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Karsten Donnay

@karstendonnay.bsky.social
877 followers 381 following 79 posts

Associate Professor @IPZ @UZH @DigDemLab | Political Science | Digital Democracy | Political Behavior | Computational Social Science | www.karstendonnay.net

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Reposted by Karsten Donnay
CIS ETH @ciseth.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Interview with Valerie Sticher about her research on Strengthening Conflict Research with Satellite Data published in Nature css.ethz.ch/en/center/CS...
css.ethz.ch
Nature Article: Strengthening Conflict Research with Satellite Data
CSS researchers Valerie Sticher, Corinne Bara, and Jenniina Kotajoki, together with researchers from ETH Zurich, EPFL, the University of Zurich, and international partners, have published a study in N...
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Meret Schneider @meretschneider.bsky.social · 23/08/2026
Die Forschung zeigt, dass Gegenrede zu solchen Beiträgen wirkt. Wenn offline jemand zusammengeschlagen wird, greifen wir ein. Gleiches sollten wir auch online tun: Hasskommentare dürfen nicht unwidersprochen bleiben. www.blick.ch/politik/angr...
blick.ch
Unbändiger Hass auf der Strasse und im Internet
Ein Nationalrat wird in den sozialen Medien als Krebsgeschwür beschimpft. Hasskommentare breiten sich aus. Und auf der Strasse müssen sich Minderheiten vor körperlichen Angriffen fürchten.
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Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
The Department of Political Science at Aarhus University is hiring both Assistant Professors and Associate Professors. Assistant Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Associate Professor: international.au.dk/about/profil... Please share these opportunities with your networks!
international.au.dk
Assistant Professor in Political Science - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
But EPSS is more than political science research - we are also coming together as a community. So come for the science and stay for the social part – from big receptions 🥂 and a diversity lunch 🏳️‍🌈, over walking tours 🏰, a morning run 🏃‍♂️‍➡️🏃‍♀️‍➡️ , and whiskey tastings 🥃, to a late-night after party 💃🕺.
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 05/06/2026
🎉🎉🎉 The inaugural EPSS Conference in Belfast is just around the corner! Join us in Belfast from 18th to 20th of June, 2026 🎉🎉 🎉
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lillyshanahan.bsky.social @lillyshanahan.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Come and join us for our 2nd Zurich Population Research Conference from February 1-2 2027! The call for abstracts is now open. www.prc.uzh.ch/en/conferenc... @populationeu.bsky.social @karstendonnay.bsky.social @melindacmills.bsky.social @ezagheni.bsky.social
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Sol Messing @solmg.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
New in Nature: LLMs give "the party line" in the languages of authoritarian regimes. This works when they control the media, which feeds pretraining data. We show more state control over the media means less critical LLMs. 6 studies spanning 38 languages & 13 models. Details ↓
Scatter plot of 38 countries plus China showing the proportion of LLM responses favorable to the regime in the local language vs. World Press Freedom Index score. Lower press freedom predicts more regime-favorable responses; all production models pooled.
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Gloria Gennaro @gloriagennaro.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Excited to contribute to the teaching at @ecpr.bsky.social this year, with a short course on Causal Inference for Observational Data ✨ Do you hesitate to reach out if you may be interested, have questions, or want to chat about research in this space
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Rahel Freiburghaus @rfrbrghs.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
In June, Switzerland will vote on what is so far the most radical far-right popular initiative launched by the Swiss People‘s Party SVP: capping the population at 10M (currently ≈9.1M). In this thread, I’ll break down what it’s about and how it fits into broader findings on Swiss direct democracy
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
What can we learn from automating an entire quantitative social science paper, from prompt to finished product? Thread about ongoing work with @natewilmers.bsky.social 1/12 Paper: osf.io/preprints/so...
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Emma Hoes @emmahoes.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Excited to be teaching this one! Come with a rough research idea and leave with a complete, ready-to-field Pre-Analysis Plan. Five half-days, fully applied, no frontal lecturing — just you, your RQ, and a solid experimental design. See you in Krakow 🎉
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Cherish Ardinger, PhD @cherishardinger.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
I love SciDraw. Excited to check out the other resources as well!
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Or Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 02/05/2026
The new support for pre-filled searches might interest you: bsky.app/profile/ortu...
