Reposted by Vincent GelosoJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 29/09/2026The bond yield story just keeps getting starker. 50529145
Reposted by Vincent GelosoMarcus Nunes @marcusnunes47.bsky.social · 20/09/2026Chilean Democracy Died of Inflation, Not Industrial Policy marcusnunes.substack.com/p/chilean-de... @vincentgeloso.bsky.socialmarcusnunes.substack.comChilean Democracy Died of Inflation, Not Industrial PolicyVincent Geloso has written a piece warning that the American left and right are competing to control the economy, and that this reproduces the dynamic which hollowed out Chilean democracy before 1973. 011
Reposted by Vincent GelosoJason Kuznicki @jkuznicki.bsky.social · 11/09/2026Why do states nationalize? Ideological reasons can explain it, but they convince the ideologues best. In a new essay for @liberalism.org, Vincent Geloso shows evidence that nationalizing lets states redistribute patronage in a wide array of neighboring industries. Nationalizing is about patronage.liberalism.orgWhy States NationalizeEconomists have many answers, but the truth may be larger than they know. 044
Reposted by Vincent GelosoLiberalism.org @liberalism.org · 11/09/2026Vincent Geloso uses America's lighthouses as a case study in how nationalizing industries acts as a redistributive engine for rent-seeking interests. www.liberalism.org/p/why-states...liberalism.orgWhy States NationalizeEconomists have many answers, but the truth may be larger than they know. 056
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 27/07/2026open.substack.com/pub/vgeloso/...open.substack.comNo, universal childcare did not "probably" pay for itself in QuebecIts because the econometric strategy forgets that the "Rest of Canada" can be multiple things. 001
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 30/06/2026open.substack.com/pub/vgeloso/...open.substack.comSugarcane Yields, Biological Innovations and Historical Racism in Louisiana, 1911 to 2008I just fell on this paper in Crop Science (yes, I know, I read weird stuff) showing sugarcane yields since 1911. 000
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 28/06/2026A comment on institutions and carbon sinks open.substack.com/pub/vgeloso/...open.substack.comCarbon sinks and economic freedomFor an invited contribution, I was writing up on my recent works on environmental economics (as I am gradually heading into environmental history as well as economic history). 000
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 26/06/2026The much vaunted study regarding welfare magnets from immigration misestimated the elasticity of welfare benefits to immigration by a factor of 4 at least. Migrants dont decide much on basis of welfare payments. vgeloso.substack.com/p/welfare-ma... Cc. @mclem.orgvgeloso.substack.comWelfare Magnet and Immigration in DenmarkAn AER:Insights paper shows a smaller elasticity once replicated 0197
Reposted by Vincent GelosoMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 26/06/2026🗣️ Published today in @aeajournals.bsky.social. Ethan Lewis and I use a visa lottery, as a nationwide randomized experiment, to test the effects of foreign labor on US firms and workers. doi.org/10.1257/app.... A concise summary from @nber.org —> www.nber.org/digest/20221... 116968
Reposted by Vincent GelosoThe Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 06/06/2026Demand for labor is back. Some economists speculate that immigrants are rejoining the workforce, boosting the labor supply. on.wsj.com/4uDfPhDon.wsj.comEconomists had written off the great American job-creation machine. Now, it’s revving back to life.Demand for labor is back. Some economists speculate that immigrants are rejoining the workforce, boosting labor supply. 474
Reposted by Vincent GelosoJake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 06/06/2026Gelman absolutely on fire on the blog statmodeling.substack.com/p/13-aspects... 69521
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 05/06/2026Merci pour le logement sans frais dans votre si menu espace 010
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 03/05/2026Working paper with Patrick Crawford now out 001
Reposted by Vincent GelosoPatrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 29/04/2026🧵 What caused the 1837–38 rebellions in Canada? Was it nationalism? Poverty? Institutions? We (@vincentgeloso.bsky.social and I) argue: it was the newspapers. And the result flips how we think about rebellions [cross-post from his Twitter/X] 162
Reposted by Vincent GelosoDavid E. Shellenberger @deshellenberger.bsky.social · 24/03/2026Vincent Geloso and Pradyot Sharma: "The question is not what we do about technological change displacing jobs, but rather what existing barriers prevent workers from transitioning to new jobs." www.fraserinstitute.org/commentary/d...fraserinstitute.orgDon’t fear AI—fear government regulationsIf new technologies increase productivity in the economy, they can help workers earn higher wages. 011
Reposted by Vincent GelosoTrevor Tombe @trevortombe.bsky.social · 18/12/2025An incredibly fascinating new paper by Casey Pender and Vincent Geloso (@VincentGeloso) on what we can learn from the most significant period of Canadian economic convergence with the U.S. Read it here: www.policyschool.ca/wp-content/... #cdnecon #cdnpoli @policy_school 072
