iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 09/07/2026

The US no longer has a refugee program. There are many nouns to accurately describe a whites-only visa, but ‘refugee program’ is not one of them. Congress created and sustained our refugee program with bipartisan support over generations. Now Congress allows one person to simply terminate it.

0214113

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Pam Herd @pamherd.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

In fact, undocumented people pay into the system and never receive benefits. The Social Security Trustees build this into long term fiscal projections for the program because of how much this offsets long term debt in the program.

14628

Jenna Nobles @jnobles.bsky.social · 01/07/2026

UC-Berkeley & NBER virtual workshop on the Macroeconomic Effects of Population Aging organized by Adrien Auclert, Will Dow, and Ron Lee submit papers by Aug 5: www.nber.org/calls-papers... @popassocamerica.bsky.social @popresearchctrs.bsky.social

nber.org

Macroeconomic Effects of Population Aging

021

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 26/06/2026

🗣️ Published today in @aeajournals.bsky.social. Ethan Lewis and I use a visa lottery, as a nationwide randomized experiment, to test the effects of foreign labor on US firms and workers. doi.org/10.1257/app.... A concise summary from @nber.org —> www.nber.org/digest/20221...

Abstract:
US firms hiring foreign workers in low-skill nonfarm jobs face a binding quota on the "H-2B" visa, allocated in part through a randomized lottery. We evaluate the quota's marginal impact using the lottery, a novel firm survey, and a pre-analysis plan. Firms exogenously employing more H-2B workers in low-skill jobs increase production (elasticity 0.20–0.22), investment (1.5–2.1), and profits (0.15). The elasticity of substitution between H-2B and US workers is very low (0.8–2.2). Thus, the effect on US employment is zero or positive overall, and positive in rural areas. Forensic analysis suggests similarly low substitutability of black-market labor.

116968

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Kelcie Moseley-Morris @kelciemmorris.bsky.social · 26/06/2026

NEW: A spokesperson for U.S. Health and Human Services confirmed to Stateline on Friday that the agency is canceling 53 out of 67 grants, worth about $68 million, under the Teen Pregnancy Prevention Program, affecting grantees in more than two dozen states.

stateline.org

Federal health agency cancels most of its teen pregnancy prevention grants • Stateline

A spokesperson for U.S. Health and Human Services confirmed to Stateline on Friday that the agency is canceling 53 out of 67 grants, worth about $68 million, under the Teen Pregnancy Prevention Progra...

47618490

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field @wrigleyfield.bsky.social · 03/06/2026

This study of four cohorts of French schoolchildren shows that the gender gap in math (girls falling behind) begins essentially immediately as soon as kids start school. They use the natural variation in kids' ages at school start to show that it's school entry, not age, that triggers the change.

nature.com

Rapid emergence of a maths gender gap in first grade - Nature

Boys and girls exhibit very similar maths scores upon school entry, but a gender gap in favour of boys becomes highly significant after 4 months of schooling, which increases with years of schooling,&...

414869

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

John Mullahy @johnmullahy.bsky.social · 28/05/2026

Atheen nicely summarizes the paper. I will just add that the DCC issues we study are increasingly recognized in other contexts, e.g. discrimination www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... and demography onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1... where terminology like identity fluidity is often used.

174

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Melody Schreiber @melodyschreiber.com · 28/05/2026

After the Dobbs decision, patients experiencing miscarriages in states with abortion bans have fewer choices in the type of care they get, and they are receiving lower-quality care as well. My latest: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

theguardian.com

US abortion restrictions are hindering access to miscarriage care, study finds

States with abortion bans are turning away from medications to a wait-and-see approach, with care falling below standards

02512

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

A Jean Stevenson @amandajean.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

Mindel Sheps wrote many beautiful papers about the mathematics of demography. Her papers "On the person years concept in epidemiology and demography" in Millbank and "Shall we count the living or the dead?" in NEJM are my favorites. Also, she mentored Jane Menken!!!