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Or Tuttnauer @ortuttnauer.com · 01/05/2026
What's your actual #academicsky impact? It's tricky to say if you want to impress a selection committee, a grant panel, or any group of people from different (sub)fields. Journal impact factor is fine, but are your citations a lot or too few? I have a tool to compare any article to its peers 1/2
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The Loop @ecprtheloop.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
🌊 #Illiberal Wave No.46 💪 @plutscher.bsky.social, @draege.bsky.social, @karstendonnay.bsky.social & @chknutsen.bsky.social draw on 3 experiments across Venezuela, Türkiye + the US to show that visual strongman #Propaganda can deter opposition movements + mobilise supporters. 👉️ bit.ly/48vkRV3
bit.ly
🌊 The dark logic of visual strongman propaganda
Philipp Lutscher, Jonas Bergan Dræge, Carl Henrik Knutsen and Karsten Donnay draw on three survey experiments across Venezuela, Turkey and the United States to show that visual strongman propaganda ca...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
🚨CfA🚨 We're looking for a postdoc joining us in summer in Berlin. 3-year position @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiedatascience.bsky.social. Pursue your own research agenda in data science for public policy - ML/AI, causal inference, computational methods. Questions? Don't hesitate to reach out!
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Katy Morris @katymorris.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
This is great! Municipal population change 1961 - 2024 in 🇪🇺🇬🇧🇨🇭🇳🇴🇮🇸🇱🇮, courtesy of @correctiv.org @fridathurm.bsky.social @adahomolova.bsky.social
correctiv.org
Half of Europe’s towns and villages have fewer residents than 60 years ago
A data analysis by CORRECTIV.Europe reveals for the first time that even as Europe’s overall population grows, half of its municipalities are losing inhabitants.
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Adam Scharpf @ascharpf.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
📚 Book Talk am Bodensee 🗓 Do, 23.04.2026 🕖 19:15–20:45 📍 Zeppelin Universität Für alle, die sich für Politik, Geschichte & Autokratien interessieren. Ich freue mich auf den Austausch! Vielen Dank an @debremaria.bsky.social & @steffenhurka.bsky.social für die Einladung. Mehr Infos & Anmeldung: 👇
zu.de
Book Talk | Making a Career in Dictatorship | Zeppelin Universität
The Secret Logic Behind Repression And Coups: Book Talk with Prof Dr Adam Scharpf, University of Copenhagen
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Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
📢 Call for Papers: first Annual Digital Publics Conference 📅 21–23 October 2026 | Digital Society Initiative, University of Zurich 👉 To submit: forms.cloud.microsoft/e/BxVnAMyxNh ❗Deadline for abstract submissions is 31 May 2026❗Acceptance notifications will be sent by early july.
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Lisa Oswald @lfoswaldo.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
New publication 📄 "Little change in a changing landscape: Tracking exposure to untrustworthy news in Germany from 2017 to 2024". So far, my shortest paper - and the first with @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social! Read our brief description of news web browsing @journalqd.bsky.social
journalqd.org
Little change in a changing landscape: Tracking exposure to untrustworthy news in Germany from 2017 to 2024. | Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media
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Philipp Lutscher @plutscher.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
(1/8) New Open Access paper out today in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1017/S147... "The effects of government propaganda in electoral authoritarian regimes: Evidence from Turkey" with @draege.bsky.social & @chknutsen.bsky.social #polisky #socsky #commsky #dictatorsky #OA
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Ben Ansell @benansell.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.
politics.ox.ac.uk
Associate Professorship of Causal and Experimental Methods in Politics and Social Policy
University salary from £58,265 - £77,645 per annum which is inclusive of an Oxford University Weighting of £1,730 p.aPermanent upon completion of a successful review. The review is conducted during th...
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Philipp Lutscher @plutscher.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Looking at the consequences of the US/Israeli war against Iran in cyberspace apparently shows similar patterns of low-tech retaliation cyberattacks as documented in my study on the consequences of US sanctioning events: academic.oup.com/jogss/articl... - www.radware.com/security/thr...
academic.oup.com
Digital Retaliation? Denial-of-Service Attacks after Sanction Events
Abstract. Conventional wisdom expects to see a rise in cyber activities around aggressive foreign policy events. In this article, I test this claim by inve
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Inside IT @inside-it.ch · 18/03/2026
Die Hintermänner von Glassworm wollen Wallets ausrauben, suchen aber auch nach Informationen zu System-Zugängen.
inside-it.ch
Der "Glassworm" treibt immer mehr Unwesen
Vor allem Entwickler werden durch manipulierte Pakete und Extensions auf Github und anderen Repositories gefährdet.
