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Tom Clark

@tom-clark.bsky.social
11K followers 1.1K following 1.2K posts

Contributing Editor at Prospect Magazine; Principal Editor at Resolution Foundation

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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
"From that social security you can build that national security" -- AB to BBC Last time he struck this echo pundits howled about a gaffe -- benefits before bombs! But he's actually doing something more interesting, not using "social security" to mean "welfare spend" but invoking as an ideal
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
“Fixing care” in general terms almost certainly costs more than most of the costings we’re used to seeing The various plans kicking around - Dilnot cap, minimum entitlements, fair pay agreements - each focus on one problem If the hope is to fix them all at once, that’s expensive
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
1. Two thoughts on the AB speech A) Just more — much more — ground traversed with big political arguments than the average leader’s speech. Not just care/pensions, but PR, housing/property, Brexit etc etc B) Almost exactly in tune with the median LP member on nearly all these topics
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
AB’s exact words on Triple Lock important (though not super clearly drafted) He’s NOT proposing to break earnings link a la Thatcher If value vis-a-vis earnings is to be maintained he’s talking about some form of smoothed earnings link (Not sure how the 2.5% fits in)
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
After Labour's coup, I applied 1 test to John Healey's speech Would Rachel Reeves disagree? I heard (at most) 1 line where she might www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/lab...
prospectmagazine.co.uk
In Healey’s conference speech, a new voice sang old tunes
Despite Labour’s political upheaval, the new chancellor sounded strikingly similar notes to his predecessor
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
Hard to think of a starker London Vs England story than Council Tax Learnt a lot from helping out on this brand new report — have a look below
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Important stats & points on Interaction of different benefit caps & limits here
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Stephen Hunsaker @hunsaker.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Local Housing Allowance, the cap on housing support that helps 1.9 million low-income private renting families, has been frozen since April 2024. Rents haven't. The gap between rents and support hits a record this October. Our new spotlight shows why the Budget should end the freeze 🧵
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
Fixed that story about Sir Jim Ratcliffe on the BBC.
Picture of man smiling with tea-mug. Headline reads: "Non-Billionaire who actually lives in the UK and pays its taxes says he has lost confidence in the super-rich", with sub-header: 'One of Britain's taxpayers says he has lost confidence in billionaires, describing them as "on the take"".
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 19/09/2026
The BBC has decided that this constitutes news… A man who left for Monaco several years ago declaring he’s ’lost confidence’ in the UK His qualification for making the headlines? Owning £15bn Broadcasting like democracy already died! www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
bbc.co.uk
Billionaire Manchester United owner Sir Jim Ratcliffe says he has lost confidence in UK
Ineos founder Sir Jim Ratcliffe tells the BBC he thinks the country is "on the slide" and calls for more investment in the North Sea.
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Lisa O’Carroll @lisaocarroll.bsky.social · 13/09/2026
Revised projections put one seat between left and right alliances Follow live here special Europe live blog with @jakubkrupa.bsky.social in Stockholm www.theguardian.com/world/live/2...
theguardian.com
Sweden election: exit polls project centre-left government and bad night for the far-right – live
Initial projections put centre-left opposition bloc at 51.3%, with 46.8% for rightwing parties; result worse than expected for far right Sweden Democrats
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Prospect Magazine @prospectmagazine.co.uk · 09/09/2026
Trump is “trying to turn the United States into an authoritarian country”, Francis Fukuyama tells Tom Clark. But he remains “confident that there will be a big pushback”—from Orbán’s ousting in Hungary to the US midterms
prospectmagazine.co.uk
Francis Fukuyama takes stock
We speak to the man who was unfairly caricatured after declaring ‘the end of history’—and today sees no end in sight
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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
A new statue of British prime minister William Gladstone was unveiled in Stara Zagora, Bulgaria earlier this year. Find out why in this week's @ppfideas.bsky.social: a story of three empires, two great popular movements, the origins of "jingoism" & the last great battle between Gladstone & Disraeli
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Jeremy Cliffe @jeremycliffe.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Polls have closed in Saxony-Anhalt and exit polls put result on a knife edge (AfD 41 seats, others 42). First projections based on actual results due out soon. But if exit polls are right this is a rupture in the history of the federal republic.
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 06/09/2026
Thought I was going mad on the usual dog walk this morning — an early September snow storm?! BUT…
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
A VERY long view on gilt yields c/o @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social www.resolutionfoundation.org/comment/whos... Factoring in today’s mildly positive inflation wld make things look better vis-a-vis the deflationary C19, but also reveal real rates a lot closer to those of the super-inflationary 1970s
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
Fukuyama hasn't quite given up on his "end of history" phrase But his definition of "end" now includes a scenario where history could go round & round & round www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/culture/7458...
