Sign in

Zbigniew Truchlewski

@ztruchlewski.bsky.social
406 followers 505 following 63 posts

Prof Uni of Geneva • Fellow @eui-schuman.bsky.social & @lse-ei.bsky.social • EU Polity Formation & Integration, Solidarity, Austerity • @solid-erc.bsky.social • Frmrly: @uva.nl Max Weber EUI @ecb.europa.eu @ec.europa.eu • zgtruchlewski.github.io

PostsRepliesMedia
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Alexandre Afonso @alexandreafonso.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Foreign academics now represent almost half of all academic staff employed at Dutch universities (but only a quarter of full professors). I wrote a post showing some data and discussing some ways to understand it: alexandreafonso.substack.com/p/immigrants...
alexandreafonso.substack.com
Immigrants: The Silent (Almost) Majority in Dutch Academia
Half of Dutch academics are now foreign, but almost no one talks about them.
0279
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 31/08/2026
We’re hiring! Poli Sci & IR department at IE University in Madrid is hiring three tenure-track Assistant Professors, starting 1st of September 2027, in: Comparative Politics: lnkd.in/ePDfwjJB International Relations: lnkd.in/eDu5vGTf Political Economy: lnkd.in/eciDukTA 1/3
28084
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Inequality and Distributive Politics - IDP @inqdp.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
2/6 🧵 In @wepsocial.bsky.social Kriesi & @ztruchlewski.bsky.social ask what Europe do citizens want? Consider two dimensions: bounding (hard EU borders) & binding (common central capacity). Surveys in 16 🇪🇺 countries & FA. Overall support for bounding but division on binding doi.org/rfp6
121
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Thomas Kurer @thmskrr.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
🚨We are hiring a two-year postdoctoral researcher (80%) at the University of Zurich within the new Horizon Europe project WELFAIR on the political implications of technological change, demographic ageing and rising inequality. The full job ad is here: tinyurl.com/3b6ddm25 Apply by August 9, 2026.
tinyurl.com
05765
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
The Politics of Inequality @excinequality.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Don't miss the last #Inequality Colloquium of the semester! 📅 14 July, 11:45 a.m. @evehubscher.bsky.social & @sattlersthomas.bsky.social about an exiting project! Join us in Y213 @uni-konstanz.de or online: t1p.de/z6cff Can't make it? No worries - we'll continue sharing recordings of recent talks👇
193
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
Joseph Ganderson compares the effects of two "membership crises" in the EU: Brexit and rule of law backsliding 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
141
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Manuela Moschella @manuelamoschella.bsky.social · 06/07/2026
So glad to finally see the whole collection together - and free to read for the next three months!
032
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
JEPP Journal @jeppjournal.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
@ztruchlewski.bsky.social, Marcello Natili & @nenaoana.bsky.social: Understanding public support for EU polity building in hard times: the role of territorial, functional, and crisis politics 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
121
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Important paper 👇
010
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Ben Crum @bencrum.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
Come work with us (specifically, my great colleague @lutzphilipp.bsky.social) on public opinion on migration 👇
011
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Lucy Kinski @lucykinski.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
📢 Postdoc position in #EU politics & governance (100%, 3 years initially) @uni-freiburg.de w/ competence in computational methods ⏰Deadline: 30 June 2026 ⭐Start: 1 October 2026 👉Full job ad & application portal: uni-freiburg.de/en/job/00005... #EUsky #academicposition #jobs #hiring #polisci #CSS
01518
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Katjana Gattermann @kgattermann.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Less than 1 week left to apply for this exciting postdoc opportunity ⬇️ @kathleenbeckers.bsky.social & I look forward to receiving applications 😀
01416
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Guillaume Beaumier @gbeaumier.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
🧵 1/4 📢 New publication! With @jonasheering.bsky.social and @abenewman.bsky.social, we challenge the "clash of systems" framing and the Brussels Effect thesis, which portrays the EU as a unilateral rule-exporter 🌍⚖️
165
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
The Holodomor Research and Education Consortium has newly assembled an informative free online course on the history of the Holodomor in Ukraine within a global context of famine and genocide. coursera.org/learn/holodo...
coursera.org
Famine as Genocide: The Holodomor in Ukraine
Offered by University of Alberta. The Holodomor, one of the major tragedies of the twentieth century, became the subject of serious study ... Enroll for free.
141029377
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
Great academic job opportunity👇
000
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
UNITED24 @u24.gov.ua · 18/04/2026
🛡️ @timothysnyder.bsky.social joins Sky Defense! Our ambassador is raising $500,000 for interceptor drones and other air defense equipment to help protect Ukrainians from russian attacks. Join us — let’s make a difference, strengthening Ukraine against terror: u24.gov.ua/news/timothy...
31578295
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Useful analysis👇
010
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
👇
000
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
European Journal of Political Research @ejprjournal.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
🆕 Who Supports the Energy Transition? ⚡🌍 Marcello Natili, Alessandro Pellegata of @ecprpovb.bsky.social & Francesco Visconti look at the 2022 #EnergyCrisis, to find that support for renewables rose when paired with social compensation but deep class and ideological divides remain ⚖️
