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Nicholas D.E. Mark

@nickdemark.bsky.social
1.2K followers 1.5K following 278 posts

Assistant Professor, Sociology, UW-Madison. Studying and hoping I can eventually do something to reduce inequality in education + health.

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Nicholas D.E. Mark @nickdemark.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Does this apply to NIH proposals that go in in 2 weeks?
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Jeffrey Wooldridge @jmwooldridge.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
In case anyone is interested, here is a new working paper on non-binary treatments with staggered interventions. Essentially, I show under what assumptions it is valid to estimate cohort x time dose-response functions. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
papers.ssrn.com
A Heterogeneous Slopes Approach to Difference-in-Differences with Non-Binary Treatments
I extend the approach of Wooldridge (2023, 2025) to allow for heterogeneous gains to treatment in the context of staggered interventions for non-binary treatmen
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
UNC Sociology is hiring an OPEN-RANK position for a Population Health and Aging scholar! We are especially interested in more advanced and senior scholars. Full position details, qualifications, and application instructions are available at: unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/325...
Position Summary: The Department of Sociology at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill invites applications for an open rank (tenure-track) faculty position to begin July 1, 2027. We are seeking candidates with research and teaching interests in population health and aging. This is the first of an anticipated five related searches over the next four years in a new UNC-Chapel Hill initiative on biosocial health and aging. We seek applications from scholars who exhibit a record of strong and innovative research and excellence in teaching. Candidates are expected to hold a Ph.D. in Sociology or a related field by July 1, 2027.
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Sean Corcoran @seanpcorcoran.org · 23/09/2026
Our department at Vanderbilt is seeking an assistant/associate professor of higher education policy. The position is intended for a quantitative researcher with a PhD in a social science, public policy, or education. Please circulate and let me know if you have questions! apply.interfolio.com/193891
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Shannon Monnat @smonnat.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Now recruiting PhD applicants for Fall 2027 for our Policy, Place, Population Health, and Aging (P3HA) Training Program - an NIA-funded T32 program on how policies and places shape health, longevity, and wellbeing across the life course. Info: www.maxwell.syr.edu/academics/po...
maxwell.syr.edu
Policy, Place, Population Health and Aging Program
An NIH-funded T32 training program preparing Syracuse University doctoral students to research how policy and place shape health and aging outcomes.
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Jen Jennings @jenjennings.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
🧵 Let's talk about the backstory here, which you can also read about in my book. Bergtraum was 1 of 8 new selective citywide career-themed HS opened between 1969-82. 8 new schools doesn't sound like a lot, but at the time, there were 86 HS in NYC & new schs recruited from the whole city. 1/12
the scarcity loop: how school choice reshapes the rationing of public education cover
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Chantal Hailey @chantalahailey.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
The Nikole Hannah Jones article has invoked a lot conversation on race, school choice for Black families. I’ve been researching how black folks choose schools for 17 years, I have a lot of nuanced thoughts. Long thread. 1/
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Mark Chin @mememedianmode.bsky.social · 18/09/2026
Our department is hiring an assistant/associate professor of higher education policy!! I am not on the search committee this time, but am happy to chat with those who are interested about our amazing departmental community and Vanderbilt. Please help circulate! apply.interfolio.com/193891
apply.interfolio.com
Apply - Interfolio {{$ctrl.$state.data.pageTitle}} - Apply - Interfolio
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Jen Jennings @jenjennings.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
I’m excited to share that The Scarcity Loop: How School Choice Reshapes the Rationing of Public Education is officially out in the world. It seemed important to find a slice.