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
Enjoyed this vox pop from the Reform conference — STRESSING the British people’s yearning to “get back to normal” While — DRESSING as a merry monarch
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
FT’s exhaustive profile of James Orr said he was “heavy on classical roots of philosophy, replete with references in Ancient Greek” But after last 24 hours, it seems like he never got his head around the lessons Socrates drew from the Ring of Gyges www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Farage aides step down after undercover report on Reform UK donations
James Orr and Dan Jukes have stepped down from positions pending outcome of party investigation, says Reform UK
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Andy Burnham has definite instincts but perhaps not a plan—and now lacks the time to dream one up Luckily @philtinline.bsky.social has been thinking hard about all the mightier foes than ‘Whitehall’ that AB must slay I read this twice. Hope PM does too www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/lab...
prospectmagazine.co.uk
Andy Burnham’s great power struggle
The prime minister has a theory of power, its abuses and imbalances. But there is a major gap in his analysis
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
No end in sight My chat with @frankfukuyama.bsky.social -- as he looks back over his life & career, and forward into a wildly uncertain future www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/culture/7458...
prospectmagazine.co.uk
Francis Fukuyama takes stock
We speak to the man who was unfairly caricatured after declaring ‘the end of history’—and today sees no end in sight
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Resolution Foundation @resolutionfoundation.org · 28/08/2026
Last week, we got the latest figures from the ONS on what’s happening with private rents. ⬇️
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 27/08/2026
After the Great Summer Bake, a dash of mellow fruitfulness?!
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/08/2026
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Ellen Halliday @ellenhalliday.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Talking to Tom always helps me understand politics better. This week, he chatted to @imaanirfan.bsky.social and me about whether Burnham will end up as a continuity or change PM... on social care, on devolution and on small boats discourse (after Ceuta). Thanks Tom!
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
We’re 2 weeks into Burnham’s Britain Fun to take stock with @ellenhalliday.bsky.social & @imaanirfan.bsky.social of what’s really changed & whether Labour’s new cheer can last TUNE IN to the @prospectmagazine.co.uk PODCAST www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/podcasts/pro...
prospectmagazine.co.uk
How long will the ‘Burnham bounce’ last?
As the PM marks his first two weeks in office, will the honeymoon hold?
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Weird day of news … Restricting the early release scheme (to exclude rapists) generating more rage than would have happened if it had been left alone (because manslaughter not excluded) And most coverage completely ignoring the dangers, not least for public safety, of explosive crowding in jails
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 02/08/2026
Deep inside the Israeli election—and the occupation
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 01/08/2026
Deleting earlier post re a Spectator piece that appeared to suggest Edinburgh was 600 miles from London, as realise I can’t tell if this came from the writer or the subject. Either way, I’d hope a sub would query, & if it came from subject, clearly attributing it would have been wise
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 31/07/2026
Really got to get these turnouts up if mayors are going to be out in charge of everything
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David Higham @oldtrotter.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Good to see @tom-clark.bsky.social cutting through the magical thinking around the “defence dividend”.
As for the Treasury, both Healey and Burnham are no doubt vaguely hoping they can align national security and economic priorities, using rearmament to create good jobs and raise working-class living standards. Starmer shared that ambition-and it wasn't just his faltering political touch that meant he couldn't pull it off.
Despite hopeful talk of a "defence dividend", the real payoff for the Exchequer and for living standards comes from peace.
The UK devoted roughly twice as much national income as the West Germans to the armed services in the early postwar period, and many times what the Japanese spent. The effect was not to propel our economy forward, but rather to leave it lagging the pack. Yes, there are some jobs in weapons factories, but defence expenditure is capital-rather than labour-intensive these days. More fundamentally, resources which are consumed by defence cannot be consumed (or more productively invested) elsewhere in the economy.
If the threat from Russia is grave enough, it may be that the money will simply have to be found. But attempts to pretend it can be found in ways which leave the population better off will only unravel. The tune will have to change to something more akin to the song of sacrifice heard throughout the Second World War. Other public services, as well as the benefits that the hardest-pressed families rely on, may find themselves in line. That is the sort of battering that international aid took when Starmer slashed it in order to finance the first tranche of defence ambitions which he ultimately left office without funding in full.
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
Good growth in every postcode, 1965 style, included a ban on building offices in London! (from George Brown’s memoirs…)
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 22/07/2026
John Healey’s appointment is a neat fix for all sorts of political headaches But he inherits all the same underlying dilemmas of policy www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/741...
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
The forgotten lessons of 1945!
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 21/07/2026
In 1945 Attlee made a last-minute swap of the man preparing to be his chancellor with a man well-set to be foreign secretary It worked out well for him As Burnham makes the same swap in 2026 will it work out just as well? I have some doubts www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/741...
