iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Boze Herrington, Library Owl @sketchesbyboze.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Ursula le Guin, on the accusation that fantasy is an escape from reality

[“Fantasy is escapist, and that is its glory. If a soldier is imprisoned by the enemy, don’t we consider it his duty to escape? The moneylenders, the know-nothings, the authoritarians have us all in prison; if we value the freedom of the mind and soul, if we’re partisans of liberty, then it’s our plain duty to escape, and to take as many people with us as we can.”]

53120274307

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

In modern history, what is the least popular that party leaders have ever been to their OWN voters? Second place was the GOP in 2009, where their net approval with Republican voters was only +6. Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.

701774332

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Victor Araújo @victoraraujo.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism

0135

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 21/02/2025

I wrote about how particularly ridiculous it is that Senate Democrats, led by Dick Durbin, think the priority should be repealing Section 230 and undermining the very open internet we need more than ever right now. www.techdirt.com/2025/02/21/w...

techdirt.com

While Democracy Burns, Democrats Prioritize… Demolishing Section 230?

While an unelected tech billionaire is effectively orchestrating a coup of the US government, violating federal law with apparent impunity, and disclaiming all responsibility for the chaos he&#8217…

1022478713

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Yiqing Xu @yiqingxu.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

632797

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

Make this @OfficialUoM press release viral “Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.” www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...

manchester.ac.uk

Trump is making false claims about Zelensky's popularity, say experts

US President Donald Trump has once again echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%. In reality, polling by ex...

18665353

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

NEW - Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN - @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of human rights trials on public confidence and institutional justice, focusing on Argentina after the military dictatorship of 1976-1983.

021

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Crazy Ass Moments in LatAm Politics @asslatam.bsky.social · 18/02/2025

President Javier Milei blames the people who fell for the crypto scam, saying that "I didn't promote it, just shared it".

45118

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Malu Gatto @malugatto.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

Our new paper is out! In Brazil, election-driven family conflicts are rare, but affect LGB voters disproportionately. LGB voters’ heightened political engagement and strong opposition to Bolsonaro seem to underpin their greater propensity to face election-driven family conflicts.

095

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 16/02/2025

Critical support to El Presidente as he picks the pockets of the stupidest Silicon Valley venture capitalists with the oldest crypto scam in the book. Historically progressive

730032

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Dr Kat, Epidemiologist @epidemiologistkat.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

These are the vaccination rates of kindergartners by state. It takes 95% coverage of MMR vaccine to prevent measles outbreaks & most states are not achieving it. I fear that under the new administration rates will drop even further and we will start to see preventable illness, disability, and death

33485216

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 16/02/2025

I am fine, but I want to declare today was the first (possibly not the last) time I suffered xenophobia in the US. If the government wants to enable the worst of people, fine. I’ll do whatever I can just to finish my PhD and go to a country that still cares about civics and dignity. What a hellhole.

010

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Yamil Ricardo Velez @yamilrvelez.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

🧵 Knowing which questions to ask is one of the most critical aspects of survey design, but we often rely on guesswork to devise questionnaires. What if we were to rely directly on participants?

2289

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 09/02/2025

one thing I am moderately confident on now is that China is the leading global scientific power by 2030.

581275164

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Diana O'Brien @dzobrien.bsky.social · 08/02/2025

🚨FREE BOOK ALERT! Download "Gendered Jobs and Local Leaders: Women, Work, and the Pipeline to Local Political Office" by two of my favorite authors: @mirya.bsky.social & @rivb.bsky.social. Rich data showing occupational gendered segregation is a powerful source of 🚺's political underrepresentation.

172

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Here's my new working paper w/ Aaron Kaufman & Chris Celaya. Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...

54011

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Zack Furness @punkademic.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Aaron Swartz, whose throwaway projects brought more value to the world than FB ever did, was a tech prodigy who killed himself because he was facing 35 yrs in prison for downloading academic articles from an academic institution. Zuck stole far more and did so for profit. What charges will he face?

arstechnica.com

“Torrenting from a corporate laptop doesn’t feel right”: Meta emails unsealed

Meta’s alleged torrenting and seeding of pirated books complicates copyright case.

19836

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

NYU's Center for Social Media, AI, and Politics @csmapnyu.org · 04/02/2025

New at Political Research Quarterly: Our latest study analyzing Latino political engagement & activity on social media, from Marisa Abrajano & Marianna Garcia from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, and Aaron Pope, @robertvidigal.bsky.social, Edwin Kamau, @jatucker.bsky.social, & Jonathan Nagler of CSMaP.

