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Simon Munzert

@simonsaysnothin.bsky.social
678 followers 563 following 125 posts

Professor of Data Science and Public Policy | Director @ Hertie School Data Science Lab | Elections, Public Opinion, Data

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Reposted by Simon Munzert
Sebastian Ziaja @sziaja.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
Geo-coded electoral data offers immense potential for understanding democratic processes. @dielea.bsky.social, Stefan Jünger, and I will build a research data infrastructure to support the global research community using such data with our DFG-funded project "Electoral Spaces". We are hiring!
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Nils Weidmann @nilsweidmann.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
We have a 2-year postdoc position available in a new SNSF/DFG-funded project on nationalist mobilization. More details here: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/5.... Please share widely!
stellen.uni-konstanz.de
Postdoctoral Position in Computational Social Science
Deadline: 04.10.2026
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 01/09/2026
Ahead of three closely watched state elections, a research team including Prof. Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social uses statistical modeling to assess how likely different election outcomes really are. ➡️ www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
hertie-school.org
Modelling Germany’s most-watched elections
Several German state elections are approaching, and the one in Saxony-Anhalt is drawing media attention amid fears that the far-right AfD could win an absolute majority. Ahead of the September electio...
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andyguess @andyguess.com · 25/08/2026
Glad to finally be able to post about this long-in-the-works paper, led by the amazing @crobertson500.bsky.social and @small-schulz.bsky.social! "Everyone knows" that social media gives a distorted view of public opinion (...right?). 1/8
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Anselm Hager @anselmhager.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
EuroWEPS 14 is here! We'll meet in Berlin @wzb.bsky.social and discuss designs/papers focusing on causal inference. No presentations, just constructive discussions. Early career scholars especially welcome to apply! Deadline is Sept 11.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Great position, great people. Apply!
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 03/07/2026
Here's another piece you should check out: In "The Caucasus Corridor," Luca Vellage maps how Europe's flights to Asia got squeezed into a narrow new path after Russia closed its airspace. lucavellage.github.io/caucasus-cor...
lucavellage.github.io
Regional conflicts have funneled the world's busiest air corridor into a single narrow passage. Nearly all flights between Europe and Asia now thread through the Caucasus - a geographic chokepoint located between war zones.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Stop! 🛑 Scroll no further - this is the coolest thing you'll see today. Presenting The Data Dispatch: data journalism made by my students at the Hertie School 👇 data-journalism-26.github.io
Screenshot of The Data Dispatch website
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
This spring, students in the #DataJournalism course traded the seminar room for the newsroom. The Data Dispatch brings reporting from Prof @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social Munzert's Data Journalism course, where students take a story from raw data to publication 👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/news/deta...
hertie-school.org
Hertie School students put data journalism into practice
The Data Dispatch brings together reporting from Simon Munzert's Data Journalism course, where students take a story from raw data to publication.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Stop! 🛑 Scroll no further - this is the coolest thing you'll see today. Presenting The Data Dispatch: data journalism made by my students at the Hertie School 👇 data-journalism-26.github.io
Screenshot of The Data Dispatch website
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Werner Krause @krausewe.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
New paper out in the @thejop.bsky.social (w/ @christinagahn.bsky.social) Do opinion polls shape election results? Using both cross-national data and a survey experiment, the answer we find is yes - though it depends on how we communicate polling results. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...
Image showing the abstract of the paper "Self-Fulfilling Prophecies at the Voting Booth" by Werner Krause and Christina Gahn, published in the Journal of Politics. The abstract describes a quasi-experimental study across 25 countries finding that parties polling just below electoral thresholds are approximately 45 percentage points less likely to clear them, and that this effect diminishes when voters are informed about polling uncertainty.
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Hendrik Heuer @hheuer.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
📢 Reminder: Submit to our #MuC2026 workshop, “Human-Centered Content Moderation: Expertise, Context, and Evaluation” (Aug 30, Duisburg, Germany). We welcome position papers and reflection essays. 📅 Deadline: June 24, 2026 👉 workshop26.content-moderation.org
Poster for a MuC 2026 workshop titled “Human-Centered Content Moderation: Expertise, Context & Evaluation.” The left side shows a close-up photo of a yellow-gloved hand pouring liquid cleaner from a white bottle onto a black-and-orange sponge, with the Mensch und Computer logo and “Workshop @” text overlaid at the top. The right side contains large pink title text and event details: Duisburg, Germany, 30 August 2026, submission deadline 24 June 2026, and submission formats: position paper or reflection essay. The workshop website is listed as https://workshop26.content-moderation.org/.
