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Fabian Dablander

@fdabl.bsky.social
2.5K followers 409 following 191 posts

Assistant Prof @ LSE || Climate action, tipping points, sufficiency, social movements. fabiandablander.com

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Reposted by Fabian Dablander
dr. gianluca grimalda @ggrimalda.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Thrilled to commute back to Europe from the Pacific over 23,000km refusing to flying (again!). Press release in English: docs.google.com/document/d/1... E in italiano: docs.google.com/document/d/1... I'll reduce my carbon emissions by 6 times,~4,5t. It's negligible, but it's all I can do now. 1/
My no-fly itinerary from Bougainville to the Czech Republic
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
This is a huge scandal, yet the "IPCC said there was no process currently under way to amend its conflict of interest policy". Good moment to plug the fantastic book "The Long Heat: Climate Politics When It's Too Late" by @wimcarton.bsky.social & Andreas Malm. www.theguardian.com/environment/...
theguardian.com
How Saudi oil scientists ended up working on the world’s most important climate reports
Guardian investigation reveals fossil fuel links of IPCC authors, with experts declaring the body’s conflict of interest policy ‘not fit for purpose’
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 16/09/2026
HEY EVERYONE - NEW REPORT!!! NVIDIA is the largest company by market cap on the planet. But it hides key climate data, while claiming AI is going to be a 'net benefit' for climate. We (8 groups) put together the first ever broad critique of NVIDIA's climate record: ketanjoshi.co/2026/09/16/n...
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I can't wait to pick up my copy of End Times Fascism by @naomiaklein.bsky.social & @astra.bsky.social today. I suspect this will be another era-defining book. The NYT interviewed them over the weekend and it's a masterclass in the complicity of the political centre: www.youtube.com/watch?v=5GDK...
Astra Taylor and Naomi Klein's reaction to an NYT interviewer defending Elon Musk
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
🔥Most heat deaths attributable to climate change In work led by @adamfinnemann.bsky.social and with Reinout Wiers & @jmbh.bsky.social, we estimate heat deaths attributable to climate change in the Netherlands 1971-2019 across sex & age. Link: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.6...
Title pageFigure 3 of the paper
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 05/09/2026
This is just such excellent investigative work! www.youtube.com/watch?v=aXut... And the top two YouTube comments are gold, too: "You wouldn't see this sort of thing under the Bin." "The only shocking part was finding Nigel in Clacton" Dealing with UK politics requires a healthy dose of humour 🙃
youtube.com
Going undercover to expose Reform's secret donations plot
YouTube video by Channel 4 News
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 04/09/2026
One of the greatest joys of my career has been co-organising the annual Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change (ACSCC, @acscc.bsky.social). In a new blog post, I reflect on why we started ACSCC, what it has become, and what comes next: seven.uva.nl/en/output/bl...
List of ACSCC speakers 2024 - 2026
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 02/09/2026
I am excited to share that I started as an assistant professor at the London School of Economics and Political Science! I am affiliated with the Department of Psychological and Behavioural Science and the Global School of Sustainability. For more information, see www.lse.ac.uk/people/fabia...
lse.ac.uk
Dr Fabian Dablander | Assistant Professor | LSE
Find out more about Dr Fabian Dablander research into how climate action and wider societal transformation can be accelerated.
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Olivia Guest · Ολίβια Γκεστ @olivia.science · 15/08/2026
> Jason Arday’s death was the result of a convergence of forces that reveal the fragility of the racial settlement in post-imperial and postcolonial Britain and the contradictions of its elite institutions. 1/
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Zeke Hausfather @zekehausfather.com · 02/08/2026
I'm not sure folks have realized just how crazy the second half of 2026 and 2027 will be for global temperatures – on the back of a record-smashing El Niño event. Here is my latest estimate of where both years will end up compared to global temperatures since 1850.
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Kevin Anderson @kevinclimate.bsky.social · 27/07/2026
Open letter to the PM on Rosebank & Jackdaw oil and gas fields, covered in the Guardian: www.theguardian.com/environment/... Full letter here: climateuncensored.com/letter-to-th...
Quote from the letter - the link is in the post.
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Zack Polanski @zackpolanski.bsky.social · 16/07/2026
New drilling isn't just a catastrophic signal of us stepping back from our climate commitments, it also runs against the geological reality of an almost depleted resource. Our focus should be on cheap, clean fuel for the future - not propping up oil and gas. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
bloomberg.com
Burnham to Back North Sea Oil and Take Control of Thames Water
Within days of taking office incoming prime minister Andy Burnham is preparing to announce new drilling for oil and gas in the North Sea as well as taking public control of Thames Water.
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AI, Media & Democracy Lab @aimediademlab.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
🔎 How to use LLMs to analyze news coverage? @fdabl.bsky.social, postdoc at @seven-uva.bsky.social, presented to us research conducted with @jmbh.bsky.social and Simon Wimmer as part of the Climate Media Lab on how media cover climate change, which also employed a new LLM-based methodology.
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Dr Samuel Finnerty @samuelfinnerty.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
Should scientists advocate for climate action? Our new review @plosclimate.org finds there is no single answer. The effects of scientist advocacy depend heavily on context, including who is speaking, what they are advocating for, and who is listening. Open access: journals.plos.org/climate/arti...
journals.plos.org
Climate advocacy and activism by scientists: A narrative review
In the context of accelerating climate and environmental crises, advocacy and activism by scientists is becoming increasingly prominent. This growing visibility has intensified the debate surrounding ...
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 13/05/2026
🔥 Material life satisfaction increases willingness to engage in costly climate action @maiensachis.bsky.social, @jmbh.bsky.social, & I use causally informed regression models to estimate the effect of life satisfaction on climate action in a large Dutch sample (N = 22,749): osf.io/preprints/ps...
Title page of the paper
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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 04/05/2026
You can get to a high-warming world without high emissions . That's the part of this week's "RCP 8.5 is implausible" discussion that's getting missed. A short thread on why the relief is premature 🧵
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 16/04/2026
🚨 Climate change coverage in The Guardian In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer, @jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 18,000 articles about climate change in @theguardian.com (2010-2025) using large language models 🧵 🔗 Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
Title page of our preprint
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Laurie Ulster @floobish.bsky.social · 12/04/2026
Octavia E. Butler, 1998:
From EARTHSEED: THE BOOKS OF THE LIVING

