iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 17/04/2026

Last chance to register for the 13th SGEU Biennial Conference in Catania 🇮🇹, 1-3 July 2026. The registration deadline is this Sunday (19 April)! ecpr.eu/Events/341 Join the biggest academic event on EU politics and governance @ecprsgeu.bsky.social

ecpr.eu

13th Biennial Conference of the SGEU, Università di Catania, 1 – 3 July 2026

European Consortium for Political Research

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 18/02/2026

Intra-EU migration has positive fiscal effects on the net fiscal position, while extra-EU migration has a negative effect when background characteristics are controlled for. This is the main result of a new comparative study of the net fiscal position of migrants in Europe. doi.org/10.1007/s107...

doi.org

Decomposing the net fiscal position of migrants in Europe - International Tax and Public Finance

In this study, we examine differences in the net fiscal positions of migrants and native-born individuals across 15 EU countries between 2007 and 2018. To do so, we combine EU-SILC cross-sectional dat...

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

Our article with @honoratam.bsky.social on ✨motivated causal judgements✨ is out in @polpsyispp.bsky.social! When something bad happens, whose actions produced the outcome and who bears responsibility? It depends much more on the identity of the actors than on the details of the situation.

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 14/02/2026

Is this a joke 🤡? The sweeping claims are based on a sample of 813 self-selected responses on a survey posted on the author's feeds. Respondents *self-declared* to be scientists 😉and were *required* to have a bluesky account. The 'survey' was open for one month (it doesn't say in which year 🤷).

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

Our study of the impact of policy on excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic is out @plosone.org. We find that the policy measures saved lives. They did so by reducing mobility (in addition to people's direct reactions to the pandemic) and other channels. journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...

journals.plos.org

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

The European Parliament voted yesterday to refer the MERCOSUR deal to the European Court of Justice. The two biggest party groups were quite split: - 28% of the present European Socialists (S&D) voted in favor of this motion; - 24% of the present European People's Party (EPP) MPs voted in favor.

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

The Bulgarian government resigns in the wake of the mass protests. Now the current parliament will fail to form another government, the president will appoint an interim cabinet and schedule new elections, which - most likely - will lead to another stealmate. www.reuters.com/world/europe...

reuters.com

Bulgarian government resigns after weeks of street protests

Bulgarian Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov handed in his government's resignation on Thursday following weeks of street protests over its economic policies and its perceived failure to tackle corruptio...

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 11/12/2025

It is almost 10 years since Hanspeter Kriesi published his seminal article on the politicization of European Integration @jcms-eu.bsky.social. A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 10/12/2025

My study of 🇪🇺 public opinion is now published! Check it out if you want to know how attitudes towards European integration really covary with political ideology, which policy views predict EU support, and how party positions structure public opinion. www.cogitatiopress.com/politicsandg...

cogitatiopress.com

Political Ideology, Policy Attitudes, and Public Support for European Integration | Article | Politics and Governance

Dimiter Toshkov

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ECPR Standing Group on the European Union 🇪🇺 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social · 09/12/2025

Deadline extended until 14 December (Sunday) ⌛! You can still apply to the ECPR SGEU 2026 conference (1 – 3 July 2026) until the end of thes week! Join us in sunny Sicily, in the air-conditioned rooms of Università di Catania! ecpr.eu/Events/341

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Randy Besco @randybesco.bsky.social · 04/12/2025

New work on on Immigration attitudes, out in @irpp.org with @natashagoel.bsky.social We show dramatical increase in anti-immigration opinion in Canada over the past couple of years. Its very different than previous shifts like in 1990s...

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European Consortium for Political Research @ecpr.bsky.social · 01/12/2025

🚨 Today in #ECPRSeminars on the EU from 15:00 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social Our speakers argue that climate disasters can push voters 🗳️ away from mainstream parties, shaped by local economic conditions 🎙️@lisadellmuth.bsky.social @evemariejon.bsky.social @tntounias.bsky.social @cjschneider.bsky.social

buff.ly

TODAY: Register FREE

Standing Group on European Union (SGEU) Seminar Series

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

It's quite absurd that there is no funding to keep ParlGov updated: this is essential data infrastructure for political science! No funder is interested in keeping the data backbone of comparative politics alive, while millions get spent on all kinds of BS. Ridiculous!

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ECPR Standing Group on the European Union 🇪🇺 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social · 21/11/2025

The deadline (10 December) for the call for papers and panels for the 13th biennial SGEU conference (1-3 July 2026, Università di Catania) is approaching fast! Submit your panels and papers to one of 18 sections via the @ecpr.bsky.social webpage: ecpr.eu/Events/341.

ecpr.eu

13th Biennial Conference of the SGEU, Università di Catania, 1 – 3 July 2026

European Consortium for Political Research

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 19/11/2025

🤩 Party positions in the 2024 European Parliament 🇪🇺! I merged the CHES expert survey with EP composition data to visualize the political space of the current EP. The graphs make the center of gravity in the EP quite clear, on multiple dimensions and policy issues. dimiter.shinyapps.io/ches/

Party positions in the European Parliament 2024. Based on the CHES expert survey. Political space in the European Union 2024.

