iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Olga Onuch

The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

Coming this September UoM Ukraine Conference and BASU National Meeting

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The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

UoM Ukraine COnference & BASU MEETING STEM State of the art panel From Drones to Psychological Resilience to antarctica STEM Cooperation in Wartime & Beyond

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The British Association of the Study of Ukraine @thebasuorg.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

UoM Ukraine Conference & BASU MEETING ARTS, LITERATURE, & CULTURE STATE OF THE ART PANEL ARTISTS, POETS, AND WRITERS Bearing Witness What is The Role of Art in Times of WAR & Crisis?

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 24/08/2026

Great new substack for the archive and history buffs. @waschukcan.bsky.social told me recently about the amazing resource the @UCRDC1986 is and I was blown away. Hoping to collaborate on how use this historic resource in social science! Check it out👇 dokucentreucrdc.substack.com/p/ukrainian-...

dokucentreucrdc.substack.com

Ukrainian Canadian WW2 Veterans on Parade

In World War II, loyalty to King and Country was foremost for Canadians.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 13/04/2026

First up "A duty to defend: survey analysis of citizen wartime engagement in Ukraine" doi.org/10.1080/2159... @oonuch.bsky.social @emmamateo.bsky.social

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Table 2 in second image is from June Survey linked in this thread kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat... Graph 2 is from an earlier July survey and report which I posted about three days ago kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

kiis.com.ua

Press releases and reports - Trust in President V. Zelenskyy and other public figures: results of a survey conducted on May 7-June 3, 2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Apologies if these images and figures confused folks. I would love to be able to edit typos. Here is a run down of what the images cover Tables 2-5 in first image and graph 5 third image are from the most recent July 16-30 survey linked in this thread kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

kiis.com.ua

Press releases and reports - Socio-political moods of the population of Ukraine: results of a survey conducted on July 16-31, 2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

Apologies that was supposed to be 61-56% not 58% this was a typo!

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Don’t know the company. But this does not appear to be a representative survey. So that to me is a minimum.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

*unintentionally* I hate that we can’t correct typos.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

! While some jurnos are reporting Zelensky in 4th place in KIIS’s trust ratings -this is not new or news- that’s where he was! Real story? - Zaluzhnyi’s trust rating seems to have fallen from 73-66% - Budanov’s 70-61% Has Fedorov’s campaign hurt establishment Military figures?

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Here is the full data report. According to KIIS, Zelensky was also in 4th place in June (before the personnel crisis). His trust rating is in some ways shockingly stable 61 to 58%. Margin of error in July = 3.5% June www.kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat... July www.kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

kiis.com.ua

Press releases and reports - Trust in President V. Zelenskyy and other public figures: results of a survey conducted on May 7-June 3, 2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Fedorov’s (and his activist supporters’ which are overlapping but distinct) campaign thus seems not to have just hit Syrskyi - it actually may have reverberated across the military establishment. Why is this important? Well that for my private briefings. But it is.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

The framing used (more by Fedorov’s proxies) placed key establishment military as in conflict with civilian + democratic decision making + governing (a first at such scale since 2022). Personnel change was framed as military figure pressure to remove reforming civilian leader.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

This is important because Fedorov’s tactic of placing himself in direct conflict of establishment or “old school” or “Soviet trained” Syrskyi he actually may have (unitedly?) affected universal perceptions of Military leaders or diplomats/leaders coming from military leadership.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

This was my worry and what I was briefing on privately … as the events and pressers were unfolding in July. Fedorov’s rhetoric did not undermine Zelensky as much as it likely put a dent in armor of the seemingly Teflon perceptions of establishment Military figure perceptions.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 11/08/2026

Yes indeed. This yet again demonstrates that Zelensky’s Trust rating (not same an approval) is shocking 🤯 resilient see and here is KIIS chart for trend … bsky.app/profile/oonu...

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

I personally don’t use trust metrics (there are citizens who distrust yet approve of presidents & trust but don’t approve…I know 🤔) but in the absence of a new approval rating in Ukraine (ours coming in August) KIIS find that yes, trust in Zelenskyy declined in July but has not reached post 2022 low

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

Finally, I appreciate so much that Grushetsky in his comments also noted that comments that views of by activists or other more active and engaged citizens on social media are not reflective of median voters. kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

kiis.com.ua

Press releases and reports - Trust in President V. Zelenskyy and attitude towards holding elections: results of a survey conducted July 20-August 3, 2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

An ability to caution about real decline in trust, whilst placing it into perspective. Providing analysis of specific constituencies who are understandably(!) discontented & highlight scandals whilst noting that average citizens don’t reflect on them in same way as activists.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

… clear in noting how the different ways in which they asked the item in April and May might affect the results and hence interpretation. This is the professionalism that we want from survey partners!

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

This is a perfect example of careful and considered analysis. Please note that they provide not only a careful analysis of the data with a longitudinal comparison and not simply and one snapshot take. But they are also… kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

kiis.com.ua

Press releases and reports - Trust in President V. Zelenskyy and attitude towards holding elections: results of a survey conducted July 20-August 3, 2026

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

KIIS’s Grushetsky notes “we…record a decrease in trust in Zelensky. However, at least for now, we r not witnessing the collapse of trust due to high-profile personnel decisions that some politicians, experts, and observers might have expected. kiis.com.ua?lang=eng&cat...