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Fabian Pawelczyk @fpawel.bsky.social · 01/06/2026
Last monday we published our paper on AI Labels and a potential spillover effect on unlabeled posts on platforms such as Instagram in the ICWSM proceedings. If you are interested in our work you can now find it here: ojs.aaai.org/index.php/IC... Huge thanks to my co-authors @ddimmery.com and Pu Yan!
ojs.aaai.org
Implied Authenticity Effect? The Impact of Explicit Labels on AI-Generated Content | Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 27/05/2026
We are excited to feature the following keynote speakers at the Visions in Methodology Conference in Berlin: @adelineylo.bsky.social Adeline Lo, @uwmadison.bsky.social @tara-slough.bsky.social Tara Slough, Associate Professor, New York University 👉 vim2026.com #VIM2026
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Konstantin Bogatyrev @bogatyrev.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
New paper w/ @lstoetze.bsky.social "Estimating Treatment Effects on Proportions with Synthetic Controls" out in @polanalysis.bsky.social 👀 When your outcomes are compositional (such as vote shares), applying synthetic controls separately to each part can break the math. We show how to fix it: 🧵
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Opa, wenn er zu Heinos Rock-Platte wippt
ZEIT-Artikel über Ulf Poschardt „Ich sehe mich in der Tradition des Punk“
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Centre for International Security - Hertie School @hertiesecurity.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
Proud to share: our postdoctoral researcher Christian Gläßel and @ascharpf.bsky.social's new book, Making a Career in Dictatorship, has been featured in The New York Times. 📰 Read more about their feature here: lnkd.in/d2SNAfFC @hertieschool.bsky.social
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
🗓️ May 19, 3–4pm BST: I'm presenting at the DEMED webinar series on social media as a research tool, organized by @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social I'll speak about geographic targeting using social media ads and why it matters. Sign up here: www.gla.ac.uk/research/az/...
gla.ac.uk
University of Glasgow - Research - Research units A-Z - Project DEMED - Data and Methods - Social Media as a Research Tool - Webinar Series
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
Wow, feels like one of those papers that becomes an instant classic. That AI output isn't politically neutral is not new, but it's great to see this being demonstrated in detail - with the language-dependent effect, and the laundering mechanism through training data. Congrats to everyone involved!
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Reposted by Simon Munzert
Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
A new study published in @nature.com Nature Human Behaviour, by @seramirezruiz.bsky.social, @hertieschool.bsky.social & @rsenninger.bsky.social, @au.dk reveals how power shapes not just politics but the very knowledge that informs it. Read 👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/news/allc...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 11/05/2026
One of the most impressive examples of research happening at @hertiedatascience.bsky.social. Evidence production is a massive soft power and some governments are currently shooting themselves in the foot by attacking the very institutions that nurture it.
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 08/05/2026
In his recent talk at the Inside Data Journalism series at the Hertie School Data Science Lab, @lennybronner.com Lenny Bronner shared his journey as a data scientist at The @washingtonpost.com, working at the intersection of data science and journalism 👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 06/05/2026
Whoa, that sounds like an exciting and relevant project! The games industry is so understudied from a poli-sci/quant lens.
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
Join us tomorrow for a Brown Bag Talk with @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social Simon Munzert, Professor of Data Science and Public Policy at Hertie School. 📅 5 May 2026 ⏲️ 12–1 PM (CEST) 📍 Maker Space, the Hertie School Register 👉 www.hertie-school.org/en/datascien...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
📆 One more week to apply! Do reach out if you have any questions about the position.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
👇That, and the opportunity to be part of a research community featuring rockstar colleagues inlcuding Drew, Asya Magazinnik, Lynn Kaack, Will Lowe, and more great people at @hertieschool.bsky.social!
