Reposted by Chris ClarkeIan Dunt @iandunt.bsky.social · 23/09/2026This week on Origin Story: The life & ideas of John Rawls, the most celebrated liberal philosopher of the post-war period. These are some of the most beautiful arguments in progressive thought. We do it as a one hour crash course. Everything you need to know. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/j... 2641598
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 21/09/20261/ Why did things implode so dismally for Keir Starmer’s govt? I worked for Labour in the years running up to GE 2024 and have since puzzled over this question. Last week I published two pieces, asking ‘what we wrong’. I added a third, expanding on economic fairness – a key theme from the first two. 73513
Reposted by Chris ClarkeClaire Ainsley @claire-ainsley.bsky.social · 17/09/2026Who can beat Marine Le Pen? @deborahmattinson.bsky.social presented our latest research w/ @warringfictions.bsky.social for PPI in Paris this week - www.progressivepolicy.org/build-back-b... Previewed in The Economist: www.economist.com/europe/2026/...progressivepolicy.orgBuild Back Belief: France Update - Progressive Policy InstituteRESEARCH SUMMARY The National Rally in France continues to be in pole position for the next Presidential election in 2027 – whether led by Le Pen or Jordan Bardella. While Le Pen is most known, Bardel... 002
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Andy Burnham's first #PMQs prompted some debate about whether 'problem-solving over point-scoring' is really possible. Was his 'kumbaya' version of politics naive or hypocritical? Below is my list of political practices which cross the line and fail the 'country before party' test... 112
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 17/08/2026Last week myself and Pete Starkings published the below piece for @labourlist.bsky.social (with thanks to @emmaburnell.bsky.social): labourlist.org/2026/08/to-l... It described our research, supported by Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, into the issue of flags and 'Operation Raise the Colours'.labourlist.org'To learn from the flag debate we have to understand values' - LabourListLabour councils cannot cede English identity to the far-right but nor can they ignore intimidation or allow provocation. 001
Reposted by Chris ClarkeLabourList @labourlist.bsky.social · 14/08/2026💬 ‘To learn from the flag debate we have to understand values’ Read now 👇 labourlist.org/2026/08/to-l...labourlist.org‘To learn from the flag debate we have to understand values’ – LabourListRecent events in Birmingham illustrate the political trap that disputes over flags can create for Labour councils. The Guardian reported that the council’s failure to… 745
Reposted by Chris ClarkeClaire Ainsley @claire-ainsley.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Labour’s relationship with working-class voters is in peril - new research with @deborahmattinson.bsky.social for PPI in @theobserveruk.bsky.social Andy Burnham can build on his reputation as “someone who gets things done” but he will need to act fast. observer.co.uk/news/politic...observer.co.ukWhy working-class voters have turned their backs on LabourOur polling reveals a sense of despair among a group we call the ‘worried workers’. Here is how Burnham can allay their fears 123
Reposted by Chris ClarkeStefan Sasse @stefansasse.bsky.social · 15/07/2026Ich habe die großartige Artikelserie "Notes on Trust" von @warringfictions.bsky.social übersetzt. Die ersten drei Teile sind online: Scheinerklärungen (www.deliberationdaily.de/2026/07/anme...) /1deliberationdaily.deAnmerkungen zum Vertrauen - Scheinerklärungen - Deliberation DailyAnmerkungen zum Vertrauen - Scheinerklärungen - Deliberation Daily ist ein führendes Debattenblog für Politik, Gesellschaft und Wirtschaft. 111
Reposted by Chris ClarkeStefan Sasse @stefansasse.bsky.social · 14/07/2026Bohrleute Spezial 5 - Notes on Trust, mit @warringfictions.bsky.social open.spotify.com/episode/4GQF...open.spotify.comBohrleute Spezial 5 - Notes on Trust, mit Chris ClarkeBohrleute · Episode 021
Reposted by Chris ClarkePete Miles @petermiles.eurosky.social · 03/07/2026Fascinating insights here on which voters favour leaders with "the so-called ‘dark triad’ of personality traits – sub-clinical psychopathy, Machiavellianism and narcissism." And their reason for doing so - essentially that they think these traits are necessary to 'get things done'. 022