284

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Please share / RT: ***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"*** Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt... Please direct any questions to centerforglobaldemocracy@vanderbilt.edu.

23232

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Evidence in Governance and Politics (EGAP) @egap.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Today we're highlighting Danilo Freire, @mgaldino.bsky.social & @umbertomig.bsky.social 's work exploring whether bottom-up, citizen-based monitoring improves public service delivery in Brazil. Read more here: buff.ly/4gFBb7b

buff.ly

Brief 69: Bottom-up accountability and public service provision in Brazil – EGAP

EGAP researchers: Danilo Freire, Manoel Galdino, Umberto Mignozzetti

122

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Latin America's response to U.S. policy won't be pretty for the U.S. right wing and poetic for the left wing. I don't think folks get what a bipartisan mess it has been: myopically focused on drugs and migrants, neglect of infrastructure projects and targetted investments, and allowing China in.

3566

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Anil Dash @anildash.com · 27/01/2025

Ok, quick thread on why DeepSeek is blowing up assumptions about LLMs and maybe the whole (U.S.) AI industry. DeepSeek is an AI lab funded by a Chinese hedge fund, their AI code is open source, meaning freely available to use, which most big U.S. models (aside from Meta’s) are not. That’s the start…

11934401012

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

mr. TIM @timkellogg.me · 25/01/2025

an open source 7B replication of R1-zero and R1 notable: they claim they developed in parallel and that most of their experiments were performed *prior to* the release of R1 and they came to the same conclusions hkust-nlp.notion.site/simplerl-rea...

hkust-nlp.notion.site

7B Model and 8K Examples: Emerging Reasoning with Reinforcement Learning is Both Effective and Efficient | Notion

A replication of DeepSeek-R1 training on small models with limited data

05716

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Last week, our research team launched The Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies (DRWAP). Video introducing the data: www.youtube.com/watch?v=J330... Public dashboard to play with the data: datanalytics.worldbank.org/dwrap/ The dataset itself is hosted at: shorturl.at/NGr7v

youtube.com

Launch of the Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies

YouTube video by Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement

58826

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

I hate to incarnate the crypto bro and I’m pretty sure Tether has lots of problems, but neither of them are being such underworld crypto. Tether is pegged to USD and it’s traceable. If you want to, idk, evade taxes or buy illegal stuff you should use Monero (or at least this was the choice 5y ago)

140

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Lucia Motolinia @luciamotoliniac.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

🚨New publication Alert! 🚨 Conditionally Accepted at @ajpseditor.bsky.social "The Super-Rich and the Rest: Campaign Finance Permissiveness and the Wealth of Politicians" with my amazing co-authors @simonweschle.bsky.social and Marko Klasnja Full paper & appendix here: sites.wustl.edu/luciamotolin...

sites.wustl.edu

ResearchWashington University in St. Louis

You can access my Google Scholar page here. PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLES 5. “The Super-Rich and the Rest: Campaign Finance Permissiveness and t...

35820

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

A brief list of things that don't require changing the Constitution: - Enlarging the House - Eliminating the filibuster - Adding states - Multi-member districts - A new VRA - Automatic universal voter registration - National popular vote compact - Nearly everything about SCOTUS:

14315

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

It’s wild living in one the richest places in human history but dealing with third world problems I didn’t have back in São Paulo just because some people decided the government can’t do good policies.

000

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Pedro Sant’Anna @pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

Here are the first five sets of slides: 01 Introduction: psantanna.com/DiD/01_Intro... 02 Classical 2x2 setup: psantanna.com/DiD/02_two_b... 03 Clustering issues: psantanna.com/DiD/03_Clust... 04 Functional form: psantanna.com/DiD/04_Funct... 05 Covariates: psantanna.com/DiD/05_Covar...

psantanna.com

50731181

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Robyn Caplan @robyncaplan.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Perhaps now is a good time to plug that I’ve been writing about the complicated histories of the verified badge (…series still ongoing obviously). Part one: datasociety.net/points/a-wor...

datasociety.net

A Working History of the Verified Internet

Part one: Studying a moving target

712634

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Social movements are asking the Brazilian government to accept the elections in Venezuela. These movements belong to the leftist coalition which rules Brazil. Together with the economic crisis we have right now in the country, I’m quite afraid for Brazilian democracy.

