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Rafael Mentges

@mentges.bsky.social
914 followers 684 following 4.2K posts

Space Economist. Interested in European Integration, industrial policy, innovation, strategic sovereignty, and of course things like launchers, SatCom, EO ... I have another profile focused more on my old interests: Macro, monetary policy and banking.

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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14h
"Self-fulfilling bank runs just aren’t really a thing" Interesting data base. Not convinced by the message of the title.
giftarticle.ft.com
Self-fulfilling bank runs just aren’t really a thing
Or, at least, that’s what the data seems to suggest
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
hmm...
futurism.com
SpaceX Stock Slides After What Should Have Been Its Triumphant Moment With Starship
SpaceX's stock rose by less than one percent in early trading after Starship went orbital for the first time — but fell short of a big spike.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Damit sollte die politische Krise Deutschlands beendet sein.
zeit.de
Philipp Amthor: Philipp Amthor trennt sich von Strandkorb im Kanzleramt
Der CDU-Politiker Philipp Amthor ließ sich einen Strandkorb auf den Balkon seines Büros im Kanzleramt liefern. Nach viel Kritik ging das Möbelstück zurück an die Ostsee.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
"SPACE will strengthen Europe’s space capabilities in several critical areas. These include early-warning satellites to detect missile launches, satcom, ISR, as well as precise PNT systems. The project will also enhance capabilities [...] the rapid launch of replacement satellites when needed."
consilium.europa.eu
European defence industry: Council identifies the first five projects of common interest
The Council today adopted an implementing decision setting out the list of the first five European defence projects of common interest under the European Defence Industry Programme.
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Gene J. Mikulka @genejm1017.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
The mission seems to be accomplished in that the main objective of achieving orbit. They still need to bring Starship back through the atmosphere from orbit. The Raptor engine failures, however, still indicate issues and that Raptor needs work.
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Gene J. Mikulka @genejm1017.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Should begin to see entry in about 30 minutes from now. Starship Mission 14 is headed for a splashdown in the North Pacific at T+3 hours 8 minutes and 30 seconds, estimated.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Interesting OECD project on agentic AI in government: once AI systems can act on behalf of public authorities, not just advise them, questions of authority, accountability, auditability and human control become much more fundamental. A project launch blog is out now:
oecd.ai
Governing with agentic AI: when machines act on government’s behalf
Agentic AI raises new questions about how governments can maintain standards of safe, secure and trustworthy AI while machines act on their behalf.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I still like my idea of giving Ukraine 10bn Euros for every Russian hybrid attack. Nobody can complain about an escalation from NATO. Yet, it will hurt Russia like nothing else.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
"Countries are split over how to confront the Kremlin’s sustained acts of sabotage, arson and destabilisation, but a growing number are seeking collective processes for punishing Russia over attacks that do not meet Nato’s benchmark to trigger its Article 5 mutual defence clause."
giftarticle.ft.com
EU countries consider Nato-style joint responses to Russian hybrid attacks
Campaign this year has included drone attacks, bombs and arson, leading to calls for a stronger response
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
Interesting but also a really weird take. O'Sullivan argues that SpaceX winding down Falcon 9 launches and Crew Dragon has to do with expectations for demand for launches have not materialized interprets it as SpaceX turning away from space.
giftarticle.ft.com
SpaceX pivots away from space
Starbase, we have a problem
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
"Airbus has proposed the sale of some of its assets, as the three European companies hold intensive talks with EU antitrust officials to negotiate potential remedies to secure approval for the merger, according to three people familiar with the talks."
giftarticle.ft.com
Airbus offers divestments to secure Brussels backing for space merger
European aerospace group is seeking to allay competition concerns over deal with Leonardo and Thales
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
EU turns to Norway UK, and Canada for space launch sites. It is interesting to see the EU considering non-EU launch sites. It's a sign they realize the urgency. "The EU will require 62 launches a year by 2034"
giftarticle.ft.com
EU turns to Norway and Canada for space launch sites
Space commissioner is touring potential locations for launchers as the bloc tries to boost its satellite capabilities
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
European space start-ups are taking off! I guess the German space defence budget plays a role here but also the possibility of a huge increase in the EU's space budget (maybe three times the current budget). The numbers are from dealroom: dealroom.co/resources/eu...
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
This is big news! Seems like the first European on the Moon will be an Italian. Remember, currently German and French astronauts are supposed to "go to the Moon" but not to land on the Moon.
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European Space Agency @esa.int · 23/09/2026
We’re strengthening our cooperation with Mistral on artificial intelligence. Together, we’ll explore secure and trusted European AI solutions for Earth observation, engineering and the next generation of space activities.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
ZDF has seen the F-35 contracts and I am seriously shocked! In a Letter from the German Federal Ministry of Defence to the Bundestag’s Budget Committee it says “The contractual terms are dictated by the US side and are non-negotiable.”
zdfheute.de
US-Rüstungsdeals: Teure Knebelverträge für die Bundeswehr
Deutschland kauft Kampfjets in den USA. Die vertraulichen Kaufverträge zeigen: Deutschland liefert sich noch mehr der Trump-Administration aus.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Planet Opens State-of-the-Art Satellite Manufacturing in Berlin "The first satellite is scheduled to be complete before the end of the year, and the facility will be able to scale to up to 60 satellites per year."
investors.planet.com
Planet Opens State-of-the-Art Satellite Manufacturing in Berlin
Minister Reiche previews new facility as Planet invests to support European sovereignty in space; Facility will vastly increase Germany’s satellite output in its first year and enable Germany and Euro...
