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Inigo Urrestarazu-Porta

@urrestarazu.bsky.social
185 followers 303 following 105 posts

PhD candidate. Basque phonetics / historical linguistics. Very much into dataviz and bayesian inference urrestarazu.gitlab.io

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Reposted by Inigo Urrestarazu-Porta
Claire Contraire @clairecontraire.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
A hobbyhorse of mine. I think that one great source of confusion in causal analysis is that causality itself is not a statistical concept, but it so happens that a lot of our statistical toolkit(s) are necessary to help us empirically analyze causal questions.
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
this rings to me very close to scientists hoping if they do everything by the book the nature will confess its secrets without a doubt. there is no book that can conveniently remove all uncertainty. we are never promised answers. human relationships are way more precarious. so many unknowns,
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 27/05/2025
There is no "science-wide replication crisis" because every word in that phrase carries unfounded assumptions. 🧵 1. There is no evidence that progress has generally stalled in the sciences. Also, no one has actually tried to estimate replicability across fields.
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
I was just reminded of this thread and given this new "Science: A New Golden Age" report, I think it's time to re-up it. We should all stop attributing a number of different observations, symptoms, grievances, and vibes about science to a replication crisis. That would be the responsible conduct.
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Stephen Wild @stephenjwild.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
One thing I think that think conversation is often missing (which Frank covers in this post, albeit in different language) is that we need to define characteristics for which we want our sample to be "representative" of the target population and then *explicitly state how we achieve it.*
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Konrad Hinsen @khinsen.net · 06/07/2026
New blog post: "Conviviality in computational science" blog.khinsen.net/posts/2026/0... "Conviviality matters for science ... if you want to derive knowledge from your work, you need to know exactly what you are doing, and that includes a detailed understanding of your tools." 🧪 #metascience
blog.khinsen.net
Konrad Hinsen's blog
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Olivia Guest · Ολίβια Γκεστ @olivia.science · 06/07/2026
> Conviviality can only happen if a majority of a community adopts it as a value. What small groups of people can do, however, is develop and use convivial tools at their modest scale, to [...] provide a model that others can learn from if they want to. — @khinsen.net
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Mercedes Durham @drswissmiss.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Clear points about why AI-generated summaries are problematic despite claims by some that they're supposedly less problematic than other genAI use. Can I summarize this long text for you? NOPE, NOPE, NOPE
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Claus Wilke @clauswilke.com · 25/06/2026
People always say "tell a story" but then don't explain how to do so! How is that helping? If we knew how to tell a story we wouldn't need the advice in the first place. 1/
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The Monarch Diaries @monarchdiaries.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
How about a “do better statistics” movement? Or “be clear about what you did and saw” manifesto? Or “share your fuckin phage libraries” declaration? Or, critique people’s data on PubPeer? Proviso: I don’t have any familiarity with psychology, where I guess this fooferaw started.
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The Monarch Diaries @monarchdiaries.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
@devezer.bsky.social has the hands-down best perspective on this “reproducibility crisis” people like to bray about. Statistical rigor, data access, transparent experimental design, research material sharing have always been crucial and sometimes problematic. The “crisis” is a fake moral panic.
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samuel mehr @mehr.nz · 05/03/2026
pasted in text, all spacing changes, inconsistently throughout the doc. manually updating headings one by one since document-wide styles breaks spacing. added a numbered list and the numbers are in a different font than text. wtf do people know that normal software doesn't act this nuts???
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Chelsea Parlett @chelseaparlett.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
ATTENTION EVERYONE! I sewed Nova a bucket hat🥹🧵🪡
A side profile of my corgi wearing a red bucket hatA top down view of my corgi, wearing a red bucket hat
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Noel Nguyen @noelnguyen.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
At long last, our meta-analysis covering close to 70 studies conducted over the last 25 years on phonetic convergence between speakers in speech is out in the Journal of Phonetics authors.elsevier.com/c/1nEdMLix~5... @laboratoire-parole-et-langage @ilcb.bsky.social @montclair-state-university
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Ekaitz Santazilia @esantazilia.bsky.social · 06/06/2026
Testu zaharretan laburdurak ohikoak dira, latinez bereziki. Euskaraz, haatik, zailagoak dira aurkitzen. Horra bi adibide, #Munarritz-en (#Goñibar) agertu berri den testu honetan (XVIII.-XIX. m): ▶️ lezaq > Lezake ▶️ gurutceareq > Gurutzearekin #euskara
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 04/06/2026
Wonderful news! Journal of Research on Research is launched. "if you are a researcher who researches any aspect of research, then this is the journal and community for you." Worth reading the whole editorial for a transparent and thoughtful account of this amazing community-driven effort.