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Laura Bronner @laurabronner.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Who produces hate speech? And how does that matter for content moderation? We show that across different countries and platforms, a relatively small share of users are responsible for a very large share of hate - overall, 5% write 83-100% of hateful content. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
EPSS Travel Grants for 2026 Belfast conference: PhD students & junior scholars @ institutions in European countries that are often underrepresented, can apply for full fee waiver & £500 stipend Apply: lnkd.in/ehXjhCgf Deadline: March 8, 11:59pm GMT. More details: lnkd.in/eZTP5sWR
lnkd.in
LinkedIn
This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn
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Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
🚨 Very insightful thread on a fundamental issue/misunderstanding when we are engaging with LLMs!
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Cas Mudde @casmudde.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
This is a heart wrenching read.
theguardian.com
I am a 15-year-old girl. Let me show you the vile misogyny that confronts me on social media every day | Anonymous
Objectification, hate, rape threats: the politicians debating online abuse mean well, but to truly understand, they need to see what I see
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Deen Freelon @dfreelon.bsky.social · 19/02/2026
Quick PSA for all mid-career academics and above: people may be citing articles with your name on them that don't exist.
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Philine Widmer @phinifa.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
Can feed algorithms shape what people think about politics? Our paper "The Political Effects of X's Feed Algorithm" is out today in Nature and answers "Yes." www.nature.com/articles/s41...
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DIZH @dizh.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
12 neue Projekte werden im 5. Projekt-Call gefördert: von der Intensivstation über das Klassenzimmer bis ins Forensische Institut, von antiken Inschriften bis zu Deepfake-Stimmen. Der 6. Projekt-Call entfällt, die Mittel wurden vorgezogen. Mehr Informationen: www.dizh.uzh.ch/2026/02/18/f...
Gelbe Kachel mit DIZH-Logo. Titel: «Kulturvermittlung: Antike erleben». Projekt Vox Lapidum: Die lateinische Epigraphik-Datenbank EDCS wird um automatische Annotationen, Bilder, 3D-Scans und Metadaten erweitert. Ein dialogisches Interface macht die Geschichte von über 500'000 Inschriften zugänglich – für Forschung, Bildung und Öffentlichkeit.Gelbe Kachel mit DIZH-Logo. Titel: «Gesundheit und medizinische Diagnostik». Drei Projekte: ADAPT zur kinderfreundlichen ADHS-Diagnostik mittels Hirnsignalen und Bewegungsdaten; DiSpLA, erste App zur automatischen Sprachanalyse auf Schweizerdeutsch für die Früherkennung von Demenz und Sprachstörungen; Digitalisierung handschriftlicher Kinderimpfausweise mittels KI-Pipeline.Gelbe Kachel mit DIZH-Logo. Titel: «Intensivmedizin». Drei Projekte: eFICUS zur psychoedukativen Unterstützung von Familien schwerkranker Personen auf der Intensivstation; MERLIN, Multi-Agenten-System für medizinische Echtzeit-Entscheidungen; Delirium DynamiX zur Früherkennung von Delirium mittels lokaler Sprachmodelle und Bayes'scher Netzwerke.Gelbe Kachel mit DIZH-Logo. Titel: «Bildung: Lernende gezielt fördern». Zwei Projekte: LitAI kombiniert Eye-Tracking und KI für adaptive Leseförderung; Chat4All ist ein digitaler Lernassistent zur Förderung von Bildungsgerechtigkeit.
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Claes de Vreese @claesdevreese.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
🚨🚨🚨The Berlin Court of Appeal ruled today that @democracyreporting.bsky.social (DRI) is entitled to publicly available data from X to conduct research on election interference and disinformation on X in connection with the elections in Hungary 🗳️ 🇭🇺 democracy-reporting.org/en/office/EU...
democracy-reporting.org
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Thomas Zeitzoff @zeitzoff.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
A lot of smart people have been in denial about AI for understandable reasons: – the people pitching it can be distasteful – there’s been a ton of snake-oil hype – it’s easier not to reckon with a major disruption
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Ryan Briggs @ryancbriggs.net · 11/02/2026
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
It must be very hard to publish null results
Publication practices in the social sciences act as a filter that favors statistically significant results over null findings. While the problem of selection on significance (SoS) is well-known in theory, it has been difficult to measure its scope empirically, and it has been challenging to determine how selection varies across contexts. In this article, we use large language models to extract granular and validated data on about 100,000 articles published in over 150 political science journals from 2010 to 2024. We show that fewer than 2% of articles that rely on statistical methods report null-only findings in their abstracts, while over 90% of papers highlight significant results. To put these findings in perspective, we develop and calibrate a simple model of publication bias. Across a range of plausible assumptions, we find that statistically significant results are estimated to be one to two orders of magnitude more likely to enter the published record than null results. Leveraging metadata extracted from individual articles, we show that the pattern of strong SoS holds across subfields, journals, methods, and time periods. However, a few factors such as pre-registration and randomized experiments correlate with greater acceptance of null results. We conclude by discussing implications for the field and the potential of our new dataset for investigating other questions about political science.
