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Colin Raymond

@regclimo.bsky.social
2.8K followers 50 following 53 posts

Climate scientist at UCLA

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Reposted by Colin Raymond
NPR @npr.org · 01/10/2026
A powerful El Niño is already influencing extreme weather around the planet. During the last strong El Niño, federal agencies ramped up research in the hope of improving weather forecasts. This year, they won't be matching that effort. trib.al/dkJLZ2X
trib.al
Studying this super El Niño could save lives. NOAA is scaling back research
A powerful El Niño is already influencing extreme weather around the planet. During the last strong El Niño, federal agencies ramped up research in the hope of improving weather forecasts. This year, they won't be matching that effort.
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The New York Times @nytimes.com · 12/09/2026
In @nytopinion.nytimes.com The more Stephen Witt learns about rogue A.I. systems, he writes, “the more I am reminded of the first two months of 2020, when a small group of epidemiologists was attempting to raise alarms about Covid. We have a short window, right now, to rein these systems in.”
nyti.ms
Opinion | This Is Really Bad
We can no longer pretend that A.I. is safe.
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Casey Ivanovich @ccivanovich.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
I had the exciting opportunity to write a guest post for @carbonbrief.org about our new paper on the expansion of extreme heat seasons around the world. Take a read for a digestible summary of our approach and key results!
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
We may seem some genuinely extreme humidity levels along SoCal coastal plain Tue-Wed (yes, even worse than today). As Marie's tropical moisture lingers, temps of 90-100F will combine with dew points of 70F to nearly 80F (!), yielding heat index values as high as ~110F. #CAwx
Map showing predicted heat index values over SoCal on Wed from ECMWF model. They are widely above 100F, and locally as high as 110F.Map showing predicted humidity (dew point temperatures) over SoCal on Wed from ECMWF model. They are widely above 70F, and locally as high as 80F.
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Kai Kornhuber @kornhuber.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Excited to share our new perspective on Usable Compound Event Research: nhess.copernicus.org/articles/26/... We provide principles to navigate the pressing needs for more granular climate risk information in times of increasingly complex extreme weather events. @iiasa.ac.at @riskkan.bsky.social
nhess.copernicus.org
Invited perspectives: Towards usable compound event research
Abstract. Supporting stakeholders with science-based decision-making to mitigate and adapt to climate change impacts is a central mandate of the climate research community. In particular, mapping out ...
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CompoundNET @compoundnet.bsky.social · 29/08/2026
‘Understanding and predicting compound coastal flooding remains one of the most challenging problems in hydrologic and coastal sciences.’ Read the latest ‘State of Science’ blog on compound coastal flooding by Hamed Moftakhari: wp.me/p9wIOV-Xp @regclimo.bsky.social @cassro314.bsky.social
"State of the Science" graphic from CompoundNET featuring an open book with a lightbulb icon and the CompoundNET logo. Title: "Modeling of Compound Coastal Flooding," by Hamed Moftakhari (University of Alabama). Text below invites readers to share a brief summary of what they find most fascinating about new advances in their favorite research topic.
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Reposted by Colin Raymond
CompoundNET @compoundnet.bsky.social · 17/08/2026
🌡️ 💧 This summer we kicked off the 'State of the Science' blog series with a piece on Heat and Humidity Extremes by Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social : wp.me/p9wIOV-WU 📖 Follow along the blog series for a quick overview on the latest research in compound events, a new post is coming out soon! 👀
Graphic for 'State of the Science' blog series. Text reads: 'New Blog series: In ~400 words, tell us what you find most fascinating about the new advances in your favorite research topic!' Below is the title 'Heat and Humidity Extremes' by Colin Raymond (UCLA). Includes a lightbulb-over-book icon and the CompoundNET logo.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
For the full (short) report, see section "Humid-heat extremes over land": ametsoc.net/sotc2025/02G... #stateoftheclimate2025 With absolutely essential contributions from Kate Willett; also, thanks to co-authors @eunicelo.bsky.social @cassro314.bsky.social & Radley Horton
ametsoc.net
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
A sticky situation: measures of high humid heat in 2025 mostly ranked the 3rd or 4th highest ever (below the El Niño-driven records of 2023 and 2024). East & South Asia were particularly struck by oppressive conditions, with up to 100 days seeing values historically reached on only 36 days.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
@compoundnet.bsky.social's new "State of the Science" mini-blog series: a fully human summary of recent advances & current frontiers for compound events, hopefully of special value for ECRs. The first edition, on heat & humidity extremes, is live at bit.ly/4buNAL6. Many thx @afsribeiro.bsky.social!
compoundevents.org
Heat and Humidity Extremes (covering years 2023-26)
State of the Science Blog by Colin Raymond (UCLA) The last few years have seen considerable progress toward identifying the atmospheric processes that control the most intense humid-heat episodes1,…
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Reposted by Colin Raymond
RiskKAN @riskkan.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
The next Risk KAN Compound Events webinar will take place on Tuesday 7 July 8 am UTC. Ben Hague (@bhcoastal.bsky.social) will give a presentation on compound flooding in Australian estuaries under climate change. For meeting info: groups.google.com/u/1/g/riskka... or message @cassro314.bsky.social
Flyer displaying information mentioned in post as well as affiliations: WCRP, IRDR, WWRP, and Future Earth.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
...and for continuing to add to the evidence base supporting further investment in integrated research-to-practice efforts for compound events. Many thanks to a great team, only half on Bluesky: @cassro314.bsky.social @nickzimson.bsky.social @drchriswhite.bsky.social @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
