gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 02/08/2026If you're looking for a novel to read on holiday, check out my good friend Patrick Worrall's third novel: The Aristocracy. If you don't want to take my word for it, check out the reviews. www.foyles.co.uk/reviews/the-...foyles.co.uk 000
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 10/06/2026🚨New podcast: Will new technologies make or break our jobs?👩💻 Ruth Curtice and Greg Thwaites sat down with Sarah O'Connor to talk about her new book, discussing the past, present, and future of technological transformations in the labour market. Listen below⤵️buff.lyWill new technologies make or break our jobs? Book discussion with Sarah O’Connor | High ResolutionNew technologies have been creating and destroying jobs for millennia. In recent decades, automation has upended the way many people work, and now artificial intelligence threatens further upheaval.… 021
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialCharlie McCurdy @charliemccurdy.bsky.social · 10/06/2026New birth registration stats show that being childless at 30 is increasingly becoming the norm. Importantly, it’s too soon to know whether the recent fall in births will result in permanently fewer children or whether young people today will have (more) children later in life. 113
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialAlan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 09/04/2026Another one who thinks the response to a global shortage of something which makes it more expensive is to subsidise people to buy more of it. Truly British politics is blessed with genius. 39615144
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialAlan Beattie @alanbeattie.bsky.social · 03/04/2026An internationalist environmentalist party there suggesting we subsidise rich-world consumers to outbid developing countries for fossil fuels, incredible work. 1219119
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 25/03/2026Our latest substack, from @gthwaites.bsky.social, considers whether the social mobility gap could be bigger than the gender pay gap. Read more ⤵️ buff.ly/IoBOOob 0138
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialJulia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 24/03/2026Today we discussed new research from @resolutionfoundation.org co-authored with @gthwaites.bsky.social @annastansbury.bsky.social and Richmond Egyei on the long shadow that deep poverty in childhood casts over the earnings of graduates in the labour market. Thread below on what we found … 166
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 24/03/2026Graduates who grew up in deep poverty face a large pay gap 10 years into their careers. They earn 13 per cent less than graduates who did not grow up in poverty – equivalent to over £7,590 a year, and larger than the gender pay gap in the UK ⤵️ buff.ly/5VfX2Fi 064
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialNye Cominetti @nyecominetti.bsky.social · 18/02/2026Life at the PDF mill is a hard, we need something to look forward to Robert 2384
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialGavin Jackson @gavinjackson.bsky.social · 16/02/2026New NBER paper based on a survey of CFOs. Firms report no productivity increases due to AI adoption so far but expect a 1.4% productivity boost over the next 3 years. www.nber.org/papers/w34836 58831
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialJamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 13/02/2026Big signing here for the government (and civil service) as Prof Brian Bell becomes Chief Economic Advisor at the Treasury. Brian will bring much-needed economic rigour and expertise, as well as adding A LOT of drive and energy to UK economic policymaking.gov.ukNew Chief Economic Advisor to the Treasury appointedProfessor Brian Bell has been appointed as the new Chief Economic Advisor to the Treasury and Head of the Government Economic Service, replacing Sam Beckett. 0157
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialMike Brewer @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social · 10/02/2026Our major new book is out today, exploring the changing circumstances of the poorer half of Britain, and setting out a policy agenda. Read a summary of it all here resolutionfoundation.substack.com/p/unsung-bri...resolutionfoundation.substack.comUnsung Britain: working harder, getting nowhereMike Brewer explains how recent decades have squeezed the households who can least afford it 085
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 07/02/2026Good news about the British economy?! UK productivity – how much the economy produces per hour worked – grew more in the past year than in the previous seven years combined. In our latest Substack, Research Director @gthwaites.bsky.social takes a closer look 📈buff.lyUK productivity grew more in the last year than in the previous seven combinedGregory Thwaites on a genuinely surprising number, and what it means for the Bank of England 33722
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialAnna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 27/01/2026📢now forthcoming in ECMA! The Class Gap in Career Progression: Evidence from US Academia Class is rarely a focus of research or DEI in elite US occupations. Evidence suggests it should be: we find a large class gap in at least one occupation - tenure-track academia...🧵 514255
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialMartina Uccioli @martinauccioli.bsky.social · 23/01/2026Good news against January blues: 🏹 the Nottingham GEP Labour Workshop is back! 🏹 Small in-person workshop; plenty of interactions. Submit your best labo(u)r paper! 🗣️ Gordon Dahl (UCSD) and Anna Stansbury (MIT) 📅 1-2 June 2026 🌍 University of Nottingham Apply by March 1st! ➡️ tinyurl.com/3kdpb64a 186
