iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Boze Herrington, Library Owl @sketchesbyboze.bsky.social · 23/02/2025

Ursula le Guin, on the accusation that fantasy is an escape from reality

[“Fantasy is escapist, and that is its glory. If a soldier is imprisoned by the enemy, don’t we consider it his duty to escape? The moneylenders, the know-nothings, the authoritarians have us all in prison; if we value the freedom of the mind and soul, if we’re partisans of liberty, then it’s our plain duty to escape, and to take as many people with us as we can.”]

53120274307

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 22/02/2025

In modern history, what is the least popular that party leaders have ever been to their OWN voters? Second place was the GOP in 2009, where their net approval with Republican voters was only +6. Currently Dems are -8, shattering all previous records.

701774332

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Victor Araújo @victoraraujo.bsky.social · 14/02/2025

New (open access) publication with @philipp-kerler.bsky.social. We draw on fieldwork to build a theoretical model that outlines the conditions when the expectation of clientelism can drive selective political engagement, something we call asymmetric participation. #distributivepolitics #clientelism

0135

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Mike Masnick @masnick.com · 21/02/2025

I wrote about how particularly ridiculous it is that Senate Democrats, led by Dick Durbin, think the priority should be repealing Section 230 and undermining the very open internet we need more than ever right now. www.techdirt.com/2025/02/21/w...

techdirt.com

While Democracy Burns, Democrats Prioritize… Demolishing Section 230?

While an unelected tech billionaire is effectively orchestrating a coup of the US government, violating federal law with apparent impunity, and disclaiming all responsibility for the chaos he&#8217…

1022478713

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Yiqing Xu @yiqingxu.bsky.social · 21/02/2025

We streamlined six new DID-like estimators and created this tutorial for implementation in R. yiqingxu.org/packages/fec... Hope you no longer need to spend months figuring out what these estimators are and how to use them.

632797

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 20/02/2025

As instituições vão colapsar em breve? Talvez. Não agora, diferente de certo país……..

110

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Olga Onuch @oonuch.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

Make this @OfficialUoM press release viral “Trump … echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming …Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%…polling…puts his approval rating at 63% - making him the most popular politician in the country.” www.manchester.ac.uk/about/news/t...

manchester.ac.uk

Trump is making false claims about Zelensky's popularity, say experts

US President Donald Trump has once again echoed Kremlin talking points, by falsely claiming that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s approval rating stands at a mere 4%. In reality, polling by ex...

18665353

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

British Journal of Political Science @bjpols.bsky.social · 19/02/2025

NEW - Fixing the Past: The Effects of Human Rights Trials on Political Attitudes in Argentina - cup.org/4gL8hlN - @pearceaedwards.bsky.social, Jennifer Gandhi & Donald Grasse #OpenAccess

BJPolS abstract discussing the impact of human rights trials on public confidence and institutional justice, focusing on Argentina after the military dictatorship of 1976-1983.

021

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Crazy Ass Moments in LatAm Politics @asslatam.bsky.social · 18/02/2025

President Javier Milei blames the people who fell for the crypto scam, saying that "I didn't promote it, just shared it".

45118

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Malu Gatto @malugatto.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

Our new paper is out! In Brazil, election-driven family conflicts are rare, but affect LGB voters disproportionately. LGB voters’ heightened political engagement and strong opposition to Bolsonaro seem to underpin their greater propensity to face election-driven family conflicts.

095

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 17/02/2025

Aconteceu comigo recentemente, horrível.

010

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Maia @maiamindel.bsky.social · 16/02/2025

Critical support to El Presidente as he picks the pockets of the stupidest Silicon Valley venture capitalists with the oldest crypto scam in the book. Historically progressive

730032

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Dr Kat, Epidemiologist @epidemiologistkat.bsky.social · 15/11/2024

These are the vaccination rates of kindergartners by state. It takes 95% coverage of MMR vaccine to prevent measles outbreaks & most states are not achieving it. I fear that under the new administration rates will drop even further and we will start to see preventable illness, disability, and death

33485216

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 16/02/2025

I am fine, but I want to declare today was the first (possibly not the last) time I suffered xenophobia in the US. If the government wants to enable the worst of people, fine. I’ll do whatever I can just to finish my PhD and go to a country that still cares about civics and dignity. What a hellhole.

010

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Yamil Ricardo Velez @yamilrvelez.bsky.social · 12/02/2025

🧵 Knowing which questions to ask is one of the most critical aspects of survey design, but we often rely on guesswork to devise questionnaires. What if we were to rely directly on participants?

