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Olga Onuch

@oonuch.bsky.social
15K followers 1.3K following 1.2K posts

Professor of Comparative & Ukrainian Pols UoM Democracy in Wartime/GeoPol/EU/DisInfo/Elections/Protest/Identity/Surveys 🇺🇦🇵🇱🇦🇷🇪🇺 📚Zelensky Effect 📚Mapping Mass Mobilization VProf College D’Europe Prev @ox.ac.uk Nuffield/StAntonys @harvard.edu @uoft.bsky.social

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Reposted by Olga Onuch
The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
Coming this September UoM Ukraine Conference and BASU National Meeting
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
UoM Ukraine COnference & BASU MEETING STEM State of the art panel From Drones to Psychological Resilience to antarctica STEM Cooperation in Wartime & Beyond
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
UoM Ukraine Conference & BASU MEETING ARTS, LITERATURE, & CULTURE STATE OF THE ART PANEL ARTISTS, POETS, AND WRITERS Bearing Witness What is The Role of Art in Times of WAR & Crisis?
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Great new substack for the archive and history buffs. @waschukcan.bsky.social told me recently about the amazing resource the @UCRDC1986 is and I was blown away. Hoping to collaborate on how use this historic resource in social science! Check it out👇 dokucentreucrdc.substack.com/p/ukrainian-...
dokucentreucrdc.substack.com
Ukrainian Canadian WW2 Veterans on Parade
In World War II, loyalty to King and Country was foremost for Canadians.
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
First up "A duty to defend: survey analysis of citizen wartime engagement in Ukraine" doi.org/10.1080/2159... @oonuch.bsky.social @emmamateo.bsky.social
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Yes indeed. This yet again demonstrates that Zelensky’s Trust rating (not same an approval) is shocking 🤯 resilient see and here is KIIS chart for trend … bsky.app/profile/oonu...
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
hromadske @hromadske.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 58 drones on the evening of July 20 and overnight into July 21, and Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 46 of them, according to the Ukrainian Air Force. There are reports of casualties in Sumy Oblast, Chernihiv, and Kherson.
hromadske.ua
Russia launches 58 drones at Ukraine; 46 intercepted
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 58 drones on the evening of July 20 and overnight into July 21, and Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 46 of them, according to the Ukrainian Air…
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
This is not to say that replacement of Fedorov (after power struggle with Sirskyy) - was right or wrong. But suggesting that choice was made entirely because of a rapid rise of Fedorov in polls does not add up. As of July 2026 he is polling at 3/4% with no significant rise.
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
This is not to say that replacement of Fedorov (after power struggle with Sirskyy) - was right or wrong. But suggesting that choice was made entirely because of a rapid rise of Fedorov in polls does not add up. As of July 2026 he is polling at 3/4% with no significant rise.
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Olesya Khromeychuk @okhromeychuk.bsky.social · 10/07/2026
The Oxford Union debate, ‘This House Would Rather Go to War with Russia than Lose Ukraine’, is now available to watch online. You can watch my contribution here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9XU... And the full debate here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0t8u... 1/2
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 26/06/2026
Very proud that UoM ranks 1st in the world for THE Sustainability Impact Ratings. We are one of few elite global universities (40th - QS 2027) consistently rank in the top 10 in both in "THE Impact Rankings" & "QS World Sustainability Rankings."
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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 17/06/2026
50 years ago I began work at Chatham House on the future of British foreign policy. Very much enjoyed this conversation with Olivia O’Sullivan who is now also running a Uk foreign policy project at Chatham House.
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IE Political Science Department @iepolisci.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
We are hiring! We have 3 tenure track positions open: - Comparative Politics: apply.interfolio.com/188149 - International Relations: apply.interfolio.com/188150 - Political Economy: apply.interfolio.com/188151 All jobs have deadlines Oct 5th. Please help spread the word to potential candidates.
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 21/06/2026
#EPSS2026 ☔️ but productive! Looking forward to Copenhagen! @sarahagemann.bsky.social @fghjorth.bsky.social & Kasper good luck. @emmamateo.bsky.social since ur heading that way after Harvard maybe we should organize a pre-EPSS workshop for polisci on Ukraine + wartime citizen opinion & behavior!
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
& just like that, in the midst of a serious diplomatic misstep by Nawrocki, Zelensky returns the Order not by diplomatic pouch but by Nowa Poshta … just like millions of ordinary Ukrainians. Proving that although he is tired, imperfect, and makes mistakes, in many ways he is still just one of them.
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Zelensky might not be tall - but this is how a small man behaves. Embarrassing not only for Nawrocki but for Poland. Poles are a greater Nation they are better than this. Polish citizens deserve better leaders - ones who build bridges & who lead 🇵🇱🤝🇺🇦 same enemies same fight.
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Zelensky might not be tall - but this is how a small man behaves. Embarrassing not only for Nawrocki but for Poland. Poles are a greater Nation they are better than this. Polish citizens deserve better leaders - ones who build bridges & who lead 🇵🇱🤝🇺🇦 same enemies same fight.
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Given the Government's growing interest in social media and young people including a potential ban, we are supporting a timely conference on 9/10 July which is exploring how to understand young people's mental health in today's digital environment www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/events/briti...
thebritishacademy.ac.uk
Young People, Social Media and New Understandings of Mental Distress
This conference brings together scholars, activists, and NGOs to explore how young people’s understandings of mental health are changing in the context of a youth mental health crisis. It focuses on d...
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
As a result of Russia’s mass air raid on Ukraine this night The Art Arsenal was set on fire by drone bomb. My dear friend Director of Art Arsenal Olesya Ostrovska described the events as they unfolded. She writes: “Early this morning, the Russians attacked the Mystetskyi Arsenal with a drone…”
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
11th century Lavra Monestary (built in 1051) set on fire as a result of Russian air raid this night. Also on fire was a section of Art Arsenal Building. Four victims on sites thus far.
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Great idea. www.apa.org/news/apa/202... joint-research-centre.ec.europa.eu/jrc-explains... www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/psyc... acamh.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... www.apa.org/topics/socia...
apa.org
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
