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Moritz Schwarz

@moritzpschwarz.bsky.social
1.3K followers 453 following 91 posts

Climate Economist 🇪🇺🇦🇹 Working on all things Carbon Pricing, Econometrics and Measuring the Impact of Climate Change and Climate Policies Post-Doc @ TU Berlin and PIK DPhil from Oxford with @ClimateMetrics.bsky.social #rstats | #mufc

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Reposted by Moritz Schwarz
Kate Mackenzie @katemac.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Goated quote from the late Marty Weitzman in @geoffmann.bsky.social lecture at Sydney Uni SSPS
“To summarize, the economics of climate change
consists of a very long chain of tenuous inferences fraught with big uncertainties in every
link: beginning with unknown base-case GHG emissions; compounded by big uncertainties
about how available policies and policy levers will affect actual GHG emissions; compounded
by big uncertainties about how GHG flow emissions accumulate via the carbon cycle into
GHG stock concentrations; compounded by big uncertainties about how and when GHG
stock concentrations translate into global average temperature changes; compounded by
big uncertainties about how global average temperature changes decompose into specific
changes in regional weather patterns; compounded by big uncertainties about how adapta-
tions to, and mitigations of, climate change damages at a regional level are translated into
regional utility changes via an appropriate ‘‘damages function’’; compounded by big 
uncertainties about how future regional utility changes are aggregated into a worldwide utility
function and what its overall degree of risk aversion should be; compounded by big uncer-
tainties about what discount rate should be used to convert everything into expected present
discounted values. The result of this lengthy cascading of big uncertainties is a reduced form
of truly extraordinary uncertainty about the aggregate welfare impacts of catastrophic climate
change, which is represented mathematically by a PDF that is spread out and heavy with
probability in the tails.
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Just in case we'll be asking ourselves why European industry is not competitive in building trucks anymore in a few years...
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Gerold Riedmann @riedmann.net · 24/08/2026
Ein Grund, warum mir das neue Global Briefing im Montags-STANDARD so viel Freude macht. @economist.com
Economist-Artikel: Does AI stop children from learning? Mit Infografiken zum Verhaltnis zwischen KI-Nutzung und Lernerfolg.
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
Für alle die 2026 unter der Hitze gelitten haben/leiden... 2027 wird (mit El Nino Vorhersage) noch einmal deutlich heißer... (und ja eh, mittelfristig werden das alle Jahre, wenn wir nicht endlich in die Gänge kommen...)
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Adam Schwarz @adamjschwarz.bsky.social · 24/07/2026
When the story of why humanity didn't stop climate change is written, it will feature front pages like this. Even as the skies blacken with climate change-induced wildfires, right wing media continue their relentless crusade against measures to tackle it.
The Times: Net zero risks blackouts. Below a photo of French wildfires.
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Wolf-Peter Schill @wpschill.bsky.social · 11/07/2026
1/ You might not have even thought you needed this, but here it is: an update of the German duck curve! 🦆 The curve shows the distribution of average hourly wholesale prices over the course of the day (normalized with the yearly average price). You can see an ongoing (and not so great) trend:
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Reposted by Moritz Schwarz
Gernot Wagner @gwagner.com · 09/07/2026
"We Cannot Choose to Become Idiots"...except apparently we have. The real litmus test is whether we consider students 22 and 31 'AI illiterate' or patsies on the one hand, or admirably honest. Yes, this is a crisis in (higher) education www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
ECON 1170 Midterm & Final Scores
After Serrano made the final in-person, 18 students dropped the class and nine students did not take the exam. The scores of the remaining 59 students are displayed here.
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Amanda Kolson Hurley @amandakhurley.bsky.social · 27/06/2026
Incredible chart from @propublica.org. If you don’t follow enviro stuff closely, your instinct might be that the hold-your-nose solution (carbon capture from fossil fuels) would be the “pragmatic” one versus covering Earth in solar panels, which seems utopian. In fact it’s the opposite
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Christian Stöcker @christianstoecker.de · 29/05/2026
Repeat after me: Elektrifizierung und Erneuerbare gewinnen. Der Mark hat längst entschieden. (das violette Streifchen ganz unten ist übrigens die angeblich „überall“ stattfindende „Renaissance der Atomkraft“).