Scarcity loop book dragging a pizza slice up subway stairs
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C. Kirabo Jackson @kirabojackson.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
If spending more on schools raises the earnings of the children who benefit, does it eventually make the whole economy richer? My new NBER paper examines this using school-finance reforms. 🧵 www.nber.org/papers/w35755
nber.org
The Macroeconomic Returns to School Finance Reforms: Micro-Calibrated Predictions Meet Causal Evidence
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Jeremy Singer @jeremylsinger.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Job alert! @harbatkat.bsky.social and I are hiring a postdoc to help lead research on Michigan's Partnership Model of school and district turnaround. We're looking for qualitative or mixed-method researcher, and hoping to hire ASAP. Reach out with any questions! careers.umich.edu/job_detail/2...
careers.umich.edu
RESEARCH FELLOW (Hybrid) | U-M Careers
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PM2.5 Kills ~9 Million People Each Year Worldwide @tkovach.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
"Buyout compensation received by households of color is at least 6 percent lower than that received by white households. White participants relocate to higher quality neighborhoods and are better off than white nonparticipants. Black participants... move to worse neighborhoods and are worse off."
nber.org
Racial Dynamics of Federal Property Buyouts in Flood-Prone Areas
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
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Jeremy Singer @jeremylsinger.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Ever since the pandemic, we've had a school attendance crisis...right? I have a new essay arguing that the "crisis" narrative is a bit overblown, and may be distracting us from longer-standing issues that predate the pandemic: edworkingpapers.com/ai26-1574 🧵
School Attendance in the United States, 1870-2024
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Fabien Accominotti @faccominotti.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Critiques of meritocracy are having a moment. In this review article, Mike Sauder and I look beyond the "we think it promotes equity, but it doesn't" argument.
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Nathan Hoffmann @nathanihoff.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
My paper "Double robust, flexible adjustment methods for causal inference: An overview and an evaluation" is out in Social Science Research. Spoiler: In simulations, double robustness appears less important than flexibility, and OLS does pretty well! 🧵👇 1/7 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
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Olúfẹ́mi O. Táíwò @olufemiotaiwo.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
two panel animated meme with left panel showing a character dialing on a phone (meme edit has added "Gender Studies" to the above the number pad) and right panel showing a stone faced animated character with their phone to their ear
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 30/08/2026
What’s especially great is that this is getting coverage outside of political outlets - and that coverage includes info on the attacks on reproductive autonomy. This is part of the story in @usweeklymag.bsky.social www.usmagazine.com/celebrity-ne...
Rodrigo has been a outspoken advocate of abortion rights and reproductive health in the wake of the Dobbs decision, the landmark 2022 Supreme Court decision that overturned the Constitutional right to abortion access and left more than 15 states — and nearly 63 million women and girls — facing outright or severely strict bans on the common procedure. (A reported one in four people with the capacity to get pregnant will have an abortion in their lifetime. As a result of abortion bans and funding, more than one-third of U.S. counties are considered maternity care deserts with limited or no access available to reproductive healthcare.)
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Thomas Lux @thomaslux.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
Sociology in the tradition of Karl Mannheim says that what you live through in your impressionable years tends to leave a lasting imprint. But which events do people themselves count as formative for their lives? Our data visualization in Socius answers this. 1/6 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
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Econometrica @ecmaeditors.bsky.social · 28/08/2026
We propose an algorithm for building efficient recentered IVs. While simulated IVs for Medicaid eligibility discard individual variation as non-random, our recentered IVs preserve it and deliver much more precise estimates. @instrumenthull.bsky.social, @borusyak.bsky.social buff.ly/H1JYjlX
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Per Engzell @pengzell.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
Hegel: nice dialectic I got here
Hegel: be a shame if someone
(Wreaking havoc) would apply it to causal inference
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Nicholas D.E. Mark @nickdemark.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
A key difference between the two eras is that earlier violence was ostensibly in the interest of workers, today‘s frames the oppressed as consumers. That’s part of what makes collective action that much more difficult. www.nytimes.com/2026/08/24/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | We’re in a New Era of Class Warfare. History Points to a Way Out. (Gift Article)
The class-based violence of the past was part of a broader struggle. Today, the violence is the end in itself.
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Elizabeth Warren @warren.senate.gov · 21/08/2026
In the richest country in the world, we shouldn’t be treating childcare as a privilege reserved for the rich. It’s about time we pass universal childcare.