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Philipp Lutz @lutzphilipp.bsky.social · 17/11/2025

Our study on public immigration misperceptions is out! Prior research overstated their prevalence due to flawed measurement. Our new approach separates real misperceptions from uninformed guessing — showing they’re less common than widely assumed and ideologically motivated. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

doi.org

Beyond innumeracy: measuring public misperceptions about immigration | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core

Beyond innumeracy: measuring public misperceptions about immigration

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

Reviewer 2: You have no definition of 'sanctions'. Also, I don't like your definition of 'sanctions'. 😂😡🥹

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 05/11/2025

It is truly disappointing how small-minded some political scientists can be 😮‍💨. For a recent study on enforcement in the EU, we dug deep into the general literature on enforcement, which spans evolutionary psychology, anthropology, economic behavior, etc. Here is what Reviewer 2 has to say:

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 04/11/2025

This is some very thorough empirical work on judicial bias in Germany 👏

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

For my course on Conflict and Representation in the EU, I made an interactive Shiny app that plots CHES party positions, for all countries, years (1999-2024) and (most) dimensions in the dataset. Enjoy! dimiter.shinyapps.io/ches/ #polsci #Polisky #EUsky #Comparativesky #polbehaviorsky

An interactive Shiny app on party positions using the CHES (Chapel HIll expert survey dataset).

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ECPR Standing Group on the European Union 🇪🇺 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social · 03/11/2025

Planning a panel related to the EU 🇪🇺 or European integration for the next @ecpr.bsky.social General Conference (8-11 September 2026 in Krakow 🇵🇱)? The section proposal on the EU is prepared by Adam Holesch (IBEI) and @nathaliebrack.bsky.social. Get in touch with them before 7 November to co-ordinate!

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Pedantic point, but the reported increases/decreases are not in % (percentages), as suggested by this @nieuws.nos.nl table, but in percentage *points*. NSC lost 97% of its vote share, not 12.5%.

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 30/10/2025

Affective polarization (negative/positive feelings towards voters of different parties), for prospective voters of D66 and CDA, as of june 2025. Dots show the averages per groups of party voters. DD6 voters were much more negative towards JA21 than CDA voters were negative towards GL-PvdA voters.

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

Call me old-fashioned, but I find such open endorsement of political figures by university professors on professional social networks inappropriate. It is actions like this one that erode the credibility of social scientists as independent experts.

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 28/10/2025

I find it quite remarkable that in the past 8 years, the Netherlands has had no regular government for 2.5 years, or 30% of the time. For two-and-a-half years the country has been governed by 'demissionary' cabinets with a very limited mandate (prepare elections and take care of ongoing business).

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 20/10/2025

Vandaag in Trouw: Veel kiezers steunen de democratie, maar niet iedereen verstaat hetzelfde onder "democratie". Waarom wil een grote groep kiezers een onbegrensde meerderheidsdemocratie? Lees mijn bijdrage (samen met @dtoshkov.bsky.social) hier: www.trouw.nl/opinie/opini...

trouw.nl

Opinie: De steun voor democratie hangt af van haar resultaten

Het is niet zo gek dat burgers aandringen op een systeem van ‘de meerderheid beslist alles’, schrijven Lars Brummel en Dimiter Toshkov.

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Lars Brummel @larsbrummel.bsky.social · 16/09/2025

💡New publication in Governance @govjournal.bsky.social! Read our article, together w/ @dtoshkov.bsky.social and Brendan Carroll, on the perceived legitimacy of region-specific crisis interventions in Germany and the Netherlands, here ➡️ doi.org/10.1111/gove... Short summary of our main findings ⬇️

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ECPR Standing Group on the European Union 🇪🇺 @ecprsgeu.bsky.social · 16/07/2025

🚨 New call for the SGEU FUTURE Grants! 🚨 Are you a PhD student doing research on 🇪🇺 European integration? Do you need financial support for your fieldwork? If yes, apply to the new edition of the SGEU Future Grants. Deadline is 30 September 2025. Details here: ecpr.eu/news/news/de...

ecpr.eu

New call for the SGEU FUTURE Grants

European Consortium for Political Research

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Public Opinion Quarterly - POQ @poqjournal.bsky.social · 15/07/2025

Why do people support policies that go against their interests? Miroslav Nemčok and coauthors show that voters shift their views to match their party, even when that means supporting painful welfare cuts. Out now in POQ: doi.org/10.1093/poq/... @miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 27/06/2025

There is a very strong support among people in Holland for an active role of the Dutch government in international cooperation and defence. There are also big, cross-partisan majorities in favor of increasing the defence budget and continuing sending weapons to Ukraine. shorturl.at/svcZp

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Tom van der Meer @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Two vacancies for assistant professor (tenure track) at our Department of Political Science. One on International Relations, the other on EU Politics and Governance. I may be biased, but would 100% recommend applying. We are a warm, collegial, ambitious department. werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...

werkenbij.uva.nl

Vacancy — 2 Assistant Professors: International Relations (option a) and EU Politics and Governance (option b

The Department of Political Science at the University of Amsterdam invites applications for two tenure-track Assistant Professor (Universitair Docent) positions in Political Science with a specializat...

