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Jacob Kaarsbo

@jkaarsbo.bsky.social
8.6K followers 1.3K following 1.3K posts

Foreign, security and defence policy analysis. 15 yrs @ Danish Defence Intelligence Service. Sportsnerd.

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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
NATO’s foundation is no longer the Washington Treaty. Now members need to comply with a policies that violate the Treaty itself! A US-led NATO is no longer an alliance for the defence of liberal democracy. Under Trump the “alliance” will have more and more in common with the Warsaw Pact!
bloomberg.com
US Presses Allies on Ideological Loyalty Ahead of Troop Cuts
The US wants to know how loyal each NATO ally is to Donald Trump’s policies before cutting military assets defending the alliance.
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Reposted by Jacob Kaarsbo
Bente Sorgenfrey @bentesorgenfrey.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
#Kyiv blev endnu en gang udsat for et voldsomt luftangreb natten til onsdag. Evnen til at nedskyde ballistiske missiler er yderst begrænset. Som det ser ud nu, ligger #Ukraine stort set forsvarsløst hen mod den type angreb, skriver @jkaarsbo.bsky.social #dkpol www.altinget.dk/artikel/miss...
altinget.dk
Missilerne regner ned over Kyiv som aldrig før. De færreste forstår, at det også kan ske i København - Altinget
Selv hvis Ukraine disponerede over al amerikansk og europæisk produktionskapacitet, ville de kun kunne nedskyde en tredjedel af Putins ballistiske missiler. For få danskere forstår, hvor hurtigt det o...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Good to talk to my 🇨🇦 friend Dean Blundell again. You can find 40 mins with the latest assessments re. Greenland🇬🇱, Iran🇮🇷 and Ukraine🇺🇦 right here 👇 substack.com/@jacobkaarsb...
substack.com
Dean's Live W UN Security Council Member Jacob Kaarsbo: Trump Lost His War, Iran Went Dark, And Greenland Is About To Blow
How Donald Trump managed to lose a war, a negotiating partner, and NATO all in the same news cycle.
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Reba Clough @zayahsmom.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
This was a great briefing and Q&A session. Jacob always is thorough and organized.
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 30/07/2026
You wonder about the Iranian strategy in the Middle East and the impact of the latest strikes in Saudi Arabia, Jordan and Egypt? Join my channel tonight at 8 pm where I brief on the strategy, the repercussions and take your questions. See you then 🤗 Link in comments 👇
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 29/07/2026
🇺🇦 angreb mod våbenforsyningerne mellem 🇷🇺 og 🇮🇷 i Det Kaspiske Hav øger ikke risikoen for et verdenskrigsscenarie. Det gør derimod præsident Trumps eftergivenhed over for Putins rolle i våbensamarbejdet mellem 🇷🇺 og 🇮🇷. Læs min seneste kommentar på Børsen👉 borsen.dk/nyheder/opin...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
I'll discuss the consequences of Zelensky's sacking of the succesful DefMin Fedorov and take your questions tonight at 8 pm CET, 2 pm EST. You can join me via this link 👇 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa... See you tonight 🤗
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 13/07/2026
The European "Anti-Ballistic Missile Coalition" formed today is a welcome initiative. It's high time leaders address one of the most serious defence industrial shortfalls. The RED ALERT should have been activated years ago! Read my latest right here 👇 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 08/07/2026
Ukraine has struck the Omsk oil refinery, one of 🇷🇺 largest, at faraway Omsk. Meanwhile in Ankara, Trump has re-stated his claim that he needs to own 🇬🇱. Join me tonight at 8 pm CET, 2 pm EST, as I discuss the latest and do Q&A. Follow this link 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 24/06/2026
What happens in 🇺🇦 isn't staying in 🇺🇦! In case you missed my conversation with the great @johnsipher.bsky.social don't dispear. You can access it right here👇 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
Really good to see my friend @Dean Blundell again. Catch the latest on the Middle East, 🇺🇦, 🇬🇱 and Team 🇨🇦 6-0 mauling of 🇶🇦 at the World Cup⚽️😅 substack.com/@jacobkaarsb...
substack.com
Dean's Live W @JacobKaarsbo: Israel ruins Trump's surrender, Ukraine Makes It Rain Oil In Moscow, Greenland Laughed Trump's Friends Out Of Greenland
June 19, 2026
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
I always enjoy talking to my friend Kenneth Harbaugh, not least when he calls me from a road in 🇺🇦! You can catch our discussion of the current situation in 🇺🇦 and also the latest from the Gulf right here 👇 substack.com/@thekenharba...
