Reposted by Rob McClellandJoey Politano🏳️🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 12/05/2026NEW: US CPI inflation rose to 3.8% year-on-year in data released this morning, hitting the highest level since 2023 while increasing 0.6% month-on-month Core CPI inflation rose to 2.8% year-on-year, increasing 0.4% month-on-month 717848
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 09/07/2025On Aug 1, tariff rates are scheduled to rise to historic highs. average tariffs on women’s clothing will rise to 48 percent, wine to 20 percent, and toys to nearly 50 percent. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/too-m... 61638285
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 08/07/2025New from my colleague John Wong and myself: in August tariffs on women's clothing will rise to 48%, Men's to 39%. Dolls, toys and games will be tariffed at nearly 50%. The effect may be delayed, but eventually these rates will very likely hurt the economy taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/too-m...taxpolicycenter.orgToo Many Goods Are About To Face Historically High TariffsShould historically high tariff rates go into effect on a wide range of goods, consumer prices will rise, employment and incomes in downstream industries will fall, and profits will shrink. The value ... 010
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 12/06/2025What would the One Big Beautiful Bill Act do to charitable giving? Elena Patel and I try answer that question www.brookings.edu/articles/one...brookings.eduOne Big, Beautiful Bill complicates charitable givingChanges to charitable giving deductions will make it the system more complicated without increasing donations. 012
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 10/06/2025The 15th annual TPC-IRS conference on tax administration takes place this Thursday. It's not too late to register. www.irs.gov/statistics/f...irs.govFifteenth annual IRS-TPC Joint Research Conference on Tax Administration | Internal Revenue ServiceThe Internal Revenue Service and the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center plan to co-sponsor their 15th annual tax administration research conference next year. It will be held on June 12, 2025, at the U... 010
Reposted by Rob McClellandAEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · 22/04/2025Congratulations to newly elected Distinguished Fellows Susan M. Collins, Barbara M. Fraumeni, Joseph P. Newhouse, and Timothy Taylor. #econsky aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...aeaweb.orgDistinguished Fellows 053
Reposted by Rob McClellandDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 22/04/2025More on Stantcheva, who btw is an immigrant from Bulgaria. www.imf.org/en/Publicati....imf.orgGetting Into People's HeadsMarjorie Henriquez profiles Harvard’s Stefanie Stantcheva, who uses surveys and experiments to uncover the invisible in traditional economic data 0127
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 27/03/2025www.wxyz.com/news/chaos-u...wxyz.com'Chaos': UAW Local 600 reacts to Cleveland-Cliffs Dearborn Works layoffsUnited Auto Workers leaders say they were blindsided by the announcement of layoffs at Cleveland-Cliffs Dearborn Works, a plant that supplies steel for the auto industry. 000
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Regardless, I wouldn't count on the uncertainty disappearing on April 2. 000
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Continued uncertainty as to what will happen on April 2. Once these plans are announced, other nation's retaliatory tariffs will likely follow. And, of course, tariffs announced on April 2 could later change. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...msn.comMSN 010
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 19/03/2025"Liberation" from what? A strong economy and stable business environment? www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...washingtonpost.comTrump aides prep new tariffs on imports worth trillions for ‘Liberation Day’The administration has already unnerved investors with duties on Canada, Mexico and China. Advisers are readying a bigger move. 2934475
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 19/03/2025In the short run, Americans will face some combination of higher costs, higher unemployment, and lower profits/reduced values of retirement accounts. In the long run, universal tariffs that try to force all economic activity to "retreat to Fortress America" will likely lead to widespread hardship. 010
Reposted by Rob McClellandAndrew Ho @andrewdeanho.bsky.social · 14/03/2025Research with restricted-use data is more precise, powerful, and relevant. Faculty and staff will be working through the weekend to answer important research questions before we no longer can. This is not normal, necessary, or efficient. 36038
Reposted by Rob McClellandMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 06/03/2025"Quite simply and astonishingly, this is dismantling the National Park Service as we know it, ranger by ranger and brick by brick.” This is myopic, execrable policy, which is why vast majorities of Republicans and Democrats do not want it. Poll data—> www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/2/...npca.orgParks Group Warns of Dismantling of the National Park Service"Quite simply and astonishingly, this is dismantling the National Park Service as we know it, ranger by ranger and brick by brick." - Theresa Pierno, NPCA's President and CEO 0209