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Another consequence of granting ever more powers to the president is that a democratic transition becomes ever less likely. Do we really believe Republicans will accept a Democratic president with this sort of unchecked power in 4 years?

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Frederik Hjorth @fghjorth.bsky.social · 22/05/2025

🚨 New publication 🚨 : Happy to share that my paper, "Losing Touch: The Rhetorical Cost of Governing" is now forthcoming at @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Short 🧵 about the paper here 👇 1/10

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 21/05/2025

Does anyone know what is the copyright status of the peer reviews of our work that we recieve from journals? Are we allowed to make them publicly available, legally speaking? What would be the consequnces of just posting the reviews online (other than pissing off the editors, obviously)?

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

Great list of methodological results/advice articles

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

Last week I completed another edition of my short introductory course to R for social science PhD students @fggaleiden.bsky.social. The course covers fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis (stat models) and data visualisation. All the slides are freely available at dimiter.eu/R-tutorial.h....

Introduction to R for social scientists covering fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis with statistical models, and data visualisation

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

Five years after COVID-19, the question about the impact of the policies introduced to fight the pandemic is still unsettled. In a new paper, we evaluate the effect of the policy measures on mortality in The Netherlands for the period 2020-2022. What do we find? www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 14/03/2025

How do attitudes to 🇪🇺 European integration relate to political ideology and policy preferences? A major update of my study: - I added the latest 2023 ESS data for citizens and 2024 CHES data for parties - I built an app to explore these relationships across datasets, indicators, years & countries

Average support for further European integration of citizens (blue line, based on GAM with cubic regression splines) and positive orientation towards European integration of political parties (black dots and red line, based on a local polynomial regression) as functions of left-right self-placement of the citizens and general left-right party positions as estimated by experts. Originally, party positions on European integration are scored on a 1-to-7 scale, which has been rescaled from 0 to 10 to match the public opinion data. Data: ESS Wave 11 (2023), CHES (2024).

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 11/03/2025

⭐Motivated causal reasoning⭐: in a new pre-print with @honoratam.bsky.social we introduce the idea that ingroup favouritism affects formal causal judgements, and we provide experimental evidence in support of this hypothesis osf.io/preprints/os...

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Catherine E. de Vries @catherinedevries.bsky.social · 02/03/2025

European leaders met with 🇺🇦, 🇪🇺 & NATO officials to discuss 🇺🇦 support & defence cooperation. This is all very welcome & needed. But for peace & defence efforts to be future-proof & credible, public support is essential. Building it won’t be easy. 🧵with @eupinions.bsky.social data

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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

Can the EU stop making overly complex rules? 1 / The EU is great at regulating - but sometimes too great. A look inside how policies are made, why simplification efforts often come too late, and what needs to change. 🧵

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 23/01/2025

Are you doing research on legitimacy, crises, and multilevel governance? Then apply to our panel at the International Public Policy Conference in July 2025 (Chiang Mai, Thailand 🇹🇭)! Papers on different kinds of crises and regions of the world are welcome! www.ippapublicpolicy.org/conference/i...

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Noam Gidron @noamgidron.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

We often define the ideological space in terms of the economic and cultural dimensions; how does this resonate with ordinary citizens? This is the question Thomas and I explore in a new Element, analyzing answers to open-ended survey questions 🧵 cup.org/4gEYCOj

cup.org

The European Ideological Space in Voters' Own Words

Cambridge Core - Organisation Studies - The European Ideological Space in Voters' Own Words

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Remember COVID-19? We have a new article estimating excess mortality in The Netherlands based on register data from @cbsstatistiek.bsky.social. Overall, we find 8.9% excess deaths in 2020 and 8.5% in 2021. However, for first generation immigrants, excess mortality was much higher at 15% and 18%.

excess mortality in the Netherlands, 2020-2021, per population group

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Dimiter Toshkov @dtoshkov.bsky.social · 13/12/2024

It is not commonly known that when a lover says 'I need you!', this does not imply that the presence of the loved one is also sufficient for the lover's happiness. 'I need you, in conjunction with {X1, X2, ..., Xn}, to be happy' is often a better representation of the lover's discursive intent.💞

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Martin Bækgaard @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social · 06/12/2024

In a new article out in @pnas.org w @michaelsvarer.bsky.social @albecknielsen.bsky.social Michael Rosholm. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/..., we explore the long-term unemployment and mental health effects of active labor market programs.

pnas.org

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