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Julia Diniz

@juliadelldiniz.bsky.social
183 followers 61 following 56 posts

Economist at Resolution Foundation PhD in labour economics from Cardiff Uni

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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
New labour market statistics out this morning – and this month's data include the pay growth figure that will feed into the next 'triple lock' uprating of the State Pension. Mine and @hannahslaughter.bsky.social's @resolutionfoundation.org response thread:
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Hannah Slaughter @hannahslaughter.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Today’s labour market statistics show that the decent GDP growth from the early summer isn’t (yet) translating into stronger employment and pay, which both remained fairly flat in the latest month. Our @resolutionfoundation.org thread from me and @louisemurphy.bsky.social 🧵...
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 28/07/2026
“A lot of the [NEET] problem is technical education routes,” Andy Burnham said today. Good to see the PM’s read matching what our research shows. A thread 🧵
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
Responding to new labour market stats out this morning, we've taken a step back to look at the legacy the Starmer govt left to Andy Burnham – higher unemployment and fewer payrolled jobs, but some real wage growth and shrinking regional pay gaps. A thread with @hannahslaughter.bsky.social 🧵:
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 29/06/2026
And read our report: Take a chance on me: How can employers be incentivised to employ NEETs? by @nyecominetti.bsky.social @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social @gthwaites.bsky.social Imogen Stone and Lindsay Judge here www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
resolutionfoundation.org
Take a chance on me • Resolution Foundation
As the number of UK 16-24-year-olds not in education, employment or training (NEET) tipped the 1 million mark in the first quarter of 2026, we assess how employers can best be incentivised to ‘take a ...
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Louise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
This morning’s data shows a weak labour market: unemployment remains high and real wages are barely growing. The monthly LFS unemployment data is volatile but the big picture is that unemployment has been climbing for the past few years and stood at 4.9% in the three months to April.
Chart showing - Unemployment rate (Labour Force Survey): UK
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 27/05/2026
🚨 Last chance to sign up: Can workers in precarious sectors exert influence over pay and working conditions? We'll be hosting a disussion on our latest research looking at individual worker power in low-paid and precarious sectors. Sign up here: buff.ly/5VmNszO
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 19/05/2026
This morning’s labour market stats show the UK labour market entered the period of the war in the Middle East in a weak place: unemployment at 5%, payrolled jobs falling and real wage growth grinding to a halt. A thread from me and @nyecominetti.bsky.social 🧵
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 15/05/2026
In our latest Substack, Research Trainee Jamie Titus-Glover looks at how income inequality between ethnic minorities and their White counterparts has changed over the past three decades. Though there are signs of progress, big disparities remain ⬇️ buff.ly/pX0vG2a
resolutionfoundation.substack.com
The UK has become more equal but ethnic minorities still earn less than their White counterparts
RF Research Trainee Jamie Titus-Glover takes a look at how income inequality between ethnic minorities and their White counterparts has changed over the past three decades.
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 11/05/2026
Graduates who grew up in deep poverty still earn less than their peers ten years into their careers. @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social explains ⤵️
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Elliott Christensen @elliott-xtensen.bsky.social · 29/04/2026
New @resolutionfoundation.org substack with @charliemccurdy.bsky.social considering the implications of the UK's new demographic era - one where deaths outweigh births and all population growth comes from net migration, and that's falling too 👇 resolutionfoundation.substack.com/p/the-uks-de...
resolutionfoundation.substack.com
The UK’s demographic squeeze
What do the next few years hold for the UK’s population? And what does that mean for the public finances?
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 28/04/2026
The latest ONS population projections show that Britain is at a demographic turning point⤵️
Charlie McCurdy, Senior Economist at RF said:

