iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

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Pam Herd @pamherd.bsky.social · 22/04/2026

The number of NIH competitive awards is down 50% from 2025, and down ~70% from prior years. Even if they catch up by the end of the year, only wealthy institutions can bridge these huge funding gaps.They're killing science-and violating the constitution-by weaponizing the bureaucracy

figure showing the trends I detail in the tweet text

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Carly Urban @carlyurban.bsky.social · 27/03/2026

Do you have a paper on financial decision-making? Want to present research & hike? Does Bozeman in early August sound good? The Financial Decision-making Conference is Aug 6-7! Submission deadline April 20. The call for papers is here: fdmconference.pages.dev#cfp

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David Ho @davidho.bsky.social · 26/03/2026

I don't think people fully appreciate how apocalyptic things are for US science. I haven't had any new funding since 2024, but I'm still ok since typical grants are for three years. This means next year I will be completely out of funding and will have to fire everyone in the lab. It's not great.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

On the table: the first-ever interstate water transfer on the Colorado River! Could be a valuable precedent for more flexible management in the future

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 01/03/2026

A reminder to East Coast based media. Here in Bozeman winter just never came.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 23/02/2026

There's no such thing as a best fruit. All types of fruit run from terrible to life-affirming. All preferences across varieties vanish in the face of within-variety differences in quality.

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Dara Lind @daralind.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

I love this America so much. I am aware that I am in a constant fight, one with existential stakes but which will not be conclusively resolved, to determine whether the America that exists is the one I love or the one people like Rubio love. But it is a fight to which I am wholly committed.

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 13/02/2026

Should we be climate adaptation optimists? A nice new paper by Matt Burgess, Matt Kahn, and colleagues argues yes. I'm not so sure. Optimism is not a plan, and we need a plan. Some thoughts: www.stanfordecholab.com/blog/should-...

stanfordecholab.com

Should we be climate adaptation optimists? — ECHO: Environmental Change and Human Outcomes Lab | Stanford University

by: Marshall B , with helpful feedback & additions from Andrew W and Chris C Yes, argues a recent working paper by Matt Burgess, Patrick Brown, Matt Kahn, and Roger Pielke Jr.  The pa...

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Don Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 24/01/2026

Alex Pretti was an ICU nurse serving veterans. He died trying to protect protestors being assaulted. A group of anonymous & masked men fired chemicals into his face, beat him, disarmed him, and shot him in broad daylight in front of witnesses. Then his government smeared him & defended his murder.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Air pollution is incredibly bad for human health. It causes a large share of chronic disease and deaths. This is one of the strongest empirical findings in all of economics and epidemiology. The EPA saying it's "uncertain" is not based in science. It's a pretext.

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Kyle Meng @kylemeng.com · 12/01/2026

Human health benefits are by far the largest benefit from most environmental regulations. By not monetizing these benefits moving forward, the Trump EPA is essentially saying there are no human health benefits to reducing air/toxic/climate pollution, improving drinking water quality, etc. 1/

nytimes.com

E.P.A. to Stop Considering Lives Saved When Setting Rules on Air Pollution

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Call is open! Submit your abstracts for the BIG SKY WORKSHOP on the Economics of Agriculture and the Environment June 18-19, 2026, in Bozeman, Montana, hosted by Montana State University and PERC. Travel funding available for grad students www.bigskyworkshop.net/abstract-sub...

Banner saying the same thing as the post

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Claudia Sahm @claudia-sahm.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

"This is about whether the Fed will be able to continue to set interest rates based on evidence and economic conditions—or whether instead monetary policy will be directed by political pressure or intimidation."

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 12/01/2026

Fire alarm from the Fed Chair, explicitly calling out political intimidation from the president. The Fed never, ever releases videos speaking directly to the American people like this. Interfering with the Fed is the road to instability and inflation much worse than we've seen since Covid.

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Matthew Hayek @matthewhayek.bsky.social · 30/12/2025

Land sparing's global "brutal math" is inescapable: from 1961-2020, global population grew 2.6x and agricultural output increased nearly 4x, but total ag land grew by only about 7.6% and croplands by 20-25%. www.ers.usda.gov/amber-waves/.... 8/

ers.usda.gov

Global Changes in Agricultural Production, Productivity, and Resource Use Over Six Decades | Economic Research Service

From 1961 to 2000, agricultural output nearly quadrupled, mostly achieved by increases in productivity as new resources were brought into the production process, the use of inputs intensified, and the...