Iea energy investment landscape

decade of turbulence and transformation for energy investment
Global investment in energy
2026e
USD 3.4 Trillion
2015
USD 2.6 Trillion
Renewables
Oil
Grids
Natural gas
Oil
Renewables
Grids
Efficiency
Coal
Electrification
Nuclear
Low-emissions fuels
Natural gas
Electrification
Efficiency
Coal
Storage
Nuclear
Low-emissions fue
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 18/05/2026
Lots of Article 6.2 projects going to pop up in the future. Will be interesting to see the details on this.
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Michael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
You Loved the Hydrogen Ladder (I know, Version 6.0 is long overdue!), meet the Electrification Staircase. Electrify Everything is dead; long live Electrify Almost Everything. And here's the road map. mliebreich.substack.com/p/the-electr...
mliebreich.substack.com
The Electrification Staircase is go!
You Loved the Hydrogen Ladder (I know, Version 6.0 is long overdue!), meet the Electrification Staircase. Electrify Everything is dead; long live Electrify Almost Everything. And here's the road map.
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Wolf-Peter Schill @wpschill.bsky.social · 09/05/2026
1/ Published today in @natcomms.nature.com: our analysis on long-duration electricity storage needs for coping with #Dunkelflaute events in 🇪🇺 . Joint work with my stellar @diw.de colleagues @kittelmartin.bsky.social (lead) and @aroth.bsky.social 🎉https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-72681-5
nature.com
Long-duration electricity storage needs for coping with Dunkelflaute events in Europe - Nature Communications
Extreme periods of low wind and solar energy ("Dunkelflaute”) drive substantial long-duration electricity storage needs in a renewable European power system. Rapid deployment is required to safeguard…
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Ross Floate @rossfloate.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
Oh my. This is spectacular. sinceyouarrived.world/taken
sinceyouarrived.world
taken.
A web page that tells you what your browser gave away the moment you arrived. No login, no form, no permission. Most pages do this. None of them tell you.
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John Hanger @jrfhanger.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Good morning with good news: Australian homes & businesses installed more rooftop solar in April 2026 than in any other month ever! Rooftop solar rose 31% in April over March & doubled 3/2025! 4.2 million (38%) homes had solar by 6/2025! #energysky www.pv-magazine-australia.com/2026/05/05/r...
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 22/04/2026
Überschriften mit denen man nicht rechnet 🫠😉
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
Bombshell study that questions a key German electricity market policy. tldr: DON'T SUBSIDISE NEW GAS PLANTS WITH PUBLIC MONEY! Most interestingly: it was not (only) commissioned by the renewable industry but (i.a.) by one of DE's main business lobby groups (@dihk.bsky.social)! A 🧵analysing it:
A screenshot showing the title page of the study:

ENDBERICHTERFORDERLICHKEIT UNDGEEIGNETHEIT VONKAPAZITÄTSMECHANISMENÖKONOMISCHE ANALYSE UNDVERGLEICH MIT EINERZUKUNFTSFÄHIGENABSICHERUNGSPFLICHT Studie im Auftrag von BNE Bundesverband neue Energiewirtschaft e. V., DIHK Deutsche Industrie- undHandelskammer, EEX European Energy Exchange AG,VEA Bundesverband der Energie-Abnehmer e. V.
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 20/04/2026
THREAD: The IEA global energy review 2026 * CO2 record high, but growth nearly ground to halt * Clean energy shaved 3bn tonnes off CO2 * Fossil-fuel power pushed into reverse * Age of Electricity "confirmed" * "Extraordinary" solar growth * Batteries up 40% * EVs up 20% 1/10
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Carl Schleussner @carlschleussner.bsky.social · 13/04/2026
Heute Abend im Volkstheater Wien. Veranstaltung des Netzwerk Klimajournalismus mit @lukasbayer.bsky.social. Ich freu mich drauf. @iiasa.ac.at www.volkstheater.at/event/332609...
volkstheater.at
CLIMATE OVERSHOOT –WIE KRIEGEN WIR NOCH DIE KURVE? - Volkstheater Wien
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Wolfgang Blau @wblau.bsky.social · 04/04/2026
Why is it so hard to understand a. the difference between primary and secondary energy, and b. why it amounts to journalistic malpractice to compare current renewables capacity with the primary energy provided (and to a large part wasted in the form unused heat) by fossil fuels?