The latest ONS population projections show that Britain is at a demographic turning point. Deaths are expected to outnumber births in 2026 and will do so every year for the rest of the decade and beyond.
Migration will account for all future population growth in the UK, but migration levels are falling too. This slower population growth will also reduce the size of the workforce and consequently lower tax receipts, adding up to £3 billion a year to borrowing by 2030.
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 28/04/2026
Today we published new @resolutionfoundation.org research on the UK's 18-24 NEET rate with @alexclegg.bsky.social, @nyecominetti.bsky.social, Lindsay Judge and Imogen Stone. My top-pick findings below 🧵
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 28/04/2026
What is Britain's NEET rate rising? Half of the increase can be explained by a weaker labour market. As overall unemployment has risen, so too has the NEET rate. But as the chart shows, this doesn't explain all of the rise. So what else is driving up the UK's NEET rate?
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 28/04/2026
And read the report Lost in transition: An examination of why the UK NEET rate is high and rising by Lindsay Judge @nyecominetti.bsky.social @alexclegg.bsky.social @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social & Imogen Stone www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications...
resolutionfoundation.org
Lost in transition • Resolution Foundation
This report investigates why the UK’s NEET rate has been rising since 2019, and why it has long been higher than in many other countries.
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 18/04/2026
Graduates who grew up in deep poverty still earn less than their peers ten years into their careers. @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social explains ⤵️
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 25/03/2026
Graduates who grew up in deep poverty still earn less than their peers ten years into their careers. @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social explains ⤵️
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 24/03/2026
Starting now! Our event Social immobility scars We're exploring the extent to which childhood poverty affects the earnings of graduates in their early 30s. Watch the event here www.resolutionfoundation.org/events/socia...
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
Today we discussed new research from @resolutionfoundation.org co-authored with @gthwaites.bsky.social @annastansbury.bsky.social and Richmond Egyei on the long shadow that deep poverty in childhood casts over the earnings of graduates in the labour market. Thread below on what we found …
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 16/03/2026
🗓️ Next Tuesday We'll be launching new research on graduate social mobility in the UK and discussing next week with @annastansbury.bsky.social, Imran Rasul, Anvar Sarygulov, @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social, @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social Tickets here ➡️ buff.ly/7WaW1oc
Social immobility scars: The persistence of earnings gaps facing graduates from lower-income families

Tuesday 24 March 2026
11:00 am - 12:15 pm
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 01/03/2026
With the UK perilously close to having over one million NEETs for the first time in 13 years, the Chancellor should use the Spring Forecast on Tuesday to take action and prevent youth unemployment rising further👇
1. Youth unemployment is rising 

The number of young people not in education, employment, or training (NEET) increased slightly at the end of last year to reach 957,000.

The recent uptick has been driven by a weakening jobs market which has left almost one-in-six (16.1 per cent) young people who want to work unable to find a job. 2. The Government should act fast...

The Government must act fast to tackle this growing problem. While the Chancellor promised a ‘policy-free’ fiscal event next Tuesday, she should make a NEET exception because too many young people risk being left behind.

3 ... to expand the Jobs Guarantee.... 

The Chancellor should expand the recently-announced Jobs Guarantee. Currently, the scheme is open to 18-21-year-olds who have been unemployed for a minimum of 18 months. Eligibility should be broadened to include 22–24-year-olds, and the qualifying period reduced to six months. 4 ....and pause minimum wage alignment

The Government should also pause the convergence of the youth minimum wage with the National Living Wage until youth unemployment begins to fall.
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Nye Cominetti @nyecominetti.bsky.social · 26/02/2026
NEET estimates for Q4 2025 from ONS this morning. We already pretty much had the picture for Q4 from the main stats release last week (rising unemp) but let's run through the charts. And then zoom out. First - the number crept up ever so slightly. Importantly for comms the number remains below 1m.
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Louise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 25/02/2026
Tomorrow the ONS will publish new data on the number of young people who are not in education, employment or training (NEET). This is important – and not just because the number is very close to one million…
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 18/02/2026
🚨 New inflation data this morning delivered double good news as a big fall in January CPI signals rapid return to ‘normal’ inflation ⤵️ buff.ly/aLFrbmD
James Smith, Chief Economist at the Resolution Foundation, said:

“There was finally some good news as CPI inflation fell sharply in January to its lowest level since March last year. The fall was broad based, driven by lower prices for some key staples such food, energy and petrol.

“The fall in January signals a rapid return to ‘normal’ inflation in the coming months as the rate of price rises settles close to the 2 per cent target for the first time since before the pandemic.

“While the era of high inflation is hopefully behind us, it has left us with a legacy of a lasting increases in the cost of essentials that continues to stretch the budgets of the country’s poorest families.”
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Julia Diniz @juliadelldiniz.bsky.social · 17/02/2026
Today’s labour market statistics show that the UK’s unemployment problem is growing, with youth unemployment at its highest rate in over a decade. Here’s our @resolutionfoundation.org thread, from me and @louisemurphy.bsky.social :
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