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wapoliticalyapper.bsky.social

@wapoliticalyapper.bsky.social
69 followers 79 following 317 posts

Leftist from WA. Queer AF. Every couple years I find myself unable to resist yapping about elections and politics. Looks like 2026 is not the year for that to change.

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PlayfulPiano (he/him) @playfulpiano.bsky.social · 58m
wait AES is +1 and Rogers is -12 on favorable ratings LOL
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 47m
Total Belt to Ass in Michigan for the Democrats in Marist #MISen Abdul El-Sayed 51% Mike Rogers 44% Democrats have a +9 advantage on the generic ballot in Michigan #MIGov Benson 53% John James 41% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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Jacob Smith @jacobfhsmith.bsky.social · 1h
Marist has AES +7, Benson +12 maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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YouGov America @today.yougov.com · 3h
NEW Economist/YouGov Net job approval for the president at this stage of... • Trump's current term -27 (low -29; start +6) • Biden's presidency -9 • Trump's first term -9 yougov.com/en-us/articl...
A line chart of YouGov polling data with the headline: "Net job approval among U.S. adult citizens in Trump's first term, Biden's term, and Trump's second term."

The chart has the sub-headline: "Do you approve or disapprove of the way [Joe Biden / Donald Trump] is handling his job as President? (% of U.S. adult citizens who strongly or somewhat approve minus the % who strongly or somewhat disapprove)."

