Reposted by James DownieKevin @reginageorgebush.bsky.social · 10/10/2026this target list says the DCCC is convinced the majority is theirs and they're looking to utterly break the GOP's spirit 17737115
Reposted by James DownieJW Mason @jwmason.bsky.social · 09/10/2026As I always say to my students (sometimes with this specific example) you really need to think about the size of the effect and not just the sign. “Do rich people move in response to tax increases?” is not the right question for policy. The right question is, *how much* do they move? 417648
Reposted by James DownieDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 09/10/2026My man ended USAID, condemning millions to death 594501893
Reposted by James DownieJLRay @jlray.bsky.social · 09/10/2026a meth head with a fishing rod should not be valued at the worth of the planet's supply of fish and sunken pirate booty 1740344
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 09/10/2026"According to Marshall’s most recent Federal Election Commission records filed in July, no one working for Marshall’s campaign had received a paycheck in the past five years — a situation that campaign finance experts said was potentially unprecedented in the modern era of politics."ms.nowRoger Marshall’s complicated history of blurring the line between taxpayer dollars and campaign cashIn a joint investigation, Kansas Reflector and MS NOW obtained records from Marshall's first Senate run that raise concerns about his use of office resources. 060
Reposted by James DownieAnthony L. Fisher @anthonylfisher.bsky.social · 09/10/2026This guy is one of civility cop Bari Weiss’ favorite intellectual dark web brain geniuses. Here he is calling the mayor of America’s largest city an “Islamic demon.” 424745
Reposted by James DownieJesse Felder @jessefelder.com · 09/10/2026‘Median wealth for a family in the top 10% of earners increased 31%, while wealth decreased for the bottom 40% of earners.’ www.wsj.com/economy/affl... 13342132
Reposted by James DownieSnitty 🎃 @clofsnitville.bsky.social · 09/10/2026"The antichrist is basically anyone who stands the way of MY power and wealth" suggests you never, not once, listened to a word of Mass www.politico.com/news/2026/10...politico.comPeter Thiel slams Obama, Pope Leo in new ‘Antichrist’ lecturesThe tech billionaire accused them of using AI concerns to “boost their own popularity,” according to recordings obtained by POLITICO. 29617
Reposted by James DownieLauren McGaughy @lmcgaughy.bsky.social · 09/10/2026Scoop: In 2014, Ken Paxton sat for a deposition where federal lawyers quizzed him about his growing wealth and investment tactics. The depo has never been made public. We got a copy. www.nytimes.com/2026/10/09/u...nytimes.comInside Ken Paxton’s Private Testimony About His MoneyA leaked deposition from a fraud inquiry in 2014 provides insight into the Senate candidate’s growing wealth and his tactics for defending himself. 241014425
Reposted by James DownieBrian Finucane @bcfinucane.bsky.social · 09/10/2026I'm sure this news will be well received by certain parties... www.reuters.com/world/navane...reuters.comFormer ICC judge Navi Pillay wins 2026 Nobel Peace PrizeNavi Pillay, who oversaw a UN report that concluded that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, won "for her efforts to promote peace and international law". 1224548
Reposted by James DownieProPublica @propublica.org · 09/10/2026NEW: Records show Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has taken nearly 1,000 trips during his tenure, costing $3.3 million in security. We could only connect 138 of those trips and $553,000 in security costs to state business. with @texastribune.orgpropublica.orgKen Paxton’s Security for Travel Cost Taxpayers Millions. Just 1 in 6 of His Trips Had a Stated Business Purpose.Records show the Texas attorney general has taken nearly 1,000 trips during his tenure, costing $3.3 million in security. We could only connect 138 of those trips and $553,000 in security costs to sta... 8628451392
Reposted by James DownieCNN @cnn.com · 09/10/2026Just two days before launching an effort to slash red tape for commercial space transportation, President Trump last month purchased up to $5 million of bonds issued by SpaceX, a major federal contractor run by Elon Musk, according to ethics filings made public on Thursday. cnn.it/4rRrZU0 39392234
Reposted by James DownieGrant Brisbee @grantbrisbee.bsky.social · 09/10/2026i'm sorry, but it's still incredibly funny to imagine a literal pope watching this and yelling at the TV 23961148
Reposted by James DownieGianmarco Soresi @gianmarcosoresi.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Man who won’t give his employees piss breaks claims many piss breaks on the horizon 811207014622
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Pew Research poll (9/28-10/4, web and phone, MoE ±1.6%) — Trump approval: 30%, just above his post-1/6 low of 29% — 31% of "validated Trump 2024 voters" disapprove of his job performance. — 63% of Ds are "extremely motivated" to vote, versus 46% of Rs. In Oct. '22, it was 56% for Ds, 58% for Rs.pewresearch.orgWith Americans in a Sour Mood, Democratic Voters Are More Engaged in MidtermsThe 2026 midterm election comes amid deep public dissatisfaction with the state of the nation and near-record low approval ratings for Trump. 063