2289

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 09/02/2025

Elon Fatorelli não tava no meu bingo.

000

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 09/02/2025

one thing I am moderately confident on now is that China is the leading global scientific power by 2030.

581275164

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Diana O'Brien @dzobrien.bsky.social · 08/02/2025

🚨FREE BOOK ALERT! Download "Gendered Jobs and Local Leaders: Women, Work, and the Pipeline to Local Political Office" by two of my favorite authors: @mirya.bsky.social & @rivb.bsky.social. Rich data showing occupational gendered segregation is a powerful source of 🚺's political underrepresentation.

172

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Jake Grumbach @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Here's my new working paper w/ Aaron Kaufman & Chris Celaya. Focusing on race and class, we argue that quant studies of inequality, discrimination, etc across identity groups should use the estimand that reflects its underlying theory of identity development ungated www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ophfv...

54011

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 08/02/2025

The point is that Milei seems to be a legit politician. While we can debate whether or not the guy is a populist or good or bad or wtv, he seems to be a true believer with a plan. Elon Musk acts as if he was commanded by a foreign autocratic power.

120

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Zack Furness @punkademic.bsky.social · 07/02/2025

Aaron Swartz, whose throwaway projects brought more value to the world than FB ever did, was a tech prodigy who killed himself because he was facing 35 yrs in prison for downloading academic articles from an academic institution. Zuck stole far more and did so for profit. What charges will he face?

arstechnica.com

“Torrenting from a corporate laptop doesn’t feel right”: Meta emails unsealed

Meta’s alleged torrenting and seeding of pirated books complicates copyright case.

19836

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

NYU's Center for Social Media, AI, and Politics @csmapnyu.org · 04/02/2025

New at Political Research Quarterly: Our latest study analyzing Latino political engagement & activity on social media, from Marisa Abrajano & Marianna Garcia from @ucsandiego.bsky.social, and Aaron Pope, @robertvidigal.bsky.social, Edwin Kamau, @jatucker.bsky.social, & Jonathan Nagler of CSMaP.

284

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Nick Carnes @carnes.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Please share / RT: ***Call for papers: Conference on "Representation, Democracy, and the Economic Backgrounds of Politicians"*** Paper proposals should be submitted by February 21, using this form: forms.gle/Stz7apkkHTgt... Please direct any questions to centerforglobaldemocracy@vanderbilt.edu.

23232

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Evidence in Governance and Politics (EGAP) @egap.bsky.social · 30/01/2025

Today we're highlighting Danilo Freire, @mgaldino.bsky.social & @umbertomig.bsky.social 's work exploring whether bottom-up, citizen-based monitoring improves public service delivery in Brazil. Read more here: buff.ly/4gFBb7b

buff.ly

Brief 69: Bottom-up accountability and public service provision in Brazil – EGAP

EGAP researchers: Danilo Freire, Manoel Galdino, Umberto Mignozzetti

122

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Vasabjit Banerjee @vasabjit.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Latin America's response to U.S. policy won't be pretty for the U.S. right wing and poetic for the left wing. I don't think folks get what a bipartisan mess it has been: myopically focused on drugs and migrants, neglect of infrastructure projects and targetted investments, and allowing China in.

3566

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 29/01/2025

Sinceramente invejo muito nesse ponto da minha vida.

000

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Anil Dash @anildash.com · 27/01/2025

Ok, quick thread on why DeepSeek is blowing up assumptions about LLMs and maybe the whole (U.S.) AI industry. DeepSeek is an AI lab funded by a Chinese hedge fund, their AI code is open source, meaning freely available to use, which most big U.S. models (aside from Meta’s) are not. That’s the start…

11934401012

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

mr. TIM @timkellogg.me · 25/01/2025

an open source 7B replication of R1-zero and R1 notable: they claim they developed in parallel and that most of their experiments were performed *prior to* the release of R1 and they came to the same conclusions hkust-nlp.notion.site/simplerl-rea...

hkust-nlp.notion.site

7B Model and 8K Examples: Emerging Reasoning with Reinforcement Learning is Both Effective and Efficient | Notion

A replication of DeepSeek-R1 training on small models with limited data

05716

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Guy Grossman @guygrossman.bsky.social · 24/01/2025

Last week, our research team launched The Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies (DRWAP). Video introducing the data: www.youtube.com/watch?v=J330... Public dashboard to play with the data: datanalytics.worldbank.org/dwrap/ The dataset itself is hosted at: shorturl.at/NGr7v

youtube.com

Launch of the Dataset of World Refugee and Asylum Policies

YouTube video by Joint Data Center on Forced Displacement

58826

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

If the democrats were serious about crypto plutocracies, they would have killed the biggest stablecoins long ago, way before crypto magnates could join Trump.

