Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 4hI'll say it again: It doesn't matter what Democrats say now, or intend now. They will impeach Trump, because he won't give them any choice. So I hope they're preparing themselves for it. 16618
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSeth Masket @smotus.bsky.social · 8h@jonathanbernstein.bsky.social wrote a while back that there was such a low threshold for getting a Republican scandal claim on Fox News that people weren't bothering to do basic research on them before trying them out, and I think we're seeing a great example of that todaynytimes.comJack Smith Defends Trump Charges as Senator’s Perjury Claim Falls ApartA Republican eager to prove the former special counsel was dishonest appeared to instead demonstrate his own confusion over basic facts. 516235
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 8hAnd the underyling truth is that Trump was obviously guilty as charged - and there was nothing selective or unusual *at all* about the decisions to prosecute. 0220
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinScott Lemieux @lemieuxlgm.bsky.social · 8hThe greatest playoff performer in Atlanta Hawks history 850849
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 9hYup. We'll see whether Approps passses in December or kicks over to the new Congress. Questions: What will congressional GOP be willing to include in Dec? What will GOP Senators filibuster in 2027? Will Trump sign, or shut down the gov't? And.... 181
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 13hPeople really want the story of Trump's second term to include a lack of grass-roots protests (outside of the handful of No Kings events) and it's just not true. Listen to @chenoweth.bsky.social, folks. 25229
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinErica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · 13hMy team at the NVA Lab has produced a new dashboard for exploring our data on US protests from Jan 2025-May 2026. This snapshot shows the 61k+ protest events (>14.6M+ recorded participants) active in the US since Trump's second inauguration. Link to dashboard in thread. 210944
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 15h[Senator Schmitt rooting for the Cardinals, but it's actuallly a papal conclave] [Schmitt rooting for George Brett, but it's actually George Brent] [Schmitt rooting for the Royals, but it's actually Succession] [Schmitt rooting for the Chiefs, but it's actually the Guardians] 481051176
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinMark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 17h#NotTheDodgers2026 484 Electoral votes 3203
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinDavid S. Bernstein @dbernstein.bsky.social · 17hNew Boston Magazine cover feature I assembled, on the data showing how superior Massachusetts is to all those other states. Something to peruse before the Sox-Yankees series starts tonight. www.bostonmagazine.com/news/2026/09...bostonmagazine.comWe're No. 1! Obviously.Sure, Massachusetts gives us plenty to complain about. But from schools and healthcare to sports and Dunkin’, here are 61 reasons we’re still awfully hard to beat. 2105
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSam Bagenstos @sbagen.bsky.social · 20hThis whole @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social post is great. But as a guy who’s still out here fighting for the rights of trans people, immigrants, etc., I really want to endorse his last point. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/whats-gone...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comWhat’s Gone Wrong For the GOPAnd some speculation about why. 33817
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinJosh Chafetz @joshchafetz.bsky.social · 20hExcellent, as usual, @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social piece today on where things stand electorally and, more importantly, why. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/whats-gone...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comWhat’s Gone Wrong For the GOPAnd some speculation about why. 13413
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinFrancis Wilkinson @franciswilkinson.bsky.social · 19hA far-right Frenchman who's antisemitic -- now I've heard everything. www.nytimes.com/2026/09/29/w...nytimes.comAccusations of Antisemitism Hit a Star of the French Far Right (Gift Article)Jordan Bardella, the 31-year-old protégé of Marine Le Pen, is said to have made antisemitic statements as a teenage activist. He denies it. 0236
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026This is accurate about Trump's War. 0104
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Back-to-back Paxton ads, a positive and a negative, during this excellent Hallmark Mystery show...what do I know but Paxton's positives seem unusually unconvincing and barely professional. The negatives are much better, although I'm skeptical that trans-bashing is actually effective for him. 061
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinNoah Berlatsky @nberlat.bsky.social · 28/09/2026if trump thought he'd rigged the midterms, he'd be saying things like, "we have rigged the midterms" because he pretty much can't shut up about it when he thinks he's done something clever. 212522
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinDavid S. Bernstein @dbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026The MAGA online outrage of the day is that Gov Sarah Huckabee Sanders has a new campaign ad about her welfare-to-work requirement, and the depicted laze-about welfare mooch in the ad forced to get a job is [gasp!] a white male. I swear to you, there is OUTRAGE 724239
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Big conferences going on right now about whether this qualifies for the Lamest October Surprise Ever award or if Sept 28 is just too early. 1244
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinFrancis Wilkinson @franciswilkinson.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Many facets to this piece. But one is that at a time when Biden appeared in worrisome physical decline he was nonetheless very much in command. www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...theatlantic.comHow Biden Averted a War With IranIn April 2024, the U.S. military helped avoid a wider conflict in the Middle East by working with Israel to defeat an Iranian missile attack. 0186
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Major readjustment in conventional wisdom this month...but it's possible that people are still underestimating the downside for the GOP. 2183
Reposted by Jonathan Bernstein[Christopher M. Federico] @chrispps.bsky.social · 28/09/2026this is downstream of the institutional GOP essentially having become the political wing of the right-wing media sector 1195
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Need more doomer sneering comments about how naive folks are to believe that Trump will let the midterms happen. #alarmismgooddoomersbad 0163