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Auke Hoekstra @aukehoekstra.bsky.social · 03/04/2026
Great addition to a recent blogpost from @nworbmot.bsky.social nworbmot.org/blog/solar-b... Most of humans can go 90% solar in 2030. It's mostly northern Europe that's the edge case that also needs loads of wind. And the last 10% fuel... we'll take care of that before too long.
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 02/04/2026
Home Solar xkcd.com/3226/
4-panel comic. (1) [Two people standing next to house with solar panels on roof. Person 2 has a black hat.] PERSON 1: Wait, you got solar panels? I thought you were against renewables. (2) PERSON 2: Oh, definitely. I hate the environment and want to harm it as much as possible. I’d *love* to have an oil furnace. (3) PERSON 2: But the technology just isn’t there and the cost is too high. I despise solar, but it makes more financial sense in my situation. (4) PERSON 2: But with the money I’m saving, I can buy and burn industrial waste in my yard to try to make up for it. PERSON 1: Ah, yeah, carbon onsets.
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Wolfgang Rössler @wolfiroessler.jetzt.at · 21/03/2026
Viktor Orbán redet seit Tagen davon, dass irgendwelche Ukrainer ihn umbringen wollen. Stellt sich heraus: Der russische Auslandsgeheimdienst SWR wollte tatsächlich einen Mordanschlag auf Orbán fingieren, um Putins bestem Mann doch noch die Wahl zu retten. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2026/0...
washingtonpost.com
To tilt Hungarian election, Russians proposed staging assassination attempt
To aid Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a friend of Russia, in his election, operatives proposed “the Gamechanger” — a staged assassination attempt to stir supporters.
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
„'Entzauberung durch Einbindung' ist keine evidenzbasierte politische Strategie, sondern eine gefährliche Wunschvorstellung"
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Leonhard Gandhi @energy-charts.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Von Februar auf März 2026 ist der Day-Ahead Börsenstrompreis von Deutschland nur um 0,6 % gestiegen, während Erdgas an der Börse um 43,7 % teurer wurde. 1/2 energy-charts.info/charts/price...
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Natalia Fabra @nataliafabra.bsky.social · 02/03/2026
1/⚡ For Europe, #competitiveness is a priority. And this has much to do with #energy costs. Yet we keep on relying on #electricity markets that make European industry structurally uncompetitive. Ahead of 6 March, a few thoughts on #energy & #competitiveness 🧵👇
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Simon Evans @drsimevans.carbonbrief.org · 13/03/2026
NEW: Why does gas set the price of electricity – and is there an alternative? Make yourself a tea (or grab a beer??) and enjoy my Friday longread on marginal pricing, ideas for market reform – & how to break the link btwn gas & power prices for good www.carbonbrief.org/... 1/8
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Isabella Velásquez @ivelasq3.bsky.social · 10/03/2026
Who needs PowerPoint when you have Quarto and @emilhvitfeldt.bsky.social's extensions?! I wanted to make an image-heavy presentation. Usually, I'd reach for Keynote. But Emil shared quarto-revealjs-editable, which let me stay in Quarto land 🥰 Thanks, Emil! Find it here: github.com/EmilHvitfeld...
