iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Sverke R. Saxegaard

Philip Koop 🇨🇦 @philkoop.bsky.social · 13/05/2026

"Prediction markets have democratized the United Fruit model."

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Garrett M. Graff @vermontgmg.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

It is hard to capture what a sweeping strategic defeat the war in Iran has been for the United States. I’m going to thread here some of the posts today that try to capture those effects. Here’s the first:

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Albert Pinto @70sbachchan.bsky.social · 31/03/2026

No way the fall of Rome was this cringe x.com/NC_Renic/sta...

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Eric G. E. Nilsen @egen97.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

Do Trump's threat of withdrawal from NATO affect Europeans' willingness to spend money on defence and their attitudes towards the alliance? In my and Hannah Barretts research note in IO we present a pre-registered experiment in three European NATO countries, performed before the US 2024 election.

cambridge.org

How Threats of American Withdrawal from NATO Affect European Public Attitudes Toward Defense | International Organization | Cambridge Core

How Threats of American Withdrawal from NATO Affect European Public Attitudes Toward Defense

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Ulrik Eriksen @ulriken1.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

Bare legger denne her så noen fra Rødt kanskje får sett den. Husholdningene med høyest inntekt kjører 10 ganger lenger med bil i året, enn husholdninger med lavest inntekt.

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Jason "Red5" Lyall @jaylyall.bsky.social · 24/03/2026

Was it a wooden horse?

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mtsw @mtsw.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

a lot of discussion about how "cosmopolitan" urban dwellers are, but a really underdiscussed trend is the homogenization of culture across *rural* areas of the USA - replacement of once-distinct regional cultures with generic "redneck" accent and culture, regional religions with evanglicalism etc

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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 02/03/2026

moving to the notoriously geopolitics free region of (checks notes) the middle east.

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𝙅𝙖𝙘🍩𝙗 𝙉𝙮𝙧𝙪𝙥 @jacobnyrup.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

I have had an interesting time asking Claude Code to write papers and review papers since I suspect that this tool - and other agentic AIs - will be a major challenge (and opportunity) for political science, and wanted to get a better understanding of this. Three thoughts:

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Frode Andresen @frodeandresen.bsky.social · 16/02/2026

Norge sier veldig klart til Kina at det er uaktuelt å gå videre med en frihandelsavtale så lenge de støtter Russland så mye i krigen mot Ukraina. Dette må samtidig tolkes som et signal om at dersom Kina justerer Ukraina-politikken sin litt, så kan frihandelsavtalen komme på bordet igjen.

altinget.no

USAs oppførsel gjør Kina mer spiselig for Norge igjen - Altinget

Norge vil ikke godta USAs betingelser for videre samarbeid. Samtidig ser regjeringen tegn til at Kina vil balansere Ukraina-politikken sin mer, noe som kan få en frihandelsavtale med Norge på bordet i...

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Mae Nick Phra Khanong @nickjbrumfield.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

The son of a South Asian immigrant from Uganda serving as the secret police chief of the United States calling for Americans to prioritize a settler colonial state in the Middle East populated by settlers from across Europe and MENA and they say the right-wing is anti-globalization

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James @gravitysra1nbow.bsky.social · 10/02/2026

BAAAAAAABE BABE BABE BABE WAKE UP THEY’RE RECREATING THE 2008 FINANCIAL CRISIS FROM FIRST PRINCIPLES

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Theo Sanderson @theo.io · 08/02/2026

I made a map of 3.4 million Bluesky users - see if you can find yourself! bluesky-map.theo.io I've seen some similar projects, but IMO this seems to better capture some of the fine-grained detail

bluesky-map.theo.io

Bluesky Map

Interactive map of 3.4 million Bluesky users, visualised by their follower pattern.

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Patrick Flynn @patrickjfl.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

The geopolitical centre of gravity is shifting towards China, driven primarily by Europe's increased distance from the US under the Trump II era. We analysed decades of UN voting data to create a new US-China axis, and found the US advantage is at its lowest level this century.

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C-REX @crexuio.bsky.social · 02/02/2026

Yesterday marked 10 years since C‑REX was founded. This thread highlight what the center has done — research, PhDs, datasets, events, policy engagement and international partnerships. THREAD 🧵 www.sv.uio.no/c-rex/english/

sv.uio.no

Home - C-REX – Center for Research on Extremism

Read this story on the University of Oslo's website.

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Demo @demodemono.bsky.social · 18/01/2026

«Nå som jeg står litt på utsiden av en vanlig nyhetsredaksjon, forstår jeg bedre noe av kritikken. Den er legitim, men også noe upresis,» skriver journalist Siamak Nematpoor. Les hele teksten her: www.demodemo.no/artikler/bru...