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Inigo Urrestarazu-Porta @urrestarazu.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Don’t really know what the Times says, but I’m pretty sure one could do an amazing sociolinguistics experiment on this. Shame I don’t have neither the time nor the money to do it myself
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Iris van Rooij 💭 @irisvanrooij.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
"Fake citations have turned into a nightmare for research librarians, who by some estimates are wasting up to 15 percent of their work hours responding to requests for nonexistent records that ChatGPT or Google Gemini alluded to." open access link: archive.ph/qt59c 2/🧵
rollingstone.com
AI Is Inventing Academic Papers That Don't Exist -- And They're Being Cited in Real Journals
Academic articles from authors using large language model are creating an ecosystem of fake research that threatens human knowledge itself.
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
the metascience feed has two modes: 1. i saw some research i didn't like so it's p-hacked 2. there's this shady research practice hence the replication crisis the more these terms have been adopted, the more their meaning got diluted to ultimately stand for nothing but content-free critical vibes
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Nicola Rennie @nrennie.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
If you're a #QuartoPub or #RStats user, you might find it hard to find information about how those work with #GitLab. So here's a blog post showing you a few different ways to deploy Quarto documents with GitLab Pages! (Featuring penguins 🐧obviously ) Link: nrennie.rbind.io/blog/deploy-...
nrennie.rbind.io
Deploying Quarto documents with GitLab – Nicola Rennie
GitLab is a common alternative to GitHub, and you can publish Quarto documents that are hosted via GitLab fairly easily. This blog post documents how to do it.
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 17/05/2026
many dysfunctions of academic publishing get exposed by way or llm use, and i keep hoping we'll realize how poorly we've been doing so many things, but we end up focusing on llms as the root cause. i've read so many unrealistic, utopic statements about how scientific practice allegedly works.
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Inigo Urrestarazu-Porta @urrestarazu.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
I have been using Whisper for the last couple of years, and it has gotten sensibly worse in the last months (perhaps a year?)
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Inigo Urrestarazu-Porta @urrestarazu.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
Okay, @glossapsycholx.bsky.social, we need to talk…
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 13/05/2026
You can now watch Jeremy's excellent talk on the term "association" and what it's even supposed to be referring to on YouTube. Must watch if you're doing associational research! www.youtube.com/watch?v=IKdC...
youtube.com
J Labrecque | Association. You keep using that word. I do not think it means what you think it means
YouTube video by the Causal Inference Interest Group (CIIG)
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Mattan S. Ben-Shachar @mattansb.msbstats.info · 10/05/2026
When I was still a neurocognitive psychologist it always seemed absurd when finding something in the brain was presented as if it validatwd the realness of the behavioral finding. Where do these people think behavior comes from? I was thought we settled the dualism/monism debate a while back...
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Prof. Nicole Holliday @mixedlinguist.bsky.social · 10/05/2026
No one should ever use this b.s., especially not in the social sciences. The fact that we’re constantly inundated by this stuff is atrocious for the future of research.
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Josef Fruehwald @jofrhwld.bsky.social · 07/05/2026
Now on LingMethodsHub, @rpuggaardrode.bsky.social's tutorial on multitaper spectra in R!
lingmethodshub.github.io
Generating and analyzing multitaper spectra in R – LingMethodsHub
This is a tutorial showing how to generate multitaper spectra in R and how to compute spectral moments and DCT coefficients from multitaper spectra.
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Vincent Arel-Bundock @vincentab.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Do you know a good framework to document data analysis choices? Ex: dropping obs, recoding a var, tuning pars, model + test statistics, etc. Ideally human-readable so people don't have to read my entire codebase. Low-maintenance+ machine-readable for bonus points! #RStats #PyData
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Iris van Rooij 💭 @irisvanrooij.bsky.social · 16/02/2025
3 main take aways: (1) Scientific inference cannot be automated or proceduralized. (2) Not heeding the warning in (1) will necessarily limit our ability for scientific discovery and understanding. (3) The only way not to limit scientific discovery is to allow for unbounded pluralism. /end
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elia ayoub @ayoub.bsky.social · 01/05/2026
How does one even react to such daily savagery
Mosab Abu Toha: I am so heartbroken.
Israel has just shot my 30-year-old aunt in the chest while she was sitting with her three young children in a school shelter in Jabalia Camp. She is in critical condition; the bullet pierced her chest and exited through her back, devastating her lungs and spleen.
At the moment she was hit, she was holding her one-year-old son. He fell from her lap as she collapsed and was found bleeding from one of his ears.
I just spoke with my uncle, who told me that Israel has been using subsonic bullets lately. He said his sister is the second mother in the camp to be shot in the chest today.