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026It's subtle, but I think John Cornyn and friends are enjoying this. (www.semafor.com/article/10/0...) 25413
Reposted by James DownieKat Tenbarge @kattenbarge.bsky.social · 07/10/2026Over the past two weeks, I’ve been following the attempts to smear the Jane Doe in the Cornell University gang rape case and redirect blame from the seven fraternity men onto her. As usual, this campaign is built on a mountain of lies and misogyny. spitfirenews.com/p/cornell-ja...spitfirenews.comDebunking the smear campaign against the Cornell Jane DoeAuthorities, media outlets, and pundits are lying about this woman. But only her credibility is getting judged. 22936270
Reposted by James DownieAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Whoa. @haleaziz.bsky.social has the scoop on a truly insane plan to use some military training ships for deportations, with people presumably shackled or locked in cells for days at a time as they transit to Central and South America. Each journey would be staggeringly expensive — and dangerous.nytimes.comTrump Administration Considers Using Ships to Deport Immigrants (Gift Article)Journeys to destinations including El Salvador and Venezuela could take days and cost millions. Officials cautioned that discussions are still preliminary. 1991564854
Reposted by James DownieJulia Azari @juliaazari.bsky.social · 08/10/2026yup ,exactly. we don't need another "which college majors pay best" chart, we need a society-wide excavacation of where the market is failing to meet society's needs 69527
Reposted by James DownieAlexandra Petri @petridishes.bsky.social · 07/10/2026what I had to say turned out not to be a columntheatlantic.comSomething Like PeopleA poem 13343104
Reposted by James DownieSean O’Kane @okane.fyi · 07/10/2026SpaceX is basically daring lenders to pony up $40 billion so it can buy Nvidia chips on what sounds like a cocktail napkin www.ft.com/content/d3f5... 1724862
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Who among us hasn't misstated revenue by $20,000,000,000?ft.comOpenAI annualised revenues $20bn less than previously signalledAI giant recently told investors the key figure was approaching $50bn in September, far less than the $70bn that was widely reported 127418
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026I'm sure the "Fauci lied, people died" crowd will get right on this. 0112
Reposted by James DownieDavid Crowley Stan @fanofsheldon.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Looks like the RGA is triaging MI-Gov 3516
Reposted by James DownieGreg Sargent @gregsargent.bsky.social · 08/10/2026National Republicans just pulled nearly $2 million of spending out of the Georgia Senate race, per Dem source who shared ad-tracking data with me. The source believes some of it might get redeployed to South Carolina. Another sign of the times. 21780166
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026RIP "New Hampshire is a toss-up" (Sept. 2026-Oct. 2026) 020
Reposted by James DownieMike Boylan-Kolchin @mbkplus.bsky.social · 08/10/2026A good writeup on why most doomsday scenarios about Republicans stealing the House after a clear Democratic victory in November are wrong or are indicative of a desire to have one’s life be a Hollywood thrillerelectionlawblog.orgFearmongering about stealing Congress on January 3, 2027 #ELBFellow blogger Justin Levitt wrote an excellent piece in 2024 about the scourge of “electoral-process porn.” Variations of these stories crop up with varying degrees of interest, then dissipate when t... 25611
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026This is the definition you make up when the actual definition sounds appealing. 14014
Reposted by James DownieG Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 08/10/2026FiftyPlusOne is proud to announce a new deal with MS NOW to provide polling averages and interactive data journalism for digital and broadcast platforms!! blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fiftypluso...blog.fiftyplusone.newsFiftyPlusOne to power MS NOW’s midterm election coverageWe will provide data for use on MS NOW shows and websites, and build custom polling and election interactives for the midterms 3140126
Reposted by James DownieKate Starbird @katestarbird.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Very much agree with this. The Trump admin has purposefully attacked mail in voting from multiple directions and continues to make threats of law enforcement at voting sites… their goal is to create confusion, distrust, and fear… to suppress votes. 832998
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026"The solution to this isn’t to force Democrats running tough elections to bear hug the party; it’s having liberals invest in their own countervailing media institutions." 010
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Sherrod Brown is already routinely described as an "overperformer" in the same stories that refer to Josh Turek as a "moderate." 130
Reposted by James DownieDavid Dayen @ddayen.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Funny to imagine the moment AOC makes a remark at a fundraiser to hype up supporters, and an entire factional architecture ramps up to set new goalposts such that Abdul has to win by 8 to actually "win." The last poll I saw showed him with the same spread as Jocelyn Benson, the Dem for governor.slowboring.comAn honest framework for assessing electoral performanceSpot tomorrow’s post-election bullshit today 98513