020

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

If someone is using Tether for illegal activities it is because the government was allowing so since forever. It’s super easy to break tether. Of course it’s bad to have plutocrats joining Trump’s government, but picturing tether as something that bad is just wrong. The most vanilla crypto.

130

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 18/01/2025

I hate to incarnate the crypto bro and I’m pretty sure Tether has lots of problems, but neither of them are being such underworld crypto. Tether is pegged to USD and it’s traceable. If you want to, idk, evade taxes or buy illegal stuff you should use Monero (or at least this was the choice 5y ago)

140

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Lucia Motolinia @luciamotoliniac.bsky.social · 15/01/2025

🚨New publication Alert! 🚨 Conditionally Accepted at @ajpseditor.bsky.social "The Super-Rich and the Rest: Campaign Finance Permissiveness and the Wealth of Politicians" with my amazing co-authors @simonweschle.bsky.social and Marko Klasnja Full paper & appendix here: sites.wustl.edu/luciamotolin...

sites.wustl.edu

ResearchWashington University in St. Louis

You can access my Google Scholar page here. PEER-REVIEWED ARTICLES 5. “The Super-Rich and the Rest: Campaign Finance Permissiveness and t...

35820

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Mark Copelovitch @mcopelov.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

A brief list of things that don't require changing the Constitution: - Enlarging the House - Eliminating the filibuster - Adding states - Multi-member districts - A new VRA - Automatic universal voter registration - National popular vote compact - Nearly everything about SCOTUS:

14315

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 07/01/2025

It’s wild living in one the richest places in human history but dealing with third world problems I didn’t have back in São Paulo just because some people decided the government can’t do good policies.

000

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Pedro Sant’Anna @pedrosantanna.bsky.social · 30/12/2024

Here are the first five sets of slides: 01 Introduction: psantanna.com/DiD/01_Intro... 02 Classical 2x2 setup: psantanna.com/DiD/02_two_b... 03 Clustering issues: psantanna.com/DiD/03_Clust... 04 Functional form: psantanna.com/DiD/04_Funct... 05 Covariates: psantanna.com/DiD/05_Covar...

psantanna.com

50731181

Reposted by Jamil Civitarese

Robyn Caplan @robyncaplan.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Perhaps now is a good time to plug that I’ve been writing about the complicated histories of the verified badge (…series still ongoing obviously). Part one: datasociety.net/points/a-wor...

datasociety.net

A Working History of the Verified Internet

Part one: Studying a moving target

712634

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

O PT não contente em não ser crível como democrata, também não age como democrata em viabilizar um cordão sanitário. O power sharing do PT com quem poderia se coordenar pra isso tende a ser péssimo.

020

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Li agora e concordo muito. Politica externa é pra militância mesmo. O problema maior é que a esquerda direto joga com normalizar não-democratas também domesticamente. Enquanto intelectuais assinavam abaixo-assinado pela democracia em São Paulo, a estratégia de campanha do Boulos normalizou o Marçal.

140

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Notice I believe the Workers’ Party and Lula are more credibly democrats than the right, but they’re still easy to accuse of being non-democrats. It’s like democracy is over thin ice because it’s very easy to let paranoia dominate the public perceptions about both left and right.

120

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Under these circumstances, I guess the only hope for democracy are non-ideological parties that do not want to change much because they’re already extracting maximum rents in democracy. Not exactly an amazing player to count on, so I’m really concerned about the future, with or without Bolsonaro.

120

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

No large player in the elections can credibly commit to economic policies leading to sustainable GDP growth nor credibly commit to democracy due to their alliance to radical movements (radical right or socialist). No one can’t trust the other side won’t backslide and rules do not matter for growth.

110

Jamil Civitarese @jamilkpc.bsky.social · 28/12/2024

Social movements are asking the Brazilian government to accept the elections in Venezuela. These movements belong to the leftist coalition which rules Brazil. Together with the economic crisis we have right now in the country, I’m quite afraid for Brazilian democracy.

141