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Paweł Tokarski

@tokarski.bsky.social
809 followers 372 following 428 posts

Head of EU/Europe Division @SWPBerlin At the intersection of #Eurozone, EU politics, and the digital economy PhD in economics Personal views

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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In case anyone hasn’t noticed: both of Europe’s regional nuclear powers: France and the UK, are caught in a spiral of political and social crisis, sliding toward a public finance emergency. Not a great sign for European security.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
In case anyone hasn’t noticed: both of Europe’s regional nuclear powers: France and the UK, are caught in a spiral of political and social crisis, sliding toward a public finance emergency. Not a great sign for European security.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
PubAffairs EU Debates, News & Opinions 🇪🇺 @pubaffairsbruxelles.eu · 14/09/2026
[Opinion] #Eurozone: Political instability meets fiscal limits: Is France the Euro’s next big stress test?, by @tokarski.bsky.social | @swp-berlin.org @swp-europe.bsky.social www.pubaffairsbruxelles.eu/opinion-anal...
pubaffairsbruxelles.eu
Political instability meets fiscal limits: Is France the Euro’s next big stress test? - PubAffairs Bruxelles
Caught in a vice of political gridlock, weak economic growth and rising borrowing costs, France is increasingly exposed to shifts in market sentiment. The implications extend far beyond Paris, posing ...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
US fiscal troubles and rising inflation are driving up global borrowing costs. In my latest article, I explain why Europe needs to keep a close eye on France and how its growing debt could test the entire eurozone. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
swp-berlin.org
Political Instability Meets Fiscal Limits: Is France the Euro’s Next Big Stress Test?
Caught in a vice of political gridlock, weak economic growth and rising borrowing costs, France is increasingly exposed to shifts in market...
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
US fiscal troubles and rising inflation are driving up global borrowing costs. In my latest article, I explain why Europe needs to keep a close eye on France and how its growing debt could test the entire eurozone. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
swp-berlin.org
Political Instability Meets Fiscal Limits: Is France the Euro’s Next Big Stress Test?
Caught in a vice of political gridlock, weak economic growth and rising borrowing costs, France is increasingly exposed to shifts in market...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Do you check what you read online? The data from Hungary is fascinating. Has Orbán’s propaganda actually forced people to be more cautious about the news they consume? Meanwhile, the result in Greece is alarming. ec.europa.eu/eurostat/dat...
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Do you check what you read online? The data from Hungary is fascinating. Has Orbán’s propaganda actually forced people to be more cautious about the news they consume? Meanwhile, the result in Greece is alarming. ec.europa.eu/eurostat/dat...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 07/09/2026
Politische Krise, instabile Staatsfinanzen, wirtschaftliche Schwäche und steigende Schuldendienstkosten: In einem neuen »Kurz gesagt« erklärt @tokarski.bsky.social @swp-europe.bsky.social, warum Frankreich zum Stresstest für die Eurozone werden könnte. www.swp-berlin.org/publikation/...
swp-berlin.org
Wahlfieber und Schuldenlast: Frankreich als Stresstest für den Euro
Tiefe politische Krise, instabile Staatsfinanzen, wirtschaftliche Schwäche und steigende Schuldendienstkosten: Frankreich wird zunehmend...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 15/07/2026
The State Department has just put out a tender, offering funding of up to $3 million to European organizations who want to fight against "Supra-national institutions" - presumably the EU - and governments who seek to regulate the internet and end Western Civilization. www.state.gov/drl-nofo-dev...
state.gov
DRL NOFO Developing Civilizational Bonds, Democratic Resilience, and Rule of Law in Europe - United States Department of State
Notice of Funding Opportunity (NOFO)Developing Civilizational Bonds, Democratic Resilience, and Rule of Law in EuropeBureau of Democracy Human Rights and Labor, Department of StateOpportunity number: ...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
SWP Europe @swp-europe.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
🇪🇺 🔔 Ab heute gibt es eine neue Leitung in der SWP-Forschungsgruppe EU/Europa: @tokarski.bsky.social übernimmt von @nvondarza.bsky.social. Wir freuen uns auf die nächsten vier Jahre mit Paweł – und danken Nicolai sehr für seine engagierte Arbeit.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
SWP Europe @swp-europe.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
🇪🇺 🔔 Starting today, there is a new head of the SWP EU/Europe Research Division: @tokarski.bsky.social is taking over from @nvondarza.bsky.social. We look forward to the next four years with Paweł – and thank Nicolai very much for his dedicated work.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Starting today, I am taking on the role of Head of the EU/Europe Research Division at the SWP. I am truly honored to lead and work alongside one of the most experienced teams of EU analysts. On this profile, I will be sharing updates on our research, key projects, and publications. Stay tuned!