Which compound weather and climate events mattered most in 2025? In a new report in @natrevearthenviron.nature.com we've taken a systematic global view to survey these events and their impacts across 5 typologies. rdcu.be/fmeAh We hope it proves useful for looking back on 'the year that was'...
rdcu.be
Compound weather and climate events in 2025
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - Compound weather and climate events in 2025
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Multi-hazard researchers and practitioners: Check out the new magnum opus led by Timothy Tiggeloven at @ivm-vu-amsterdam.bsky.social, with reflections and recommendations that aim to focus energy & investment at this critical juncture. Valuable for the reference list alone! doi.org/10.5194/gc-9...
doi.org
Multi-hazard risk assessment and management: pathways for the Sendai Framework and beyond
Abstract. Multi-hazard events pose increasingly complex challenges as natural hazards interact in cascading and compounding ways that amplify risks beyond individual hazards. Understanding these inter...
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Reposted by Colin Raymond
Kate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social · 25/03/2026
My resignation letter
screenshot of a resignation letter expressing sadness at leaving NASA
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 21/03/2026
Incredibly, even *more* locations across U.S. are today experiencing their warmest March temperatures on record--many by a wide margin, with some even breaking April records. This includes most or all of: AZ, UT, CO, NM, WY, NE, KS, MO, IA, plus portions of many other states. 🫠
Map of U.S., from coolwx.com, showing locations currently experiencing record-breaking temperatures. There are countless such locations in the Western U.S., with hundreds of red dots (locations breaking daily record highs) and countless pink dots (locations breaking March monthly record highs). The region of record heat extends from the Pacific Coast to east the Mississippi River, and from Canada to Mexico. The region of red and pink dots is vastly larger even than yesterday's (or the day before, or the day before, or the day before, same as it ever was, same...as it ever was...).
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 08/01/2026
After the US admin cancelled the $B Climate + Weather Disaster dataset, @climatecentral.org hired the scientists who ran it and set it back up. Now the 2025 numbers are in: it's 3rd highest year on record and highest year w/o land-falling hurricanes. More: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv...
A map of the US with each 2025 billion-plus dollar weather and climate disaster geo-located on it. Source: Climate Central
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 08/01/2026
The main ideas from our recent study, bite-sized!
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Reposted by Colin Raymond
Adam Sobel @adamsobel.bsky.social · 21/12/2025
Some reflections after returning back from a conference at which I and 20,000 colleagues learned that the Trump administration intends to dismantle #NCAR. This outrage should not happen. deepconvection.substack.com/p/save-ncar
deepconvection.substack.com
Save NCAR
Field notes from New Orleans, where I and 20,000 colleagues learned that Trump intends to destroy the National Center for Atmospheric Research.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
The next @riskkan.bsky.social Compound Events webinar will be Tues 2 Dec at 11am UTC with a presentation from Xinyue Liu (NUS) on "Climate signals behind synchronized locust outbreak risks". For Zoom info: groups.google.com/u/1/g/riskka... or message @regclimo.bsky.social
Flyer
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Sincere thanks to @vikkithompson.bsky.social, @drlaurasuarez.bsky.social, and @karinvdwiel.bsky.social for the data, concepts, and support to see this work over the finish line!
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Specifically, we devise a combined reanalysis/model estimate of the likelihood of current records being broken, in which the eastern US, eastern China, & Australia stand out. We also find MENA and the tropics endure the most severe, long-lasting, and clustered events, and the greatest uncertainties.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
Alarmingly, the single largest ERA5 daily wet-bulb temp affects estimated return periods by a factor of >3 or even >10 in many regions, including those where JRA55 and NOAA20CR agree well. We address this undersampling of possibilities by bringing in large ensembles...
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 21/11/2025
What do we talk about when we talk about unprecedentedness? Without a clear baseline, understanding & preparedness for climate extremes may be out of whack. We sought to improve this for humid heat in our new paper out now in @aguadvances.bsky.social: agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/...
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
I recently had the pleasure of appearing on @urgentfutures.bsky.social for a meticulous, wide-ranging conversation about heat hazards, risks, and potential actions. Many thanks to host Jesse Damiani for the invitation and adroit questions! www.realitystudies.co/p/understand...
realitystudies.co
Understanding Wet-Bulb Temperature, Climate Extremes, & Systemic Risk—& How We Build Resilience - Colin Raymond | #56
The unfortunate reality is we're going to be learning about WBTs the hard way more and more—so let's dig into what they are & what we can do to stay safe.
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Reposted by Colin Raymond
Yinglin Tian @yinglintian.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
We are very delighted to have @karinvdwiel.bsky.social and @regclimo.bsky.social as invited speakers in our #EGU26 session on NH11.2 Future Changes in Weather and Climate Hazards! Consider to present your fantastic work with us!! @nh.egu.eu @pik-potsdam.bsky.social
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Climate.us @climate.us · 23/09/2025
🚨 NCA5 is now LIVE! 🚨 They took it down, but we've brought it back at: nca5.climate.us Bookmark. 👏 this. 👏 page. 👏 This is just our first step in restoring trusted science information that Americans need to understand what's happening with the climate.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
The year 2025 and this podcast's title have partly converged, but other social, technological, etc. trends also feature prominently. As always, the new season contemplates topics that feel fresh and necessary, aiming to come to some fuller understanding. At the least, this helps preserve sanity.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 03/09/2025