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Paul Hünermund @p-hunermund.com · 17/08/2026
➕➕➕ New Working Paper ➕➕➕ Fixed effects are the workhorse of management and economics for dealing with unobserved confounding. But what if they themselves create bias? 😲 A short thread 🧵 1/6
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Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
“Pregnancy Intentions, Race & Ethnicity, & Infant Outcomes”: Among Black & Hispanic mothers, @nickdemark.bsky.social shows that outcomes for wanted pregs were “often statistically indistinguishable” from those for pregs wanted later or unwanted. @uwsoc.bsky.social read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
In “Flood Risk & Uneven Patterns of Immobility,” Katherine Thomas uses PSID & flood risk data to assess n'hood risk & probability of moving, finding that h'holds in risk areas are ↓ likely to move than those w/o risk, esp renters & Black and low-income homeowners. read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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Rebecca Sear @rebeccasear.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
A few papers have recently come out on the importance of social influence and support on childbearing 1/3 in South Korea: "We argue that reproductive decisions are shaped by relational processes within neo-traditional familism, not solely individual planning"
compass.onlinelibrary.wiley.com
From Childless Intentions to Motherhood: Familial Pro‐Natalism Among Korean Middle‐Class Women
While literature often frames fertility decisions as individual economic choices, the subtle influence of kinship ties is underexplored. This study examines how married South Korean women, who initia...
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
New paper alert! Vital stats only capture individual births, not people’s reproductive career. For that, demographers use surveys that collect full fertility histories. But these fertility histories are less helpful if people don’t fully report all their births or report info inaccurately. 1/
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NBER @nber.org · 08/08/2026
Expanding H-1B visas boosted US worker incomes and productivity, especially in non-STEM jobs, with gains flowing downstream via supply chains, from Ran Abramitzky, Leah Platt Boustan, Ahmet Gulek, and Jens Hainmueller www.nber.org/papers/w35560
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Anna R. Haskins @annarhaskins.bsky.social · 08/08/2026
ND sociology is HIRING! We have three (yes, 3!!!) lines! (1) Open-Rank, Open Field careercenter.asanet.org/job/1311611/... (2) Assistant Professor, Quantitative Sociology careercenter.asanet.org/job/1311610/... (3) Assistant Professor, Sociology of Education careercenter.asanet.org/job/1311609/...
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
If you're attending #ASA2026 in NYC later this week/next week, please join us bright & early on Monday for a session on pronatalism.
Desired Childbearing Amidst Rising Pronatalism: What Role for Sociology?
Mon, August 10, 8:00 to 9:30am, Sheraton, Floor: Third Floor, New York Ballroom West
Description
In the media and public at large, there is considerable concern about the appearance of a lower fertility rate in the United States, and around the world. These declines have given rise to a pronatalist politics that seek to shape Americans’ childbearing decisions. At the same time, there is evidence that Americans would like to have more children than they are currently having. Sociologists might be concerned about both of these trends under a Reproductive Justice (RJ) framework, which includes the right to not have children as well as to have children, along with resources and support necessary to do so. What is the role of sociology in this debate? What might allow all people to have and parent the children they want? To date, it is not clear that interventions like direct payment, tax credits, or parental leave policies are allowing people to fulfill their fertility desires. What’s more, some interventions might be coercive and/or perpetuate rather than ameliorate inequities related to gender, race, and class. This session will include discussion of policy interventions as well as broader sociological theory on topics such as changing family structures, gendered labor, romance and courtship, medically assisted reproduction, social movements, immigration, race and eugenics, and climate change. This panel discussion invites critical stances on questions of decreased fertility rates and changing population dynamics.Presider: Eliza Brown
Panelists: Sarah K. Cowan, Karen Benjamin Guzzo, Holly Hummer, Kate Tierney, Patrice Wright
Organizers: Eliza Brown, Nick Mark
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A Jean Stevenson @amandajean.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
I'm organizing a session on Reproductive Injustice for PAA this year. Send along all your depressing papers. I'll read them for science! ✊✊✊ higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/POPULATIONAS...