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Jochen Müller @jocmuel.bsky.social · 27/04/2026
🚨 Job alert! 🚨 Postdoc in Comparative Politics/Public Opinion/IR (3 yrs) @unigreifswald.bsky.social Work on democratic resilience in times of crisis using cross-national survey data. flexible start (earliest possible) deadline: 31 May 2026 🔗 www.uni-greifswald.de/en/universit...
uni-greifswald.de
Postdoctoral Research Associate - Interdisciplinary Centre for Baltic Sea Region Research (IFZO) 26/E08
Stellenausschreibung des Interdisziplinären Forschungszentrum Ostseeraum (IFZO)
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
🚨CfA🚨 We're looking for a postdoc joining us in summer in Berlin. 3-year position @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiedatascience.bsky.social. Pursue your own research agenda in data science for public policy - ML/AI, causal inference, computational methods. Questions? Don't hesitate to reach out!
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Lisa Oswald @lfoswaldo.bsky.social · 02/04/2026
New publication 📄 "Little change in a changing landscape: Tracking exposure to untrustworthy news in Germany from 2017 to 2024". So far, my shortest paper - and the first with @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social! Read our brief description of news web browsing @journalqd.bsky.social
journalqd.org
Little change in a changing landscape: Tracking exposure to untrustworthy news in Germany from 2017 to 2024. | Journal of Quantitative Description: Digital Media
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Christian Traxler @chtraxler.bsky.social · 13/03/2026
Delighted to see "Swiftness & delay of punishment" (joint w/ @libordusekeu.bsky.social) published online @theeconjournal.bsky.social academic.oup.com/ej/advance-a... Open access 👉 www.hertie-school.org/fileadmin/5_... Longer thread with summary👇
academic.oup.com
Swiftness and delay of punishment
Abstract. We study how the swiftness and delay of punishment affect behaviour in the context of speeding offences. Using rich administrative data from auto
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Gregor Aisch @driven-by-data.net · 04/03/2026
I made an animated map of ship movements in the Straights of Hormuz using data from marinetraffic.com. Ship track frames rendered using #ggplot, base map created using #gdal, video editing using #ffmpeg, video player written in #svelte. 🎁 www.zeit.de/wirtschaft/2...
zeit.de
Straße von Hormus: So legt der Krieg die Straße von Hormus lahm
Seit Samstag droht der Iran damit, Schiffe anzugreifen, die die Straße von Hormus passieren. Sehen Sie hier, welche Folgen das für den Verkehr in der Meerenge hat.
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Chris Bail @chrisbail.bsky.social · 03/03/2026
Want to learn about computational social science *for free* and identify new research partners across academic fields? Apply to one of the 2026 Summer Institutes in Computational Social Science (described in yellow in the attached map) here: sicss.io/locations
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Heinz Leitgöb @heinzleitgoeb.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Joint paper with @floriankeusch.bsky.social out now: We discuss opportunities and challenges of causal inference from digital behavioral data, and methodological approaches for making these data fit for purpose: link.springer.com/article/10.1...
link.springer.com
Causal Inferences from Digital Behavioral Data - KZfSS Kölner Zeitschrift für Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie
In recent years, digital behavioral data (DBD) have emerged as a powerful resource in social science research. Their ubiquity, granularity, complexity, and continuous collection provide new opportunit...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 20/02/2026
Ich durfte in der @taz.de ein bisschen was zu Umfragen erzählen, und was soll ich sagen - Berichte über den Tod von Umfragen sind stark übertrieben...
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 12/02/2026
Always a pleasure chatting with students who ask sharp questions 😊 Thanks to The Governance Post for having me - and yes, I stand by the autopilot line.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 23/01/2026
School council election. Also running: the class clown. Annoying to all, impossible to ignore. Kid 1: “I’ll vote for him. He’s in my class.” Kid 2: “Nice poster! He'll get my vote.” Kid 1: “Also, he promised better school lunches.” Political scientist in me: slowly nodding, checking off the 2020s
media.tenor.com
a man in a black shirt is making a funny face while sitting at a table .
Alt: Guy at table trying to say something, gives up
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Flashback to last year’s Data4Good Hackathon challenges! 🏛 Municipal Innovation (with @bertelsmannst.bsky.social): > Participants tackled the Wegweiser Kommune dataset, using 400+ indicators to map out the future of German municipalities.
