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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 2h

Lmao dems are gonna win 400 and 75.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 2h

Ww generally have learned this sort of thing backfires.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Smacks of gender, overturned BBQ. Etc.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

This is not a presidential and polls showed no bias or even R bias in 2018 or 2022. 2022 was a massive overperformance by a party in power. There's been like one better historical midterm in the modern era.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Not great when literal handicappers have decided they need to unskew the polls and question methodological decisions they've never questioned before because they feel obligated to make Rs seem more competitive.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

You basically have two very possible and weighting issues going on that both have merit which is lv screens are overstating dems and recall is overstating Rs and there's also other weighting calls you could yell about. Which is all to say people just take the one they want to make the take wanted

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

as i saw someone make the argument, the reality is that we don't even need to have the argument about the death penalty because there is no ideal situation where the state can actually administer it without torturing the person

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Gonna a just draw a line and if it's below I'm gonna point to it as proof that we're all doomed. I am rigorous and knowledgeable on how politics and math work.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Seeing some real dumb posts lately by people who assume swing is uniform.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

God loves da white Sox u heard it here first

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Also if you just want to a MoE analysis there's nothing wrong with any of the numbers.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Nathan has no idea how polling works and he's comparing methodologies against each other that you can't compare.

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The Next Day @incompetusrex.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

‘Susan Collins is always there for us, but sometimes we gotta let her vote no so she can get reelected, which I’m not supposed to say.’

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

do it mr. president the people love you. you should go to the most competitive districts

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Dan of the Year @downwithdan.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

When you have no concept of how people engage with music

nicksaraev ~
@nicksaraev
X.com
I am not joking when I say this.
Spotify, Apple Music, and streaming in general is over.
Al music is now very, very good. You just don't know yet because all Al music circulating today is from ~2-3 generations ago.
Suno v6 pro et al has solved infinite personalized music.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Bodies still warm, there's a killer about.

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Joel Wertheimer @wertwhile.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Using these numbers and a probabilistic model of turnout would make LVs more like D+12.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I cannot carry my keys this way this is anti-plane discrimination

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

I let the pedo out after 60 days, checkmate lieberals.

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Jay Willis @jaywillis.net · 28/09/2026

Even the finest modern scientific instruments are incapable of measuring the levels of sweaty, pick-me desperation in the blog posts Josh Blackman is about to uncork

news.bloomberglaw.com

Trump Gets Fifth Circuit Vacancy as Bush Appointee Steps Back

President Donald Trump will have another opportunity to appoint a judge to the influential US Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

A note that punchbowl's -entire- ability to get scoops is the fact that they're close with GOP leadership. They are not close with dem leadership at all and all their scoops end up being wrong because they come from GOP leadership. They are freaking out, yeah.

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Ben McAdams (The Resurrection Arc) @purrtah.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

It is incredible how in the tank some journalists are for Trump and the GOP

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

he is addressing the nation for this??? oh man they're so spooked

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Katelyn Burns @katelynburns.com · 28/09/2026

Called it again

Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh • 6h
€ UPDATE: A migrant caravan just RUSHED into Mexico and is now full steam ahead to the
U.S. Southern Border
This is NOT a freaking game! THEY ARE WAITING FOR DEMOCRATS TO TAKE POWER
VOTE RED!!
You see these people? Each one is a future Democrat voter if Dems take Congress then win in 2028.
Punish RINOs in primary season, SAVE OUR REPUBLIC IN NOVEMBER
We can kiss any hope of the SAVE America Act and ICE funding GOODBYE if Democrats take power ever again e
x.com/AnthonyAguero/…

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026

Something I've always thought about tradwife stuff is that the only possible men who could have the situation and make it work and not have it be hideously screwed up are basically the men who absolutely do not want it at all and think that it's horribly backwards.

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Capital Under Management, An SEC Registered RIA @cumshitter.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

*I pull back the black velvet draping over a poster board* “Foreign markets are HUNGRY for American corn!” (“Hungry is double underlined) *I raise and lower my eyebrows comically before Don Draper punches me in the mouth*

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

lmao and you think the ball is juiced in Denver

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

So much of the business of the past few years is silicon valley radicalized because for a brief moment there was social pressure that they couldn't be non-stop sexpests.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Illegal as hell, and also, please continue Mr. President.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

It's an important thing to realize that bluesky lives in this universe where propaganda is so powerful that they think this actually works.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

It's fun watching what desperation looks like for Trump

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5,000 Epstein Files for Every American Adult @tobellz.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Imagine looking at these clowns and going "Yes. This is obviously the superior sex of the master race. The peak of humanity as God intended. Absolutely."

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

These look exactly like the people you'd expect at this conference lol

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

Just one more data point that Dems are doomed.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Were finding evidence that Trump voters may not be enthusiastic to vote and that's how we know all polling is wrong and we're all doomed. Ffs- do you people even hear yourselves? Shut up.

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Schnorkles O'Bork @schnorkles.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

This literally has never happened in a midterm and is also Lakysha being a moron.

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