The chart has the note: "Note: Responses of "not sure" are not shown. Data for Sept. 26 - Nov. 14, 2020 is among registered voters only."
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 3h
The Kennedy holding up the sign makes it for me. They thought this was their ace in the hole. They thought they had him dead to rights. Then… poof
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 4h
@tomperriello.bsky.social Hey Perriello folks, you should tell your boss to run an ad about John McGuire being the only vote in the Virginia legislature AGAINST banning child marriage. Seeing a lot of great ads calling out GOP creeps, why not go for the jugular on your opponent? Rooting for you!
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 4h
This was planned as Schmitt’s big day, with a “national ambitions trial balloon” in national media. Instead it’s ending like this.
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 5h
lucky us getting another Harvard / Harris Poll "Trump approval falls back to its low of 42%" (actual quote inside report) 15% of Dems approve of him mhm 41% of 18-24 approve??? ahhhh here we are, real comedy hour. Black approval: 34-60. meanwhile white approval is 45-52 lol Incredible stuff
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 5h
harvard/harrisx just put out EVEN RV, D+2 LV GCB LMAOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
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Marist Poll @maristpoll.bsky.social · 6h
Coming at midnight! Brand-new numbers in the contests for Senate and Governor. AND... how are Michigan voters factoring President Trump into their congressional votes? maristpoll.com/latest-polls
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 6h
Good lord. Most brutal attack ad I’ve seen this cycle
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Joe Sonka 😐 @joesonka.lpm.org · 7h
UVA Center for Politics just moved Kentucky’s R+15 congressional district to Lean Republican. Back in July it was Safe Republican, it’s shifted towards Democrats twice now. #ky06
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Andrew Palmer @andrewp97.bsky.social · 7h
since this race will be one of the first called, it’s a sign on election night for how things will go the rest of the night (not good for gop lol)
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 7h
Harry Enten polling aggregates on CNN Economic Approval with Voters under 30: Trust on the Economy, Trump vs Harris 2024: Trump+11 Economic Approval Now: Trump-62 Swing: -73. -62 is 19 - 81
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Troy Jackson @troyjackson207.bsky.social · 8h
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 8h
Lisa Murkowski (R) even encouraged her to run for governor, according to two sources familiar with the conversations. Murkowski endorsed Dan Sullivan in the Senate race but she has not taken an active role in campaigning for him. #AKSen wapo.st/4yo82H9
wapo.st
$10 for a gallon of gas has red Alaska thinking about a Democratic senator
Mary Peltola hopes to unseat Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in a race all about prices, federal aid and Donald Trump.
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 9h
Crystal Ball has joined in rating VA-02 at Lean D, that's going to be at least a restored 7 D - 4 R US House delegation in Virginia. It's over, if they're saying that already, Kiggans is toast and I can believe that from the ads.
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WildPartyInviteDecliner @ratelimitexceeder.bsky.social · 12h
Virginia early vote check-in. This morning we hit 220,969 votes, 4.9% of 2024's total votes. Democrats are looking at their best early vote performance since 2020. Fluvanna and James City are tied at 11.5% for the highest turnout. Fluvanna is in CD-5 (R+12.2) and James City is in CD-1 (R+3.9).
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 11h
Bruh this is a poll @statenavigate.org is doing of the seat Dems won in the special election in Iowa last year. They will continue to weigh and tweak the numbers but this district voted for Trump by 21
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 10h
ok maybe homie that said the Iowa state leg internal polling is downright apocalyptic is onto something
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Dave Against The Machine🏴 @johnbrownbread.bsky.social · 11h
Today alone there have been 3 GB polls showing Dems with a double digit lead: D+ 10 Quinnipiac D+ 15 YouGov D+ 16 Angus Reid
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 10h
A mere D+24 with indies in QPac's D+12 GCB I'll note that this is still five points more than Virginia's D+19 last year poll.qu.edu/poll-release...
poll.qu.edu
Generic Ballot For Control Of U.S. House: Dems 51%, GOP 39%, Dem Party Ahead On Key Issues, Boosted By Independents, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 71% Prefer Candidates Who Support St...
"A warning light flashing red for the GOP scrambling to stay in power. From the economy to international conflicts to AI, independent voters are siding with Democrats, even though a vast majority of t...
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 11h
progressives explaining progressive ideas in ways that sound conservative ✅️ as someone who's had to pitch to a lot of Republicans, Abdul makes good policy sound more appealing to these folks
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Jeremy Markovich @ncrabbithole.com · 12h
what
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Jesse Bethea @jessecbethea.bsky.social · 15h
In totally unrelated news, Ohio Republicans are suddenly very eager to suspend the state gas tax with committee hearings starting at 2pm this afternoon.
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 16h
Democrats are up FIFTEEN (53/38) in the new YouGov/Economist generic ballot poll. This is a one point increase from the last poll Trump’s approval has slightly increased but its at 37%
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 16h
Via David Paleogos at Suffolk: the latest Suffolk poll numbers in Ohio #OHGov Acton 50 Ramaswamy 41 Kissick 3 Undecided 5 Who is running the more negative campaign Ramaswamy 48 Acton 23
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 23h
The Ohio Marist poll had Democrats up in the state generic ballot by 50-47, which is a *17-point* swing left from 2024 President. Here's what that would look like by House district. Dems win a majority of the House delegation for the first time since 2008.
Ohio 2026 House results if you swung it 17 points left from 2024 Presidential.
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
um
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Taniel @taniel.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Today, Marist's midnight poll drop is from Ohio: Sherrod Brown leads Sen. Husted 51% to 43%. Amy Acton leads Vivek Ramaswamy 50% to 44%. A key stat: 50% *strongly disapprove* of Trump, in Ohio. maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
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Texas Tribune @texastribune.org · 28/09/2026
Breaking: The Texas Tribune has identified the ICE agent who witnesses say fired through an open van window and killed 52-year-old Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston nearly three months ago.
texastribune.org
ICE agent who shot Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston identified
The federal government has withheld his identification, even as major state and local law enforcement agencies across the country typically identify officers involved in shootings on the job soon afte...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
#OHGov Amy Acton 50% Vivek Ramaswamy 44% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
WE HAVE A NEW #OHSEN poll from Marist Sherrod Brown 51% Jon Husted 43% maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/midter...
maristpoll.marist.edu
Home of the Marist Poll | Polls, Analysis, Learning, and More
The Marist Institute for Public Opinion (MIPO) is a survey research center. MIPO is home to the Marist Poll and conducts polls on politics, the economy, sports, technology and more at the local, state...
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
okay yeah this is very funny actually if this is all pure trash Big Data can do for the GOP Very used to a redder Ohio as the autumn turns but NOPE
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
presented without comment
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Mary Peltola @marypeltola.com · 29/09/2026
I don’t know a single Alaskan who is okay with their senator taking money from and protecting Epstein associates. There is no end to Dan Sullivan’s corruption.
thealaskacurrent.com
Dan Sullivan took money from Epstein associate Leon Black
Leon Black, the billionaire who has refused to testify about his close relationship with sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein, gave money to Sullivan in 2019.
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Eric Michael Garcia @ericmgarcia.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
We have a Marist #OHSen #OHGov Poll at midnight www.youtube.com/watch?v=jfVV...
youtube.com
Taylor Swift - Cleveland! (Official Lyric Video)
YouTube video by Taylor Swift
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Reminder: it’s been *49 days* since Ken Paxton last led a Texas Senate poll. Since then, Talarico has led or tied every poll, and is currently up about 3 points in the RCP average.
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
portland press herald reporting that maine voters are leaning more towards supporting troy jackson due to susan collins’ corruption allegations
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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I let the pedo out after 60 days, checkmate lieberals.
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Dj @djsoke.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
NYT/Siena has been pretty consistent about starting their waves of poll releases on Tuesdays this year, so we’ll see if anything drops tomorrow I think if they don’t release a state this week it’s prob unlikely they’ll be re-polling it before the election
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
God I love Angie Nixon. I hope she wins
Now @AshleyMoodyFL. Why would I want to abolish the police when I want you arrested and in jail for stealing $10 million from sick kids? BFFR
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
OH MY
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yodels @smooth-chungus.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
100% of her campaign expenditures so far went into making this chart
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Magenta @magentab.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
but even with that in mind, republican turnout is starting from such an abysmally bad standpoint, that it is hard to see basically any silver lining so don't take the projected D+26 margin literally, but please take it seriously
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ashley (ravens 2-1) 🌹 @clearlyashley.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
we are now projecting that for the first time since 1988, a Democrat, James Talarico has been elected to the United States Senate from Texas
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Hyde T. Voltyge @hydevoltyge.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Sponsor: Texans for a Conservative Majority I don't see any crosstabs Abbott 50% - Hinojosa 45% with it, if you still don't believe he's going down too
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Waschesalon Grammy Campaign Manager @reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I'm screaming at the fact that he's actually running this as an ad
Impressions: 25K - 30K
Dr. Roger Marshall
Sponsored • Paid for by KANSANS FOR MARSHALL
HAMILTON AD A LIE: "Documents from the case in Barton County which show that the debt the patient owed was $3,596.49, not $50 - and it notes that a judge ordered that she appear before court because she had failed to appear in court 16 times in a three year period.
.... Prior to the arrest that the woman
mentions in the campaign ad, she had been called to ...
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Political Poll Bot 📊 @pollresults.org · 28/09/2026
Vermont Governor Sep 10 - 21, 2026 Phil Scott (R) 41.56% (+9.6%) Amanda Janoo (D) 31.96% Don't know 19.93% Someone else 2.89% Brian Judd (I) 1.68% Dean Roy (O) 1.32% June Goodband (O) 0.41% Braun Research (B/C) 817 A Sponsor: Vermont Public Radio View Poll
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BeshearStan @beshearstan.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
New Trafalgar NH Senate poll has Pappas up 7. Can’t believe anyone thought it was competitive
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