A new season of Climate Quandaries is out! Spotify: open.spotify.com/show/7FF7raV..., Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/c.... Many thanks to excellent guests @jonathanrbuzan.bsky.social, Corey Lesk, @nicolamaher.bsky.social, @climatehuman.bsky.social
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 27/08/2025
Multiple model ensembles are already suggesting a broad region of record mid-tropospheric ridging over the far NE Pacific and Washington/British Columbia, with possible record-breaking late-season warmth in the same region. That's a very strong signal ~1 week out. #WAwx #ORwx #BCwx
Current snapshot from NAEFS Situational Awareness Tool depicting a high likelihood of record-breaking 200mb ridge magnitude near British Columbia in a week.
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The Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 16/08/2025
Summer heat across the Eastern U.S. is off the charts in a new "stickiness" measurement that combines heat and humidity—and it isn’t over yet. 🔗: on.wsj.com/3Uwf7D1
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
2024 was another boom year for humid heat, esp. in East/South Asia. Hats off to Kate Willett and all for packing much info and definitional complexity into the kind of thing one could read over breakfast -- if one likes to start the day with multi-panel figures and intricately abbreviated variables.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
This has been my second year contributing to the "Humid-Heat Extremes Over Land" section of the venerable AMS State of the Climate report. (It starts on the 48th page.) ametsoc.net/sotc2024/02G...
ametsoc.net
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Compound Risks Workshop 2025 @cccriskworkshop25.bsky.social · 07/08/2025
Engrossing meeting of the minds at the workshop this week. Nine creative yet plausible storylines were developed and a whole range of new cxns made. Thanks again to all who attended, and especially those who made it happen. We're excited to see what this format & these ideas can catalyze!
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 23/07/2025
This is a perceptive question, which I forwarded along to Adrienne. Lmk if we didn't use the right email for you
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Andrew Dessler @andrewdessler.com · 09/07/2025
There is a new CLIVAR working group focused on climate risk (I'm one of the organizers). We are having our first public webinar tomorrow 7/10 at 1 pm ET. We have some FANTASTIC speakers including @kellyhereid.bsky.social, @climatefran.bsky.social, and Zong-Liang Yang.
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Sara Santamaria-Aguilar @sarastmariaa.bsky.social · 02/07/2025
Working on climate-related disasters or multi-hazard risks? Submit your abstract to NH012 – Compound, Consecutive, and Cascading Events: Challenges for Risk Assessment and Management at #AGU25! @regclimo.bsky.social @monahemmati.bsky.social @kyoungchoi.bsky.social @pravinm.bsky.social
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
...with profound implications for results (in both current and future climates) if left unaccounted for. More details in the paper: dx.doi.org/10.1029/2025....
dx.doi.org
“Which Projections Do I Use?” Strategies for Climate Model Ensemble Subset Selection Based on Regional Stakeholder Needs
Within an ensemble, projected changes from individual downscaled models can differ dramatically pre and post downscaling Reliable interpretations require maximum retention of ensemble information...
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
It's often assumed that the best approach for climate applications is to select the best models, downscale them, and compute statistics of interest. In fact, in new work led by Adrienne Wootten, we find the downscaling process scrambles the meaning of 'best'...
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
Excited to check this out! There's a real unfilled niche here.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
@ajezeq.bsky.social will give the next @riskkan.bsky.social Compound Events webinar Tues Jul 1 at 14UTC, speaking about attribution of extremes with special focus on compounding interactions. Great chance to hear about & discuss a truly cutting-edge area! columbiauniversity.zoom.us/j/9537980484...
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Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick @sarahinscience.bsky.social · 20/06/2025
The first 3 eps of TOTALLY COOKED have landed! Check it out for weather & climate in a factual, relatable & often humorous way. Available below, & where you get your podcasts. Like, follow & share. Let's tackle the climate crisis together. #totallycooked www.21centuryweather.org.au/engage/total...
21centuryweather.org.au
Totally Cooked: The Weather & Climate Podcast
The climate is changing. So is the conversation. Totally Cooked is a podcast about weather, climate change, and what it all means for life on Earth.
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Daniel Swain @weatherwest.bsky.social · 28/05/2025
I strongly encourage folks to check out the rest of the event, which will feature dozens of speakers over a 5 day period. The line-up is genuinely impressive--a veritable who's who of the American #weather and #climate world in 2025--so I'll be watching! wclivestream.com/schedule
wclivestream.com
The Weather & Climate Livestream | Schedule
Join us starting May 28th, as meteorologists and climate scientists from across the US share their research and answer your questions.
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Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 07/05/2025
There’s so much happening right now, I thought I’d put together a running thread on the dismantling of #climate and research and knowledge infrastructure in the United States 🧵
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 28/04/2025
One week left to sign up for this summer's compound-event storyline workshop @cccriskworkshop25.bsky.social in Portland, OR! See cccriskworkshop2025.org for more info including the latest agenda & confirmed speakers
cccriskworkshop2025.org
Compounding, cascading, and critical risks to U.S. infrastructure and security
a systems-focused compound-hazard workshop
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Noam Ross @noamross.net · 19/04/2025
🚨Report your NSF grant terminations! 🚨 We are starting to collect information on NSF grant terminations to create a shared resource as we have for NIH. The more information we collect, the more we can organize, advocate, and fight back! Please share widely! airtable.com/appGKlSVeXni...
NSF Grant Termination Information Collection Form

