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David Crowley Stan

@fanofsheldon.bsky.social
432 followers 210 following 1.5K posts

Go read electioncord.com

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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 2h
No Democrat or Republican has won the Wisconsin governor’s race by double digits this century. Iowa has voted to the left of Wisconsin gubernatorially this century as well…. Even Laura Kelly won by more than Tony Evers did in 2018! Just a very polarized state.
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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 2h
Big, BIG piece of the puzzle dropping tomorrow!! @taniel.bsky.social and @boltsmag.org are dropping their Midterm Election Guide! I cannot imagine how much work went into this and can't wait to check it out!
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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 4h
No matter where things go, I just want to personally thank James Talarico. Dude has ensured that the GOP has dumped an insane $200+ million in Texas, that would have been extremely helpful for them elsewhere. Mad respect sir!
static.klipy.com
Derek's Adorable 'RE2PECT' Hat Tip
ALT: Derek's Adorable 'RE2PECT' Hat Tip
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 4h
FWIW I expect AES to win by 5-7 in the end. But if he doesn’t you better hope he locks in during his senate term because I can promise you Rs will be salivating to beat him in a presidential year.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 4h
Haha MI-SEN discourse will never end
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 4h
Fox has AES up 1 Before anybody goes dooming they had Rogers up 4 in August. Benson up 9
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 6h
This is the guy who runs Quantus
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🏳️‍🌈🚲Cole🚄🚟 @coleurbanist.bsky.social · 9h
Today's update: Mail-in ballot requests 1,014,851 (+10,262) Mail-ins returned: 7,151 (+6,029) IPEV: 17,771 (+8,798) Grace: 0 Total ballots cast: 24,922 (+14,827) We are now at 0,4% of 2024 turnout
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 9h
So I know people are going to freak out about this but this is a better result for Dems than 2018 and 2022 from Marquette around the same time. Wisconsin has just been insanely polarized gubernatorially for years now.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 9h
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 9h
Marquette finds Crowley up 3, 49-46
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 10h
Good god
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 11h
Oregon moment
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 11h
Krystal Ball ran against Rob Wittman in 2010
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 13h
WSJ has D+8
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 15h
Husted leads 48-44 in Portage County.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 15h
The Argument finds a D+9.4 GCB lead for Dems. www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-least-...
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 15h
Suffolk finds brown up 47-44. Trump has a 57.2% unfavorable rating. www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Looking forward to a crazy truthnuke
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
For all the freakout about this poll, Acton is still leading on Votehub's model even while they forecast that she loses Portage County by 3.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
poll.qu.edu/poll-release... D+12
poll.qu.edu
Generic Ballot For Control Of U.S. House: Dems 51%, GOP 39%, Dem Party Ahead On Key Issues, Boosted By Independents, Quinnipiac University National Poll Finds; 71% Prefer Candidates Who Support St...
"A warning light flashing red for the GOP scrambling to stay in power. From the economy to international conflicts to AI, independent voters are siding with Democrats, even though a vast majority of t...
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Bruh this is a poll @statenavigate.org is doing of the seat Dems won in the special election in Iowa last year. They will continue to weigh and tweak the numbers but this district voted for Trump by 21
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Dj @djsoke.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
These numbers are very early still, and obv very bad for Rs - but even making huge assumptions that they 1) cleanly reflect vote intent 2) are sustained and 3) get mirrored nationally They still wouldn’t suggest a D+15 year
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Suffolk also decided to poll Portage County. It’s an Obama trump county where Republican voteshare has increased every election year since 2012. Trump won it 57-41.5. Suffolk finds Ramaswamy leading Acton 49-46 with a recalled vote of Trump + 6. www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...
suffolk.edu
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 29/09/2026
Here's a Marist poll... From March that talks about whether New York City residents like the Mets or Yankees more LINK: maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/new-yo...
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It’s a floor wax and a dessert topping! @pipercat.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
I actually live in this district. Fluharty is currently in the house of delegates in this district, he is well known. He’s won this district multiple times in that capacity and is well known here for his constituent service. He’s a better than average candidate.’
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
If you want to help Peter Crosby or Jonny Larson here are their links petercrosbyforcongress.org/volunteer jonnyutah4congress.com
petercrosbyforcongress.org
Volunteer — Peter Crosby for Congress
Sign up to volunteer with the Peter Crosby for Congress campaign. Northern Utah deserves better.
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Okay so I have more information here on Utah House Races: •there’s polls that has the Dem for UT04(R+32.5) Jonny Larsen within the MoE and another where he is up by 10pts •UT03(R+41.3) has Dem internals doing surprisingly considering the district lean Take it fwiw
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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Marist in Ohio dropping tonight at midnight as well
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Hopefully Rakich doesn’t get mad at me posting this on Bluesky
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
If anybody wants a jumpscare, look at the recalled vote in Florida’s 2018 exit polls. www.cnn.com/election/201...
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
@statenavigate.org is doing a live poll of deep red red WV SD-1 (R+40) and with the caveat that it's a live poll and they don't have all the responses in uhhhh..... projects.statenavigate.com/interactives...
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
All I’m gonna say is that posts like this are extremely telling.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
“Steroids mixed with copezempic” LMFAO
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
Insider advantage has Turek up 1….
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Anti Steil spending 👀
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MLC @chicyph80.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Here's today's update from Philadelphia County! Another 7k mail ballots received state-wide. 5,500 of which were in Philadelphia County. I just continue to be amazed how well they're doing! @fanofsheldon.bsky.social
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
This is really why I do expect Bo French to win even if Talarico ekes it out
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
Some big ad buys against historically overperforming Republicans, including two we highlighted in our article (OH-15 and OH-10). electioncord.com/five-seats-t...
electioncord.com
Five Seats That Dems Should Target ASAP
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
And here comes the money opposing Fitzpatrick, the biggest pac spending yet.
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026
People to be honest are overreacting to polls right now. While I do understand having a lack of information about November leads to us dissecting every little piece we can get our hands... But they're just polls at the end of the day. Put them in the average in move on!
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In Michigan they lost control of the legislature in 2024 after getting a trifecta in 2022, same thing happened in Minnesota. People hate you doing anything as governor. Beshear gets vetoed all the time and people love him.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Uhhh holy shit UNH has Dunlap up 6
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
UNH has Jackson up 4
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ElectionCord @electioncord.com · 24/09/2026
NEW: While the 2018 Midterms were good for Dems, and the 2026 Midterms are likely to be good for Dems, that the underlying reasons for why are very different. I discussed the why and the how, and really how every election is very different! LINK: electioncord.com/the-differen...
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World’s Biggest Stagflation Truther @corncobanalysis.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Oh, and also bc Donalds is winning Hispanic voters by 7%
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Quantus has Sherrod and Husted nearly even
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Caroline Spears @spears.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
In other words: potentially 20 points (!!!) of ticket splitting between the Governor and Senate races in Pennsylvania.
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David Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
State navigate has Dems narrowly winning a state senate majority. The kicker? Rs are losing multiple redder districts in Brian Fitzpatrick’s congressional district, namely PA-143
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