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Michael Liebreich @mliebreich.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
I've largely stopped posting #HydrogenSoufflé because it seems distasteful to dance on the graves of so many dreams. But... Aberdeen is flogging its hydrogen bus fleet for scrap. How much money was wasted on this 100% predicable outcome? Will heads roll? aberdeenbusinessnews.co.uk/aberdeen-hyd...
aberdeenbusinessnews.co.uk
Aberdeen Hydrogen bus fleet to be sold off - Aberdeen Business News
Aberdeen City Council is set to sell its entire fleet of 25 hydrogen double-decker buses and exit a £20 million joint venture with oil giant BP, marking the
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Nick Timiraos @nicktimiraos.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
A tax economist put his entire life savings into a prediction market bet that DOGE wouldn’t cut spending. His wife read the Kalshi comments from the people on the other side and grew *more* confident because “they didn’t seem to understand what they were buying.” He made a 37% return
wsj.com
The Tax Nerd Who Bet His Life Savings Against DOGE
Until Elon Musk came roaring into the nation’s capital, Alan Cole was largely a plain-vanilla investor.
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Adrian Odenweller @adrianodenweller.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
🚨 New paper: Coupling integrated assessment and energy system models 🚨 Planning future energy systems requires bridging two fundamentally different scales: long-term transformation pathways spanning decades, and short-term power system operations unfolding hour by hour. #EnergySky #PyPSA 🧵
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 22/02/2026
In today's edition of "Datasets from Hell": The UK ONS switches from Financial Year (April to March funnily) to Calendar Year and then again back to Financial Year in one dataset. #datasetsfromhell #rstats #EconSky
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
Excellent point!
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Georg Zachmann @gzachmann.bsky.social · 21/02/2026
It was carbon prices, that prevented a surge in coal-based power generation in 2025 in the EU.
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Nolan Hicks @ndhapple.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
“A year after the $1.1 billion overhaul,” which added a new lane each direction, “the 405’s rush hour drive times were a minute slower than they were before the workers broke ground. Five years later, traffic was worse at all times of day.” www.bloomberg.com/news/feature...
bloomberg.com
A Tunnel to Transform Los Angeles
The ambitious Sepulveda Transit Corridor project — an automated subway line underneath Bel Air — aims to do something rare in LA: Get people out of their cars.
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Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 13/02/2026
As expected, in the final rule, EPA's Endangerment Finding repeal backs down entirely from challenging the science, choosing to focus on statutory arguments regarding EPA's authority. Good work, everyone who contributed to the @andrewdessler.com review!
The EPA has considered these comments and, in this final action, is not  finalizing the alternative climate science rationale and is not finalizing new findings by  the Administrator with respect to global climate change concerns under CAA section  202(a)(1). The EPA does not rely on any specific critique of climate science as a  necessary justification for this action. Given our conclusion that we lack legal authority to  regulate in response to global climate change concerns under CAA section 202(a)(1), it  would be unnecessary and inappropriate to resolve such questions in this regulatory  context. The EPA includes this section to summarize major scientific themes commenters  raised and to acknowledge that scientific research and debate about climate change will  continue. This discussion does not endorse or reject any particular assessment, study, or  comment letter in the docket with respect to assertions regarding global climate change  science and has limited its responses to the bases being finalized in this final action. The  EPA’s conclusion in this final action is limited to the legal determination that CAA section 202(a) does not provide the authority to regulate GHG emissions from new motor  vehicles or new motor vehicle engines for the purpose of addressing global climate  change concerns, irrespective of how ongoing scientific debates are ultimately resolved.
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Wolfgang Cramer @cramer-bondeau.fr · 11/02/2026
The risk of a hothouse Earth trajectory www.cell.com/one-earth/fu... @williamripple.bsky.social
Tipping point threshold temperature estimates are shown with black dots; floating bars indicate lower and upper estimates. Note that the estimated tipping threshold of 1.2°C for low-latitude coral reefs has likely already been crossed.3 The dashed purple vertical line indicates 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels; a sustained global average temperature at this level is likely in the near future.2 Tipping point thresholds are adapted from Armstrong McKay et al.13 with updates from Lenton et al.3 Tipping impacts and timescales vary greatly. In some cases, effects on global temperatures may be uncertain or negligible (gray bars). Note that overlap can occur among feedbacks and/or tipping points, so their effects are not necessarily independent. See supplemental methods for further details, including data sources.