141

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

NBER @nber.org · 22/12/2024

How people think others update their beliefs upon encountering new evidence, from Marina Agranov and Polina Detkova www.nber.org/papers/w33261

03512

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 19/12/2024

Kabosu was a lovely dog and a wholesome meme. Seeing DOGE becoming a symbol of plutocracy really breaks my heart.

040

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Jean Hong 洪知延 홍지연 @jeanhong.bsky.social · 17/12/2024

Wrote a piece in with Hye Young You goodauthority.org/news/south-k... Our main points: - massage from South Korean politicians and citizens was clear: no return to military rule. - then, why democratic institutions that should have deterred President’s undemocratic move did not work?

goodauthority.org

How strong is South Korea's democracy?

The big lesson from the recent tests of democratic resilience in South Korea is that any democracy can be at risk.

293

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

NBER @nber.org · 15/12/2024

A practical guide to recent econometric advances with shift-share instruments, from Kirill Borusyak, Peter Hull, and Xavier Jaravel www.nber.org/papers/w33236

14012

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

polvo @coprodu.to · 15/12/2024

Still thinking about AI x programmers: Instagram did not make professional photographers irrelevant - but made their role reasonably more restricted. I'm not sure how good an analogy that is, but it seems to me like much more people will make software - but we'll still need software professionals.

171

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Kevin Zollman @kevinzollman.com · 14/12/2024

People need to take a breath about some of this stuff. AI tutoring has been a research area for DECADES. They have always been a good idea to scale the best methods of teaching: one-on-one education. But now that everyone hates LLMs, I guess this is a bad idea now?

10463

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 15/12/2024

This Monday, students for a class I’m TAing have an exam. From 10am to 5pm I stayed in front of the computer working in a project, so I took some minutes every hour to answer questions to the students. Tomorrow I’ll answer questions by the morning and that’s it. What about other times?

160

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Gemma Dipoppa @gemmadipoppa.bsky.social · 11/12/2024

🚨 New @apsrjournal.bsky.social Paper! 🚨 In “When Migrants Mobilize against Labor Exploitation: Evidence from the Italian Farmlands,” I study how empowering undocumented migrants can reduce labor exploitation and even weaken organized crime. Thread : 🧵

211546

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 08/12/2024

what were the four albums that dropped when you were in high school that defined your music taste forever? Justice - Justice Arcade Fire - Neon Bible Animal Collective - Strawberry Jam Explosions in the Sky - All of a Sudden I Miss Everyone

020

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Mathias Poertner @mathiaspoertner.bsky.social · 29/11/2024

🎉 Thrilled that my new book, *Creating Partisans: The Organizational Roots of New Parties in Latin America*, is finally out! 🎉 @cambridgeup.bsky.social www.cambridge.org/us/universit... A brief summary: 1/n

1115542

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Andrew Little @anthlittle.bsky.social · 27/11/2024

After a review process so long and intensive that the title changed twice, I'm excited/relieved that "How to Distinguish Motivated Reasoning from Bayesian Updating" is accepted at @polbehavior.bsky.social. osf.io/preprints/os... Here is how it's relevant for your Thanksgiving dinner 🦃👇

osf.io

OSF

816441

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Joshua Tucker @jatucker.bsky.social · 26/11/2024

How did Trump win in 2024? There are various theories, but it's clear the fragmented online information remains a critical place to study. Conducting rigorous research to understand this landscape is more important than ever. Here's our latest @csmapnyu.org: 🧵 1/ csmapnyu.org/impact/news/...

csmapnyu.org

Studying the 2024 Election — and Beyond

Conducting rigorous research to understand the increasingly fragmented media environment is more important than ever.

85927

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Christoph Harig @charig.bsky.social · 21/11/2024

Brazil's ex-president Bolsonaro, General Heleno, General Braga Netto, and other former government members indicted for attempt to violently abolish the democratic rule of law, planning a coup d'état and forming a criminal organisation g1.globo.com/politica/not... #CivMilSky

g1.globo.com

PF indicia Bolsonaro, Braga Netto, Heleno, Ramagem, Valdemar e mais 32 em inquérito sobre tentativa de golpe | Política | G1

56822

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 19/11/2024

Whenever people say Latino voters are queerphobic, I like to remember we have trans representatives in Brazil, Chile and Mexico without any type of institutional moral panic. Many individuals act queerphobic (hi AMLO), but we are way more tolerant institutionally than the US are nowadays.

292