buff.ly
What kind of energy transition? Public opinion trade-offs between economic growth, ecological sustainability, and equity | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
What kind of energy transition? Public opinion trade-offs between economic growth, ecological sustainability, and equity
098
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Doro Bohle @dorobohle.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
Great opportunity for politcal economists career.mpifg.de/jobposting/3...
career.mpifg.de
Senior Researcher in the field of Political Economy (tenure track)
The Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies (MPIfG) in Cologne is seeking a
098
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Really happy this smarticle by @katealexandershaw.bsky.social, Joseph Ganderson & Anna Kyriazi has been published! If a crisis happens and nobody calls is a crisis, is it still a crisis?
021
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Kate Alexander-Shaw @katealexandershaw.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
New piece from me, on the politics of 'abundance', in IPPR Progressive Review (currently free to read) onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Beyond Incrementalism: Can the Politics of Abundance Work for the United Kingdom?
The abundance agenda offers an important provocation to progressives, asking them to think big about the possibilities for growth and economic renewal. Developed in the context of the United States, ...
021
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Today marks four years since Russia invaded Ukraine. These are some thoughts (recorded yesterday) on what Ukrainians have done for all of us and what we can learn from them.
291276519
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 15/02/2026
Amsterdam ❄️ ⛄️
1534
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Juraj Medzihorsky @medzihorsky.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Back in 2022, @economist.com published a neat graphical summary of how tightly is the system engineered to favor Fidesz-KDNP. Including a comparison with the US House of Representatives in which the US came out ahead of Hungary. www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
Charts from the article linked in the post.
093
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Juraj Medzihorsky @medzihorsky.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
59 days until the Hungarian elections. Here's a new interactive seat projection tool. mandatumkalkulator.voksadat.hu
A screenshot of the website linked in the post.
1105
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Notes from Poland @notesfrompoland.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
A smiling plushie in the shape of a pieróg - Poland's famous stuffed dumpling - has become a hit at the Winter Olympics after being adopted as a mascot by the Polish figure skating team. The cooperative for people with disabilities that creates the toy says it has been overwhelmed with orders.
notesfrompoland.com
Polish team's pieróg mascot becomes Winter Olympics star
19427
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 09/02/2026
When we talk about European payment sovereignty, names like Digital Euro or WERO dominate the headlines. But the real heavyweight champion isn’t a project in development—it’s already here, it’s MADE IN POLAND, and it’s crushing records. It is BLIK www.blik.com/en www.ft.com/content/fcc2...
ft.com
European alternatives to Visa and Mastercard ‘urgently’ needed, says banking chief
US payment processing companies account for about two-thirds of card transactions in Eurozone
24122
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Endre Borbáth @eborbath.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
now open access :)
031
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
The publisher estimates the Bayesian Workflow book will ship in June www.routledge.com/Bayesian-Wor...
routledge.com
Bayesian Workflow
Bayesian statistics and statistical practice have evolved over the years, driven by advancements in theory, methods, and computational tools. This book explores the intricate workflows of applied Baye...
2908
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Miriam Sorace @miriamsorace.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
📢 JOB ALERT! Postdoc opportunity in Political Behaviour & Political Economy (UKRI‑funded) - Please do share with anyone who might be a great fit. If you’re interested or would like to know more, please feel free to get in touch!! jobs.reading.ac.uk/Job/JobDetai...
jobs.reading.ac.uk
Postdoctoral Research Fellow in Quantitative Political Behaviour and Political Economy:Whiteknights Reading UK
The closing date for applications is 23.59 on 22nd February 2026
02930
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
ipz.uzh.ch
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
25770
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · 01/02/2026
to subjugate all of Ukr, any settlement now would be temporary. To make it last, Ukr has to be able to defend the new border and this means BOTH keeping the fortified parts of Donbas and foreign troops stationed there along w Ukr troops. It’s the only realistic way to deter a 3rd Ru invasion.
17914
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Peder M Isager @isager.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
New blog post introducing Causion - a web app for causal inference teaching and learning: pedermisager.org/blog/causion....
pedermisager.org
Introducing Causion: A web app for playing with DAGs | Peder M. Isager
Personal website of Dr. Peder M. Isager
514567
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 26/01/2026
Bayesian Workflow by Andrew Gelman, Aki Vehtari, @rmcelreath.bsky.social with @danpsimpson.bsky.social, @charlesm993.bsky.social, @yulingy.bsky.social, Lauren Kennedy, Jonah Gabry, @paulbuerkner.com, @modrakm.bsky.social, @vianeylb.bsky.social (in production, estimated copy-editing time 6 weeks)
**Part 1: From Bayesian inference to Bayesian workflow**