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCato Institute @cato.org · 15/02/2026COVID-19 slowed—but didn’t stop—the decline in global inequality. The Inequality of Human Progress Index shows widely shared gains in health, education, and living standards long term. Chelsea Follett and Vincent Geloso explain how markets softened the pandemic shock. ow.ly/VS0f50Ycztb 073
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 13/02/2026Contrasting Environmental Sociology and Environmental Economics Research open.substack.com/pub/matthewe...open.substack.comContrasting Environmental Sociology and Environmental Economics ResearchIn 2025, the Environmental Sociology Journal published an empirical paper that is directly related to my research. 021
Reposted by Vincent GelosoClay Collins @claycollins.bsky.social · 09/01/2026A little late on the announcement, but I’m proud to announce my paper “Emotional Cues, Election Outcomes, and Intimate Partner Violence” has been published in the Eastern Economic Journal. Link below: link.springer.com/article/10.1...link.springer.comClient Challenge 164
Reposted by Vincent GelosoRandom paper from RePEc @random-repec-paper.bsky.social · 27/12/2025Postbellum electoral politics in California and the genesis of the Chinese exclusion act of 1882 by Vincent Geloso & Linan Peng (2024) ideas.repec.orgIDEAS/RePEc linkto RePEc:kap:ejlwec:v:57:y:2024:i:3:d:10.1007_s10657-024-09799-8 001
Reposted by Vincent GelosoMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 26/10/2025US tariffs are not paid by other countries. That’s a lie through gritted teeth. US tariffs are taxes on Americans. They are paid by Americans who buy anything made with any ingredient from abroad. (All of us.) Cost: $2,600–3,100/yr. for the average American. @kclausing.bsky.social of @piie.com —>cepr.orgThe aftermath of tariffsThe tariff spree during the first 100 days of the current US administration created bewildering economic policy chaos. The first 100 days also marked the largest tax increase in more than a generation. This column, taken from a CEPR book on the economic consequences of the second Trump administration, discusses the consequences of the tariffs for the US economy and the larger world community. 03011
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCJAD 800 Montreal @cjad800.bsky.social · 03/10/2025How does Quebec compare to other provinces in terms of social mobility? The Montreal Economic Institute's @vincentgeloso.bsky.social shares the results of a recent study with @eliasmakos.bsky.social:iheart.comHow does Quebec compare to other provinces in terms of social mobility? - The Elias Makos Show | iHeart<p>Vincent Geloso, Senior Economist at the The Montreal Economic Institute, and co-author of a recent study on social mobility</p> 001
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 19/09/2025Now forthcoming at University of Chicago Press: my book on how America between 1870 and 1940 had the world’s first massive and egalitarian growth episode — it was the lean and mean egalitarian growth machine 031
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCédric Chambru @cedricchambru.bsky.social · 26/08/2025📢 New initiative: we are launching a monthly virtual seminar in French Economic History to share and discuss the latest research in the field! 🌍 Open to all interested in #econhist. 👉 Info & updates: sites.google.com/view/vwfhe/h...sites.google.comVWFHE 22410
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 18/08/2025In liberal democracies, you can trust agencies like the BLS to be non-partisan. Not out of virtue, but bureaucratic self-interest 100
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Tellement pleutres! L’exemple à suivre c’est Franz Boas. Boas fut l’un des rares, à son époque, à s’attaquer frontalement aux thèses du racisme “scientifique”, démontant leurs prétentions pseudo-savantes alors que peu osaient le faire. Je veux être Boas. Vous voulez juste ne pas faire d’efforts! 000
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Pleutres! Raisonnement faiblard de pleutres incapables de voir que leur paresse nourrit fascisme, extrémisme et illibéralisme. Débattre, c’est désarmer l’adversaire et immuniser contre le pire. Refuser ce combat, c’est avouer implicitement une faiblesse et encourager les périls. Pleutres! 110
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Ces lâches se cachent derrière un pseudonyme pour défendre la liberté de mouvement et les droits des immigrants. Depuis 2018, je défends sans cesse celles-ci publiquement (voir images) et je reçois du vitriol sans cesse. Ces pleutres et lâches sont ceux qui alimentent les ennemis des immigrants 000
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Ces clowns ne savent pas que je rejette la pertinence du concept de compatibilité culturelle. Cependant, ils ne saisissent pas que c’est l’argument le PLUS IMPORTANT auquel il faut répondre. C’est pourquoi il faut faire l’effort de répondre. Seuls les pleutres refusent l’effort intellectuel… 000
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 11/08/2025Il faut vraiment vivre dans le délire pour penser cela. ACD,c’est la personne à qui il faut répondre pour défendre l’immigration. C’est le steelman qu’il faut débattre. Mais ici on a les faiblards intellectuels qui pensent qu’on gagne la bataille des idées en choisissant d’affronter des nains. 000