Reposted by Rob McClellandBirdman @birdman100.bsky.social · 05/03/2025Mathematica. Urban. Child trends. Abt. Among many others Are getting smashed. As are government analysts who often have phd or masters. The whole field is likely to get smashed. And u say will take decades to rebuild. :(. And ironically its very bipartisan. For decades. Until now. 1111
Reposted by Rob McClellandStephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social · 05/03/2025I wrote a short blog post about the tragedy currently unfolding in the evaluation industry. Trump is destroying vital research capacity and decades of instructional knowledge for pocket change. 1/x rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/the-irr...rooseveltinstitute.orgThe Irreparable Damage Being Done to Federal Policy Research and Evaluation - Roosevelt InstituteThough their goals obviously differed, Republican and Democratic administrations have for decades relied on the work of social scientists both within and outside the government to conduct research on ... 8304143
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 04/03/2025You can't grow the economy by retarding economic activity 031
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 27/02/2025110 of 363 Taxpayer Assistance Centers and 5 of 10 call centers are going to be shut down, per a meeting that just happened at the IRS. During tax season. 12727511244
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 25/02/2025Nothing has happened yet, but even unsuccessful attempts to alter government statistics would be deeply troubling. 000
Reposted by Rob McClellandJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Vance is threatening to isolate Russia from the global economy and Trump is promising to isolate the United States from the global economy. 820135
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 07/02/2025More tariff threats www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...reuters.comExclusive: Trump told GOP lawmakers he plans to announce reciprocal tariffs as early as Friday - sourcesPresident Donald Trump told Republican lawmakers that he plans to announce reciprocal tariffs as early as Friday, two sources familiar with the plans told Reuters. 000
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 06/02/2025The Tax Policy Center estimates that the change in revenues (2025-2035) from tariffs on imports from Mexico & Canada starting March 1 and on China starting Feb 4 would raise $1.2 trillion, of which $328 billion comes from tariffs on imports from China taxpolicycenter.org/model-estima...taxpolicycenter.orgT25-0016 – Impose Additional Tariffs on Imported Goods From China, Canada, and Mexico 011
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025Wow, that was fast. Irving Energy, company that provides propane/fuel oil customers in New England, says it will pass on the full 10% tariff cost to all their customers immediately (reposting with fixed figure - meant to say 10%, not 30%) 24764962243
Reposted by Rob McClellandBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 31/01/2025A new analysis from the Tax Policy Center estimates that imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico would reduce after-tax incomes by nearly 1% in 2026, costing the average household the equivalent of $930 in lost income. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/25-pe... 1217059
Reposted by Rob McClellandMenzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 01/02/2025Measured policy uncertainty up, waiting for tariffs econbrowser.com/archives/202... #econsky #tariffs 3509
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 31/01/2025The Tax Policy Center estimates that a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada would reduce after-tax incomes by about 1 percent and that imports would fall by 40% by 2026. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/25-pe...taxpolicycenter.orgA 25 Percent Tariff on Canadian and Mexican Imports Would Reduce Consumers’ Average After-Tax Income by 1 Percent 011
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 23/01/2025On Tuesday Trump said he would impose a 10% tariff on China. But in 2023, the U.S. collected $44.4 billion in duties on $420.8 billion of imports, for an effective rate of 10.5%. A 10% tariff on those imports would have collected only $42.1 billion. 000
Reposted by Rob McClellandBrendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 05/01/2025To a first approximation, every domestic policy problem is a housing policy problem 414834
Reposted by Rob McClellandKimberly Clausing @kclausing.bsky.social · 03/01/2025Economists, if you’re at ASSA meetings, come join me, @jasonfurman.bsky.social, and other panelists as we discuss the Trumpian economic agenda, tomorrow (Jan 3) in San Francisco. Hilton Plaza A 10:15.ore.as 093
Reposted by Rob McClellandChristian Weller @profcew.bsky.social · 02/01/2025Going to #ASSA2025 and looking forward to catching up with old friends. We have a great LERA session on unions and racial/ethnic equality on Sat. at 2:30. Maybe I'll see you there. 0102
Reposted by Rob McClellandTim Bresnahan @timobres.bsky.social · 28/12/2024Graduate fellowship opportunity at NBER. Application deadline 1/16. Comes with community and mentorship. @heidiwilliams.bsky.social @mclem.org www.nber.org/graduate-fel...nber.orgGraduate Fellowships on Fiscal and Economic Effects of Innovation and Productivity Policies 0105
Reposted by Rob McClellandRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 28/12/2024this abstract is INSANE 2033461
Reposted by Rob McClellandNews Eye @newseye.bsky.social · 24/12/2024Have a marvellous Christmas, Bluesky folks!🎄 Thoughts & prayers with those caught up in an unfolding situation in LA. 27789197