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Doremus Schafer @doremus-schafer.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

ARE YOU MOTHERFORKING KIDDING ME, NRK?!? 👀🤯🤬🤬🤬 www.nrk.no/urix/filmet-...

Videoene gir ikke et entydig svar på hvor Pretti oppbevarte våpenet, eller om han rettet det mot agentene.

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"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 25/01/2026

Live footage of Hannah Arendt's dichotomy between violence and power.

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Kori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 21/01/2026

"Rather than waiting for the hegemon to restore an order it’s busy dismantling, create your own institutions and agreements that function as intended. Countries earn the right to principled stands by reducing their vulnerability to retaliation.” Important piece by @seva.bsky.social.

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Johan Sæbø @jsaebo.eurosky.social · 21/01/2026

Ser ut som om europas motstand, og børsuro, har gjort at Trump chickens out, igjen. Han prøver seg på all mulig utpressing men gir seg om det koster ham noe. Så sørg for å true tilbake. USA har militæret sitt, europa, japan, kina etc har handel, eierskap, og statsobligasjoner. Det er en balanse der

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Nicolai von Ondarza @nvondarza.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

Looks like the EU-US trade deal is now dead, with all three major groups in the EU Parliament calling at least for suspension. The downward spiral has already begun.

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James Cameron @jjjcameron.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

I'm guessing now might be a good time to get some non-US cloud storage and email solutions. Any recommendations?

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Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 17/01/2026

The hitherto toughest test to Nordic solidarity is beginning. Last time the Nordics failed to stick together, Norway and Denmark got occupied by nazi Germany and Finland invaded by the Soviet Union.

ft.com

Trump to hit Europe with 10% tariffs until Greenland deal is agreed

US president said levies against eight nations would rise to 25% unless they support his acquisition of the island

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Seva @seva.bsky.social · 13/01/2026

I just finished a three-year term as an editor at an international relations journal. I began at the start of the LLM era but ended right in the middle of it. Our volume of submissions tripled and our desk reject rate rose to 75%. I have some thoughts. open.substack.com/pub/hegemon/...

open.substack.com

The Age of Academic Slop is Upon Us

what happens when AI automates "normal science"?

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lastpositivist.bsky.social @lastpositivist.bsky.social · 11/01/2026

If I was the commander in chief of the Imperial hegemon I would simply not dismantle the network of military and diplomatic alliances, favourable trade deals, and broad cultural paramountcy that had made my nation the most wealthy and powerful the world has ever seen.

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Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 07/01/2026

Here is a masterly presentation of the numerous armed groups in Venezuela that may be jockeying for power. It highlights the horizontal rifts and the vertical ones between the localized colectivo paramilitaries and the regime. theconversation.com/venezuelas-c...

theconversation.com

Venezuela’s civil-military alliance is being stretched — if it breaks, numerous armed groups may be drawn into messy split

How various factions respond to the Trump administration’s threat to be the de facto ruler of the country could quickly inflame domestic tensions and lead to conflict.

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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

So there was a deal: “Rodríguez, a canny political operator, was envisaged as head of a transitional government in secret talks that her politician brother, Jorge, led with Washington last year about a post-Maduro future.”

ft.com

The woman with Donald Trump’s nod to lead Venezuela

Washington has built its transition plans around vice-president Delcy Rodríguez, a canny operator close to the oil industry

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Elizabeth N. Saunders @profsaunders.bsky.social · 05/01/2026

🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/

From State Dept transcript of Rubio appearance on This Week w/ George Stephanopolous:

SECRETARY RUBIO: Well, we’re not going to judge moving forward based simply on what’s said in press conferences. We want to see action here at the end of the day. Rhetoric is one thing. You see rhetoric for a lot of different reasons. There’s a lot of different reasons why people go on TV and say certain things in these countries, especially 15 hours or 12 hours after the person who used to be in charge of the regime is now in handcuffs and on his way to New York.

So what I will say is, moving forward, it’s very simple. We’re not going to be reactive here to statements at press conferences or what people say in a certain interview or what some media post – some media post somewhere. What we are going to react to is very simple: What do you do? Not what you’re saying in public – what happens? What happens next? Do the drugs stop coming? Are the changes made? Is Iran expelled? Is Hizballah no longer able and Iran no longer able to operate against our interests from Venezuela? Does the migration pattern stop? Do the drug trafficking boats end? Do you deal with the ELN and the FARC, two narcoterrorist organizations who control territory and operate with impunity from the territory of Venezuela against the interests of Colombia and the United States?

These are the things we want addressed. If they are addressed, that’s how we’ll judge it. If they’re not addressed, that’s how we’ll judge it.