1206

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field @wrigleyfield.bsky.social · 19/05/2026

A commentary I wrote on new research by Arun Hendi & Veronica Clevenstine showing that Black immigrant life expectancy in the US is extremely high -- high enough that increased immigration accounts for almost 15% of declining Black/White life exp gaps, 1994-2019 (pdf should be ungated at this link)

academic.oup.com

Taking heterogeneity seriously: black immigrant life expectancy in the United States

Abstract. The article by Hendi and Clevenstine (Am J Epidemiol. 2026;XXX(XX):XXXX–XXXX) documents notably high life expectancy among US Black immigrants, a

23211

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field @wrigleyfield.bsky.social · 18/05/2026

Finally, here's an absolute banger of an article, published just last month (Hoffman et al. 2026), showing how incredibly powerful the cohort patterning of influenza deaths is, in regular (not pandemic) years, corresponding to how circulating strains match up w what people were exposed to as kids

science.org

Childhood immune imprinting shapes cohort and period influenza mortality

Childhood exposure to different influenza strains shapes the age-profile of seasonal influenza mortality.

12013

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Jonas Schöley @jschoeley.com · 29/04/2026

demoscapes.org is a visual atlas of demographic surfaces hosted at @mpidr.bsky.social. It is also my passion project growing out of my 2016 human mortality database explorer. Did you publish something containing Lexis surfaces? Consider reaching out and having your work featured on the site.

69330

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 04/04/2026

Every single one of the above choices tends to create a negative wage gap between H-1B workers and US workers. Not one of them is justifiable. There is a right way to do the analysis, so I did it right, in a new paper at @rfberlin.bsky.social —> www.rfberlin.com/network-pape...

rfberlin.com

Immigrant-Native Wage Gaps and Immigration Tariffs: Examining the Case for an H-1B Visa Tax

ROCKWOOL Foundation

1183

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Paul Kelleher @paulkelleher.net · 26/02/2026

Even if "singularities" could be ruled out it's way past time caring about GDP in the absence of indicators of what a specific growth path entails for human health and the natural environment.

1122

Jenna Nobles @jnobles.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

The degree of randomness in individual survival is vastly underappreciated

050

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 13/02/2026

Twin Cities' (Hennepin+Ramsey) counties filings for evictions up 40% in Jan 2026 over 2023-24 baseline @evictionlab.bsky.social. In raw counts, +9% to 1,330 in Jan 2026 from 1,220 in prior month. In baseline years (2023 & 2024), filings lower in Jans than Decs. evictionlab.org/eviction-tra...

096

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Monica Alexander @monjalexander.bsky.social · 05/02/2026

This was a very cool talk, Chiara gave a great overview of bivariate health-death distributions. The recording is here for those interested: www.youtube.com/watch?v=w0Jl...

youtube.com

Formal Demography Working Group meeting 13

YouTube video by Formal Demography

063

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 10/01/2026

Also, its illegal to discuss gender in some American universities now.

333312791

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Daphne O. Martschenko, PhD @daphmarts.bsky.social · 09/01/2026

Less than a month before my debut book "What We Inherit" gets released! You can place pre-orders now: press.princeton.edu/books/hardco... Lucky to have gotten to collaborate (and argue) with Sam Trejo for the last 5+ years on this.

press.princeton.edu

What We Inherit

Debating the use of genomic tools and their societal impact

25919

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

JAMA @jama.com · 30/12/2025

Between 2013 and 2023, private equity ownership of US fertility clinics increased nearly tenfold, from 3.7% to over 32%, with affiliated sites responsible for the majority of #IVF cycles by 2023. ja.ma/49ubuWl

JAMA "Research Letter" displays "Trends in Private Equity Affiliations With Fertility Clinics in the US." Graphs show private equity vs. non-private equity fertility clinics and IVF cycles by year, 2013-2023. Total, private equity, and non-private equity data are shown.