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Matthew Hayek @matthewhayek.bsky.social · 01/01/2026

My New Year's resolution is improve how I start Bluesky threads. I forget to announce what they're about. So: please check out this thread if you're either highly critical or gung-ho about the merits of the Green Revolution, "land-sparing" and maximizing yields using industrial agriculture.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 22/12/2025

Finally caring about the federal budget deficit after spending nearly my entire adult life wanting more deficit spending Exactly what textbooks say you should do as conditions change... But sounds like I'm just getting more fiscally conservative as I age

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 20/12/2025

Like the real reasons I suspect most people are upset, this article is supposedly about "affordability" but is actually entirely about housing People complain about the price of eggs but eggs don't ruin your hope of a secure middle-class life. Housing does. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/20/u...

nytimes.com

These Young Adults Make Good Money. But Life, They Say, Is Unaffordable.

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Dr. Jonathan Foley @globalecoguy.bsky.social · 17/12/2025

This is a terrible development. The Administration is destroying the scientific institutions that helped make America great. It will take years to rebuild from this.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 26/11/2025

I agree apple pie is not very good when it isn't made with pears and Kerrygold butter

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 24/11/2025

Save the date! Announcing the 2nd Annual... ** BIG SKY WORKSHOP ** on the Economics of Agriculture and the Environment Hosted by @montanastate and @PERCtweets in Bozeman, MT, June 18-19, 2026 Call for abstracts in January. Travel funding available for grad students More info: bigskyworkshop.net

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Elisa Xi Chen @elisaxchen.bsky.social · 17/11/2025

Summers called this female Chinese economist “peril.” “Yellow peril” was partially built on the claim that Chinese women were sexually immoral threats. That logic fueled the Page Act of 1875, which barred Chinese women by presuming they were prostitutes, even before the 1882 Chinese Exclusion Act.

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Richard Waite @waiterich.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

This isn’t actually a thread of different posts. It’s all just different cultivars of a single post

The “That's On Me, I Set the Bar Too Low” meme, but edited to reference Brassica oleracea. Text as follows:

Jake: I'm an expert on vegetables
Jess: Oh yeah? Name ten vegetables
Jake: Brassica oleracea
Jess: That's on me, I set the bar too low.

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Center for Effective Global Action @cega-uc.bsky.social · 07/10/2025

💧 Small-scale irrigation supports farmer livelihoods but can strain groundwater resources. How do we strike a balance? Join us on Oct 23 for a session on Balancing Small-Scale Irrigation Solutions with Ram Fishman & @hagertynw.bsky.social. Register: go.cega.org/registerATAIwebinar

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AERE @aereorg.bsky.social · 24/09/2025

📢 Out now in the September 2025 issue of #JAERE! 📢 "Industrial Water Pollution and Agricultural Production in India" by Nick Hagerty ( @hagertynw.bsky.social ) and Anshuman Tiwari. Read it here: buff.ly/oAalYIW 📈📉 #Econsky

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 23/09/2025

For people in Bozeman! We're voting on a ballot initiative this fall that sounds good but would cause some huge problems (Precautionary disclaimer: we wrote this as private citizens, not representing our employer) www.bozemandailychronicle.com/opinions/gue...

bozemandailychronicle.com

Kelsey Larson, Nick Hagerty & Justin Gallagher: WARD would hurt housing, environment

The WARD ballot initiative claims it will encourage sustainability and support affordable housing in Bozeman.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 19/09/2025

Out today in JAERE! We measure water pollution released at India's industrial clusters. Does it hurt agriculture? Surprisingly: Not by much Come for how we published a paper of null results & with no regression tables Stay for new ways to proxy for crop yields & map hydrological relationships 🧵

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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 08/09/2025

🔥BLS Staff: "We will publish reliable data, no matter how inconvenient the results... Acting Commissioner is a respected career professional. There are no other political appointees at BLS... will remain accurate & nonpartisan... if that ever changes, the professionals will tell you." #StandWithBLS

“The Bureau of Labor Statistics must remain above politics. Our job is to deliver economic data guided by law and statistical practice — not partisan whim.

That’s why the firing of Commissioner Erika McEntarfer is so alarming. Dr. McEntarfer did nothing wrong. No serious observer claims otherwise. Commissioners don’t “cook” the numbers; they don’t even see them until after the estimates are complete. Dr. McEntarfer’s dismissal was unprecedented and she should be reinstated.

For decades, BLS Commissioners — Republican and Democrat alike — have been respected professionals. BLS data has been trusted because its methods are public, vetted, and transparent. BLS publishes its sources, publishes its methods, and its data revisions follow a set schedule. The public doesn’t have to *guess* whether the jobs numbers are real.

So why was Dr. McEntarfer forced out? Not because of misconduct. Not because of bad data. The only people making that claim are President Trump and his allies, who offer no evidence — only lies, character assassination, and intimidation. Their real goal is clear: to discredit independent statistics, slash budgets, and bully federal workers into silence.

