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Patrick Crawford

@pjcrawford.bsky.social
265 followers 1.3K following 30 posts

PhD student | GMU | Economic History | 🏳️‍🌈

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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 20/08/2026
I feel like one of the larger reasons AI hasn’t shown significant economic growth boosting ability is because it’s mostly a labor saving tool that allows people to shirk more
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
I got to put out a little piece in @promarket.bsky.social on my recent working paper. We’re doing some revisions right now, but I am proud of what we’ve done so far!
promarket.org
How Newspaper Competition Fueled Quebec’s 1837 Rebellion - ProMarket
In new research, Patrick Crawford and Vincent Geloso find that areas in Lower Canada with more newspaper competition were more likely to rebel in Quebec’s 1837 Rebellion. Irrespective of political lea...
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
🧵 What caused the 1837–38 rebellions in Canada? Was it nationalism? Poverty? Institutions? We (@vincentgeloso.bsky.social and I) argue: it was the newspapers. And the result flips how we think about rebellions [cross-post from his Twitter/X]
A screenshot that reads:

Did Newspaper Competition Promote Rebellion? The case of the 1837-38 Rebellions in Quebec*
Patrick Crawford
Vincent Geloso
Abstract
We investigate the relationship between media competitiveness and political mobilization during the Quebec Rebellion of 1837-38. We argue that the rebellion was shaped by newspaper coordination of political action. Drawing on a new spatial dataset of newspaper agents, we test whether local media competitiveness predicts the intensity of rebel mobiliza-tion, independent of the partisan alignment of the press. The effect is magnified in areas where seigneurial (i.e., feudal) tenure persisted, suggesting a complementarity between institutionally concentrated grievance and competitive press exposure. Adding newly created human capital controls-school enrollment and literacy does not attenuate the competition effect. Globally, media competition transformed latent discontent into active participa-ion in the conflict. These results offer insight into the economics of rebellions and uprisings.
Keywords: Rebellions, Media, Newspapers, Competition, Quebec, Canada
JEL Codes: N41, D74, D83, L82, R12
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Stephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
We must break the supreme court
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
hi, political philosopher here! this is not funny, central banks only do this when they're in extreme distress
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Federal Reserve @federalreserve.gov · 12/01/2026
Video message from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell: www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckG... www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/s...
youtube.com
Statement by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome H. Powell
YouTube video by Federal Reserve
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Kate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
Preprint w/ (rapid) analysis of Grokipedia, showing it to be “highly derivative of Wikipedia”, but differing, often on controversial topics, in that Grokipedia includes content/cites from low quality (hyper partisan & conspiracy laden) sources like Stormfront & Infowars. arxiv.org/pdf/2511.09685
arxiv.org
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Matthew Chapman @fawfulfan.bsky.social · 26/09/2025
This is a really fascinating article. Mississippi's "basic" reading comprehension for Black 4th-graders is 52%. In California, it's 28%. In fact, Mississippi has gone from having one of the nation's worst school systems to one of the best. Despite being one of the poorest states. t.co/g4zk759SKE
t.co
https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/illiteracy-is-a-policy-choice
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
Can I finish this draft soon or will I just rerun R for the thousandth time?
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Reconstructionist @unavaleable.bsky.social · 18/09/2025