2207

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

BK. Titanji @boghuma.bsky.social · 23/12/2025

Five real global health wins in 2025 1.HPV vaccination scaled faster than expected; 2. measles/rubella eliminated in several countries; 3. long-acting HIV PrEP (lenacapavir) approved; 4. progress on TB vaccines/diagnostics; 5. A promising new antimalarial. www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

theguardian.com

Five big global health wins in 2025 that will save millions of lives

From HIV to TB, scientists and doctors made breakthroughs in treatment and prevention of some of the world’s deadliest diseases

625598

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 09/12/2025

Big new blogpost! My guide to data visualization, which includes a very long table of contents, tons of charts, and more. --> Why data visualization matters and how to make charts more effective, clear, transparent, and sometimes, beautiful. www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/salonis-gu...

28806313

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Monica Alexander @monjalexander.bsky.social · 09/10/2025

The Toronto Population Network is holding a conference on 6 November at Hart House at UofT. Keynote from @ridhikashyap.bsky.social! If you're in Toronto come along and help us build the community of demographers and population researchers here! Registration: www.eventbrite.com/e/toronto-po...

0155

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Kasey Buckles @kaseybuckles.bsky.social · 08/10/2025

The Economic Demography Workshop will be on May 6, at the PAAs in St. Louis. See the call for papers 👇 Thanks to co-chairs @hnmansour.bsky.social & @mguldi.bsky.social !

drive.google.com

EDW Call for Papers 2026.pdf

066

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Saloni @scientificdiscovery.dev · 12/08/2025

It was surprising and super interesting to learn briefly how the US war production board was coordinating clinical trials and data sharing for antibiotic development, when I was doing research for this piece -

0246

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 24/06/2025

During the 1st week of June we held our 11th Annual Berkeley Workshop in Formal Demography. We had a terrific workshop & are already looking forward to next year! TY to NIH & to instructors @ayesha-mahmud.bsky.social @rchung.bsky.social Josh Goldstein @dennisfeehan.bsky.social @jnobles.bsky.social!

0195

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

NBER @nber.org · 20/06/2025

Providing evidence on how abortion restrictions post-2022 have impacted women's risk of exposure to intimate partner violence, from Dhaval M. Dave, Christine Durrance, Bilge Erten, Yang Wang, and Barbara L. Wolfe www.nber.org/papers/w33916

02911

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Tiffany Green @tiffanylgreen.bsky.social · 30/05/2025

Are you a grad student or postdoc stressing out about job talks? Join me on 6/26/25 at 2 PM CST for a free class. You'll learn how to: ✔️ Avoid the “Big 3” job talk killers ✔️ Use storytelling breath life into your research ✔️ Handle Q&A like a boss Register here and please share: lnkd.in/g5f3YwtX

“Job talk got you stressed? I can help. Free Masterclass: Making Academic Job Talks Fun | June 26, 2025, 2 PM CST | 60 minutes of strategy, support, & clarity. Register now!" Zoom registration link: https://us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/3c9_zpsFSsSy6mfv0fmmAQ

0108

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Ridhi Kashyap @ridhikashyap.bsky.social · 14/04/2025

*JOB OPENING* Come join me and the Digital Gender Gaps team @sociologyoxford.bsky.social @oxforddemsci.bsky.social. We study digital gender inequalities and their consequences w/ social media, geospatial, and population data. tinyurl.com/postdoc-oxf Apply by 9 May, noon (UK)

tinyurl.com

05434

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Florencia Torche @ftorche.bsky.social · 16/04/2025

** Researchers using US Natality Data: Code to read & label restricted-access CDC natality data into Stata/R now includes 2019–2023 (in addition to 2010–18): florenciatorche.github.io/ReadNatality... Please share—no need for us all to write the same code! Thanks to @RussellSageFdn for funding

florenciatorche.github.io

Reading Natality Data

14417

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Andrew S. Kelly @askellyphd.bsky.social · 01/04/2025

When relational, iterative engagement is key to building informal public health capacity both within government and among non-state actors, today’s policy’s payoff well into the future by building up these relationships. OTOH, this means today’s cuts will reverberate well into the future.

