Reposted by Rob McClellandJoey Politano🏳️🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 12/05/2026NEW: US CPI inflation rose to 3.8% year-on-year in data released this morning, hitting the highest level since 2023 while increasing 0.6% month-on-month Core CPI inflation rose to 2.8% year-on-year, increasing 0.4% month-on-month 717848 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 09/07/2025On Aug 1, tariff rates are scheduled to rise to historic highs. average tariffs on women’s clothing will rise to 48 percent, wine to 20 percent, and toys to nearly 50 percent. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/too-m... 61638285 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 08/07/2025From US ITC: through end of May collections were $70 billion. May alone was $24 billion, so $30 billion for June is plausible, which would make the total $100 billion through June. 110 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 08/07/2025New from my colleague John Wong and myself: in August tariffs on women's clothing will rise to 48%, Men's to 39%. Dolls, toys and games will be tariffed at nearly 50%. The effect may be delayed, but eventually these rates will very likely hurt the economy taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/too-m...taxpolicycenter.orgToo Many Goods Are About To Face Historically High TariffsShould historically high tariff rates go into effect on a wide range of goods, consumer prices will rise, employment and incomes in downstream industries will fall, and profits will shrink. The value ... 010 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 12/06/2025What would the One Big Beautiful Bill Act do to charitable giving? Elena Patel and I try answer that question www.brookings.edu/articles/one...brookings.eduOne Big, Beautiful Bill complicates charitable givingChanges to charitable giving deductions will make it the system more complicated without increasing donations. 012 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 10/06/2025The 15th annual TPC-IRS conference on tax administration takes place this Thursday. It's not too late to register. www.irs.gov/statistics/f...irs.govFifteenth annual IRS-TPC Joint Research Conference on Tax Administration | Internal Revenue ServiceThe Internal Revenue Service and the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center plan to co-sponsor their 15th annual tax administration research conference next year. It will be held on June 12, 2025, at the U... 010 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 09/06/2025When I worked at BLS, I vetted applications for this program. There was some very high quality research conducted eg eml.berkeley.edu/~enakamura/p... Future research will now be lost and we will all be poorer for it.eml.berkeley.edu 000 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandAEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · 22/04/2025Congratulations to newly elected Distinguished Fellows Susan M. Collins, Barbara M. Fraumeni, Joseph P. Newhouse, and Timothy Taylor. #econsky aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...aeaweb.orgDistinguished Fellows 053 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 22/04/2025More on Stantcheva, who btw is an immigrant from Bulgaria. www.imf.org/en/Publicati....imf.orgGetting Into People's HeadsMarjorie Henriquez profiles Harvard’s Stefanie Stantcheva, who uses surveys and experiments to uncover the invisible in traditional economic data 0127 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 27/03/2025www.wxyz.com/news/chaos-u...wxyz.com'Chaos': UAW Local 600 reacts to Cleveland-Cliffs Dearborn Works layoffsUnited Auto Workers leaders say they were blindsided by the announcement of layoffs at Cleveland-Cliffs Dearborn Works, a plant that supplies steel for the auto industry. 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Regardless, I wouldn't count on the uncertainty disappearing on April 2. 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 24/03/2025Continued uncertainty as to what will happen on April 2. Once these plans are announced, other nation's retaliatory tariffs will likely follow. And, of course, tariffs announced on April 2 could later change. www.msn.com/en-us/money/...msn.comMSN 010 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 19/03/2025"Liberation" from what? A strong economy and stable business environment? www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...washingtonpost.comTrump aides prep new tariffs on imports worth trillions for ‘Liberation Day’The administration has already unnerved investors with duties on Canada, Mexico and China. Advisers are readying a bigger move. 2934475 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 19/03/2025In the short run, Americans will face some combination of higher costs, higher unemployment, and lower profits/reduced values of retirement accounts. In the long run, universal tariffs that try to force all economic activity to "retreat to Fortress America" will likely lead to widespread hardship. 010 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandAndrew Ho @andrewdeanho.bsky.social · 14/03/2025Research with restricted-use data is more precise, powerful, and relevant. Faculty and staff will be working through the weekend to answer important research questions before we no longer can. This is not normal, necessary, or efficient. 36038 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 06/03/2025"Quite simply and astonishingly, this is dismantling the National Park Service as we know it, ranger by ranger and brick by brick.” This is myopic, execrable policy, which is why vast majorities of Republicans and Democrats do not want it. Poll data—> www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/2/...npca.orgParks Group Warns of Dismantling of the National Park Service"Quite simply and astonishingly, this is dismantling the National Park Service as we know it, ranger by ranger and brick by brick." - Theresa Pierno, NPCA's President and CEO 0209 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandBirdman @birdman100.bsky.social · 05/03/2025Mathematica. Urban. Child trends. Abt. Among many others Are getting smashed. As are government analysts who often have phd or masters. The whole field is likely to get smashed. And u say will take decades to rebuild. :(. And ironically its very bipartisan. For decades. Until now. 1111 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandStephen Nuñez @socio-steve.bsky.social · 05/03/2025I wrote a short blog post about the tragedy currently unfolding in the evaluation industry. Trump is destroying vital research capacity and decades of instructional knowledge for pocket change. 1/x rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/the-irr...rooseveltinstitute.orgThe Irreparable Damage Being Done to Federal Policy Research and Evaluation - Roosevelt InstituteThough their goals obviously differed, Republican and Democratic administrations have for decades relied on the work of social scientists both within and outside the government to conduct research on ... 