Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 01/10/2026Trump's interview with the NYT about a year ago already provided a bleak picture of his mental state and ability to coherently answer questions, but this is truly deranged. 000
Reposted by Thomas Klebeljon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 29/09/2026"Replication crisis" reforms like preregistration & pre-analysis plans were developed to control false positives in experimental research. Does that work in observational studies? Our new paper in Sociological Methods & Research argues for a different approach. 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... 28129
Reposted by Thomas KlebelNature Portfolio @natureportfolio.nature.com · 06/09/2026Nearly half of all polarization research focuses on the US, yet many American findings are global outliers. A Review in Nature Communications argues that a globally equitable understanding requires bridging traditional social science with new approaches leveraging social media and AI. 🧪go.nature.comToward an integrated and globally equitable understanding of political polarization - Nature CommunicationsNearly half of all polarization research focuses on the United States, yet many American findings are global outliers. A globally equitable understanding requires bridging traditional social science with new approaches leveraging social media and AI. 0239
Reposted by Thomas KlebelPaul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 27/08/2026📢 The Causal Data Science Meeting 2026 is back! Join us virtually on Nov 4–5 for two days of discussion on #causality in ML & AI, with Teppo Felin as our first keynote speaker. No fees, no proceedings—just research, feedback & exchange. 📅 Submit by Sept 30 ✉️ submission@causalscience.org 0104
Reposted by Thomas KlebelJacob T. Levy @jacobtlevy.bsky.social · 24/08/2026On this day in 2018. Kieran @kjhealy.co ‘s obituary will include the MacArthur essay and “Fuck Nuance,” but for a particular niche audience of connoisseurs, this is his masterpiece. 1035984
Reposted by Thomas KlebelOlivia Guest · Ολίβια Γκεστ @olivia.science · 15/08/2026Watch this short clip to the end to understand what level (maximum) of white supremacy we're dealing with here. 1/n 24771251
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 13/08/2026Job alert: there is an open position for a full professor in data analysis (focus on natural language processing) at Uni Graz. I've recently started in the same "department" (the IDea_Lab), and it's a great place to work. You can find all relevant info below - reach out if you have any questions! 010
Reposted by Thomas KlebelJana Lasser @janalasser.eurosky.social · 24/07/2026The University of Graz invites applications for a full professorship in Data Analysis, with a focus on Natural Language Processing! For details, see ▶️ job ad jobs.uni-graz.at/en/jobs/f38f... ▶️ fact sheet cloud.uni-graz.at/s/RA92YSf29z...jobs.uni-graz.atUniversität Graz 1915
Reposted by Thomas KlebelCopim @copim.bsky.social · 23/07/2026NEW POST: 'Wiley’s Acquisition of Emerald: Some observations from Copim': copim.pub/wileys-acqui... The post explores issues of scale and corporate consolidation in academic publishing raised by the acquisition, heightened by the emphasis on the anticipated role of #AI. #Scale #AcademicPublishingcopim.pubWiley’s Acquisition of Emerald: Some observations from Copim - CopimCopim reflects on Wiley’s acquisition of Emerald and the issues of scale and corporate consolidation in academic publishing. 01414
Reposted by Thomas KlebelAlina Herderich, PhD @hailina.bsky.social · 22/07/2026New tutorial on a core CSS problem: Text classification often treats "is this valid" and "does this model work" as separate questions hurting measurement quality. We propose "computational social mixed methods" to unify annotation, ML & stats into one coherent pipeline: doi.org/10.3758/s134... 🧵 1124
Reposted by Thomas Klebelruggsea @ruggsea.eurosky.social · 01/07/2026Here's my new blogpost on the dataset I have created alongside @ksolovev.com: we decided to solve the issue of data availability for research on news articles by processing, cleaning, tagging and indexing the whole news subset of the Common Crawl, resulting in cs2.uni-graz.at/blog/infini-... 12011
Reposted by Thomas KlebelEric Schares @eschares.bsky.social · 24/06/2026OpenAlex announces an improvement to their corresponding author assignment. Haven’t checked it out in detail yet, but big if true. This data field is one of the main gaps that cause me pain.blog.openalex.orgA big improvement to our corresponding-author data - OpenAlex blogWe’ve made a major, systematic improvement to how OpenAlex finds and assigns corresponding authors, and the corresponding institutions tied to them. On a hand-checked gold standard, precision rose fro... 075
Reposted by Thomas KlebelJason Koebler @jasonkoebler.bsky.social · 15/06/2026New: Researchers have quantified how easy AI search is to manipulate. Just 13 words buried in a random Reddit comment can poison AI search results. They suggest this is not easy to stop: "The way you can attack these systems is so much dumber than you think it is" www.404media.co/it-is-trivia...404media.coIt Is Trivially Easy to Use Reddit to Manipulate AI Search, Research Suggests"We show that a tiny snippet—just 13 words—of retrieved text on a UGC website like Reddit, Wikipedia, Quora, or Facebook can change AI agents to output spam / scam content pretty consistently." 5029761170