Reposted by James DownieNed Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 08/10/2026“For example, you can see echoes of the Sicilian campaign in our Iran strategy” 28212
Reposted by James DownieChristina S. Ho @christinasho.bsky.social · 08/10/2026“This adds a new layer of complexity to Barre Seid's prodigious funding of climate denialism.” 35210
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026"Former President Barack Obama endorsed Troy Jackson in Maine’s Senate race, wading into a key battleground in the fight for control of the chamber....The endorsement comes just hours before Jackson and Collins are set to meet for their second debate in three days."ms.nowObama endorses Jackson as Maine Senate race enters final stretchThe former president’s endorsement gives Troy Jackson another prominent Democratic backer as he seeks to unseat five-term Republican Sen. Susan Collins. 0126
Reposted by James DownieNed Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 08/10/2026If you are arguing that there is no innocent [person of any nationality whatsoever] then you are making the case for genocide 161582197
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Every GOP lawmaker believes this, by the way. It's just that most aren't dumb enough to say it where it could get leaked in an election year. 10638170
Reposted by James DownieElon Green @elongreen.bsky.social · 08/10/2026holy shit this story www.propublica.org/article/spac...propublica.orgClub Med, a Disney Cruise and an Exploding Starship: SpaceX Used Bystander Videos to Track Falling DebrisA heavily redacted report obtained from the FAA by ProPublica reveals that SpaceX used videos from tourists and travelers in the Caribbean to help track falling debris after one of its Starship rocket... 0113
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Despite Republicans' cash advantage, a new Politico poll found "more than 70% of poll respondents who had seen ads said they’d either seen more spots in support of Democrats or an equal amount between the parties over the past week....Only 24% said they’d seen more ads for Republicans."politico.comCapitol agenda: GOP ads have yet to overwhelm voters, poll findsMore than 70% of poll respondents who had seen ads said they’d either seen more spots in support of Democrats or an equal amount between the parties over the past week, despite the GOP's cash advantag... 042
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026Nothing says "in touch with voters" like "millenials suck at saving money."politico.comIowa’s Ashley Hinson slams the savings habits of millennialsIn a debate, the Iowa Republican candidate for Senate said millennials are “the worst group of savers” during a discussion about Social Security. 051
Reposted by James DownieCarl Quintanilla @carlquintanilla.bsky.social · 08/10/2026“.. one research firm is valuing the artificial intelligence company at a mere $150 billion and says Wall Street is about to face an ‘unprecedented test of investor gullibility.’” @cnbc.com www.cnbc.com/2026/10/07/a... 30678211
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026New CNN/SSRS polls of Ohio and Iowa (9/29-10/5, online and phone) Iowa (MoE ±4.2%) Senate: Hinson 45% - Turek 43% Governor: Sand 51% - Lahn 42% Ohio (MoE ±4.5%) Senate: Brown 49% - Husted 43% Governor: Acton 50% - Ramaswamy 42% Jon Husted hasn't led in any poll since June.edition.cnn.comAn Ohio edge. An Iowa tossup. New CNN polls give Democrats hope in a pair of red states | CNN PoliticsWidespread dissatisfaction with the state of the country has opened up a prime Senate pickup opportunity for Democrats in Ohio and made for a razor-thin contest in Iowa, according to new CNN polls con... 1377
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026“'President Trump has been saying, ‘Vote as if I was on the ballot,’ and that’s exactly what I’m going to do — not vote,' said Brandon Tremaine, 24, a graduate student in Texas who voted for Mr. Trump in 2020. 'You do not campaign on being the ticket of peace and start a war of choice.'"nytimes.com‘He’s Not Making Sense’: How Trump Has Alienated Voters for the G.O.P. (Gift Article)Signs are emerging that dispirited Republican voters may stay home in November, bringing a Democratic surge without many conversions. 1141
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026"Republicans 26 days out from a dire midterm reckoning are turning their cannons toward the two men tasked with the herculean job of maintaining control of Congress.... 'The MAGA Inc. ads aren’t going to save us anyways,' the operative said. 'The ads are going to suck.'”politico.comKnives out for Blair and LaCivita 182
James Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 08/10/2026"Three days after Michael Jensen left his job as the top Trump White House official for Latin America policy in late May, he boarded a private jet with an American crypto tycoon scouting oil deals in Venezuela."washingtonpost.comEx-Trump officials seek jobs in Venezuelan oil sector now under U.S. controlCompanies and investors are eager to hire those with recent access to the White House and knowledge of the administration’s Venezuela policy or contacts. 045