substack.com
Meidas Defense Weekly Update, 27MAY26
A recording from The Ken Harbaugh Show's live video
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
So good to speak to my friend @thekenharbaughshow.bsky.social again. We managed to go over Greenland, Ukraine and the Gulf in just 30 mins:-) Check it out👇 substack.com/@thekenharba...
substack.com
Greenland Update with Jacob Kaarsbo
A recording from The Ken Harbaugh Show's live video
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
Trump har brudt med næsten 5 årtiers 🇹🇼-politik og er slået ind på en farlig vej. Under besøget hos præsident Xi signalerede Trump, at 🇹🇼 bærer hovedansvaret for øgede spændinger, at våbensalg til 🇹🇼 er til forhandling, og at han ikke agter at komme 🇹🇼 til hjælp mod 🇨🇳. 👉 borsen.dk/nyheder/opin...
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mpowerdance.bsky.social @mpowerdance.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
Trump’s created a horrific mess by Iran war, so he’s looking at Greenland again. Catch a special Substack live briefing from Danish Intelligence at 2pm EST with Jacob Kaarsbo. @jkaarsbo.bsky.social open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 14/05/2026
When met with appeasers, dictators press on…Xi likely sees Trump turning up in Beijing with a weak hand!
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
🇺🇦 is more important for the defence of Europe, than Europe is for the defence of 🇺🇦! Join the sharp @gresselgustav.bsky.social and I when we discuss developments on the battlefield in 🇺🇦 today Friday at 4 pm CET. Find the livecast via this link 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
The genious “Project Freedom” on pause as Trump is close to a “Complete and Final Agreement”. Everything will be good. 🇮🇷 will be free. Freedom of navigation in the Strait. No uranium enrichment or long range missiles or support for terror groups...the five dimensional chess player strikes again🤡🤡🤡
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 05/05/2026
Europe needs 🇺🇦, more than 🇺🇦 needs Europe!
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Adam Kinzinger @adamkinzinger.substack.com · 28/04/2026
Hasn’t whined about needing a ballroom to feel safe
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 26/04/2026
Great to appear “On the Edge” with legendary reporter Philip Itner in Kyiv to discuss 🇷🇺 war in 🇺🇦 and how it ties in with the 🇺🇸 war in 🇮🇷. Watch our conversation right here👇🏻 youtu.be/BIlhlSr6tsY?...
youtu.be
Jacob Kaarsbo & Ukraine's Place in an Increasingly Global Conflict
YouTube video by Philip Ittner
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 25/04/2026
It’s been 5 really good days in Kyiv and 🇺🇦. Most important takeaways are gathered in the below video. 3 points: 1) 🇺🇦 will win. What victory will look like and how long it will take is still too early to say. European support will determine how long and how many sacrifices 🇺🇦 needs to endure! 1/3
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 24/04/2026
Usually, I don’t get star struck! Yesterday came close 🌟🇺🇦🙏🏻
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 17/04/2026
In case you missed my Iran War live Q&A last night, you can catch it right here👇 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 14/04/2026
It was good to be back with my friend @thekenharbaughshow.bsky.social last week for a chat about the Iran war and the crisis within NATO. Catch the show right here👇 open.substack.com/pub/meidasto...
open.substack.com
Meidas Defense: Europe Braces as Trump’s Iran War Exposes NATO’s Crisis
Ken Harbaugh sits down with Jacob Kaarsbo, former senior analyst and Middle East chief at the Danish Defense Intelligence Service and one of Europe’s foremost experts on NATO’s threat environment, for...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 11/04/2026
Only 4 days ago, Trump proposed a joint venture, where the US and Iran would charge shipping in the Strait🤡
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 09/04/2026
Urgent need to re-up this poster from the Nuuk busstops in January: “Yes NATO, no pedo”🇬🇱!!!
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
Join me to take stock of the Iran war this Thursday night. You find the link right here: open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
I thought speaker Ghalibaf was Trump’s favourite and the presumptive dealmaker🤡
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 05/04/2026
Nixon’s Mad Man Theory IRL!!!
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 23/03/2026
Seriously, the NATO SG is now a full on propagandist for Trump🥶 Rutte interferes in domestic politics even on an issue where there is no agreed NATO position. It’s scandalous!