Black text on white background:
704 Reproductive Injustice
Amanda Stevenson
University of Colorado Boulder
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
It's here! The @popassocamerica.bsky.social Call for Papers for its 2027 annual meeting is officially live! Lots of great topics. Start thinking about your submissions!!! paa_acgi.informz.net/z/cjUucD9taT...
static.klipy.com
Get to work
ALT: Get to work
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Noah Greifer @noahgreifer.bsky.social · 03/08/2026
I'm so happy to announce version 2.0.0 of my #Rstats package WeightIt is out on CRAN! New features: censoring weights, multilevel propensity scores, improved weights for continuous treatments, bias-reduced ordinal and multinomial models, M-estimation in subgroups Check out the website below!
ngreifer.github.io
Weighting for Covariate Balance in Observational Studies
Generates balancing weights for causal effect estimation in observational studies with binary, multi-category, or continuous point or longitudinal treatments by easing and extending the functionality ...
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jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 28/07/2026
New job market paper 🚨 Local newsrooms are cutting crime coverage—but not homicide, which nearly every journalist I interviewed considers too important to skip. So why did so many journalists recount open newsroom disagreements over homicide coverage? onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Which deaths count? Debating homicide coverage amidst newsroom scarcity

Past research documents disparities in which homicides receive news coverage and how victims are portrayed, yet the organizational processes producing these patterns remain understudied. This paper asks how crime journalists navigate homicide coverage under resource scarcity—and why widely voiced concerns about the racialized consequences of coverage fail to resolve disagreements about equitable practice. Drawing on interviews with 58 crime journalists across 40 local newsrooms, I find that homicide coverage generated the most sustained professional disagreements in the data. Journalists agreed homicides were newsworthy and shared a vision for ideal coverage, but resource constraints often made it unrealizable. Participants invoked competing moral frameworks organized around two concerns: that selective coverage risks symbolic annihilation of primarily Black victims whose deaths go publicly unacknowledged, and that universal episodic coverage risks territorial stigmatization of communities where violence is concentrated. Because scarcity forecloses the coverage that would avoid both harms, it transforms professional discretion into a choice among ethically unsatisfactory alternatives. Some journalists responded by abdicating discretion entirely, endorsing universal coverage because they distrusted selective judgment. These findings illuminate why the coverage patterns that criminologists have identified as harmful persist even among practitioners who recognize and contest them.
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Carlos J. Gil @karlosj89.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
New ESR paper: In traditional Italy, income positively predicts parenthood for men/women, especially among high-income couples. This is at odds with classic sex-specialisation theory, implying high economic prerequisites/stratification of parenthood under rising childlessness doi.org/10.1093/esr/...
@ESR
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Julius Koschnick @juliuskoschnick.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
New working paper With Torben Johansen and @ChristianVedel It's on a methodological issue that we think is crucial for the discipline of economic history: Whenever we use machine learning tools in our workflow, they can introduce structural bias. So, what should we do?
ML tool performance can decline when applied to archaic text
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Nicholas D.E. Mark @nickdemark.bsky.social · 01/07/2026
Contestant on great British bake off having now idea what to do with an avocado. From the shows “Mexican week” which was full of offensive stereotypes and even more offensive imitations of Mexican food.
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Nicholas D.E. Mark @nickdemark.bsky.social · 29/06/2026
has my five year old … been taking advice from Mel Brooks? I’m so proud.
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jon ben-menachem @jbenmenachem.com · 22/06/2026
"If it bleeds, it leads"—many people assume crime news is just about chasing clicks. After interviewing 58 crime journalists across 40 newsrooms, I found something more complicated. My first dissertation paper is live at @sociologicalsci.bsky.social 🧵 sociologicalscience.com/articles-v13...