But BLS staff will not be intimidated. We will publish reliable data, no matter how inconvenient the results. Our now-Acting Commissioner is a respected career professional. There are no other political appointees at BLS. The numbers will remain accurate and nonpartisan. And if that ever changes, the professionals will tell you.”

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 26/08/2025

I don't like it but HIGH FREQUENCY, IN-PERSON assessments are the only way college students are going to learn anything this semester www.nytimes.com/2025/08/26/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Students Hate Them. Universities Need Them. The Only Real Solution to the A.I. Cheating Crisis.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 25/08/2025

We are hiring at Montana State! Link in thread If you aren't sure whether you fit the posted topic areas, please don't pre-screen yourself out, let our committee decide! I'm not on the search committee but happy to answer any general questions

Demonstrated interest in scholarship relevant to commercial agriculture, applicable to commercial agriculture in Montana, especially in the following research areas: production economics, farm/ranch management, agricultural marketing, precision agriculture, energy economics, and financial risk management.

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lauren @lauren.rotatingsandwiches.com · 06/08/2025

knowing "how the computer works" is quickly going from "advantageous skillset in office job" to "godlike degree of metacognition when navigating reality"

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Jed Kolko @jedkolko.bsky.social · 01/08/2025

For six months, I've said that threats to economic data have been more collateral damage than intentional harm. No longer. Firing the head of the BLS is five-alarm intentional harm to the integrity of US economic data and the entire statistical system.

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Marshall Burke @marshallburke.bsky.social · 22/07/2025

Excited to announce a new funding opportunity for research on "what works" in climate adaptation. We are specifically looking for strong causal designs that tell us what interventions work (or don't) to reduce impacts of a changing climate. Plz share + apply! seedfunding.stanford.edu/apply/U5N4

seedfunding.stanford.edu

Evaluation of climate adaptation interventions using observational data | Stanford Seed Funding

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Dani Rodrik @drodrik.bsky.social · 23/05/2025

Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.

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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 29/04/2025

"I'm going to govern in econometrics" is a winning campaign slogan for the ages.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 17/04/2025

Trying to put this as simply as possible: Trump sent an innocent man to a foreign prison and is ignoring a Supreme Court order to bring him back. If this stands, he could do the same to anybody in the U.S., we no longer have rights, and the Constitution no longer has meaning.

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Josh Marshall @joshtpm.bsky.social · 07/04/2025

This is a big deal. Spread the word. But it’s tiny compared to the totality of what’s happening at NIH. Cure Research for all cancers, Alzheimer’s, everything is being gutted. Intentionally. It’s all getting burned to the ground but the news isn’t getting out. The new cures won’t be there for you.

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JAERE @jaereaere.bsky.social · 31/03/2025

💧 Just accepted 🌱 in JAERE: "Industrial Water Pollution and Agricultural Production in India " by Nick Hagerty (@hagertynw.bsky.social) and Anshuman Tiwari Read it here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... #EconSky 📈 📉

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Boo!-per Lund @cooperlund.online · 28/03/2025

I think the real problem with DOGE is that it’s a bunch of people who think that everyone is stupid except for them, when in reality every organization is made up of people who are trying to do things as best as they can but are constrained by other factors

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Timothy Snyder @timothysnyder.bsky.social · 24/03/2025

If you accept that non-citizens have no right to due process, you are accepting that citizens have no right to due process. All the government has to do is claim that you are not a citizen; without due process you have no chance to prove the contrary.

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Ian Carrillo @iansociologo.bsky.social · 27/03/2025

A good thing that happened today was receiving a text from a friend who does education research telling me that the USDE grant he worked on was reinstated, following a lawsuit that his university filed.

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Nick Hagerty @hagertynw.bsky.social · 03/03/2025

The economy relies on the BEA's accurate estimates of statistics that have stable, longstanding definitions. Businesses and investors need to know what's going on. Interfering with GDP numbers for political reasons will lead to disaster.

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social · 13/02/2025

I'm happy to publish something I've been reporting for a while: a guide for how to fight the Trump-Musk power grab and win, with specific advice that you can start acting on *today*. www.vox.com/politics/399...

vox.com

How to stop Trump’s power grab

Trump isn’t inevitable. Here’s a plan to keep democracy intact.

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Seth Cotlar @sethcotlar.bsky.social · 02/02/2025

A take on our rapidly moving Constitutional crisis that isn't exactly optimistic, but gives some plausible reasons to resist the pull of full doomerism. www.nytimes.com/2025/02/02/o...

nytimes.com

Opinion | Don’t Believe Him (Gift Article)

Look closely at the first two weeks of Donald Trump’s second term and you’ll see something very different than what he wants you to see.

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