers. I theorize two subtypes of technical control and discuss its implications for gender inequality www.degruyterbrill.com/document/doi...degruyterbrill.com“The System Sucks”: Computer Programs and Technical Control in Entry-Level White-Collar WorkResearchers often examine how technology controls the labor of precarious workers while demonstrating the limits of technology on controlling professional workers. Drawing on a subset of 46 in-depth i... 2236
Albert Varela @albertvarela.bsky.social · 05/08/2025Not recent, but may be of interest onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10....onlinelibrary.wiley.comTwo societies, one sociology, and no theoryThis article shows the declining effectiveness of the sociological classics to make sense of the dramatically changing economy and society. However, the various ‘post-something’ analyses of such tran... 140
Reposted by Albert VarelaDavid Buil-Gil @davidbuil.bsky.social · 30/07/2025New how-to guide now available on the European Network for Open Criminology website. This time @asiermoneva.com shares advice on writing reproducible and readable analysis code. Highly recommended! esc-enoc.github.io/how-to/repro...esc-enoc.github.ioWrite Reproducible and Readable Analysis Code – European Network for Open CriminologyFind out how to make your analysis code easy to share, understand, and reproduce. 01711
Reposted by Albert VarelaJonathan Hopkin @jonathanhopkin.eurosky.social · 23/07/2025The outsourcing boom of the Major-Blair years saved money in the short run but left the state without the capacity to do anything but buy in services from canny private providers who have us over a barrel and are raking it in 051
Reposted by Albert VarelaLIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg @lisdata.bsky.social · 12/06/2025🚨 Major release alert We’re thrilled to launch lissyrtools v0.2.0 — our R package that makes working with LIS & LWS microdata simpler, faster, and clearer 📦 🧵 1/12 1127
Reposted by Albert VarelaDr Hayley Bennett @haylesben.bsky.social · 12/06/2025Interested in employment and social security research? Please follow the account below (we've moved from X and need to rebuild our following!) 022
Reposted by Albert Varelaeasystats @easystats.github.io · 27/05/2025🆕 Introducing check_group_variation() in the {performance} #Rstats package! 🎉 This function makes it easy to checks if variables vary within or between levels of grouping variables. Perfect for understanding and designing mixed models 🚀 easystats.github.io/performance/... #stats #easystats 34413
Reposted by Albert VarelaJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 26/05/2025Writing some paragraphs about odds ratio and, more generally, different scales in nonlinear models. Any favorite articles on odds ratio?> 1911920
Reposted by Albert VarelaJonathan Hopkin @jonathanhopkin.eurosky.social · 13/05/2025I’ll take the cutting migration idea seriously the day a politician actually outlines a serious budgeted plan for training British-born workers for the skills we’re short of, and housing them in the places where they’re needed. Until then it’s just the worst kind of blame-shifting propaganda 3337
Reposted by Albert VarelaMarie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 12/05/2025christ, what a day to be an immigrant cursed with the ability to read 22682348
Reposted by Albert VarelaAndrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 08/05/2025On the verge of declaring defeat with chatgpt in my asynchronous online dataviz class. Something changed this semester compared to past ones and SO MANY assignments are essentially 100% LLM output. 5153659
Reposted by Albert VarelaDaniel 🕹️ @strengejacke.de · 06/05/2025I know it's getting boring when I keep posting easystats-stuff, but here's an example (vignette) how to "tweak" mixed models (demeaning) to get unbiased estimates: easystats.github.io/parameters/a... I wouldn't call it "tweaking mixed models", because FE do the same. It rather about data...easystats.github.ioAnalysing Longitudinal or Panel Data 252
Reposted by Albert VarelaVincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 10/04/2025📚😅🎉 Yay!! I just submitted the complete manuscript of my upcoming book to the publisher! Learn to easily and clearly interpret (almost) any stats model w/ R or Python. Simple ideas, consistent workflow, powerful tools, detailed case studies. Read it for free @ marginaleffects.com #RStats #PyData 21596148
Reposted by Albert VarelaKaty Morris @katymorris.bsky.social · 31/03/2025New #dataviz in @sociusjournal.bsky.social Did the occupational structure evolve in the same way in different parts of London between 1991 and 2021? In short: no, it was very much A Tale of Two Cities journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...journals.sagepub.comSage Journals: Discover world-class researchSubscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher. 1188
Reposted by Albert VarelaKeonhi Son @keonhison.bsky.social · 17/03/2025📣NEW PUBLICATION As a Korean who grew up in a low-income area in the 90s, I've long wondered why the gap between welfare laws and practice is rarely discussed. doi.org/10.1177/1468...doi.orgDiscrepancy of social insurance between laws and practices: Implementation challenges of maternity leave in 73 low- and middle-income countries - Keonhi Son, 2025Although comparative welfare research has long criticized that the social insurance system in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) fails to cover the under-... 1113
Reposted by Albert VarelaSergio Torrejón @sergiotorrejon.com · 03/03/2025📢 Book Alert! "Global Trends in Job Polarisation and Upgrading: A Comparison of Developed and Developing Economies" is out! Published by Palgrave Macmillan/ Springer, this volume examines global patterns of job creation at a global scale | 🔗 link.springer.com/book/10.1007... #EconSky #sociology 34019
Reposted by Albert VarelaChristoph Scheuch @christophscheuch.bsky.social · 28/02/2025📢 New R package on CRAN: {owidapi}! Easily pull chart data from @ourworldindata.org into R: fetch data, explore datasets & embed charts in docs & Shiny apps (experimental). Feedback & ideas welcome 🙏 413236
Reposted by Albert VarelaAndrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 19/02/2025I really liked this idea of using a histogram as a legend in a choropleth map (since land isn't unemployed; people are), so I made a little guide to doing it with #rstats, {ggplot2}, and {patchwork} www.andrewheiss.com/blog/2025/02...andrewheiss.comHow to use a histogram as a legend in {ggplot2} | Andrew HeissLand isn’t unemployed—people are. Here’s how to use R, {ggplot2}, {sf}, and {patchwork} to create a histogram legend in a choropleth map to better see the distribution of values. 28882197
Reposted by Albert VarelaRushani Wijesuriya @rush-099.bsky.social · 27/01/2025Hot off the press! 📣📣In this tutorial we illustrate available multiple imputation approaches for handling longitudinal data including when they are clustered within higher level clusters. A reproducible example with R and Stata code provided! #OpenAccess onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/...onlinelibrary.wiley.comMultiple Imputation for Longitudinal Data: A TutorialLongitudinal studies are frequently used in medical research and involve collecting repeated measures on individuals over time. Observations from the same individual are invariably correlated and thu.... 515064
Reposted by Albert VarelaJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 16/01/2025As expected, the APC talk for the sociologists was a lot of fun! In case you're curious, you can find the slides here: osf.io/mvqkx 56115
Reposted by Albert VarelaMaik Hamjediers @mhamjediers.bsky.social · 07/01/2025📢 Flexible working supposedly addresses women's work-family conflicts but is less prevalent in women-dominated occupations. @aljoschajacobi.bsky.social, @tabeanaujoks.bsky.social & I explore why and how this has changed over past decades Out in @socialindicators.bsky.social doi.org/10.1007/s112... 06124