Clickbait Crime News? Metrics and Professional
Authority in Local Newsrooms
Jonathan Ben-Menachem
Columbia University
Abstract: Existing research on newsroom metrics documents how journalists construct compatibility
between discordant professional and commercial evaluation frameworks. This study examines the
underexplored case where metrics validate existing practices. Drawing on interviews with 58 crime
journalists in 40 U.S. newsrooms, I find that reporters whose work consistently performed well on
audience metrics often defended professional evaluation criteria. Editors facilitated this defense

through brokerage, absorbing commercial logics so reporters could experience their work as profes-
sionally guided. Market position structured interpretive responses: reporters could avoid metrics,

override them, selectively appropriate them, or integrate them into practice. The transition from
pageview to subscription regimes reshaped whether concordance was experienced as contaminating
or legitimating. Even under concordance, journalists defended professional evaluation criteria.
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Arin Dube @arindube.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
I did not know about this. This seems really bad.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 15/06/2026
Important new work by Wu, @nickdemark.bsky.social, & Hill in @readdemography.bsky.social suggesting that, even for cohorts most impacted by the Great Recession, lifetime completed fertility is still likely to be at or near 2 births doi.org/10.1215/0070...
Table showing projected 2037 completed fertility for US women by single year of age, with estimates ranging from 2.15 for those born in 1980 to 1.89 for those born in 1992.
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
Curious about the recent claims that the iPhone led to huge declines in births? @drjenndowd.bsky.social breaks down the analyses and brings some much needed skepticism.
jenndowd.substack.com
Did the iPhone Cause the Baby Bust?
I'm not so convinced. An interesting new paper highlights the power and pitfalls of simple stories
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Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.eurosky.social · 12/06/2026
Interesting paper by Wu, Mark and Hill on effect of Great Recession on US Fertility. Relative declines of 7–30% and absolute declines of 0.013–0.031 births per woman. Shouldn't have spent so much time texting your friends about the economy back then read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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Demography - the flagship journal of PAA @readdemography.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
“Effect of the Great Recession on U.S. Fertility”: Using a cohort discontinuity design, Wu, @nickdemark.bsky.social & Hill show “strong & credibly causal evidence” that the GR altered fertility behavior, esp. for the youngest cohorts (relative declines of 7-30%). read.dukeupress.edu/demography/a...
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elizabethginexi.bsky.social @elizabethginexi.bsky.social · 29/05/2026
Summary of Key Changes in OMB’s Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule. Russell Vought is going destroy American Science. elizabethginexi.substack.com/p/summary-of...
elizabethginexi.substack.com
Summary of Key Changes in OMB’s Proposed Federal Financial Assistance Rule
Russell Vought is going destroy American Science
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Karen Benjamin Guzzo @karenguzzo.bsky.social · 25/05/2026
The US only seems to care about women and babies during pregnancy. And once mothers have a produced a baby, no one seems to care about them or for them.
nytimes.com
Opinion | The Medical System Abandons Women When They Are Most Vulnerable
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Sasha Gusev @sashagusevposts.bsky.social · 23/05/2026
I assigned random gender/ethnicity labels to scientific abstracts from the literature and then asked Claude to do a thematic analysis. Claude identified a clinical versus computational split for female/male authors and a DEI focus for Black/URM authors. All in completely random data.
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Nicholas D.E. Mark @nickdemark.bsky.social · 20/05/2026
I think this will be increasingly true with llms too.
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Philip N Cohen @philipncohen.com · 18/05/2026
I have read this FT story by @jburnmurdoch.ft.com and I believe it is "some bullshit." A lot of effort and data work, and an extremely exaggerated causal story, bolstered by Melissa Kearney saying it is "plausible" and Lyman Stone doing whatever he does. www.ft.com/content/fba3... /1
ft.com
Why birth rates are falling everywhere all at once
Homes and phones are part of the reason for the demographic shift changing our world
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Steven Ruggles @stevenruggles.bsky.social · 15/05/2026
My new article on the “Pig in the Python” argues that the demand for young workers will grow dramatically over the coming decades, likely leading to rising wages, stronger unions, and lower inequality. 1/28
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