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Refreshing to hear about just 1 “first instruction” (Rather than “6 milestones”, or whatever) And especially refreshing that that single instruction concerns a moral cause — “ending rough sleeping”
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Here’s how things looked back when I cleared 2 weeks to delve into Andy Burnham share.google/Y1FdPAzAoLzw...
share.google
The north face: why Andy Burnham's fight for Manchester could shake up how Britain is run
In channelling his city's rage, the mayor has reset his reputation—and posed disruptive questions about the governance of the UK
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 20/07/2026
Burnham wants to be bolder & faster So why, exactly, did bold & fast prove impossible under Starmer? And how would the new PM really get moving on care & the cost of living? www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
theguardian.com
Andy Burnham says he will go ‘faster’ than Starmer. Why is that so hard?
Is the machinery of state jammed, or is the reason for the slow pace of change more personal than institutional?
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Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 18/07/2026
AB, a 🧵
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 15/07/2026
With Shabana Mahmood having few economic views on the record, it seems pertinent to ask if she’d be as keen to align with Fleet Street at the Treasury as she has been at the Home Office
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
Looking back to June 2010 Budget scorecard, striking that bolted on to the LONG list of deep cuts to family & housing benefits there's extra spending on introducing the Triple Lock The great age divide in social security spending wasn't invented in think-tank land, but in HMT
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 14/07/2026
One thing this sizzling summer of politics is not providing is a reliable factual assessment of what Starmer-Reeves have actually done with their 2 years in power One thread to address that, err, deficit
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 12/07/2026
Fascinating charts on the deep yet novel social divides on what counts as “poor mental health” Plus admirably thoughtful commentary here, all c/o @jburnmurdoch.ft.com www.ft.com/content/063b...
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Social Security Advisory Committee [Unofficial] @ssac.blog.gov.uk.web.brid.gy · 03/07/2026
ssac.blog.gov.uk
Shining a spotlight on social security towards the end of working life
For as long as I can remember, and probably a long time before that, ‘our ageing society’ has been a ubiquitous phrase. Despite recent wobbles, life expectancy is far higher than it was a couple of generations ago, and more people are working for longer too. Many of the consequences for social policy are widely debated and sometimes acted on: witness the abolition of so-called default (ie forced) retirement ages in 2011, and the ‘review and increase’ story of the qualifying age for the state pension. What has received much less attention, however, is the way that the wider social security system deals with an ageing population of claimants. The unexamined flipside of higher pension ages is the prolonging of ‘working-age’ status. For all women, and indeed for poorer men with means-tested entitlements, the move out of ‘working age’ used to happen at 60, but is now 66 and rising. The movement of the large 1960s birth cohort into and through their sixties redoubles the consequences. More relatively older people will now be subject to those strict work-search requirements which are, in the absence of special circumstances, a condition of receiving Universal Credit. All this makes it pertinent to ask whether the detailed rules of the benefit system and the operation of employment support is serving 60-somethings as well as they should. The expertise of the Social Security Advisory Committee (SSAC), as well as the access it enjoys to the Department for Work and Pensions and the jobcentre network, makes it especially well-placed to press this question. That’s why I am delighted that – as part of the Committee’s independent work programme – we are launching an inquiry to this end. Our initial reconnaissance points to starting with an exploration of the chief barriers to work facing older people. These might include age-related health issues, caring duties (including grandparenting) and employer reluctance to hire older workers, whether out of simple prejudice or out of potentially rational doubts, such as about the difficulties of recouping investment in training. Such difficulties with employers may be most of an issue with new prospective employers, who may also be less inclined to make reasonable adjustments for other barriers than they are in the case of workers that they have known for a long time. This makes it important to consider not only how far the system supports older claimants in _finding_ work, but more particularly whether it does enough to support them in _keeping_ any connection with an employer that they already have. Building on an approach successfully deployed by SSAC in recent research on the way that benefits interact with the participation decisions of young people, we envisage drawing up an illustrative selection of case studies of 60-somethings living in different circumstances, and explore how far working extra hours or working at all pays for them once all the consequences for benefits are taken into account. The different rules for means-tested benefits for those who are deemed beyond ‘working age’ could also be interesting: is the system doing all that it could to support those pensioners who do want to work? As well as benefit rules, we wish to examine Jobcentre practice. What offer is made to older claimants? What support is available to older non-claimants who are seeking employment? How much tolerance is there or isn’t there for individuals to work part-time or with variable hours, potentially a good way for claimants to stay employed despite the barriers that they face? As well as working closely with officials and Jobcentre staff, we are, through a series of roundtable discussions, gauging the views of employers, charities, unions, academics and others in civil society about what does and doesn’t work in the existing system. These discussions are proving to be valuable not only in elucidating the current system, but also in sourcing answers to the one question that matters most. Namely, how might things be improved?
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Tom Clark @tom-clark.bsky.social · 04/07/2026
Taxi! @sarahelizacollins.bsky.social reads the soul of the nation by clambering into the cabs that drive Britons round Britain www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/738...
prospectmagazine.co.uk
If Andy Burnham wants to understand England, he should take a taxi
Over the past few months, we’ve been speaking to cabbies from Sheppey to Hull. Here’s how they see our broken country through their rear-view mirrors
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