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 03/07/20261/ I have done a new article on leadership styles and ‘Southgate-ism’: parables.substack.com/p/getting-th...parables.substack.com‘Getting Things Done’Southgate, leadership, and the Gordian Knot 131
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 22/06/2026Really pleased to see 'Notes on Trust' mentioned by @andrewsparrowgdn.bsky.social on Guardian #PoliticsLive this morning (8:58): shorturl.at/6AnIa The first in the series looks at four Red Herring explanations for falling trust. It can be read here: parables.substack.com/p/notes-on-t...shorturl.atStarmer resigns as prime minister as Streeting backs Burnham for leadership - UK politics liveThe prime minister said a new leader will be in place before parliament returns in September 023
Reposted by Chris ClarkeRobert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 21/06/2026For Fathers' Day, Keir Starmer posts a photo of his own father, who died in 2018, and a non-political message. The replies are a torrent of vitriol & cruelty, all with hundreds of Likes. We complain a lot about the quality of leadership, but there's a huge problem with the way we treat politicians 1682622478
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 18/06/2026I published Notes on Trust last week, exploring anti-politics. It quotes various research, including by @drjennings.bsky.social & @harryqp.bsky.social As polling closes in #Makerfield, a byelection where “white rage is in the air” according to @willdunn.bsky.social, I’m just re-upping the thread. 000
Reposted by Chris ClarkeChris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 14/06/2026This is a fascinating topic. I did an article in 2022, suggesting three factors that explain the rise of ‘reverse aspiration’: a society which is increasingly egalitarian, an economy which has become more unequal, and a culture which is more individualistic/ meritocratic… unherd.com/2022/12/why-...unherd.comWhy do we pretend to be working-class?Progressives are tormented by reverse aspiration 011
Reposted by Chris ClarkeSam Alvis @samalvis.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Really enjoyed these. Few unconnected reflections having spent some time on this issue 1. public consistently ask for long form communication from politicians. Social I think is a dead end for ‘elected’ officials or government. You need other people on there doing politics but ministers? Not sure 134
Reposted by Chris ClarkeDaniel @daniel12345.bsky.social · 12/06/2026It could be interesting to compare "local news deserts" with places where local news still exist My impression in Germany is that we basically have an incumbent disadvantage on the national level But we do still have an incumbent advantage on the local level, especially if they run as independents 011
Reposted by Chris Clarkebenshimshon.bsky.social @benshimshon.bsky.social · 12/06/2026These articles, and the previous Substack post about the two deprivations are just so valuable. 111
Reposted by Chris Clarke#1 Shoup Fan @oneshoup.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Great articles! IMO this is also very true for urban US politics, people apparently had higher trust in their civic leaders when their houses were getting demolished for highways and every cop was being bribed. It’s never been easier to get info about urban politics, & it’s made people miserable 282
Reposted by Chris ClarkeMorgan Jones @morganj0nes.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Found these articles – particularly one and two – really excellent in summing up a lot of things I've been thinking about in the last few years. 121
Reposted by Chris ClarkeMorgan Jones @morganj0nes.bsky.social · 12/06/2026I wrote something about my thoughts on this last year (forgive the horrible war-on-paragraphs style here, not my choice) labourlist.org/2025/07/labo...labourlist.org'One year on, Labour still hasn't reckoned with collapsing trust in politics' - LabourListI spent the general election campaign travelling the country for LabourList, visiting marginal seats, talking to candidates and knocking… 222
Reposted by Chris ClarkeNick of the Northbank @nicktheinventor.bsky.social · 12/06/2026A must read thread 021
Reposted by Chris ClarkeRob Ford @robfordmancs.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Fascinating stuff here from Chris whose substack is well worth signing up to 2155