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
Starting today, I am taking on the role of Head of the EU/Europe Research Division at the SWP. I am truly honored to lead and work alongside one of the most experienced teams of EU analysts. On this profile, I will be sharing updates on our research, key projects, and publications. Stay tuned!
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
CNBC @cnbc.com · 10/07/2026
The Tech Download: Teen social media bans are missing one big piece — AI chatbots
cnb.cx
The Tech Download: Teen social media bans are missing one big piece — AI chatbots
Teenagers are increasingly becoming dependent on AI chatbots, echoing a familiar problem with social media in the 2010s.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) @swp-berlin.org · 09/07/2026
Gerichtsurteil in Frankreich: Marine Le Pen wurde verurteilt, darf aber bei der Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 antreten. Das ist ein Sieg für sie, sagt Ronja Kempin. Dennoch will Le Pen das Urteil anfechten, um nicht als Straftäterin mit Fußfessel Wahlkampf machen zu müssen. www1.wdr.de/mediathek/au...
www1.wdr.de
Urteil gegen Marine Le Pen: "Ein Sieg"
Die französische Politikerin Marine Le Pen ist zu einem Jahr Hausarrest mit Fußfessel verurteilt worden – darf aber bei der Präsidentschaftswahl 2027 antreten. Für Le Pen sei das ein Erfolg, sagt Ronj...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Bernd Hüttemann 🇪🇺 @huettemann.eu · 07/07/2026
😎 @tokarski.bsky.social is gonna be the new @nvondarza.bsky.social @swp-europe.bsky.social? take it easy, follow both... smart watchdogs for #DEinEU 🇪🇺🇩🇪🇪🇺
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
France’s fiscal outlook worsens as Q1 2026 data shows public debt maintaining its upward trajectory. Total debt has reached a massive €3.5T, exceeding 117% of GDP. As debt servicing costs surge, France faces a serious financial problems.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 25/06/2026
France’s fiscal outlook worsens as Q1 2026 data shows public debt maintaining its upward trajectory. Total debt has reached a massive €3.5T, exceeding 117% of GDP. As debt servicing costs surge, France faces a serious financial problems.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
John Adams, the 2nd US President, was a scholar in an era of widespread illiteracy, fluent in Latin, Greek, French, and Dutch. Today, with the world's knowledge at our fingertips, the 45th/47th US President organizes UFC fights at the White House. What went wrong? www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Trump hosts UFC fights on White House lawn
Justin Gaethje beat Ilia Topuria to win the lightweight championship in the main event.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
John Adams, the 2nd US President, was a scholar in an era of widespread illiteracy, fluent in Latin, Greek, French, and Dutch. Today, with the world's knowledge at our fingertips, the 45th/47th US President organizes UFC fights at the White House. What went wrong? www.bbc.com/news/article...
bbc.com
Trump hosts UFC fights on White House lawn
Justin Gaethje beat Ilia Topuria to win the lightweight championship in the main event.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Electric vehicles accounted for 25% of all new car registrations in Germany in May 2026. The market share of battery-electric vehicles continues to grow alongside hybrid models.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Electric vehicles accounted for 25% of all new car registrations in Germany in May 2026. The market share of battery-electric vehicles continues to grow alongside hybrid models.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Tether stores most of its gold reserves in a dedicated vault in Switzerland. Does the world's largest issuer of the USD-pegged stablecoin have concerns about the future regulatory environment in the United States?
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Tether stores most of its gold reserves in a dedicated vault in Switzerland. Does the world's largest issuer of the USD-pegged stablecoin have concerns about the future regulatory environment in the United States?