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 22/03/2026
Renewed Trump threats won’t make Iran back down. He still doesn’t understand his opponent. There are two bad possibilities now: 1) Trump carries out strikes on power plants. This will make Iran escalate hard against Gulf states energy infrastructure which will deepen the global energy crisis. 1/2
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 20/03/2026
🇩🇰 soldiers was ready to defend 🇬🇱 against the Trump threat in January! I had the great pleasure of reliving “the Greenland moment” with friend and former congressman @denverr.bsky.social last night🙏🏻 Watch our conversation right here👇🏻 open.substack.com/pub/denverri...
open.substack.com
Live with Jacob Kaarsbo and Denver Riggleman
A recording from Denver Riggleman and Jacob Kaarsbo's live video
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 19/03/2026
Trump went to war with 🇮🇷 without a goal, without strategy and without understanding of his opponent. So although the military achievements have been impressive, deeply troubling consequences increase making an acceptable off ramp look elusive! Read my latest👇 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 17/03/2026
In times of crisis we need humour😂😂😂
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 15/03/2026
My pleasure to join friends @thewarningses.bsky.social and @thekenharbaughshow.bsky.social to discuss the Iran War. Catch the show right here👇🏻 substack.com/@jacobkaarsb...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 11/03/2026
The 🇮🇷 regime is increasingly radical and still in control of 460 kg of highly enriched uranium. The Trump administration doesn't seem to have answers, only dubious accusations. When it's in a hole and it keeps digging! My latest👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
Trump wants "unconditional surrender" by the 🇮🇷 regime, but he's more likely to find it in the Yellow Pages than in 🇮🇷. Now Trump and Bibi face an increasingly beliggerent regime. As the days go by, the wide-ranging consequences of the war get worse and worse! Read my latest 👇
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mpowerdance.bsky.social @mpowerdance.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Warcast Update Day 4 US-Iran war. @malcolmnance.bsky.social @jkaarsbo.bsky.social youtube.com/watch?v=K3Mg...
youtube.com
Black Man Spy Warcast - Day 4 US Iran War
YouTube video by Malcolm Nance
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Glen Jackson @glenjackson.bsky.social · 04/03/2026
GREAT CLIP 🇺🇸 @kenharbaugh.bsky.social is a former U.S. Navy pilot and mission commander & Executive producer of the #1 Apple TV documentary #AgainstAllEnemies. @jkaarsbo.bsky.social spent 15 years at the Danish Defence Intelligence Service @deanblundell.bsky.social
substack.com
Trump’s Iran War Is Already Lost and Europe Just Got Nukes: Intel Briefing with Ken Harbaugh & Jacob Kaarsbo
Two of the sharpest military minds I know sat down to explain why Trump’s Iran war is an unmitigated catastrophe — and why the rest of the world is done waiting for America to get its shit together.
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 28/02/2026
While president Trump pursues regime change 🇮🇷 will ignite as many fires in the Middle East as possible. The fantasy that 🇮🇷 people will rise up and install peaceful and stable governance is delusional. We're likely headed for ears of increased instability! open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Pulling back is an insane proposition. Insane!
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
During the fifth year of 🇷🇺 assault on 🇺🇦, increasing pressure on autocrats and wannabe dictators is likely. Their stance will harden and therefore, supporters of democracy, freedom and International Law must show increasing resolve! Read my latest 👉 open.substack.com/pub/jacobkaa...
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auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 27/02/2026
Swedens minister of defense points to a Russian warship after yesterday’s drone intrusion against French carrier Charles de Gaulle. www.svt.se/nyheter/inri...
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auonsson @auonsson.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
A Russian drone was intercepted by Swedish armed forces as it approached French carrier Charles De Gaulle, currently docked in south Sweden. Took of from a Russian ship but disappeared after electronic warfare actions were taken. Caveat, media understanding, but seemingly confirmed by MOD =).
svt.se
Rysk drönare närmade sig franska hangarfartyget i Malmö – stördes ut
En rysk drönare har närmat sig det franska hangarfartyget Charles de Gaulle, som just nu befinner sig i Sverige. Det erfar SVT. Drönaren upptäcktes av det svenska försvaret som inledde motåtgärder mot...
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The Ken Harbaugh Show @thekenharbaughshow.bsky.social · 24/02/2026
Ken Harbaugh recounts Denmark rescuing a U.S. sailor near Greenland, highlighting allied cooperation amid tensions fueled by misleading claims. @jkaarsbo.bsky.social Watch the full video here: open.substack.com/pub/thekenha... Follow The Ken Harbaugh Show here: linktr.ee/thekenharbau...
open.substack.com
U.S. Sailor Rescued as Trump Insults Continue
Ken Harbaugh breaks down a startling incident in which the Danish military evacuated an American sailor from a U.S.
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Jacob Kaarsbo @jkaarsbo.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Sunday afternoon I had the pleasure of joining my friend @thekenharbaughshow.bsky.social for a chat about 🇩🇰 rescue of a 🇺🇸submariner off 🇬🇱 and Trump’s insane idea of sending a hospital ship (not boat) up there. Catch the show and subscribe right here👇🏻
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