8304143 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 04/03/2025You can't grow the economy by retarding economic activity 031 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 02/03/2025"It hurts to understand that at Woodstock or Altamont a woman could be declared uptight or a poor sport if she didn’t want to be raped. " 020 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 02/03/2025This is a biting overview, written at the time, of the fantastic amount of misogyny women experienced. medium.com/@julien.ribe...medium.com“Goodbye to All That,” by Robin Morgan (1970)In the late 1960s and early 1970s, Rat, was one of the leading counterculture / New Left newspapers in New York City. In January 1970, a… 210 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 27/02/2025110 of 363 Taxpayer Assistance Centers and 5 of 10 call centers are going to be shut down, per a meeting that just happened at the IRS. During tax season. 12727501244 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 25/02/2025Nothing has happened yet, but even unsuccessful attempts to alter government statistics would be deeply troubling. 000 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 14/02/2025Vance is threatening to isolate Russia from the global economy and Trump is promising to isolate the United States from the global economy. 820135 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 07/02/2025More tariff threats www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...reuters.comExclusive: Trump told GOP lawmakers he plans to announce reciprocal tariffs as early as Friday - sourcesPresident Donald Trump told Republican lawmakers that he plans to announce reciprocal tariffs as early as Friday, two sources familiar with the plans told Reuters. 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 06/02/2025The Tax Policy Center estimates that the change in revenues (2025-2035) from tariffs on imports from Mexico & Canada starting March 1 and on China starting Feb 4 would raise $1.2 trillion, of which $328 billion comes from tariffs on imports from China taxpolicycenter.org/model-estima...taxpolicycenter.orgT25-0016 – Impose Additional Tariffs on Imported Goods From China, Canada, and Mexico 011 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandElisa Ramirez McClelland @ctthumper.bsky.social · 31/01/2025Tariffs... 011 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandCatherine Rampell @crampell.bsky.social · 03/02/2025Wow, that was fast. Irving Energy, company that provides propane/fuel oil customers in New England, says it will pass on the full 10% tariff cost to all their customers immediately (reposting with fixed figure - meant to say 10%, not 30%) 24764962243 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 31/01/2025A new analysis from the Tax Policy Center estimates that imposing a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico would reduce after-tax incomes by nearly 1% in 2026, costing the average household the equivalent of $930 in lost income. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/25-pe... 1217059 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandMenzie Chinn @mchinn.bsky.social · 01/02/2025Measured policy uncertainty up, waiting for tariffs econbrowser.com/archives/202... #econsky #tariffs 3509 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 31/01/2025The Tax Policy Center estimates that a 25% tariff on Mexico and Canada would reduce after-tax incomes by about 1 percent and that imports would fall by 40% by 2026. taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/25-pe...taxpolicycenter.orgA 25 Percent Tariff on Canadian and Mexican Imports Would Reduce Consumers’ Average After-Tax Income by 1 Percent 011 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 23/01/2025On Tuesday Trump said he would impose a 10% tariff on China. But in 2023, the U.S. collected $44.4 billion in duties on $420.8 billion of imports, for an effective rate of 10.5%. A 10% tariff on those imports would have collected only $42.1 billion. 000 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandBrendan Nyhan @brendannyhan.bsky.social · 05/01/2025To a first approximation, every domestic policy problem is a housing policy problem 414834 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandKimberly Clausing @kclausing.bsky.social · 03/01/2025Economists, if you’re at ASSA meetings, come join me, @jasonfurman.bsky.social, and other panelists as we discuss the Trumpian economic agenda, tomorrow (Jan 3) in San Francisco. Hilton Plaza A 10:15.ore.as 093 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 02/01/2025In addition, travel time to/from the airport etc is dead time, while I can work on the train. Even counting that, though, the train is still slower. 120 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 02/01/2025I always heard it as "if you torture the data long enough, they will confess". 190 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandChristian Weller @profcew.bsky.social · 02/01/2025Going to #ASSA2025 and looking forward to catching up with old friends. We have a great LERA session on unions and racial/ethnic equality on Sat. at 2:30. Maybe I'll see you there. 0102 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandTim Bresnahan @timobres.bsky.social · 28/12/2024Graduate fellowship opportunity at NBER. Application deadline 1/16. Comes with community and mentorship. @heidiwilliams.bsky.social @mclem.org www.nber.org/graduate-fel...nber.orgGraduate Fellowships on Fiscal and Economic Effects of Innovation and Productivity Policies 0105 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandRafe Meager (they/them) @economeager.bsky.social · 28/12/2024this abstract is INSANE 2033461 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandNews Eye @newseye.bsky.social · 24/12/2024Have a marvellous Christmas, Bluesky folks!🎄 Thoughts & prayers with those caught up in an unfolding situation in LA. 27789197 0
Reposted by Rob McClellandAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 05/12/2024Attending #ASSA2025? Want to know how to navigate your options with respect to hotels, food, & sessions given SF hotel workers' strike? @shirkandsteal.bsky.social @jennifercohen.bsky.social & I have you covered. Blog w/sign up for email updates. #EconSky aaronsojourner.org/hotel-worker... 25224 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Maybe there should be a dinosaur taxonomy starter pack for Bluesky 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Ah got it. I'm a vegetarian and try to use less awful eggs but dairy is tough. 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 17/12/2024It was a marine reptile. Pterodactyls and Pteranodons weren't dinosaurs either. 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 17/12/2024Totally bogus. They list plesiosaur and that isn't even a dinosaur. Might as well say that Wooly Mammoth is your favorite dinosaur 000 0
Rob McClelland @rob-mcclelland.bsky.social · 17/12/2024They both sound good to me. There's something unjust about Christmas cookies? 000 0