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Poland led the world in #gold purchases among central banks in 2025. Interestingly, #Tether, a private stablecoin issuer, secured the largest amount of gold globally. Source: #ECB
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Poland led the world in #gold purchases among central banks in 2025. Interestingly, #Tether, a private stablecoin issuer, secured the largest amount of gold globally. Source: #ECB
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
The first Polish F-35 Lightning II aircraft have officially arrived in Poland.This is not merely symbolic. It is a generational leap forward in 5th-generation combat capability, strengthening NATO and the EU’s eastern flank. tvpworld.com/93403405/his...
tvpworld.com
First F-35 fighter jets land in Poland, bolstering NATO’s eastern flank
The F-35 is widely regarded as one of the most advanced combat aircraft ever built.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 26/05/2026
The first Polish F-35 Lightning II aircraft have officially arrived in Poland.This is not merely symbolic. It is a generational leap forward in 5th-generation combat capability, strengthening NATO and the EU’s eastern flank. tvpworld.com/93403405/his...
tvpworld.com
First F-35 fighter jets land in Poland, bolstering NATO’s eastern flank
The F-35 is widely regarded as one of the most advanced combat aircraft ever built.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Pleased to share my insights on the retail digital euro in this article by the prestigious German outlet Table.Media. We discussed why it currently offers little added value for consumers and why banks are pushing back. Read more: table.media/ceo/executiv...
table.media
Digitaler Euro: Kaum Mehrwert für Verbraucher, Banken wehren sich
Unter Druck der Banken hat die EZB ihr Projekt deutlich zurückgefahren. Für Verbraucher bietet der digitale Euro kaum Mehrwert, während die Kreditwirtschaft vor allem die hohen Einführungskosten kriti...
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Pleased to share my insights on the retail digital euro in this article by the prestigious German outlet Table.Media. We discussed why it currently offers little added value for consumers and why banks are pushing back. Read more: table.media/ceo/executiv...
table.media
Digitaler Euro: Kaum Mehrwert für Verbraucher, Banken wehren sich
Unter Druck der Banken hat die EZB ihr Projekt deutlich zurückgefahren. Für Verbraucher bietet der digitale Euro kaum Mehrwert, während die Kreditwirtschaft vor allem die hohen Einführungskosten kriti...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
It’s incredible how quickly the US is turning into a banana republic. www.ft.com/content/5733...
ft.com
Donald Trump and sons granted ‘forever’ immunity from existing tax audits
Justice department deal comes day after government set up $1.8bn fund to pay president’s allies hit by alleged ‘lawfare’
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
It’s incredible how quickly the US is turning into a banana republic. www.ft.com/content/5733...
ft.com
Donald Trump and sons granted ‘forever’ immunity from existing tax audits
Justice department deal comes day after government set up $1.8bn fund to pay president’s allies hit by alleged ‘lawfare’
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
It is interesting that virtually no one in the non-eurozone EU countries seems to realise that this carries the risk of them being marginalised within Europe’s new financial architecture.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
It is interesting that virtually no one in the non-eurozone EU countries seems to realise that this carries the risk of them being marginalised within Europe’s new financial architecture.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
The roots of modern automotive cooperation in Europe: the Sevel joint venture, established in 1978. It integrated production for several iconic models, including the FiatDucato, PeugeotJ5, CitroënC25. Many of these remain on the road as vintage campers. lautomobileancienne.com/c25-j5-ducat...
lautomobileancienne.com
C25, J5, Ducato... Les jumeaux de Sevel - l'Automobile Ancienne
Après une coopération fructueuse entre Citroën et Fiat dans le monde de l’utilitaire avec les clones Citroën C35 et Fiat 232, les acteurs décident de continuer dans cette voie malgré le rachat de Citr...