Reposted by Thomas KlebelBart Penders @penders.bsky.social · 12/06/2026Join us as a postdoctoral researcher! "Invisible Knowledge Work in Open Science Practices", funded by OSNL #STS #metascience Come help us map and understand the invisible labour that enables, allows, supports and shapes #openscience, and lets it grow. Mostly #qual work, with small #quant pockets.academictransfer.comPostdoctoral Researcher Invisible knowledge work in open science practicesWelcome to Maastricht University! Are you an ambitious post-doctoral researcher with an Open Science mindset who seeks to unravel the threads of visibility and invisibility of staff across research pr... 13840
Reposted by Thomas KlebelBerna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 04/06/2026Wonderful news! Journal of Research on Research is launched. "if you are a researcher who researches any aspect of research, then this is the journal and community for you." Worth reading the whole editorial for a transparent and thoughtful account of this amazing community-driven effort. 111042
Reposted by Thomas KlebelSamuel Moore @samuelmoore.org · 15/05/2026"SSRN, a preprint server for social sciences research, had the highest rate of hallucinated citations at nearly 2%, almost five times higher than any other major repository." www.nature.com/articles/d41...nature.comHallucinated citations highest in social sciences preprints siteMore than 140,000 fake citations across four research repositories were identified in papers and preprints published in 2025 alone. 177
Reposted by Thomas KlebelEthan Plaut @ethanplaut.bsky.social · 15/05/2026“…hallucinated references disproportionately assign credit to already prominent and male scholars, suggesting that LLM-generated errors may reinforce existing inequities in scientific recognition…” 🧪 arxiv.org/abs/2605.07723arxiv.orgLLM hallucinations in the wild: Large-scale evidence from non-existent citationsLarge language models (LLMs) are known to generate plausible but false information across a wide range of contexts, yet the real-world magnitude and consequences of this hallucination problem remain p... 13429160
Reposted by Thomas KlebelBart Penders @penders.bsky.social · 06/05/2026Under the banner "The winding road to better science", we are joining forces with our metaresearch centre and are offering ourselves as hosts for potential MSCA postdoctoral fellows. If you are interested in developing a project on or across the boundaries of #metascience and #STS, reach out! 1/ 11715
Reposted by Thomas KlebelBerna Devezer @devezer.bsky.social · 30/04/2026📣 The difference between replicable and not replicable is not itself scientifically replicable. 📣 New work with Erkan Buzbas, showing that verdicts such as "X% of results replicated" are based on an inferential machinery that doesn't work. arxiv.org/abs/2604.26268 15547205
Reposted by Thomas KlebelFenner Tanswell @fennert.bsky.social · 22/04/2026A long read about the state of AI and mathematics. davidbessis.substack.com/p/the-fall-o...davidbessis.substack.comThe fall of the theorem economyHow AI could destroy mathematics and barely touch it 1126
Reposted by Thomas KlebelJulia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 22/04/2026Good news everyone 🥳 Our (w @vincentab.bsky.social) primer on models as prediction machines (with the marginaleffects package) is finally officially published!> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...journals.sagepub.comModels as Prediction Machines: How to Convert Confusing Coefficients Into Clear Quantities - Julia M. Rohrer, Vincent Arel-Bundock, 2026Psychological researchers usually make sense of regression models by interpreting coefficient estimates directly. This works well enough for simple linear model... 11366131
Reposted by Thomas KlebelDaniel Lakens @lakens.bsky.social · 16/04/2026We are inviting applications for a two-year postdoctoral position in a collaborative meta-science project on the effectiveness of data and code sharing policies in research-performing organizations. www.tue.nl/en/working-a...tue.nlPostdoc In Meta-sciencePersonal type: Scientific staff 15265
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 09/04/2026Wait what? What qualifies one to be an Austrian between the dichotomy of German vs autistic? I was "neither", which seemed like decent outcome for an Austrian, but now you tell me I'm not even that? 🤣 010
Reposted by Thomas KlebelCharlie Warzel @cwarzel.bsky.social · 26/03/2026The AI economy looks...really precarious. So @matteowong.bsky.social & I did a bunch of reporting to try to figure out what happens when a potential bubble collides with a war in Iran and a potential resource shortage. The answer is...arguably the most dire stuff i've heard from smart ppl in a whiletheatlantic.comThe AI Boom Wasn’t Built for the Polycrisis“There are too many ways for it to fail for it not to fail.” 632169774
Reposted by Thomas KlebelJessica Hullman @jessicahullman.bsky.social · 09/03/2026Interesting paper. When science is cheap, multiverse analysis becomes the key abstraction for authors & journals to strategize for. These results suggest its the new unit of evidence authoring & review should accommodate. Related to some of my comments here: substack.com/@jessicahull... 1175
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Thanks! Was just curious because these data are usually due to all the outliers - good to see the UP+non-profit group exhibit a different pattern with lots of diamond OA! 010