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCJAD 800 Montreal @cjad800.bsky.social · 04/08/2025Should Canada Post go private? Montreal Economic Institute's @vincentgeloso.bsky.social joined @eliasmakos.bsky.social:iheart.comBuilding the case to privatize Canada Post - The Elias Makos Show | iHeart<p>Vincent Geloso, senior economist at the Montreal Economic Institute and co-author of a new report </p> <p>Image: THE CANADIAN PRESS/Nathan Denette</p> 122
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCJAD 800 Montreal @cjad800.bsky.social · 04/08/2025@vincentgeloso.bsky.social What is artificial intelligence 'slop' and why is it ruining your internet feeds? @mitchjoel.bsky.social talks to @eliasmakos.bsky.social:iheart.comWhat is artificial intelligence 'slop' and why is it ruining your internet feeds? - The Elias Makos Show 022
Reposted by Vincent GelosoPatrick Fitzsimmons @patrubenfitz.bsky.social · 02/05/2025The paperwork has been filed and I am happy to announce that my dissertation has been successfully defended! Thankful to my fantastic advisor @markkoyama.bsky.social and amazing committee @jonathanschulz.bsky.social @vincentgeloso.bsky.social @ndjohnson.bsky.social 051
Reposted by Vincent GelosoPatrick Fitzsimmons @patrubenfitz.bsky.social · 27/03/2025I am happy to share that this is now published!tandfonline.comDid the Great Leveling begin after 1921?The U-Curve of income inequality in the United States is a longstanding stylised fact in economic history. The ‘Great Leveling’ that led to the trough that lasted from the 1940s to the early 1980s ... 164
Reposted by Vincent GelosoPatrick Fitzsimmons @patrubenfitz.bsky.social · 27/03/2025Co-authored with @vincentgeloso.bsky.social and @jrhall1066.bsky.social 011
Reposted by Vincent GelosoForeign Affairs @foreignaffairs.com · 10/03/2025In a 1932 essay, the economist Percy Wells Bidwell discussed the role of tariffs in fueling the Great Depression: “if protective tariffs were in reality a cure for business crises, they would long ago have had a chance to demonstrate their efficacy.”foreignaffairs.comTrade, Tariffs, the DepressionNothing in recent history has so strikingly emphasized the need for international coöperation in the economic field as the business depression which now for over two years has weighed down upon the wo... 25121
Reposted by Vincent GelosoMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 04/03/2025Tomorrow the US Administration imposes the heaviest taxes since the 1930s on Americans who buy imports. In this new brief from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, leading economists Evenett & Muendler estimate the harm to US workers in all 50 states—> econweb.ucsd.edu/muendler/dow... | cc @piie.com 49446
Reposted by Vincent GelosoCEPH @cephie.bsky.social · 27/02/2025🎉Today's the day! See you at @tlrhub.bsky.social for the Alice Murray Distinguished Scholar Lecture by Prof. Jane Humphries ceph.ie/events/27-02... @tcdeconomics.bsky.social @tcdssp.bsky.social @quceh.bsky.social @ox.ac.uk #Economics #EconomicHistory #NSRPproject 064
Reposted by Vincent GelosoDavid Brady @davebrady72.bsky.social · 22/02/2025Say you’ve got very good causal IDENTIFICATION. Can you say you have causality, can make a causal general claim, and can say what “THE causal effect” is? NO We explain why in new article at Journal of Causal Inference. www.degruyter.com/document/doi...degruyter.comThe necessity of construct and external validity for deductive causal inferenceThe Credibility Revolution advances internally valid research designs intended to identify causal effects from quantitative data. The ensuing emphasis on internal validity, however, has enabled a negl... 1622668
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 28/01/2025Postes Canada peine à s’adapter : baisse des lettres, hausse des colis. Il est temps que le fédéral envisage la privatisation et la concurrence libre pour moderniser le service postal face aux nouvelles réalités. www.lapresse.ca/affaires/ent...lapresse.caCommission d’enquête | Postes Canada est « au bord du précipice », dit sa directionPostes Canada est « au bord du précipice » et sa situation « s’aggrave de jour en jour », a prévenu sa direction, lundi, à l’occasion du début des audiences de la commission d’enquête sur ses relation... 010
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 25/01/2025Birthright citizenship faciliates assimilation as my buddy Alex Nowrasteh points our using papers that rely on German natural experiments 011
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 25/01/2025The best book on the dark side of the econ profession is this by Tom Leonard 020
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 08/01/2025New working paper with Justin Callais, Gary Wagner and Alicia Plemmons on entrepreneurship and migration within the USA papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.... 010
Reposted by Vincent GelosoChris Freiman @chrisfreiman.bsky.social · 30/12/2024In honor of Jimmy Carter, here’s a reminder that airline deregulation is good 0266
Reposted by Vincent GelosoChris Freiman @chrisfreiman.bsky.social · 04/01/2025Conservative anti-immigration arguments about protecting the jobs of American workers are at odds with their defenses of school choice that reject the idea that public school teachers should be shielded from competition 041
Vincent Geloso @vincentgeloso.bsky.social · 01/01/2025Its also worth noting that while immigrants do commit more crimes than natives in some countries like France, the United States has been an exception since 1870 (recent paper shows they commit as many or fewer crime depending on the year) 110