It’s Europe Day! Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... @jcms-eu.bsky.social
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Reposted by Olga Onuch
Daniel Gorelick @danielgorelick.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
Paying peer reviewers works. Expanded Fast & Fair experiment @biologyopen.bsky.social: • 5.5 vs 37.7 working days to decision with reviews • ~3 vs ~9 reviewer invitations per manuscript • no reduction in editor-assessed review quality • similar acceptance rates www.biorxiv.org/content/10.6...
Scatter plot showing that Fast & Fair peer review reached first decision with reviews much faster than conventional peer review: mean 5.5 versus 37.7 working days. Most Fast & Fair manuscripts met the 7-working-day target, while conventional manuscripts were slower and more variable, up to 116 working days.
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
My reading of public opinion on Brexit rn: ~most constituencies think the UK was wrong to have left the EU ~most constituencies will now be majority Rejoin given national polling (55-33) ~the national lead that Rejoin enjoys in the polls would tighten a fair bit during a campaign*
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
This is a brilliant book by Sara and James! Great article covering its main argument. An argument that travels across to many cases globally.
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Jack Bailey @jack-bailey.co.uk · 03/06/2026
Last year, we shared a paper showing that Labour's accommodation of the radical right did not work. We now have a new version of the paper online: osf.io/preprints/so...
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Sunder Katwala (sundersays) @sundersays.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Immigration salience by party (top 3 issue) Reform: 83% (1st priority) Conservatives 33% (2nd priority) Labour 17% (5th priority) Green 16% (=6th priority) Ipsos, 8th-12th May 2026 www.ipsos.com/sites/defaul...
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
It’s Europe Day! Being a supporter of democracy increases the likelihood that a Pole would want Poland to stay in the EU by 12 percentage points at a statistically significant level. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.... @jcms-eu.bsky.social
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
It is Europe day! Democrats in Belarus (those who identify democracy as the best system for the country) are more likely to want Belarus to join the EU! Being a democrat in Belarus increases the likelihood of wanting to join the EU by 22 percentage points! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
It’s Europe day! If someone didn’t support democracy in 2019 but became a supporter of democracy by 2021 the likelihood that they came to want Ukraine to join the EU increased by 20 percentage points!! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
It’s Europe day! In Ukraine - employing panel data - we can see that if somebody wasn’t yet a democrat, their becoming a democrat increases the likelihood that they come to support joining the EU in one year, by 12 percentage points! onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
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Jane Green @profjanegreen.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
What have we learnt - that’s actually new - from today’s results? Not much! But here’s our summary: www.itv.com/news/2026-05... @martamiori.bsky.social @itvnews.bsky.social
itv.com
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
The story of Cons losses seems to be hidden from view. 👇
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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
And here's the overall picture in historic perspective. A seismic reshaping of the local election map. Reform UK making fewer gains overall than last year, in part because of a less favourable map, but huge losses for Labour and record gains for Greens.
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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
In terms of overall councillor counts, the Tories are set to fall to their second lowest level in modern local election history (only after LE1996 was worse), while Labour are on trend to fall to a level only previously held between 2008-11.
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Dylan Difford @dylandifford.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
With the proviso that many seats are still left to declare, I'm going to begin bringing the charts out, to put these results into some broader perspective. In terms of seats defended, absolutely dire results for Labour and Tories. Not as bad as last year, but high on the board for worst-ever.
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
British politics is resembling the rest of Europe: • Multi-party competition has replaced two-party dominance • Challengers are on the rise, esp. the populist right • Political realignment centres on identity politics (incl Brexit) But FPTP is poorly suited to this fragmentation
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Sara Hobolt @sarahobolt.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
The Brexit divide is still apparent after 10 years - both Tory and Labour Leavers flocking to Reform (as shown by @drjennings.bsky.social )
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Rob makes an important point. But … the campaign in the city was also a mess… And so … Piccadilly 🟢 Green Gain 🔴 Previously Labour
static.klipy.com
You Can't Say I Didn't Warn You Shaquanna
ALT: You Can't Say I Didn't Warn You Shaquanna
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Will Jennings📉🗳️ @drjennings.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
However the fall in Labour's vote (since 2022) is more strongly correlated with change in the Green vote than Reform over the same period.
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Chris Hanretty @chanret.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
My local council gives a good example of how multimember plurality can mean that the largest party by votes is not the largest party by seats.
Table of results taken from https://democracy.wandsworth.gov.uk/mgElectionResults.aspx?XXR=0&ID=12&AC=EDIT_ELECTION&RPID=212461733
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Today’s result, driven by affect & expectations that can’t be met - may have knock-on effects that voters who voted in anger will not expect.
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The RUTA Association @associationruta.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
We invite you to join our next webinar “Europe's East and Latin America in dialogue: what we (mis)understand about each other?” with Ieva Giedraityté, @oonuch.bsky.social & @ferezmanuel14.bsky.social, in the RUTA-LatAm dialogue series May 8, 18.00 Kyiv Register: us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi...
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The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
We commemorate the 40th anniversary of the Chornobyl nuclear catastrophe and the Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant.
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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
Great to host @tymofiibrik.bsky.social Kyiv School of Economics @uomsoss.bsky.social after a productive day discussing possible research & teaching collaborations & a tour de force presentation we celebrated with @uompols.bsky.social - here is to future co-authorships & friendship UoM and KSE
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