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 09/03/2026Interesting that the median seems to be higher than the mean for the nonprofit+university group. At least that's what the boxplot seems to show. Any speculation on the reason? Lots of 0 APCs in that group? 100
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 02/03/2026I'm really excited about joining the group, and also very open to new ideas and collaborations - looking forward to exploring new avenues in the coming months and years. So if you want to work on something together, just reach out and let's chat! 010
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 02/03/2026I'll also continue doing research on research, thinking about causality, and all the other fun stuff of understanding our social world better, one step at a time. 110
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 02/03/2026Today I had the pleasure of starting my new role at the Complex Social & Computational Systems group of @janalasser.eurosky.social at University of Graz as a Senior Scientist, to support the group in research data and software engineering tasks. 282
Reposted by Thomas KlebelChristopher Barrie @cbarrie.bsky.social · 25/02/2026🧵on my new paper "Synthetic personas distort the structure of human belief systems" w Roberto Cerina I'm v excited about... 🚨 Do synthetic samples look like human samples? We compare 28 LLMs to the 2024 General Social Survey (GSS) to find out + develop host of diagnostics... 618282
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 22/02/2026Raises important questions: how will #scholcomm adapt, which norms around publishing will emerge? How will research assessment work in the future? What do we want "research" to look like? Curious to see where @socarxiv.bsky.social will end up with their policy. 012
Reposted by Thomas KlebelSimon Willison @simonwillison.net · 18/02/2026Gift link (hope it works) for the @ftrain.bsky.social NY Times piece on the impact of post-November-2025 coding agents (like Claude Code) on the cost of developing software - it's very worth a read www.nytimes.com/2026/02/18/o...nytimes.comOpinion | The A.I. Disruption We’ve Been Waiting for Has Arrived 67718
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 14/02/2026It lays bare all the existing issues with academia, valuing quantity over quality as the most pressing one. We'll need to find solutions fast, I guess. 000
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 14/02/2026"The 2026 International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML) has received more than 24,000 submissions — more than double that of the 2025 meeting." That's just absurd. Maybe there was substantial growth before, but this is clearly unsustainable. 100
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 13/02/2026This article by Willem Halffman & Serge Horbach provides great insight into the imaginaries underlying this question: should everything be published (in machine readable form), or only a curated selection? What would "everything" even mean? Do published findings need to be retracted, ever?doi.orgThe Library and the Database: Contrasting Expectations in Two Imaginaries for the Research Literature - MinervaTwo competing imaginaries inform the current wave of innovations in research publishing: one that perceives ‘the literature’ as a library of research accounts, and one that sees it as a gigantic datab... 100
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 13/02/2026It also ties in with the main question underlying the whole discourse: how should dissemination of knowledge be organised for research to function efficiently? 110
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 13/02/2026Great thread, with lots of important considerations and implications for the metascience community. 110
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026But I can definitely see how LLMs can be useful when solid ground-trught data is available. It seems that the data you collected will be very beneficial to the metascience community as a benchmark, both for newer open LLMs, but also for general extraction of interesting aspects in the literature. 🎉 010
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026this is a very interesting point. We conducted large scoping reviews on the impact of open science, and to be frank, parts of the screening were brutal. There is lots of debate in the evidence synthesis community on using LLMs and similar tools, and I'm not sure about the consensus yet. 110
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026A Bayesian model-based framework simply seems more in line with what people actually do, and also more productive in the long-term. 010
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026What would the usual response be? To pre-register more? On this I'd agree with what @sabinaleonelli.bsky.social said today at the @tier2-project.eu final event. Heavily summarising: preregistration might be worthwhile in some domains, but certainly not in all. 110
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Also points to the need to move away from single tests to more comprehensive research programmes that incrementally build scientific and subsequently statistical models in a more honest and transparent way. 100
Thomas Klebel @tklebel.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Good to see ubiquitous publication bias documented that well for an entire field. I'd expect the same to be true for sociological research, although methods are probably more diverse there. 110