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I wrote about the Republicans, with their information-free administration and their post-policy Members of Congress and, gee whiz, it isn't working. Plus all the links. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/the-gop-go...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comThe GOP Governing CollapseIn Iran and elsewhere. Plus all the links. 011
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSam Bagenstos @sbagen.bsky.social · 28/09/2026This. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/the-gop-go...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comThe GOP Governing CollapseIn Iran and elsewhere. Plus all the links. 212750
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSarah Langs @slangsonsports.bsky.social · 28/09/2026My grandma learned baseball later in life - from Kruk & Kuip, tuning in for almost every game in her final 15 years It wasn’t just that baseball was there when she needed its cadence & companionship most, it’s that it was THIS duo Forever grateful for their impact. On the game, and my family 🧡 847428
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I've never watched Bluey so dunno but I do think the revived Electric Company should be a serious contender for a spot in a Top 50 list. 161
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 28/09/2026I still would love to see AOC stay in the House, lead efforts to strengthen the chamber, and then become a legendary committee chair... ...but an EMK/HHH style Senator would be a good second choice. 1313
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinRick Hasen @rickhasen.bsky.social · 27/09/2026Cough…John Roberts did this…cough 11422101
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 27/09/2026I think I'd go with: Donald Trump's habit of massively lying to everybody about everything has backfired horrifically. 08721
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSteven T. Dennis @steventdennis.bsky.social · 26/09/2026The fraud is by the boiler rooms who sign people up and collect a commission. (Sometimes the person never realizes they now have health insurance. In some cases, they had health insurance but had their plans changed by the broker so they could make a commission, hurting patients.) 121
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 26/09/2026Christy Mathewson and Three-Finger Brown is some Adams/Jefferson dying kind of thing. 0202
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 26/09/2026AP STYLE ALERT: On first reference, he's "Justin Verlander, who gave up two of Pablo Sandoval's three home runs in game one of the 2012 World Series..." 091
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinLindsey Cormack @dcinbox.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Official congressional e-newsletters mentioning "rising costs" over time, by party 1114
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Yeah - Cook *finally* did a relatively big shift on the House side today, but they're still seeing Dem picking up 5-15 seats, which seems extremely low to me from the polling *and* the reporting we've seen. That 5-15... 5639
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026This all may seem either stupid or funny or both (and sure) but the key as always is that it absolutely destroys incentives for governing, for understanding policy, and, most seriously, for winning elections. This and flat-out core bigotry explain well over 75% of the problem. Maybe >95%. 1256
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinCharles Franklin @pollsandvotes.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Trump’s second term in two charts. A bit more context at my (Free!) substack: charlesatpollsandvotes.substack.com/p/trumps-sec... 0219
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinJennifer N. Victor @jenvictor.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I think you tagged the wrong @mattngreen.bsky.social 111
Reposted by Jonathan Bernsteineric gonzalez juenke @egojunk.bsky.social · 25/09/2026EV caveats abound but... this is exactly what happened last year in NJ and VA. Low-propensity Indies and leaner Dems are enthused and the same group of GOP folks are not. That's a recipe for a big wave. 2218
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Yes, but we're still around @juliaazari.bsky.social @dandrezner.bsky.social @smotus.bsky.social @dcinbox.bsky.social @mirandayaver.bsky.social @meredithconroy.bsky.social @jenvictor.bsky.social @jennmjacksonphd.bsky.social @donmoyn.bsky.social and more! 24513
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinMike Konczal @mtkonczal.bsky.social · 25/09/2026I knew but still am amazed at how bad these numbers are, 10th percentile having a worse time of it than peak 10% inflation in 2022. 28124
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026C'mon it's the NYT; we're lucky that Girls didn't wind up somehow having six other separate entries. With at least two essays about it. Meanwhile it's now certified that Fargo is the most underrated TV show of the century. 8321
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinSteven T. Dennis @steventdennis.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Trump going to Alabama and Oklahoma instead of to swing districts/states. Did nobody in tough race want a rally with him? 1111221
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinJulia Azari @juliaazari.bsky.social · 25/09/2026This semester has turned me into actual roadkill already somehow, but I still got a blog post together goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/studying-f...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comStudying for the midtermsStudying for the midterms 0114
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 25/09/2026Hadn't watched the last hour of Full Metal Jacket in some time and just...damn. Still feel it's way underrated. 490
Reposted by Jonathan BernsteinChris Galdieri @cgaldieri.bsky.social · 25/09/2026static.klipy.comCookie Monster's Eager WaitALT: Cookie Monster's Eager Wait 1101
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Don't even know why they bother to play the season since most teams have no chance so we obviously need a salary cap and probably should cancel at least the next five seasons to get it. 051
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Getting foolishly upset about the NYT TV shows list >>>>>>> getting foolishly upset about the NYT election focus group. 1101
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 24/09/2026I have a couple of brief Dogs, Not Barking items plus more today, including the Thomas/Alito non-retirements. So far. And what could happen in the lame duck if that changes. Plus more, including a tiny bit of GOP-related optimism. Maybe. At GP/BP. goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/the-electi...goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.comThe Election Has StartedAnd other items from campaign 2026 and beyond. 152
Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 24/09/2026The thing is that it's entirely plausible that the WH can't handle the logistics of quickly implementing policy concerning who gets into the building and while a deliberate "we can defy the courts a little bit" is scary the accidental thing isn't exactly reassuring. 171