i think fundamentally the story of 2024 and the reaction to this admin is a bunch of people's whose entire lives are predicated on stability necessary for liberal democratic capitalism to function standing in a circle holding hands chanting "worse things aren't possible"
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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 29/07/2025
Faculty who wrote to defend their president and object to a DOJ investigation of their university...are now being investigated by the DOJ. The most banal defense of free speech and academic freedom will trigger the full wrath of the US government now. www.nytimes.com/2025/07/28/u...
nytimes.com
Faculty Support of George Mason’s President Draws Federal Investigation
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Will Stancil @whstancil.bsky.social · 27/07/2025
The man predicted the future and he told you exactly how it was going to happen, too
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Alex גדעון בן װעלװל @jewishwonk.bsky.social · 11/06/2025
Don't let MAGA gaslight you into thinking any of this is popular.
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Eric Rosen @erosen1.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
#BLM OTD 1863, Harriet Tubman planned & guided an armed raid (becoming the 1st woman to do so in the Civil War) against Confederate forces, supply depots & plantations along the Combahee River in coastal South Carolina. The raid freed nearly 800 people. #BlackAmericanHistoryIsAmericanHistory
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
And this is why Pride month *must* exist. I wish peace and justice for his family.
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Raider @iwillnotbesilenced.bsky.social · 02/06/2025
"Maybe it's time for us to be a little bit meaner. Maybe it's time for us to be a little more fierce."
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
Sounds worrisome
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 04/05/2025
And can we eat those dollars?
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Billy Binion @billybinion.bsky.social · 30/04/2025
This is Linda Martin. A few years ago, the FBI seized her life savings: $40,200. The kicker: She was never charged with a crime—and the government couldn’t tell her why it took her money. Martin is far from the first. But she is trying to make sure she is the last. A thread.
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 25/04/2025
PhD Timeline xkcd.com/3081
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Joshua Erlich @joshuaerlich.bsky.social · 25/04/2025
so, arresting judges should be more than enough reason for complete obstruction at in the house and senate. complete obstruction. anything you can do. interrupt proceedings, deny consent, holds on nominations. everything.
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Man in Business Suit Levitating @dfeldman.org · 18/04/2025
The GREATEST, most TREMENDOUS Python package that makes importing great again!
About
TARIFF is a fantastic tool that lets you impose import tariffs on Python packages. We're going to bring manufacturing BACK to your codebase by making foreign imports more EXPENSIVE!
Installation
pip install tariff
Usage
import tariff
# Set your tariff rates (package_name: percentage)
tariff.set({|
"numpy": 50,
"pandas": 200,
"requests": 150
# 50% tariff on numpy
# 200% tariff on pandas
# 150% tariff on requests
# Now when you import these packages, they'll be TARIFFED!
import numpy
# This will be 50% slower
import pandas # This will be 200% slower
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Nathan Kalman-Lamb @nkalamb.bsky.social · 08/04/2025
Georgetown scholar Dr. Khan Suri, who was abducted by ICE, was refused food/water to break Ramadan fast, housed in a room without a bed, and issued *used* underwear. His child cried for days after he was taken and has since stopped speaking. ccrjustice.org/home/press-c...
In just four days, Dr. Khan Suri was transferred among five different ICE facilities across three states, despite the fact that ICE records indicate there were beds in Virginia facilities. Dr. Khan Suri was fasting in religious observance of Ramadan, but multiple ICE facilities refused him food or water to break his fast.