1. Bayesian theory and Bayesian practice
2. Statistical modeling and workflow
3. Computational tools
4. Introduction to workflow: Modeling performance on a multiple choice exam

**Part 2: Statistical workflow**

5. Building statistical models
6. Using simulations to capture uncertainty
7. Prediction, generalization, and causal inference
8. Visualizing and checking fitted models
9. Comparing and improving models
10. Statistical inference and scientific inference

**Part 3: Computational workflow**

11. Fitting statistical models
12. Diagnosing and fixing problems with fitting
13. Approximate algorithms and approximate models
14. Simulation-based calibration checking
15. Statistical modeling as software development
**4. Case studies**

16. Coding a series of models: Simulated data of movie ratings
17. Prior specification for regression models: Reanalysis of a sleep study
18. Predictive model checking and comparison: Clinical trial
19. Building up to a hierarchical model: Coronavirus testing
20. Using a fitted model for decision analysis: Mixture model for time series competition
21. Posterior predictive checking: Stochastic learning in dogs
22. Incremental development and testing: Black cat adoptions
23. Debugging a model: World Cup football
24. Leave-one-out cross validation model checking and comparison: Roaches
25. Model building and expansion: Golf putting
26. Model building with latent variables: Markov models for animal movement
27. Model building: Time-series decomposition for birthdays
28. Models for regression coefficients and variable selection: Student grades
29. Sampling problems with latent variables: No vehicles in the park
30. Challenge of multimodality: Differential equation for planetary motion
31. Simulation-based calibration checking in model development workflow