QUESTION: And what happens if they’re not addressed?

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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 05/01/2026

The US has loads of military installations in Europe. It likes to pretend this is for Europe’s protection, but this is only partly true. Ramstein, as mentioned here by the Greens’FP expert is a good example. If the US decides to attack Greenland, throwing out US mil installations should be discussed

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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

Huge protest in Tehran's southern Naziabad neighborhood. Streets jammed. #Iran

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Djinn & Tonic @djinnandtonic.bsky.social · 04/01/2026

I'm going to elaborate on this, because holy shit, last night - thank you everyone who engaged in respectful back and forth, it felt like Plato's Republic in here lmao - I had a brain blast So, the problem: Caesar has come. He intend to end the republic. For the military, there are three "worlds"

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Bjørn Ihler @bjornih.bsky.social · 03/01/2026

Today's actions make an already complex international order even more complex. It makes an unpredictable world, even more unpredictable. And jeopardizes international trust and stability in ways we can't yet grasp the extent of. As a result; our world is less safe.

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Dustin Johnson 🇺🇦🇨🇦🇬🇱🇵🇸 @warandcoffee.eurosky.social · 03/01/2026

There's zero legal basis for the US to use force against Venezuela, which is a sovereign state. It's as much illegal aggression as Russia invading Ukraine, and unconstitutional violation of war powers as well.

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Twlldun @twlldun.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

Please quote this with the time you didn’t interact with someone famous - eg one time I was in Cardiff the same weekend as Willem Dafoe (but I didn’t see him or even know he was there until he appeared on the telly later)

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Søren Torbjørn Svendsen @sorentsvendsen.eurosky.social · 30/12/2025

For tredje dag kører en ny omgang protester i Iran og på tværs af landet. Denne gang med et udgangspunkt i de økonomiske forhold. Landet har været igennem adskillige protestbevægelser de sidste mange år. Hvad bliver resultatet af denne?

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Tom Roberts @tpgroberts.bsky.social · 28/12/2025

A fascinating case of "what variable have you actually accidentally measured?"

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James Holloway: monsterman.org @gonzohistory.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

So D&D is medieval (kinda sorta) in its clothing and technology, with castles and knights and things you might find in medieval *literature* like wizards and dragons, but it has a lot of elements of the western in how it thinks about "civilisation" and "wildness" and whatnot.

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Alex Ip 葉清霖 @alexip718.com · 17/12/2025

Behold: the first-ever list of news outlets that have banned generative AI in their reporting. As of today, this is literally information that you cannot find on Google. My goal is to fill the starter pack, so please send over suggestions with supporting evidence! go.bsky.app/8cn1XfT

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Department of Political Science, University of Oslo @statsvitenskap.bsky.social · 19/12/2025

📢 New article 👤 Sverke Runde Saxegaard @sverke.bsky.social 👉 Careful what you promise: Executive constraints and conflict recurrence 📗 Open Access in Journal of Peace Research 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0022...

doi.org

Sage Journals: Discover world-class research

Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.

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Carl T. Bergstrom @carlbergstrom.com · 15/12/2025

There's a cross-platform uniformity to how LLMs bullshit you. Today I was designing an exercise for a responisble-use of-LLMs course we are designing for NIH trainees. I asked ChatGPT to complete one of Claude Shannon's original guessing games: "There is no reverse on a __(10 letters)__"

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Shibley Telhami @stelhami.bsky.social · 15/12/2025

Trump reportedly sent "stern private message" to Netanyahu stressing that killing of top Hamas commander over the weekend was a violation of the ceasefire agreement brokered by Trump. But if the scolding is not done in public, it's as if it didn't happen. www.axios.com/2025/12/15/i...

axios.com

Scoop: White House scolded Netanyahu for violating Gaza ceasefire with strike

U.S. officials are getting fed-up with Netanyahu.

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Sverke R. Saxegaard @sverke.bsky.social · 14/12/2025

Folk som er uenige, men som gir hverandre tid til å resonnere og faktisk prøver å forstå hverandre? I 2025? Sjølpolarisering er et av de kuleste medie-prosjektene for tiden. Spesielt god episode om striden rundt årets nobelpris syns jeg.

open.spotify.com

SJØLPOLARISERING: Striden om Nobels fredspris

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Jan Eijking @janeijking.com · 12/12/2025

Is it really *that* obvious when something is AI written? People seem super confident they can spot it, but the avg LinkedIn post in the era B.GPT. (RIP) was exactly like it: triplets, em dashes, “not X but Y” — (I swear I wrote this!) — now everything just sounds more like LinkedIn. Even LinkedIn.

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