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 08/01/2026And that's a wrap! You can watch back our New Year Outlook event with @ruthcurtice.bsky.social @claire-ainsley.bsky.social @luketryl.bsky.social & @gthwaites.bsky.social here www.resolutionfoundation.org/events/growi... A wide-ranging discussion, with some great questions!resolutionfoundation.orgGrowing pains? • Resolution Foundation2025 was a bumper year for growth – in political and economic upheaval rather than GDP. Local elections accelerated Britain’s move from a two to five party system, while economists were treated to thr... 101
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 22/12/2025Has anyone looked at whether getting information from AI, which tends to be mainstream, is having/will have a depolarising effect, kind of the opposite of social media? 000
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 16/12/2025Useful to compare this to productivity growth rates of private-sector firms of a similar size. How variable and correlated do they tend to be? 020
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialAnna Stansbury @annastansbury.bsky.social · 25/11/2025I don’t agree with lots in this article, but do agree it’s important to highlight that minimum wages can affect other aspects of job quality. w/ Michael Davies and Jisung Park, I find higher minimum wages increase workplace injuries, likely via work intensification. 1247
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialPitchfork Economics @pitchforkeconomics.bsky.social · 18/11/2025GDP treats cigarette sales & cancer treatments as “good,” but caring for your kids or creating art doesn’t count at all. @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social joins Nick & Goldy to explain why GDP no longer reflects the real economy—and how we can measure true progress instead. 🎧Listen here: buff.ly/7HrQ3Wi 25013
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 03/11/2025📉 Calling all chart enthusiasts! 📢 The Resolution Foundation is hiring 👀 This is a rare opportunity to join our senior leadership team and take forward our work on productivity and growth. Applications close in two weeks! ⤵️ buff.ly/x40DZV1 034
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialOmar Khan @omaromalleykhan.bsky.social · 08/10/2025Sometimes a statistic is counterintuitive. This is not one: every adult in Britain has experienced greater interaction with people of different ethnic backgrounds over their lifetime As I say in this thread, this statistical fact is obvious in every aspect of our lives, & all of us know/feel it 26417
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialCentre for Economic Performance @cep-lse.bsky.social · 24/09/2025📢 Job vacancy: Research Assistant (Pre-doc), Labour Markets Work with Prof. Stephen Machin on projects analysing labour markets & labour policy 📊⚖️ Full-time | 1 year Apply by 8 Oct → ow.ly/oyuZ50X1kVm 023
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 09/09/2025🚨 Vacancies alert! We're currently hiring for three new roles. Applications for all three will close on September 19th. See details and how to apply here 👉 buff.ly/EjyZen5 056
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 31/08/2025Ready for your next step? We're hiring! 📣 If you have strong quantitative research skills and a commitment to raising living standards in the UK, you might be the right fit for our team. Find out more about becoming an Economist or Research & Policy Analyst ⤵️ buff.ly/Xk8MWuv 002
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 29/08/2025📣 We're hiring! 📣 Do you have an interest in the economic and social policy of the UK and an eye for detail? Find out more about joining our team as a Researcher ⤵️ buff.ly/VVGWc14 033
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialMark Ferguson MP @markfergusonmp.bsky.social · 28/08/2025This is my flag. 1241503422
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 26/08/2025🚨 New research published today 🚨 Our analysis finds that inactivity is rising and unemployment has not yet peaked. Learn more 👉 buff.ly/a9SnWhw 024
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialTom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 24/08/2025Economist? The Treasury’s headache could be your opportunity! An ideal time to specialise in tax policy …. 104
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialJamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 21/08/2025Quick word on today's encouraging UK flash PMIs. This is THE key short-term economic indicator and the big issue for Aug was whether the recovery from April & May doldrums wd continue... In the event, the composite PMI pickedup slightly to its highest level in a year in August... 123
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 21/07/2025Thanks a lot Matt for this paper and the reference 010
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 17/07/2025Love these charts! But do you have data showing that wealth is lightly taxed in the UK vs rest of world? What counts as a wealth tax for this comparison? IT on property income? IHT/CGT? Corporation tax? Council tax? Business rates? 110
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialTasos Kitsos @tasoskitsos.bsky.social · 25/06/2025🚨 🚨 Interested in #regional #economic #inequalities in the #UK? Have a look at the video that came out of our project on the drivers of #wage disparities across English #cities. #econsky📉📈 #geosky @astonpress.bsky.social @resfoundation.bsky.social @sheffielduni.bsky.social 142