Reposted by Chris ClarkeThread Reader by Skywriter | unroller @unroll.skywriter.blue · 12/06/2026The thread as a shareable webpage: skywriter.blue/@warringfictions.bsk… 001
Reposted by Chris ClarkeDr Christine Cheng @christinecheng.bsky.social · 12/06/2026@warringfictions.bsky.social explores the many reasons why British citizens have gradually stopped trusting politicians. But he offers antidote: The Country-Before-Party test! I’d love to see politicians create a voluntary code of conduct based on these values. Let’s call it the Good Faith Code. 001
Reposted by Chris ClarkeMarios Richards @mariosrichards.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Great thread on the decline in political trust in the UK (red herring explanations & credible ones). I'll add my pet theory - not wholly unrelated to cause 1&2 - that the presence of Radical Right parties/politicians *not excluded from the centre-right ecosystem* pushes down trust ... 121
Reposted by Chris ClarkePete Miles @petermiles.eurosky.social · 12/06/2026I think any current or aspiring political leader should be aware of this thread... 012
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 12/06/20261/ I have written a series of articles this week, ‘Notes on Trust’, about where cynicism towards politicians comes from. The below chart, which I shared last year, was the thing which initially prompted me to write the piece. I just want to set out some of the key arguments here… 23924
Reposted by Chris ClarkeTim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 10/06/2026Really enjoying these thought-provoking parables.substack.com posts on trust from @warringfictions.bsky.social Latest one's here: parables.substack.com/p/notes-on-t... 261
Reposted by Chris ClarkeTim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 10/06/2026"If high exposure reduces democratic trust then the implication, by extension, is that a absolute exposure will reduce faith in our leaders absolutely. The 24-hour press and the social media age could grind trust down to nil unless politicians learn to respond in better ways." 071
Reposted by Chris ClarkePete Miles @petermiles.eurosky.social · 09/06/2026Trust (lack of) in politics - Chris Clarke proposes four root causes: - the decline of social deference - increased exposure, information and scrutiny - the decline of universally trusted information sources - the heterogeneous society open.substack.com/pub/parables...open.substack.comNotes on trust #2Root causes 104
Reposted by Chris ClarkePete Miles @petermiles.eurosky.social · 08/06/2026Chris Clarke ( @warringfictions.bsky.social) with a persuasive argument here that the loss of trust in our politicians is not for the reasons you think. open.substack.com/pub/parables...open.substack.comNotes on trust #1Red herrings 103
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 28/05/2026Really delighted to see this argument written up by @anooshc.bsky.social for the New Statesman this week: www.newstatesman.com/politics/uk-... The original analysis is here: parables.substack.com/p/the-two-de... 072
Reposted by Chris ClarkeAnoosh Chakelian @anooshc.bsky.social · 26/05/2026A tale of two Broken Britains - my piece on the parallel worlds fuelling different forms of populism, feat. @warringfictions.bsky.social's revealing local election results analysis:newstatesman.comAlarm clock Britain: a tale of two deprivationsDifferent kinds of deprivation fuel Reform and the Greens 032
Reposted by Chris ClarkeAnoosh Chakelian @anooshc.bsky.social · 25/05/2026A tale of Two Deprivations - my piece on fascinating analysis of the local election results that finds two very different Broken Britains. With thanks to Chris Clarke, and Citizens Advice:newstatesman.comAlarm clock Britain: a tale of two deprivationsDifferent kinds of deprivation fuel Reform and the Greens 076
Reposted by Chris ClarkeSteve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 14/05/2026That's a short thread - there is a ton more graphs (80+! (yes i almost lost my mind)) in the full deck, lots of stuff on each nation. You can get it here: persuasionuk.org/research/may... Thanks to @yougov.co.uk, others who contributed and @anooshc.bsky.social for featuring it in her latest columnpersuasionuk.orgMay 2026 elections analysis: England, Scotland and WalesWhat influenced voters in this year's local and devolved elections? 1154