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Data Science Lab - Hertie School @hertiedatascience.bsky.social · 19/01/2026
This is the week we’ve been waiting for: The Data4Good Festival 2026! We are excited to host 70+ students from across Europe at the Hertie School for a weekend of data-driven innovation and creativity in the heart of Berlin.
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Adam Scharpf @ascharpf.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Thanks for referring to our research, @donmoyn.bsky.social! For those who want to understand the actions of authoritarian security organizations, here is the info kit of our forthcoming book “Making a Career in Dictatorship”. It includes short chapter summaries and more: tinyurl.com/599d6uc5
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Arianna Ornaghi @ariannaornaghi.bsky.social · 07/01/2026
📢 Call for papers 9th Economics of Media Bias Workshop Keynotes: Ruben Durante (NUS) and Pinar Yildrim (Wharton) 🗓️ May 28th-29th 2026 📍 Berlin, Germany ⏰ Deadline: January 31st 2026 Full CfP and information on how to submit: tinyurl.com/2s3f6tar Please circulate!
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 24/12/2025
🎅2️⃣4️⃣❄ Weiße Weihnachten in ...? By @carlagrefehuge.bsky.social and André Pätzold interaktiv.morgenpost.de/schnee-an-we...
interaktiv.morgenpost.de
Wann gab es bei Ihnen weiße Weihnachten?
Hier finden Sie die Antwort auf die Schnee-Frage für Ihren Ort - als persönliches Geschenkpapier, Poster oder Grußkarte.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
PSA für alle Eltern, die mit dem Gedanken spielen, die Weihnachtsbäckerei anzuzünden und die Winterkinder auf dem Balkon auszusperren: Bestes Kinder-Weihnachtsalbum? Look no further www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxFn...
youtube.com
O je, Tannenbaum!
YouTube video by Release - Topic
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 20/12/2025
🎅2️⃣0️⃣ Inside the Suspicion Machine, by @evaconstantaras.bsky.social, @gabrielgeiger.bsky.social, @jusbraun.bsky.social, @dmehro.bsky.social, and Htet Aung from @lighthousereports.com in @wired.com www.wired.com/story/welfar...
wired.com
Inside the Suspicion Machine
Obscure government algorithms are making life-changing decisions about millions of people around the world. Here, for the first time, we reveal how one of these systems works.
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 18/12/2025
Same vibes
Image from Spinal Tap where he says it goes up to eleven
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Peter Selb @pselb.bsky.social · 15/12/2025
We @uni-konstanz.de are hiring a full professor in machine learning for our MSc program in Social and Economic Data Science: stellen.uni-konstanz.de/jobposting/6...
stellen.uni-konstanz.de
Full Professorship (W3) in Machine Learning
Deadline: January 31, 2026
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CSS Lab, LMU Munich @css-lmu.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
🚀 We’re hiring a Postdoc! Our group is looking for a Postdoc to join the team working on computational comm research. If you’re excited about automated content analysis, large text & social-media data, open science, this might be for you. 💡 Sounds like you or someone you know? Please share/boost!
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Securitas @securitas.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
"Seven German journalism students tracked Russian-crewed freighters lurking off the Dutch and German coast—and connected them to drone swarms over military bases."
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
The Big Mac Index, Aussie edition, presented by ABC Australia. Nicely wrapped up with spicy graphics and crunchy explainers. Enjoy!
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Simon Munzert @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
🎅1️⃣2️⃣ What’s driving up burger prices? By @jtfell.com, Teresa Tan and @mattliddy.bsky.social www.abc.net.au/news/2024-08...
abc.net.au
The price of this burger tells the story of our cost-of-living crisis
The cost of a Big Mac can help us understand the big picture of what's going on with spiralling prices.
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Lisa Oswald @lfoswaldo.bsky.social · 11/12/2025
It's out!! www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... Big thank you to my coauthors @small-schulz.bsky.social and @lorenzspreen.bsky.social, and to all participants who discussed 20 political issues over 4 weeks in 6 subreddit, 3 experimental conditions and let us observe.
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