Reposted by Rob McClellandAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 05/12/2024Attending #ASSA2025? Want to know how to navigate your options with respect to hotels, food, & sessions given SF hotel workers' strike? @shirkandsteal.bsky.social @jennifercohen.bsky.social & I have you covered. Blog w/sign up for email updates. #EconSky aaronsojourner.org/hotel-worker... 25224
Reposted by Rob McClellandBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 11/12/2024U.S. consumer prices rose 0.3 percent in November and were up 2.7 percent from a year earlier. "Core" prices, excluding food and fuel, rose 0.3 percent from October and 3.3 percent from a year ago. #NumbersDay Data: www.bls.gov/news.release... Full coverage: www.nytimes.com/live/2024/12...bls.gov Consumer Price Index Summary - 2024 M10 Results 4407
Reposted by Rob McClellandBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 11/12/2024Charts! Consumer price inflation picked up modestly in November. That's true by basically any measure -- headline or core, monthly or annualized. #NumbersDay #EconSky 35510
Reposted by Rob McClellandWashington Post Opinions @postopinions.bsky.social · 11/12/2024What will Republicans prioritize when they regain their government trifecta next month? A tax overhaul? Energy production? Border security? Nope, writes @crampell.bsky.social. "The GOP’s first order of business: getting rid of math." wapo.st/3ZmsKXuwapo.stOpinion | The GOP’s top priority for 2025: Repeal the laws of arithmeticRepublicans are reinventing math to justify extending pricey Trump tax policies. 4125
Reposted by Rob McClellandAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 06/12/2024Many great takeaways on increasing families' access to high quality child care from multiple state researcher-agency partnerships in this set of briefs published @urbaninstitute.bsky.social. www.urban.org/policy-cente...urban.orgKey Takeaways 2019–24Explore key takeaways from the multiyear Child Care Policy Research Partnerships between state child care agencies and researchers across the US 093
Reposted by Rob McClellandJoey Politano🏳️🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 05/12/2024obviously a localized personal example but US statistical agencies have steadily only gotten better at their jobs over time, meanwhile trust in them have faltered because sitting US senators weren’t calling normal annual jobs revisions government propaganda in 1992 341232
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 05/12/2024Congressional Budget Office finds that allowing 2017 tax cuts to expire as scheduled would benefit the economy in the long term. Higher marginal tax rates would hamper growth through 2028, but lower deficits would improve growth starting in 2029 www.cbo.gov/publication/...cbo.govHow the Expiring Individual Income Tax Provisions in the 2017 Tax Act Affect CBO’s Economic Forecast | Congressional Budget OfficeCBO’s economic forecast reflects current law, including the expiration, at the end of 2025, of some provisions of the 2017 tax act. CBO analyzed how the expiration of those provisions affected project... 918449
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 26/11/2024Donald Trump has proposed a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, and an additional 10% tariff on China. Recently my colleagues at TPC and I published a brief that provides some context. taxpolicycenter.org/briefs/tarif...taxpolicycenter.orgTariffs, Trade, China, and the StatesAlthough tariffs currently constitute a very small share of US federal revenue, both President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden increased their use, and Trump now proposes significantly expanding ... 111
Reposted by Rob McClellandAdam @adamshap.bsky.social · 24/11/2024The SF Fed has a new data indicators page providing the contributions by product category to CPI, thanks to @hamza-econ.bsky.social www.frbsf.org/research-and...frbsf.orgCPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services - San Francisco FedCPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services updates price changes of the typical goods and services that U.S. households consume to understand their role in driving changes in overall consumer... 18723
Reposted by Rob McClellandAmni Rusli @amnirusli.bsky.social · 18/11/2024Trump, tariffs and prices / GS 074
Reposted by Rob McClellandAdam @adamshap.bsky.social · 13/11/2024The rent CPI level represents the prices of existing leases---this includes households who are not paying "market rate" rents As landlords slowly increase rents to catch up to market rates, so will the rent CPI. Current rent CPI inflation therefore represents a “catch-up” to market price levels 073
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 01/10/2024Switching from a charitable deduction to a matching grant would even the playing field by providing the same incentive to everyone, even non-filers. www.philanthropy.com/article/the-...philanthropy.comThe Case for Doing Away With the Charitable DeductionA tax code tweak that replaces the deduction with matching grants could encourage everyone to donate. 010
Reposted by Rob McClellandChloe N East (she/her) @chloeneast.bsky.social · 09/04/2024If you know of good qualitative work (or quantitative) about barriers to work faced by low-income adults please send it my way! Thanks! 021
Reposted by Rob McClellandDina Pomeranz @dinapomeranz.bsky.social · 04/10/2023What many people don't know: recent decades have seen incredible reductions in poverty. The poverty rate has *never before* been this low in human history. What new data is now revealing: after the setback from Covid, poverty reduction now continues! #econsky t.co/RJEfQE7PRm 59237