For almost two weeks, he was housed in a room without a bed and with a television blaring 21 hours a day. Dr. Khan Suri was issued used underwear, and a bright red uniform that is usually reserved for detained individuals who have been classified as ‘high security’ based on their criminal history or alleged affiliation with criminal organizations. He is not permitted to work or spend more than two hours per week outside of his dorm.
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Iain Mansfield @igmansfield.bsky.social · 31/03/2025
I'd be disturbed if a court barred a politician from standing for 'offensive speech', or 'bullying', or other such subjective matters. Barring them for embezzlement though feels pretty legit.
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 26/03/2025
What should have been…
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 12/03/2025
i think shutting the government down is preferably to nullifying article i of the constitution
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 10/03/2025
Greg Mankiw, who has been teaching econ 101 for decades, scolds Hassett for causally interpreting an accounting identity and pretending it’s econ 101 gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2025/03/kevi...
gregmankiw.blogspot.com
Greg Mankiw's Blog: Kevin Hassett forgets Econ 101
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 15/02/2025
these are segregationists.
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 13/02/2025
A medicine so effective that we give it out for no cost… the death of PEPFAR shows how utterly different this GOP is to the party of 20 years ago
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 09/02/2025
a good bit of evidence that trump represents bona fide confederate government is that he keeps tripping every wire placed by the 14th amendment talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/trump...
talkingpointsmemo.com
Trump Says Some Treasury Notes May Not Be Real
I suspect this will just end up being something Old Man Trump...
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 09/02/2025
Last time Trump levied similar steel tariffs, it led to an increase of~ 1,000 jobs in steel production -- but 75,000 *fewer* manufacturing jobs in downstream firms where steel or aluminum are an input into production. econofact.org/steel-tariff...
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jamelle @jamellebouie.net · 09/02/2025
vance is lying and knows he’s lying but even if he weren’t, “separation of powers means the president is an elected despot” may be true in some other political system but it has never been true in the american political system
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Gregg Gonsalves @gregggonsalves.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
The United States by virtue of a bipartisan commitment to biomedical research created one of the most vibrant, productive research ecosytems in the world. People came from all over to study here, do research here. It was a monumental accomplishment by both parties. 1/
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Darby Saxbe @darbysaxbe.bsky.social · 04/02/2025
🚨BREAKING. From a program officer at the National Science Foundation, a list of keywords that can cause a grant to be pulled. I will be sharing screenshots of these keywords along with a decision tree. Please share widely. This is a crisis for academic freedom & science.
list of banned keywords
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025
In case you're wondering whether Trump just adopts the position of whoever he last spoke to
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 30/01/2025
How do you cite a VoxEU CEPR post? Like a blog? Or a website? I don’t mean working papers that have PDFs but columns like this: cepr.org/voxeu/column...
cepr.org
Are the world’s megacities too big?
Are the world’s megacities becoming a sprawling, overfed, and uncontrollable mass that needs to be restrained for the good of society and the environment? This column suggests that policies aimed at reducing the dispersion in city sizes will hardly improve the wellbeing of the people who live there. If anything, in some developing countries, such as China, large cities may actually be too small.
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Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 24/01/2025
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 19/01/2025
We would end fascism and solve all global conflicts if people would just read this book
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 29/12/2024
Decided to switch to Zotero and oh my god why haven’t I been doing this the whole time
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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · 13/12/2024
Recently accepted by #QJE, “The Global Race for Talent: Brain Drain, Knowledge Transfer, and Growth,” by Marta Prato: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...
doi.org
The Global Race for Talent: Brain Drain, Knowledge Transfer, and Growth*
Abstract. How does inventors’ migration affect international talent allocation, knowledge diffusion, and productivity growth? To answer this question, I bu
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Anna Gifty @itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 28/12/2024
lol apropos nothing... TLDR: Doubling the number of H-1B visas in the US would boost both US and EU productivity by 4% over time. Having innovative people in your country is good for innovation. Who knew?
media.tenor.com
a man wearing headphones and a hat says " what did i tell you "
Alt: a man wearing headphones and a hat says " what did i tell you "
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 28/12/2024
Ah yes the inspirational story of Whiplash
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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
Never forget, a 13-year study found that protected bike-lanes led to a drastic decline in fatalities for all road users. ALL ROAD USERS. And painted bike-lanes? No safety improvement at all. For sharrows, it’s actually safer to NOT have them. Via @usa.streetsblog.org @nyc.streetsblog.org
usa.streetsblog.org
Separated Bike Lanes Means Safer Streets, Study Says — Streetsblog USA
Cities that build protected lanes for cyclists end up with safer roads for people on bikes and people in cars and on foot, a new study of 12 large metropolises revealed Wednesday.
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Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 10/12/2024
I like most articles but especially this one www.liberalcurrents.com/neutralizing...
liberalcurrents.com
Neutralizing MAGA: Applying Frederick Douglass's Fugitive Philosophy
Governments must be a terror to evildoers if they would be praised to those who do well. It will not do for a government with the knife of treason at its throat, to bear the sword in vain. [Lecture on...
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Patrick Crawford @pjcrawford.bsky.social · 06/12/2024
You didn’t define “in” clearly enough! The AI was obviously looking for R programming users
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Asaf Manela @amanela.bsky.social · 03/12/2024
1/ Does finance benefit society? 📈📉 In a forthcoming Review of Financial Studies paper, @mjha91.bsky.social , Hongyi Liu, and yours truly tackle this question by leveraging large language models to measure sentiments in books spanning centuries and continents. 🧵
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Catherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
This is madness. If other countries want to sell us solar on the cheap so we can expedite adoption of clean energy, let them. Either climate change is a crisis, or it isn't. www.reuters.com/business/ene...
reuters.com
US sets tariffs for solar panels from Southeast Asian nations
U.S. trade officials announced on Friday a new round of tariffs on solar panel imports from four Southeast Asian nations after American manufacturers complained that companies there are flooding the market with unfairly cheap goods.
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