**Appendices**

A. Statistical and computational workflow for Bayesians and non-Bayesians
B. How to get the most out of Bayesian Data Analysis
315831
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
Important read from @evehubscher.bsky.social and @sattlersthomas.bsky.social - straight into my syllabus on crisis politics.
020
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Tom van der Meer @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
Very proud of the publication of this article, led by the brilliant @cvalebeek.bsky.social. We comprehensively test the causal effect of political trust on turnout and party choice, by breaking down these effects by trust levels, trust variability, and trust change events. Plus: cool visualisations.
0176
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Julian Garritzmann @garritzmannj.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
we have 5 positions open at @goetheuni.bsky.social in Frankfurt - a 4,5 year postdoc in my @erc.europa.eu project on the educational cleavage - 2 postdoc & 2 PhD positions, 4 years, in a research group on Reconfiguration & Internalization of Social Structure www.uni-frankfurt.de/48794784/FB0...
uni-frankfurt.de
Goethe-Universität — FB03 - Gesellschaftswissenschaften
Die Goethe-Universität ist eine forschungsstarke Hochschule in der europäischen Finanzmetropole Frankfurt. Lebendig, urban und weltoffen besitzt sie als Stiftungsuniversität ein einzigartiges Maß an E...
05861
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Evelyne Hübscher @evehubscher.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
Not convinced… for reasons already mentioned (financial crisis, sovereign debt criss,… austerity). See for instance: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
cambridge.org
Does Austerity Cause Polarization? | British Journal of Political Science | Cambridge Core
Does Austerity Cause Polarization? - Volume 53 Issue 4
0122
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · 09/12/2025
🚨 3-Year Postdoc in Political Science at Aarhus University 🚨 I’m seeking to recruit a postdoc for my @erc.europa.eu research project 𝑬𝑸𝑼𝑰𝑳𝑰𝑩𝑹𝑰𝑼𝑴 on state-citizen interactions. Link and more information in second post. Position Start: Fall 2026 Application Deadline: ‼️ February 5, 2026, 23:59 CET ‼️
17668
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Christopher Wratil 🇺🇦 #StandWithUkraine @chriswratil.bsky.social · 10/12/2025
🚨 ‼️ Five days left to apply for the postdoc in Political Text Analysis in the MULTIREP ERC project 👇. Use your last chance to apply 😉
068
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
Tom Theuns @tomtheuns.bsky.social · 07/12/2025
For those that want to put their money where their democracy is: @direkt36.bsky.social (hu) @investigacecz.bsky.social (cz) @vsquare.bsky.social (CEE) @decorrespondent.nl (nl) @mediapart.fr (fr)
0113
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 05/12/2025
Happy to see the review of the book by @nenaoana.bsky.social @alexmoise.bsky.social and Hanspeter Kriesi on the EU and COVID recently published at Oxford University Press by Reinout van der Veer at the @jei-publication.bsky.social www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
The technocracy-responsiveness nexus in EU policy-making
Debates over EU policy-making often depict the EU either as an unresponsive technocracy or as responsive despite constraints. Yet these two images are not unrelated. First, the increased focus of E...
185
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
Brilliant lecture by @uelistaeger.bsky.social on work with @tonihaastrup.bsky.social on EU's geopolitical turn and its effects on relationship with Africa - at the Unige GSI and roundtable with @catherinehoeffler.bsky.social Dêlidji Eric Degila and Didier Péclard www.unige.ch/gsi/genevaaf...
120
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 25/11/2025
From the famous stats paper: www.youtube.com/watch?v=HdOh...
youtube.com
Check Yo Self
YouTube video by Ice Cube - Topic
000
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Very much this 👇 Goal is 75% reach, almost there!
000
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 22/11/2025
Brilliant initiative, agree with @unabergmane.bsky.social - there are lots of very good books from and on Ukraine, like Zhadan's The Orphanage or @popovaprof.bsky.social and @oxanashevel.bsky.social Russia and Ukraine: Entangled Histories, Diverging States, and much more!
030
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
Thought-provoking week-end read by Cornel: "The problem isn’t that China “cheats.” The problem is that it plans well while Europeans act like the last liberals in the trenches, preferring to vanish rather than see too much state intervention." ...
110
Zbigniew Truchlewski @ztruchlewski.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Amazing and very useful work by @dtoshkov.bsky.social also cool for teaching purposes -> @nenaoana.bsky.social
020
Reposted by Zbigniew Truchlewski
WeRateDAGs @weratedags.com · 18/10/2025
Conditioning on a match indicator S can generate collider bias exactly cancelling a confounding path and identifying the effect of Z on X. Here it is in a very good DAG. 9/10 because of the functional form specificity. From Steiner et al. (2017) "Graphical Models for Quasi-experimental Designs"
S is a match indicator used as a selection node to cancel the Z-X association. We think selection nodes in DAGs are underrated and we're going to fix it.
0224