iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Reposted by @fl4lb.bsky.social

who knows if jackson can win this thing but i am glad that he is making clear that susan collins's whole scam is to do everything she can to make life worse for mainers and then take credit for mitigating it in the slightest way possible

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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 14h

personally I would like to see Tracey and Hanania run over the edge of a cliff and then look down, pause for a few seconds, and fall, leaving imprints shaped like themselves by the impact.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 7h

That sounds more like a poll that is testing the effectiveness of various campaign messages — sometimes candidates test the effectiveness of their own potential messaging, sometimes that of their opponents

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Dave Karpf @davekarpf.bsky.social · 11h

Republican Senate campaign strategy: “send Vance and Trump to the most competitive states on the map.” Democratic Senate campaign strategy: “send Vance and Trump to the most competitive states on the map.”

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

It’s funny because he sucks so bad at all of this that he clearly starts out trying to say “we are doing this so that they *won’t* take out Los Angeles,” but halfway through saying it, since his brain is mush, it turns into “fuck Los Angeles.”

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ghost malone ergo propter bones @proptermalone.bsky.social · 11h

yeah this is a piece of it tbh. sitters are expensive as hell and often require transit which costs extra time or money

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John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 12h

It's good to point out these sorts of lame intimidation efforts. But it's also important to put the ineffectiveness in context. If the goal is to promote voting, flagging the structural limitations of federal threats should be part of that process.

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John Pfaff @johnpfaff.bsky.social · 12h

Look, this is bad. Yes. But the Trump admin sent six (6) people to Maricopa and Pima. Where, by my count, there are 404 polling places, spread across 18,000 square miles (each county is ~9k sq mi). What they want is the FEAR to discourage the voting they can't actually prevent.

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 12h

Based on Cook toss-ups, the range for Dems in the Senate goes from 47 to 54. (Four other seats are lean or likely D; two, Nebraska and South Carolina, are likely R.) As of now I'd be pretty surprised if the Dems don't reach 49.

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JLRay @jlray.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

Here in Texas, Republicans basically aren't even bothering with Spanish-language ads. This sends a negative competence signal to many Latino voters, who are generally English fluent but get the message that Republicans don't care about them. www.texastribune.org/2026/10/02/t...

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Greg Greene (he/him/his) @greene.haus · 14h

Lafayette Park and the Ellipse exist as public parks because the nation's early leaders deemed it unnecessary and unseemly to fence off palatial grounds in the people's capital. "Trump's plan" is an insult to the nation's people and ideals.

nytimes.com

Inside Trump's Plan to Fence Off a Historic Protest Site (Gift Article)

The president’s proposal to enclose a park in Washington could alter how the space has been used for generations.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 18h

Greg Abbott is a piece of shit, but his disability is not fair game for dunking on him.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 06/10/2026

people keep saying "when trump campaigns, he gets the base out" but trump keeps campaigning and GOP poll numbers just keep going down

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 21h

Lots of people are trying to square the circle by saying dems outperform in midterm years and republicans outperform in presidential years when trump is on the ballot, and I ask you to consider that Trump has simply lost the juice entirely.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 21h

“If we don’t win Kansas it’ll be framed as a disappointment” yeah ok but I don’t need to let anyone tell me before or after the fact what needs to govern my feelings.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 21h

In general, we Dems and left leaners more broadly tend toward sad sack-ism, like “I will not allow myself to hope because one time I hoped and it didn’t happen and it made me sad.” I don’t say this unkindly but please shut the fuck up.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 21h

“I’ve been burned before” is a stupid thing to say when you’re talking about hoping an election in another state comes out a certain way. Stop it.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 21h

I get the worry that no matter how well Dems do, the media will paint it as a disappointment, and as a counterweight to that worry I suggest we all have some self respect and fight like hell and celebrate the wins where they come rather than letting someone else tell us what we’re allowed to do.

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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 05/10/2026

*stokes anger* *pooh-poohs anger^

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Philip Bump @pbump.com · 05/10/2026

I choose to take it as a hopeful sign that the most viable career option for someone whose resume consists entirely of "lying on behalf of an autocrat" is limited to "working for the autocrat lies factory."

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Yeah. Also... We can't know. But if another 2.3M Dems in CA, NY, IL, etc. had voted for Harris? No change in the EC but there's a decent chance that a lot of the compliant behavior from the media, universities, law firms, etc. doesn't happen...and *maybe* Hegseth et al. don't get confirmed.

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Spooky Back From The Dead Lazarus @jlazarus.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Morello has some great music and he's on the right side of most if not all issues, and yes he's correct that being a California voter makes his individual vote less important. The problem is that he's a dude with a huge platform and he's advocating AGAINST doing the one thing that can stop Trump.

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Dana Houle @danahoule.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

And it supports the notion that voting is some personal expression of your purity, and not a tool granted to every eligible citizen to choose who gets power.

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Spooky Back From The Dead Lazarus @jlazarus.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

That's a fucking moronic thing to do no matter how much goodwill you've earned from your anti-KKK songs.

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Why am I seeing an OH-Sen ad here in San Antonio during this ballgame? (trans-bashing anti-Brown; they really have nothing else, do they?). I'm on team Campaign Spending is Good, but maybe we've finally overdone it.