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
One design, several different badges. Is this the future of the automotive industry in Europe? This is the power of "badge engineering" – a trend pioneered by Fiat and PSA back in the late 1970s. Benefits: Economies of scale, shared R&D and production costs, simplified service and logistics.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
One design, several different badges. Is this the future of the automotive industry in Europe? This is the power of "badge engineering" – a trend pioneered by Fiat and PSA back in the late 1970s. Benefits: Economies of scale, shared R&D and production costs, simplified service and logistics.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
It looks as the UK needs the infamous Troika.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
It looks as the UK needs the infamous Troika.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Hungary wants to be at the heart of Europe:
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Hungary’s new finance minister has confirmed the aim of adopting the euro. It will not be an easy path given the state of public finances. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Hungary to Meet Euro Criteria by 2030, New Finance Minister Says
Hungary’s next finance minister pledged to meet all criteria for euro adoption within four years as part of a “radical” economic policy shift after Viktor Orban’s 16-year rule.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Hungary’s new finance minister has confirmed the aim of adopting the euro. It will not be an easy path given the state of public finances. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Hungary to Meet Euro Criteria by 2030, New Finance Minister Says
Hungary’s next finance minister pledged to meet all criteria for euro adoption within four years as part of a “radical” economic policy shift after Viktor Orban’s 16-year rule.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Lagarde’s 8 May speech highlights Project Pontes: from September, the ECB will enable DLT-based wholesale transactions to settle in central bank money via TARGET. It reflects Europe’s cautious, infrastructure-first approach to tokenised finance. www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/da...
ecb.europa.eu
Stablecoins and the future of money: separating functions from instruments
The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank of the European Union countries which have adopted the euro. Our main task is to maintain price stability in the euro area and so preserve the purch...
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 12/05/2026
Lagarde’s 8 May speech highlights Project Pontes: from September, the ECB will enable DLT-based wholesale transactions to settle in central bank money via TARGET. It reflects Europe’s cautious, infrastructure-first approach to tokenised finance. www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/da...
ecb.europa.eu
Stablecoins and the future of money: separating functions from instruments
The European Central Bank (ECB) is the central bank of the European Union countries which have adopted the euro. Our main task is to maintain price stability in the euro area and so preserve the purch...
054
Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Anyone who followed UniCredit’s management of its Polish subsidiary Bank Pekao S.A. during and after the financial crisis will probably understand why cross-border banking integration still raises questions in some countries.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Anyone who followed UniCredit’s management of its Polish subsidiary Bank Pekao S.A. during and after the financial crisis will probably understand why cross-border banking integration still raises questions in some countries.
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
It’s not hard to understand why Germany is uneasy about takeover of Commerzbank. Strategic decisions in these cross-border banking groups are driven by the interest of the parent company’s capital position, not necessarily the economies where subsidiaries operate. www.ft.com/content/983a...
ft.com
Top ECB official attacks German opposition to UniCredit’s bid for Commerzbank
Central bank’s outgoing vice-president Luis de Guindos says Berlin’s intervention goes ‘against spirit of single market’
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
It’s not hard to understand why Germany is uneasy about takeover of Commerzbank. Strategic decisions in these cross-border banking groups are driven by the interest of the parent company’s capital position, not necessarily the economies where subsidiaries operate. www.ft.com/content/983a...
ft.com
Top ECB official attacks German opposition to UniCredit’s bid for Commerzbank
Central bank’s outgoing vice-president Luis de Guindos says Berlin’s intervention goes ‘against spirit of single market’
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Reposted by Paweł Tokarski
Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Trump providing shelter to a disgraced Polish official who spied on political opponents with Pegasus spyware and pushed for Polexit is a chilling signal. Is America becoming a retirement home for Europe's most compromised politicians? www.politico.eu/article/ex-p...
politico.eu
Former Polish Justice Minister Ziobro flees to US
Zbigniew Ziobro is wanted in Poland over the alleged misuse of public funds and the deployment of Pegasus spyware against political opponents.
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Paweł Tokarski @tokarski.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
Trump providing shelter to a disgraced Polish official who spied on political opponents with Pegasus spyware and pushed for Polexit is a chilling signal. Is America becoming a retirement home for Europe's most compromised politicians? www.politico.eu/article/ex-p...
politico.eu
Former Polish Justice Minister Ziobro flees to US
Zbigniew Ziobro is wanted in Poland over the alleged misuse of public funds and the deployment of Pegasus spyware against political opponents.
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