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Fabio Votta📊🐧 @favstats.eu · 05/02/2026
🚀 dashboardr is out! An #rstats package for building interactive dashboards with tidyverse-style syntax. Launched with a fun hackathon at @ascor.bsky.social (🍕 included). 📦: favstats.github.io/dashboardr/ Big thanks to the dashboardr team, Digicomlab, and @vivifabrien.bsky.social for the logo 🎨
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Enzo Nussio @enzonussio.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
Early-career researchers: we offer a Peace Research Fellowship at @ipz.bsky.social University of Zurich - fully funded, 2-week research visit with the Decades of Peace team. Deadline: March 20 Application details: www.decadesofpeace.com/fellowship August in Zurich may include a swim in the river.
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CIS ETH @ciseth.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
New CIS Position Openings including a Senior Research Coordinator, Postdoc Position with Karsten Donnay in Digital Democracy, and a Postdoc Position in the Political Economy of Low-Carbon Technologies: cis.ethz.ch/news-and-eve...
cis.ethz.ch
Jobs
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Melanie Sauter @melinscribe.bsky.social · 02/02/2026
🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨 7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers. Free of charge (limited travel support). Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org #methodsky #polisky
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Sol Messing @solmg.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Last week the story was that TikTok censored anti-Trump/ICE/Pretti videos after the U.S. ownership change. We investigated with a large set of US TikTok data and found some interesting results, short thread...
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Joshua Tucker @jatucker.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
Was TikTok blocking certain political posts last week? We investigated & found no systematic evidence of political censorship on TT post-restructuring at this point. A server outage better explains the data. But the story isn't over, and platforms need to provide the public more transparency.
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Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 03/02/2026
⬇️ Please repost in your networks, thank you! @csmapnyu.org @jatucker.bsky.social @solmg.bsky.social @henryhenryhenry.com @benansell.bsky.social @nachristakis.bsky.social @dingdingpeng.the100.ci @claesdevreese.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social @fil.bsky.social
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Andrew Perfors @perfors.net · 01/02/2026
I am really angry about all of the scientists who cozied up to Epstein even after it was known who he was. I am nearly as angry at how many people are justifying this as "they had to, it's how academia works" NO IT FUCKING WELL ISN'T
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Karsten Donnay @karstendonnay.bsky.social · 31/01/2026
🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...
ipz.uzh.ch
Offene Stellen / Open Positions
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 30/01/2026
#OpenAccess from @polanalysis.bsky.social - Potential and Pitfalls of Audio as Data for Political Research: Alignment, Features, and Classification Models - cup.org/4t9JG1r - @r-mestre.bsky.social & Matt Ryan #FirstView
Red and yellow image with the text "Political Analysis" in white and "#OpenAccess" in red.
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IPZ - Political Science UZH @ipz.bsky.social · 30/01/2026
At his year's annual CIS Colloquium, researchers from @ipz.bsky.social and @ciseth.bsky.social presented their latest work, showcasing the vital role of political science in developing multidisciplinary responses to today's complex global challenges.
A presenter talking in front a presentation.
A group photo of the professors from UZH's IPZ and ETH's CIS.A photo of the audience filling up the room.
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 23/01/2026
#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social - Improving hate speech detection with large language models - cup.org/3YYVnKy - @nataliaumansky.bsky.social, @maelkubli.bsky.social, Kotarcic, Bronner, Kurer, Grech, Hangartner, Gilardi & @karstendonnay.bsky.social #FirstView #LLM
Promotional banner for the European Journal of Political Research, available on Cambridge Core, featuring the Cambridge University Press logo.
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Dr Sanjana Hattotuwa @sanjanah.bsky.social · 15/01/2026
Fascinating that NZ's FM publicly lectures RBNZ Governor about respecting statutory independence whilst simultaneously demonstrating precisely why central bankers worldwide felt compelled to defend institutional independence from political interference! The irony has clearly stayed in its own lane.
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Cambridge University Press Political Science & IR @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org · 02/01/2026
#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Media effects revisited: corporate scandals, partisan narratives, and attitudes toward cryptocurrency regulation - cup.org/4jn9aUE - Pepper D. Culpepper, Taeku Lee & Ryan Shandler #FirstView
Logo of Political Science Research and Methods featuring the initials "PSRM" in a stylized grey font on a black background.
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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 30/12/2025
✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech? ➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView
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