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 24/06/2025Our latest report by @emilyfry.bsky.social @tasoskitsos.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social @dalilariba.bsky.social Richmond Egyei and Enrico Vanino looks at the impact of place in regional inequality. 033
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 19/06/2025While regional pay inequality is widely discussed, what drives these divides is less well understood. We'll be discussing our latest research on region pay w/ Rachel Taylor @xiaoweixu.bsky.social @henrimurison.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social & @ruthcurtice.bsky.social buff.ly/hahdelB 021
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialCarsten Jung @carsjung.bsky.social · 16/06/2025Excited to be hiring a Senior AI Research Fellow @ippr.org . With AI progressing rapidly, the economic and social impacts could be huge – from job disruption to misinformation. We design bold, sector-specific policies to ensure AI delivers public value. www.ippr.org/jobs/senior-...ippr.orgSenior Research Fellow, AI and the economy | IPPRThe Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR) is an independent charity working towards a fairer, greener, and more prosperous society. 01117
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 20/05/2025📣 New research, by @louisemurphy.bsky.social and Gregory Thwaites, published this morning 📣 The spring’s benefit and employment support reforms will most likely increase the labour supply... but that increase is much smaller than the number of people affected by the cuts ⤵️ buff.ly/YzOXy6T 177
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 02/05/2025Thanks. That seems like the best one could do in the circumstances, and pretty convincing overall. Nice work. 110
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 02/05/2025Great stuff. Do you measure the geog of wait lists using patient or provider location? If the latter, what if there are spillovers from one location to the next - e.g. if the list I am is in a different MSOA? Could that be attenuating the slope? 100
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialJamesSmithRF @jamessmithrf.bsky.social · 14/04/2025Short piece out tonight on what tariffs mean for UK living standards (h/t @emilyfry.bsky.social & @gthwaites.bsky.social). Key point: tariffs hurt the economy and destroy good jobs outside London & SE, so expect a policy response. But big risk is this turns into a global recession.resolutionfoundation.orgTrump Tariff Turmoil • Resolution FoundationPresident Trump’s tariff announcements have taken a wrecking ball to the global system of international trade, pushing US tariff rates back to early 20th century levels. Following the suspension of ‘r... 0108
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialSimon Pittaway @simonpittaway.bsky.social · 08/04/2025New research out from me today: why has Britain experienced so little productivity growth in recent years? And why (at least up until now) has the US has performed so much better? Spoiler: it’s not just tech companies and energy prices 🧵 21910
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 04/04/2025With Trump's new tariffs coming into effect, how should the UK respond? In their piece from February, @emilyfry.bsky.social and @gthwaites.bsky.social suggested we should be cautious about retaliating. Read more➡️ buff.ly/9Z9LRmK 152
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialSoumaya Keynes @soumayakeynes.ft.com · 03/04/2025I think I worked out the optimal tariff calculation, as explained here: ustr.gov/issue-areas/... Step 1: work out how sensitive imports are to tariffs. If you impose a tariff, imports will fall! But how much...? 32812
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 05/03/2025This is important both because of the issue but also because it shows Reform voters are not MAGA-style cultists - they do respond to events. 1941461
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 20/02/2025Because something like a fifth of the electorate seems to take home seriously and listen to what he says, even though I don’t much like it. I would also add the SNP and PC. 100
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 20/02/2025I would favour a joint political broadcast by Starmer, Badenoch, Farage and Davey where they sit us down, explain we’re not in Kansas any more, and say together that we need to raise income tax rates by say 2pp and spend the money on defence. 110
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 11/02/2025With the threat of tariffs seemingly coming closer, what should the UK do? In our blog from last week @emilyfry.bsky.social and @gthwaites.bsky.social suggested that we should be cautious about retaliating if the spotlight shifts to the UK. Read more➡️ buff.ly/3EAQvEg 141
Reposted by @gthwaites.bsky.socialResolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 03/02/2025🚨One week left to apply🚨 We're looking for a thoughtful and proactive individual to join our research team to support work on a specific research project. Full job description 👉 buff.ly/3PSACeM 045
gthwaites.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social · 24/01/2025Come and work with us! www.resolutionfoundation.org/about-us/opp...resolutionfoundation.orgPostdoctoral Research Specialist (Fixed Term) • Resolution FoundationThe Resolution Foundation is looking for a thoughtful and proactive individual to join our research team on a one-year fixed term contract to support work on a specific research project. What does the... 000