Chris Clarke @warringfictions.bsky.social · 12/05/2026With everything going on in the news this week am just re-upping my paper from back in October, Putting Down the Vase. I think that much of it still stands. 010
Reposted by Chris ClarkeCllr Matt Dent @cllrdent.bsky.social · 08/05/2026A very tired thank you to the voters of #KursaalWard for re-electing me as their councillor! 2151
Reposted by Chris ClarkePhilip Cowley @philipjcowley.bsky.social · 13/03/2026This bit from Hannah Spencer's maiden speech struck me. On one level, it's just the sort of flimflam people say in maiden speeches or on the campaign trail. But it implies there are bits of the country where these things are not true. Where in the UK do we not see each other as human? 25358
Reposted by Chris ClarkeJohn Rentoul @rentouljohn.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Should Labour move left or right? It’s the wrong question, says Patrick English patrickenglish.substack.com/p/should-lab...patrickenglish.substack.comShould Labour move left or right?Neither? The situation Labour face today looks so similar to that which faced the Conservatives in 2024. 174
Reposted by Chris ClarkeAnoosh Chakelian @anooshc.bsky.social · 09/03/2026Really interesting re Reform's benefits messaging that Reform tend to overperform in seats ranked higher for worklessness and Greens in seats with more in-work poverty. By @warringfictions.bsky.socialparables.substack.comThe Two DeprivationsAre poorer constituencies going green or turquoise? 23710
Reposted by Chris ClarkePete Miles @petermiles.eurosky.social · 08/03/2026This analysis of UK voting patterns by studying different forms of deprivation is fascinating and provides an explanation for Labour's Green/Reform dilemma. It's the work of Chris Clarke, doing the job of an entire think-tank here. @warringfictions.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/parables...open.substack.comThe Two DeprivationsAre poorer constituencies going green or turquoise? 211
Reposted by Chris ClarkeJane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 07/03/2026Here @chriscurtis94.bsky.social tells the sequence, thinking and analysis actually behind ‘hero voters’, inc. how my research @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social on economic insecurity w/ @rosedegeus.bsky.social informed understanding of the economic basis of electoral coalitions pre-2024. 3248
Reposted by Chris ClarkeChris Curtis MP @chriscurtis94.bsky.social · 07/03/2026Have been a bit frustrated by some of the conversation about Labour's voter coalition. I've written about who the "Hero Voters" actually were, how we won them, and what we need to do to earn their support next time. chriscurtismk.substack.com/p/who-actual...chriscurtismk.substack.comWho actually were the Hero Voters?Labour won in 2024 because of economically insecure voters, not social conservatism. 5217068
Reposted by Chris ClarkeLuke Tryl @luketryl.bsky.social · 08/03/2026Worth reading by @chriscurtis94.bsky.social. Abundantly clear to anyone that spends a cursory amount of time on public opinion that economic insecurity, exacerbated 10x by cost of living crisis is driving political force of our time, fuelling Labour’s woes chriscurtismk.substack.com/p/who-actual... 158828
Reposted by Chris ClarkeSunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 06/03/2026I think there is a vg case for the Alternative Vote (pluralist majoritarianism) UK's evolving party system - not least as of balanced use for voters on different sides of political spectrum. It allows sincere voting by every voter + strategic choices by those who care www.ft.com/content/38d8...ft.comIt’s time to end Britain’s first-past-the-post election lotteryThe Gorton and Denton by-election confirmed just how capricious our electoral system has become 2827681
Reposted by Chris ClarkeSteve Akehurst @steveakehurst.bsky.social · 05/03/2026NEW: After Gorton & Denton, how should we understand the threat to Labour's left? Big new @persuasionuk.bsky.social report out with @38degrees.bsky.social on 'progressive defectors' - Lab 2024 switchers to Greens, Plaid, SNP, Lib Dems. Who are they, who are they not & what's moving them? 🧵 49448
Reposted by Chris ClarkeTim Bale @timbale.bsky.social · 06/03/2026The Two Deprivations open.substack.com/pub/parables...open.substack.comThe Two DeprivationsAre poorer constituencies going green of turquoise? 43512