Please pray for her and our family. Her husband was abducted by Israel in November 2024, and we still have no word on his condition.
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 30/04/2026
📣 The difference between replicable and not replicable is not itself scientifically replicable. 📣 New work with Erkan Buzbas, showing that verdicts such as "X% of results replicated" are based on an inferential machinery that doesn't work. arxiv.org/abs/2604.26268
Screenshot of a paper's title page. Title: "The Difference Between 'Replicable' and 'Not replicable' is not Itself Scientifically Replicable". Authors: Berna Devezer and Erkan O. Buzbas, both at the University of Idaho — Devezer in the Department of Business and the Institute for Modeling Collaboration and Innovation, Buzbas in the Department of Mathematics and Statistical Science. Authors contributed equally. Corresponding author: bdevezer@uidaho.edu.
Abstract: Replication studies estimate the replicability rate of scientific results by aggregating binary verdicts of experiments. Exact replications are rarely attainable, so most replication sequences are non-exact. Experiments differ in ways that matter and do not share a single common data-generating process. We formalize two statistical interpretations of this non-exactness. In a shared latent rate model (benchmark), experiments are exchangeable and depend on a common random replicability rate. In a conditionally independent rates model (operational), each experiment has its own replicability rate drawn independently from a population distribution. Under the shared latent rate model, even small variability among replicability rates induces an irreducible variance floor on the estimated mean replicability rate that cannot be eliminated by adding more replications. Under the conditionally independent rates model, the degree of non-exactness is not identifiable from standard replication data, because one binary verdict per experiment contains no information about between-experiment heterogeneity. Researchers therefore cannot tell which precision regime they are operating in or whether high- and low-replicability sequences can be distinguished in principle. As a result, the usual data structure of one binary verdict per experiment cannot support reliable demarcation between "replicable" and "not replicable" results and systematically understates uncertainty, making high- and low-replicability sequences appear discrim…
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Eileen Clancy 🧿 @clancyny.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Lebanese journalist Amal Khalil was killed today in a targeted Israeli strike. The IDF fired live rounds and stun grenades at the Red Cross ambulances trying to reach her. She is the 4th journalist killed by Israel while in the field since 2 March. Photo via X @HindRFoundation.
Amal Khalil smiling, standing with the backdrop of the hills of Lebanon. She is holding a microphone with a windscreen with a logo.
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Mai El-Sadany @maitelsadany.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Harrowing news as journalist Amal Khalil has been killed by Israel in a strike on Tayri in south Lebanon in violation of the ceasefire. Israeli forces prevented the Red Cross from rescuing her. This on the eve of Israel-Lebanon talks tells you everything you need to know.
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Jake Godin @godin.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Particularly alarming that this includes Lebanon & Gaza. I had just shared imagery from March 18 showing the demolition of villages along the southern border of Lebanon by the IDF and now not even that imagery is available: bsky.app/profile/godi... Mass demolitions haven't stopped in Gaza, either.
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Olivia Guest · Ολίβια Γκεστ @olivia.science · 05/04/2026
Anybody who isn't cooked by hype and has worked with these systems knows the technicians do tons of preprocessing, that racism and sexism are built-in due to the datasets, and that a doctor in the loop is invaluable.
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Ricardo Gómez López @filoblogia.bsky.social · 31/03/2026
#EMHA Euskara munduko hizkuntzalaritza argitalpenetan Zuloaga, Eneko & Dorota Krajewska. 2026. Basque catechisms in the Early Modern period. In E. Parina & D. Bronner (arg.), Contents of faith in transfer. Berlin, Heidelberg: J. B. Metzler. doi.org/10.1007/978-... 🔓
doi.org
Basque Catechisms in the Early Modern Period
This paper provides an overview of Basque catechisms published during the Early Modern period, specifically between the sixteenth and nineteenth centuries. We have established a corpus of 75 printed d...
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Olivia Guest · Ολίβια Γκεστ @olivia.science · 27/03/2026
Pretty sure this will be reversed once legal notices... who knows... but it should be only opt in as I understand GDPR Regardless, use it as an excuse to tell your university to move off this platform
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Emanuel Maiberg @emanuelmaiberg.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
after much deliberation and giving AI the benefit of the doubt, Wikipedia editors have had enough of AI slop. New policy bans LLM generated content, periodt www.404media.co/wikipedia-ba...
404media.co
Wikipedia Bans AI-Generated Content
“In recent months, more and more administrative reports centered on LLM-related issues, and editors were being overwhelmed.”
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Jeff Sharlet @jeffsharlet.bsky.social · 26/03/2026
We don't have to submit. I've said a long time that inevitability is the first lie of fascism. Think about that when AI boosters say there's no choice. There is. There always is.