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Interesting job! Vacancy notice – Job title: Policy Officer – PNT (Positioning, Navigation and Timing)/ Space Threat Response Duty Officer
eeas.europa.eu
Vacancy notice – Job title: Policy Officer – PNT (Positioning, Navigation and Timing)/ Space Threat Response Duty Officer Contract Agent FGIV EEAS Headquarters – Job No 426066
Deadline for sending application: 07/10/2026 at 12.00 noon (CET).
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Gravity assists never cease to amaze me. You might expect a probe heading to Jupiter to take a fairly direct route. But thanks to orbital mechanics, saving fuel on the journey outward can mean first heading inward towards Venus. That’s exactly what ESA’s Juice has done. And now it's coming back!
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
Interesting: "Baltic politicians, who for many years criticised western Europe for being soft on Russia, now find themselves in the strange position of telling some western leaders to calm down in their public messaging."
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"Markets alone are therefore unlikely to provide the volume, continuity or strategic direction of investment required."
oecd.org
The Space Economy at a Glance 2026
As space activities expand and become embedded in everyday economic and public-service functions, governments need better evidence to understand their benefits, risks and policy implications. The Spac...
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"Three months ago I tried using OpenAI’s ChatGPT to assist me in my mathematical research to discover non-polynomial behaviour in the zeta functions of free nilpotent groups. It was useless. ... Two weeks ago I decided to try again. The result was phenomenal."
giftarticle.ft.com
AI is a powerful but problematic new collaborator in mathematics
We are already witnessing the unintended consequences of algorithms realising goals with badly defined parameters and restrictions
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Interesting piece about the D2D-market. It's about vertical integration, scale and competition. D2D is shifting from an MNO–satellite partnership market toward a struggle over who controls the spectrum, customer relationship and ultimately the mobile network.
richardhaas.substack.com
A split is forming in the satellite D2D market
Why are European operators considering teaming up to bid for satellite spectrum? And how should regulators respond?
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
ICYMI: An old American spy satellite broke into pieces nearly 500 miles above Earth "Investigators haven’t named an official cause, but space analysts point to internal failure as the primary suspect."
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Alan Fresco @alanf.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Oh.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
"Analysys Mason estimates that ODC-related data traffic will reach significant volumes over the next decade, scaling to 379PB by 2035."
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value plus discounted @akhilrao.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
"can't be uploaded into an LLM" triggers both my pedantry and contrarianness
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Interesting discussion about the risks from de-orbiting SpaceX's 4tn data center satellites. “I have substantial doubt that a 4 tonne satellite will demise entirely,” said Aaron Boley, an astronomy professor at the University of British Columbia.
pcmag.com
Will SpaceX's Orbiting Data Centers Rain Debris Over Earth?
In a new filing, SpaceX says each Starmind satellite will have a mass up to 4,000kg (4 metric tons), and that some bits of debris could fall to Earth when the orbiting data centers retire.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
What is the X-37B actually doing and is it worth it? Is it really just testing ISR sensors and re-entry technologies? That sounds a bit boring and you could do it much cheaper using other means. What's the worth of bringing down sensors or other things more smoothly compared to a capsule?
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
For some reason, this Mitch McConnell return was extremely bizarre despite bizarre and weird being the new normal under this Trump administration. I don't know why exactly but something about his look in the car scared the shit out of me...
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European Space Agency @esa.int · 17/09/2026
Nearly 80 companies are joining the next evolution of IRIS² through our Low-LEO activities, exploring future secure connectivity services and mission concepts for Europe. 🇪🇺🛰️ @esaconnectivity.esa.int
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
I hope they don't back down again.
giftarticle.ft.com
Donald Trump suggests EU-Canada associate member deal would be ‘hostile act’
US president threatens to impose ‘very serious’ tariffs on the bloc if the measure is approved
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
"It also marks a reversal from the 2024 presidential race, when Kamala Harris raised and spent significantly more money than Trump but lost." So you are telling me some of them have seen all the bullshit going on and say they want more of it? The greed...
giftarticle.ft.com
US billionaires line up to bankroll Republicans’ election push
Ultra-wealthy overwhelmingly back Donald Trump’s party over Democrats as money floods into midterms race
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
Since this is creating a bit buzz here on Bsky, what actually is a space weapon? - Every maneuverable satellite can be used as a weapon. - Servicing satellites are actually considered a space weapon. - you could even use laser communication terminals to dazzle with opitical sensors ...