Please use this form to submit information identifying specific NSF grants that have been cancelled for any reason after January 20, 2025.


We are tracking these grants to increase transparency, organize affected PIs, and facilitate responses, including via litigation. Please share the form as widely as possible with your networks. 


We are actively building a pipeline to organize these terminations and will soon have a tracker akin to our NIH grant tracker at https://airtable.com/appjhyo9NTvJLocRy/shrNto1NNp9eJlgpA


WE WILL NOT DISCLOSE THE IDENTITY OF ANYONE WHO USES THIS FORM TO PROVIDE INFORMATION. We will keep your identity confidential.


These resources are maintained by Noam Ross of rOpenSci and Scott Delaney of the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, with input and support from additional volunteers. For any questions, please contact Scott Delaney on Signal (sdelaney.84).


THANK YOU FOR YOUR ASSISTANCE!
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Christopher Mims @mims.bsky.social · 18/04/2025
The American Meteorological Society has issued this dire warning of "disastrous consequences" for America's ability to predict lethal weather: "The administration's 2026 budget... would close all of NOAA’s weather, climate, and ocean Laboratories." www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...
ametsoc.org
Stand Up for NOAA Research – The Time to Act is Now
The AMS is a global community committed to advancing weather, water, and climate science and service.
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
We hope to inspire more thorough investigations, and awareness of how these elements all fit together, so that the impacts don't keep scaling up year by year with the intensity of the hazards. @natrevearthenviron.nature.com
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 12/04/2025
Quick-hitting global retrospective led by @zscheischlerjak.bsky.social on 2024's additions to the ranks of notable compound weather/climate events. We document a variety of severe impacts mostly involving heat and hydroclimatic extremes. Rdcu.be/ehodf
rdcu.be
Compound weather and climate events in 2024
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - 2024 saw multiple high-impact compound events. Record-breaking global temperatures combined with regional weather variability to create compound floods,...
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Colin Raymond @regclimo.bsky.social · 10/04/2025
Shorter than a blog write-up but longer than a Bluesky post, these annotations provide a glimpse into the research that others have been reflecting upon! H/t @afsribeiro.bsky.social & Louise Brett
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