151

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 13/03/2025

Join us for our next Brownbag of the semester on Wed 3/19, w/ Nicholas Mark (@nickdemark.bsky.social), who will present, "Estimating Period Effects on Cohort Measures: An Application to Fertility in the Great Recession and Beyond." 310 Social Sciences & Zoom.

072

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Ined @ined.bsky.social · 27/02/2025

| Interview | Mesurer l’espérance de vie à Gaza Après un an de conflit, l’espérance de vie dans la bande de Gaza a pratiquement été divisée par deux. Michel Guillot, directeur de recherche à l’Ined, explique la méthode utilisée pour arriver à cette conclusion. www.ined.fr/fr/tout-savo...

0129

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Elizabeth Wrigley-Field @wrigleyfield.bsky.social · 26/02/2025

Don’t polarize people against you who aren’t really against you (The trick, always, is knowing the difference)

1337

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Berkeley Population Sciences @berkeleypopcenter.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

We are now accepting applications for our Annual Workshop on Formal Demography, taking place in-person at UC Berkeley on June 2-6, 2025. Deadline to apply is March 10. See more information on the workshop and how to apply here: populationsciences.berkeley.edu/wp-content/u... Please share widely!

01921

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Alison Gemmill @alisongemmill.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

Our two papers on abortion bans and fertility/infant mortality are now out. In 14 states w/ abortion bans, fertility increased 1.7% and infant mortality increased 6%. Key takeaway is that these impacts were disproportionately felt among those w/ greatest structural disadvantages. Links below.

9387223

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Leigh Senderowicz @lsenderowicz.bsky.social · 04/02/2025

A paper I've been working on for quite literally 10 years just came out It's a shitty time, for sure, but this paper is still cool and good, and I still want to you tell you all about it So gather 'round, folks, and hear the story of the 10 year paper! 1/n www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

tandfonline.com

Thirty years of ‘strange bedmates’: The ICPD and the nexus of population control, feminism, and family planning

Widely credited with ending population control and ushering in a new era of reproductive rights, the 1994 International Conference on Population and Development (ICPD) Programme of Action also incl...

811428

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Abigail Andrews @abigailandrews.bsky.social · 18/12/2024

Elated to share that the dream team @stephcanizales.bsky.social, @drmirianma.bsky.social, Silvia Rodriguez Vega and I are getting ~$1.6 million from UCOP MRPI for our project Reimagining Refuge: California for Just Migrant Futures. Stay tuned for seed grants to CA scholars, artists, and activists!

bit.ly

5398

Jenna Nobles @jnobles.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

This is an awesome team. Great opportunity for anyone finishing this AY working on repro health

142

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Chelsea Polis @cbpolis.bsky.social · 25/11/2024

As somebody who faced a frivolous SLAPP suit for standing up to flawed science (www.theguardian.com/science/2023...), I've been thinking a lot about this. I've been developing a table of resources along these lines. Suggestions on where/how best to share it are welcome.

091

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Whitney Robinson @whitneyepi.bsky.social · 18/11/2024

I’ll say it again: the anti-HPV vaccines are a miracle 🌟 A beloved family friend is living with metastasized cervical cancer right now. Enough! This podcast ep with Kemi Doll is a great cervical cancer 101 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/1...

podcasts.apple.com

195: Preventable Tragedy: Cervical Cancer Awareness with Dr. Kemi Doll

Podcast Episode · Myleik Teele's Podcast · 06/18/2024 · 47m

0121

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Marcy Carlson @marcyc.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

In my non-work time, I love to cook (though still learning), and we have a 6-month-old golden doodle puppy. All dog tips welcome!

2131

Reposted by Jenna Nobles

Marcy Carlson @marcyc.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

I am also co-founder with Kelly Musick (at Cornell) of the NextGenPop program focused on bringing young scholars into the field of population research. Applications now open for the summer 2025 undergrad program to be hosted by UCI June 22-July 3 at nextgenpop.org:

nextgenpop.org

NextGenPop

Next Generation of Scholars in Population Research

152