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 08/08/2026

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hromadske @hromadske.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 58 drones on the evening of July 20 and overnight into July 21, and Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 46 of them, according to the Ukrainian Air Force. There are reports of casualties in Sumy Oblast, Chernihiv, and Kherson.

hromadske.ua

Russia launches 58 drones at Ukraine; 46 intercepted

Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 58 drones on the evening of July 20 and overnight into July 21, and Ukrainian air defenses shot down or suppressed 46 of them, according to the Ukrainian Air…

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

This is not to say that replacement of Fedorov (after power struggle with Sirskyy) - was right or wrong. But suggesting that choice was made entirely because of a rapid rise of Fedorov in polls does not add up. As of July 2026 he is polling at 3/4% with no significant rise.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Now 2014 - this was a case of what we with Henry Hale have called "Rallying Round The Oligarch" a matter of elite coordination.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

As always I would not the be social scientist I am if I didn't warn that voter preferences/intentions can change very rapidly - especially in an actually electoral campaign context. Here are reminders of the 2014 and 2019 election campaigns against results 2019 "The dark horse"

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

If anything - it is almost as if this scenario was designed to raise Fedorov's national profile + significance (notably also at the expense of Zaluzhnyi) We have our own poll in the field so interested to see how these numbers look like with our most trusted polling partner KIIS.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

Here is a comparison using the same survey providers for data covering the whole of the last 12 months.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 18/07/2026

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Olesya Khromeychuk @okhromeychuk.bsky.social · 10/07/2026

The Oxford Union debate, ‘This House Would Rather Go to War with Russia than Lose Ukraine’, is now available to watch online. You can watch my contribution here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9XU... And the full debate here: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0t8u... 1/2

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

That is also why we are thrilled to host the first BASU @thebasuorg.bsky.social Conference at UoM @uomhums.bsky.social @uomsoss.bsky.social @uompols.bsky.social @duncanivison.bsky.social with leading political figures and policy makers and journalists engaging with UK's top scholars on Ukraine.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

On a personal note - UoM regularly supports & encourages my own impact in relation to our research on Ukraine & democracy in wartime - thank you!

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

This achievement highlights the high standard of UoM research, acknowledging its hugely important and positive impact in relation to world’s most pressing issues.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

Very proud that UoM ranks 1st in the world for THE Sustainability Impact Ratings. We are one of few elite global universities (40th - QS 2027) consistently rank in the top 10 in both in "THE Impact Rankings" & "QS World Sustainability Rankings."

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Lawrence Freedman @ldfreedman.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

50 years ago I began work at Chatham House on the future of British foreign policy. Very much enjoyed this conversation with Olivia O’Sullivan who is now also running a Uk foreign policy project at Chatham House.

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IE Political Science Department @iepolisci.bsky.social · 16/06/2026

We are hiring! We have 3 tenure track positions open: - Comparative Politics: apply.interfolio.com/188149 - International Relations: apply.interfolio.com/188150 - Political Economy: apply.interfolio.com/188151 All jobs have deadlines Oct 5th. Please help spread the word to potential candidates.

apply.interfolio.com

Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

#EPSS2026 ☔️ but productive! Looking forward to Copenhagen! @sarahagemann.bsky.social @fghjorth.bsky.social & Kasper good luck. @emmamateo.bsky.social since ur heading that way after Harvard maybe we should organize a pre-EPSS workshop for polisci on Ukraine + wartime citizen opinion & behavior!

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 20/06/2026

What folks who don’t understand Ukraine won’t grasp is that this will be yet an other moment whereby some who normally aren’t supporters of Zelensky will be proud of their President. Ukrainians, having been pushed and beaten down for so long, don’t react well to external berating.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 20/06/2026

& just like that, in the midst of a serious diplomatic misstep by Nawrocki, Zelensky returns the Order not by diplomatic pouch but by Nowa Poshta … just like millions of ordinary Ukrainians. Proving that although he is tired, imperfect, and makes mistakes, in many ways he is still just one of them.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Zelensky might not be tall - but this is how a small man behaves. Embarrassing not only for Nawrocki but for Poland. Poles are a greater Nation they are better than this. Polish citizens deserve better leaders - ones who build bridges & who lead 🇵🇱🤝🇺🇦 same enemies same fight.

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

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Hetan Shah @hetanshah.bsky.social · 19/06/2026

Given the Government's growing interest in social media and young people including a potential ban, we are supporting a timely conference on 9/10 July which is exploring how to understand young people's mental health in today's digital environment www.thebritishacademy.ac.uk/events/briti...

thebritishacademy.ac.uk

Young People, Social Media and New Understandings of Mental Distress

This conference brings together scholars, activists, and NGOs to explore how young people’s understandings of mental health are changing in the context of a youth mental health crisis. It focuses on d...

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Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 15/06/2026

Spread the word. Support charity efforts where you can. Write your politicians. Ukraine fights, defends, feeds the world with its grain, and quite literally protects us. But Russia’s targeted and purposeful acts of ecocide, culturicide, and ongoing genocide continue.

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