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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Statistical Rethinking 2026 is done: 20 new lectures emphasizing logical and critical statistical workflow, from basics of probability theory to causal inference to reliable computation to sensitivity. It's all free, made just for you. Lecture list and links: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 21/03/2026
Psychology has a whole cottage industry in which people come up with some construct that is essentially "attitudes/beliefs/expectations/feelings about X", and then the central claim is that this construct is a super important determinant of future X outcomes.>
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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 06/03/2026
Like many methodologists, I often find myself arguing with someone that their method/epistemology makes no sense. That someone thinks I am arguing against their *conclusions*. But I am arguing they have no justification for their conclusions. Is there a philosophical term for this problem/confusion?
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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
"the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper." Retraction of 2023 paper that did not use the reported variables. The replication report is astonishing www.nature.com/articles/s41... Pre-publication peer review remains undefeated in laundering bullshit
My effort to reproduce this paper began as part of the Institute for Replication’s ongoing project to systematically examine the reproducibility and robustness of papers in Nature Human Behaviour3; my participation in this endeavour was approved by the Ethical Review Board of Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam’s School of Business and Economics. Inspecting the paper’s first two figures revealed a mathematical impossibility. There are nine EU countries that experienced zero terror attacks during the study’s time frame. However, the paper reports that the inverse hyperbolic sine of these countries’ per capita attack rates are positive, and increase or decrease over time. This is impossible; the inverse hyperbolic sine of zero is zero4. The main outcome variable displayed in the paper’s second figure is hard-coded in the replication data as ‘DVSin’. Figure 1’s top row of plots shows that DVSin is negatively correlated with both terrorist attack rates (r = −0.107, two-sided P = 0.024) and their inverse hyperbolic sine (r = −0.108, two-sided P = 0.022). These plots also show that in the 305/420 country-year observations after 2006 experiencing zero terror attacks (72.6%), DVSin takes on 292 different positive values. This implies that the paper’s main outcome variable cannot possibly be constructed as described in the paper.
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Frank Harrell @f2harrell.bsky.social · 18/02/2026
#Statistics thought of the day: If you think you can find new disease subtypes by empirically clustering patients, think again: www.fharrell.com/post/cluster... #StatsSky
fharrell.com
The Burden of Demonstrating Statistical Validity of Clusters – Statistical Thinking
Patient clustering, often described as the finding of new phenotypes, is being used with increasing frequency in the medical literature. Most of the applications of clustering of observations are not ...
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Berna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
On the publication bias discourse, I regret that metascience has become a source of decontextualized, low-res, bean-counting-focused `science is in crisis' narratives. It is largely uncurious abt science, desperately lacking in theory & measurement. I'll quote a few takes I liked & add my thoughts🧵
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 11/02/2026
A variation: Scientists who claim they’re “not interested in causality” because they assume the term only applies to deterministic, law-like relationships that are unrealistic in their field. Instead, they’re interested in how “X drives Y”, the effects of X, the “extent to which X matters for Y”>
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Richard McElreath 🐈‍⬛ @rmcelreath.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
I am doing a short workshop in this symposium (quoted below) for folks in and around Leipzig. Here's the abstract. I really indulged myself with this one. A Guerilla Approach to Scientific Workflow:
Title: A Guerilla Approach to Scientific Workflow

Abstract: Taking inspiration from guerilla warfare, I will introduce a framework for managing scientific research that addresses the complexity of research while advancing goals of transparency and reliability. Real science is complex, and there is no single scientific method. It is a chaotic network of theories, data, models, graphs, comparisons, summaries, and narratives. A flaw in any part can ruin everything. How can small teams of researchers challenge this complexity and emerge victorious? More statistical training is not enough. More resources is not enough. Lawrence of Arabia once said, "Guerrilla warfare is more intellectual than a bayonet charge." And this is how we too will proceed. Instead of confronting the complexity directly, with more money and more people and more data and more meta-analyses, we must develop a SCIENTIFIC WORKFLOW that subdivides, analyzes, and transparently justifies our individual research projects. The tools to do this already exist, and individual researchers can become scientific guerillas today to improve their chances of victory.
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Ekaitz Etxeberria Gallastegi @ekaitzetxeberria.bsky.social · 04/02/2026
📢 🏰 Aurten ere Historia Euskaraz hitzaldi zikloa bueltan da! Oraingoan EHUn egiten ditugun ikerketak zabaltzea asmoa daukan ekimena Gasteizko Bibat museoan izango dugu. Otsailaren 11tik martxoaren 4ra, asteazkenero, 19:00etan. Animatu zaitezte!
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