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Sources say the project, led by the Directorate-General for Defence Industry and Space (DG DEFIS) headed by Timo Pesonen, envisages a European space command. ... The programme is to be developed in close collaboration with the European Space Agency (ESA) and NATO to avoid duplication.
lalettre.fr
Commission plans European space command - LA LETTRE
The European executive will present its 'space shield' plan to member states next week. Faced with Russian and Chinese threats, Brussels is pushing for a unified command and is considering patrol
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Andrew Parsonson @andrewparsonson.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Avio has completed its second successful Vega C flight of 2026, deploying the Sentinel-3C and FLEX missions. The third and final Vega C flight of the year is expected in early December. europeanspaceflight.com/avio-launche...
europeanspaceflight.com
Avio Launches Second Successful Vega C Flight of 2026 - European Spaceflight
Avio has completed its second successful Vega C flight of 2026, deploying the Sentinel-3C and FLEX missions.
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Jonathan McDowell @planet4589.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The three O3b satellites launched yesterday have been cataloged in a 300 x 6660 km x 16.9 deg transfer orbit. Final target orbit is 8055 x 8075 km x 0.0 deg.
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David Blanchflower BSc @davidbflower.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
US confirms for first time it has deployed space weapons. 🔭 🧪 www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
US confirms for first time it has deployed space weapons
The US Air Force Secretary says the weapons are necessary to defend the country against enemy action.
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Thomas @thomasthefrench.eurosky.social · 15/09/2026
In the news, you will be happy to learn that the Kessler syndrome has started. It is not something rapidly growing like the gravity movie may suggest but a long trend but without active acting, the number of debris production is higher than the natural removal rate. www.esa.int/Space_Safety...
esa.int
ESA Space Environment Report 2026
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Just imagine Trump's reaction
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Interesting piece: The author argues that Europe should build on its existing strengths to become a trusted partner across key areas of space, bundling fragmented capabilities into a coherent European offer that strengthens its strategic position.
linkedin.com
The Day after the Paris Space Summit
What Europe Should Do Now in Space A contribution to the debate, written for the International Space Summit, Paris, 9–10 September 2026 As the world's spacefaring nations gather in Paris the recent da...
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Isar Aerospace is targeting its next launch as early as later this year. "In parallel with the development of the Spectrum rocket, the start-up built a factory geared towards serial production. The next five rockets are already at various stages of completion."
handelsblatt.com
Raumfahrt: Isar Aerospace strebt nächsten Start noch in diesem Jahr an
Erst vor wenigen Tagen schaffte es die Rakete des Münchener Start-ups in den Orbit. Jetzt könnte der nächste Start schon bald bevorstehen.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
I just found a 53-page CV. For example, it also listed every master thesis that was co-supervised by the person. Is that necessary in some fields? I think it is kind of good to keep track of what you have done but keep that for yourself, I would say.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
A group of economists, policy makers and AI experts suggests a “Transformative AI” strategy for Europe. It sets out five goals of the highest urgency:
transformative-ai.eu
A Transformative AI Strategy for Europe
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KosmicKris @kosmickris.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
This is actually not a bad strategy. As always, it's not really about the strategy anyway, it's about the money. But good to see SSA/SDA as a core element.
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Teresa Ribera @teresaribera.ec.europa.eu · 13/09/2026
Joseph Stiglitz’s pillars for a progressive AI agenda for the economy: First one is competition policy. Second one is regulation & accountability. The most important (third) one: using the increased productivity to create a better society — to get what we value. 💪 www.ft.com/content/49c0...
ft.com
Joseph Stiglitz’s ‘progressive AI agenda’ for the economy
A slow rollout will disappoint investors. A fast one risks undermining the industry’s own foundations. But managed carefully, this technology could benefit us all
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Andrew Parsonson @andrewparsonson.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Avio has completed integration of its FD1 rocket demonstrator ahead of ground testing and a planned suborbital flight from Sardinia. europeanspaceflight.com/avio-complet...
europeanspaceflight.com
Avio Completes Integration of FD1 Rocket Demonstrator - European Spaceflight
Avio has completed integration of its FD1 rocket demonstrator ahead of ground testing and a planned suborbital flight from Sardinia.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
"On the sidelines of the summit, space companies from around the world announced billions in new partnerships and investments, but the big get-together fell short of the public funding announcements needed to access space without U.S. help."
politico.eu
Macron’s space summit showed Europe isn’t ready for takeoff without the US
The two-day gathering in Paris left some participants disappointed.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 11/09/2026
Next level SpaceX hype 🙈 giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
giftarticle.ft.com
RayJay thinks SpaceX will soon be worth $10tn
‘The defining industrial innovation of our generation,’ apparently
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Interesting piece on high risk investments including in space companies. "Excluding the giant sums ploughed into AI start-ups, global investment in “deep tech" has exceeded $150bn since the start of 2024, more than the $133bn in the entire decade to the end of 2019, according to Dealroom."
giftarticle.ft.com
Moonshot capitalism: AI rewrites the venture capital playbook
Tech investors are rediscovering the kind of long-shot sci-fi bets that helped build Silicon Valley
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