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Felix Schenuit @felixschenuit.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
It may be surprising that the EU's Climate Law - including the net 90% target for 2040 - passed in the European Parliament. A closer look at the adopted text explains why those in the EPP who favour weaker climate ambition could support the deal and did not vote with the far-right parties. /1
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PIK_climate @pik-potsdam.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
🆕 Several Earth system components may be closer to destabilisation than previously thought. Crossing key temperature thresholds could trigger feedback loops, pushing the planet toward a “Hothouse Earth” trajectory. Study by @oregonstate.edu, @iiasa.ac.at & PIK: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 11/02/2026
Energiewende in a nutshell: "Wir tragen die Lasten, haben das Kabel in unserem Boden und nichts davon außer einer einmaligen Entschädigung" Jetzt ist sogar ein unterirdisches Kabel für eine PV Anlage eine "Last"... Ich versteh's wirklich nicht mehr...
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 10/02/2026
UK not messing about: In two months the gov agreed to bids for 4.9 GW Onshore, 1.3 GW Solar and 8.3 GW Offshore 🤯 The Q&A by @carbonbrief.org on this is excellent!!
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Agathe Demarais @agathedemarais.com · 29/01/2026
Population ageing places pressure on public finances, squeezing out funding for long-term endeavours • Spending on seniors' health and pensions is rising across developed economies • In turn, low productivity growth and decaying infrastructure fuel popular dissatisfaction www.ft.com/content/b4d2...
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
O'Leary (Ryanair): "We’re not going to get to net zero by 2050" At least the airline industry is honest in what they expect. The car industry claims the new rules are compatible with net-zero...
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Eileen Ridge @eileen4ever.bsky.social · 28/01/2026
Holy moly this chart: Cumulative US measles cases
Cumulative US measles cases
As of January 27, there have been more cases than there were by the same week last year.
Fairly horizontal lines for 2023 and 2024, a steep diagonal line for 2025, and a vertical line for ytd 2026. 
2026
478 cases
2025
2253 cases
2024
283 cases
2023
63 cases
Note: Data updated on January 27, 2026, at 3 p.m. ET.
Source: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Johns Hopkins University, Center for Outbreak Response Innovation Graphic: Alex Leeds Matthews and Matt Stiles, CNN
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Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · 27/01/2026
There's a predictable approach to denial that we're already seeing, which I call the Four Pillars of Disordered Doubt, which allows actors to constantly question evidence that don't fit their preferred narratives.
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PIK_climate @pik-potsdam.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
#Fridaydeepdive 💻: This week PIK Director Ottmar Edenhofer was kindly invited to present a lecture at the Oxford Martin School on carbon dioxide removal as a 'third pillar' for climate action. Tune in to watch the lecture and QnA in full. www.youtube.com/live/c0omzp_...
youtube.com
'Why climate policy needs to get serious about carbon management' with Prof Ottmar Edenhofer
YouTube video by Oxford Martin School
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 14/01/2026
After a few months/year and a half of quite difficult news for offshore from around Europe (Hornsea 4 cancelled, auctions without bids in Germany and Denmark, etc), this is fantastic news and shows the industry is still alive and kicking - despite rising costs!
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 13/01/2026
Which economy is more productive - Germany or the US? It seems the answer would be clear, but it's not. The mood in Germany is so deeply negative, even aggressively pessimistic, that I thought we had fallen behind by a lot. But here are the facts - they surprised me as well:
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Max Roser @maxroser.bsky.social · 06/01/2026
This chart documents one of humanity’s greatest achievements, in my view. We just lived through the fastest population growth in human history. It would have been impressive if food supplies had merely kept pace — but on every continent, they grew even faster than the population.
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Helge Fahrnberger @helge.at · 05/01/2026
1 Jahr Citymaut in New York: 11% weniger Verkehr, Kaufkraft ist NICHT zurückgegangen (die Leute kommen jetzt öffentlich), massive Mehreinnahmen für den öffentlichen Verkehr. Autoverkehr fließt 4,5% schneller, öffentliche Busse fahren 2,5% schneller.
nytimes.com
Congestion pricing after one year: How life has changed. (Gift Article)
How life has changed in the New York area, according to data on traffic, transit and the responses of 600 readers.
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Moritz Schwarz @moritzpschwarz.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
Fantastic thread!
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