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Once again: If Dems do well in November, absolutely everyone should interpret it as a definitive statement that the US electorate rejected a disgusting smear campaign against trans people.

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Dave @daveamp.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

It would be so fucking funny if Trump’s decision to reward Graham’s lickspittle loyalty to him by gifting his sister a senate seat wound up losing the thing for the party.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I’m optimistic we may see that start to change in New Jersey, where we recently raised Assemblymember salaries from $49,000 per year (which in NJ is a genuine pittance) to $82,000 — roughly equal to the average NJ public school teacher salary.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

So not only not is running for congress unaffordable for most people, so is holding the kind of lower level elected offices that help prepare someone to be effective in congress and build a constituency

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

What’s worse is that most states underpay their legislators so severely that you basically have to be independently wealthy or have the kind of job where you can take off weeks at a time while still making a good salary to hold state office.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

This is why every boomer-ass “don’t pay them until they make a deal” proposal pisses me off so much. Like yeah, cool, make it *even more* so that only the independently wealthy can afford to be in congress. Excellent idea.

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

*Long* way to go before we can expect TX to be competitive in a national close election. But if it does happen, it would be a major step towards having more big cities in presidential swing states. Once upon a time it was common; now it's rare.

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Zack Beauchamp @zackbeauchamp.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"Something will crack. The nonsuburban electorate will decide that the system has failed and start looking for a strongman to vote for...All the sadism which the academic Left has tried to make unacceptable to its students will come flooding back." - Richard Rorty, ACHIEVING OUR COUNTRY, 1998

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

I mean, the fascist aesthetics (and, you know, policies and language and culture and etc) are off the charts, but the Department of Defense seal has always had just the arrows.

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G Elliott Morris @gelliottmorris.com · 04/10/2026

Very close to my company wavepolling.com 's MRP projections of state-level approval, FWIW. wavepolling.com/tracker/ The public link above shows only for all adults, but subscribers get RV approval too. wavepolling.com/pro/ MRP is a good tool when state polls (that cost $50k+) aren't available

wavepolling.com

Wave Dashboard

Interactive MRP estimates of American public opinion for every state and congressional district, from Wave's MOSAIC model.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Anyway, I feel like this would maybe be a bit better than dropping them all at once. A powerful weapon to argue not just that they’ve done a huge amount of wrongdoing, but that *this specific thing* is impeachable, and here I’ll prove it.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

When was the last time the press ran a story about republicans making intemperate remarks about democrats? Fretting about whether republicans are doing enough to be bipartisan, to reach out to the forgotten voters who favor the democrats?

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derek guy @dieworkwear.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

please do not post photos of barbour jackets in early october if you're not also voting for policies to address global warming

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Keep up the good work sir.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Delaying the seating of a special election winner in the middle of a congressional term is a little different because the Constitution establishes the date that one congress ends and a new one begins.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

If they did this, if they tried to just unilaterally invalidate a whole bunch of election results, we’re in hot civil war chaos immediately. These men are cowards.

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

I meant to say “I think” but come on, u think too, as all right thinking people should.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

When Collins loses it will be interesting to see if that makes her more or less Trumpy in the lame duck. I guess it depends on what she plans to do next. Although, given the latest news, sh probably wants to butter him up for a pardon

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The Fig Economy @figgityfigs.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

“President Xi loves me and I love him and I want to sell him weapons and also he’s trying to poison you against me and what do you mean my brain is pudding?”

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Jonathan Bernstein @jonathanbernstein.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Outside of everything else... Trump first announced this on September 9, when @fiftyplusone.news had his approval/disapproval at 35.7/60.2% Now? 34.5/62.6 - his worst ever. Who knows, but seem to me it's as likely that sounding desperate hurts him as it is that offering free money helps him.

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fl4lb.bsky.social @fl4lb.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Counterpoint: Bruce Springsteen

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The Downballot @the-downballot.com · 01/10/2026

A lot of Republicans in red states are simply not used to having to run serious general election campaigns. Now, suddenly, they have to—and the rust is *seriously* showing. On The Downballot podcast this week, @davidnir.com & @joesudbay.bsky.social spotlight just how unready Republicans look -->

the-downballot.com

Republicans are looking sooo rusty

Listen now (56 mins) | In red states, they simply aren’t used to hard campaigns

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Stephen Wolf @stephenwolf.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

NEW: The 2026 elections in most states will decide which party runs elections heading into 2028 (see map). We detail how Democrats could hold or gain this power in 14 potentially competitive states—and form a bulwark against MAGA subverting the 2028 elections www.the-downballot.com/p/voters-can...

Map of the United States titled "2026 Elections That Will Decide Which Party Runs Elections," with the subtitle "Includes secretaries of state and other elected offices where relevant." Source: The Downballot. States are colored by incumbent party.

Democratic (blue), 14 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, and Vermont.

Republican (red), 18 states: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, and Wyoming.

Bipartisan (yellow), 4 states: Hawaii, Illinois, New York, and Wisconsin.
Not up in 2026 (gray), 14 states: Delaware, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, New Jersey, North Carolina, Oregon, Tennessee, Utah, Virginia, Washington, and West Virginia.

Footnotes: Illinois and Wisconsin have Democratic secretaries of state who do not run elections. Pennsylvania's Democratic governor appointed a Republican who typically aligns with Democrats.

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