Choose your leaders

with wisdom and forethought.

To be led by a coward

is to be controlled

by all that the coward fears.
To be led by a fool


is to be led

by the opportunists

who control the fool.

To be led by a thief

is to offer up

your most precious treasures

to be stolen.
To be led by a liar


is to ask

to be told lies.

To be led by a tyrant

is to sell yourself

and those you love

into slavery.
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Kristian Steensen Nielsen @kristiansn89.bsky.social · 07/04/2026
⭐NEW PAPER ⭐ We collaborated with AWorld, the largest app for personal climate action, to examine behavioral patterns, data quality, and the links between users' actions, carbon footprints and psychological factors. iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1... @fdabl.bsky.social @cameronbrick.bsky.social
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 29/03/2026
What a stunning demonstration of how data centre development is directly and materially boosting fossil fuels. After ferocious lobbying the Carney government caved and killed off environmental rules to allow fossil gas power plants to be built for data centres: thewalrus.ca/after-intens...
After Intense Lobbying, Carney Allows Gas-Powered Data Centres in Alberta
Energy firm pushed federal officials to scale back clean-electricity rules tied to AI sector
by Taylor C. Noakes
Updated 11:46, Mar. 27, 2026 | Published 6:30, Mar. 27, 2026he Alberta electricity company Capital Power, which is developing a new, large artificial intelligence data centre in the province powered by natural gas, lobbied the federal Mark Carney government dozens of times in 2025 to eliminate clean-energy regulations, DeSmog has learned.

These regulations were subsequently dropped from a fossil fuel accord that the prime minister signed with the Government of Alberta this past November, allowing new, large data centres fuelled by gas turbines to proceed.

“We’ve got a new paradigm that allows us to look at growth capital” for Canadian gas-powered AI projects, Capital Power chief executive officer Avik Dey said in reaction to the Carney government announcing it would suspend the regulations.The term “data centre” appears at least twenty-five times in notes from Capital Power’s interactions with the federal government, while the term “emissions” appears seventeen times, and “clean-energy regulations” and “net zero” appear each at least fourteen times.

The AI boom is itself driving a massive development of gas-power generation: over 1,000 gigawatts worldwide, a quarter of which is in the United States. Though AI data centres can be powered by any form of electricity, the gas industry has marketed gas power as cheap, efficient, and reliable.
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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 24/03/2026
1/ Yesterday @wmo-global.bsky.social made Earth's Energy Imbalance a headline #climate indicator for the first time. I think this could be a significant reframing of climate discourse, and it's worth paying close attention to why. 🧵
A staircase diagram with six levels rising from bottom-left to top-right. Each level on the left represents a stage in the causal chain of climate change, connected by a dashed arrow to a corresponding intervention on the right. From bottom to top: Root Drivers (economic system, fossil finance, colonial and historical structures, geopolitics) connects to Transformative System Change (economic restructuring, post-colonial redress, geopolitical shifts); Human Activities (consumption and production patterns) connects to Socio-technical and Behavioural Change (electrification, behaviour change, market incentives); Energy and Land Systems connects to Infrastructure Transition (renewables, grids, land-use redesign); Emissions connects to End-of-pipe Controls (CCS); Atmospheric GHG Concentrations connects to Carbon Dioxide Removal (including NETs); Earth's Energy Imbalance connects to Geoengineering (SRM). A diagonal arrow runs across the full diagram from Structural/Preventative at the bottom-left to Reactive/Compensatory at the top-right.
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 19/03/2026
Even in a world of extremes, some events still stand out to me. This is one. All-time monthly records are being shattered. The size of this ridge across the western U.S. is truly striking for March, and we see a very clear climate change connection. Explore: csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
Screenshot showing the Climate Shift Index from Climate Central for March 19, 2026. There is a change in likelihood of CSI 5 across nearly the entire Western USA.
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 18/03/2026
We recently published a report from a project at SEVEN, in which we used group model building to map the systems shaping home insulation and shifting electricity use away from peak hours in the Netherlands: seven.uva.nl/en/content/n... It also highlights something broader about behaviour change 🧵
Simplified Causal Loop Diagram for Insulating to the Standard
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Jonas Haslbeck @jmbh.bsky.social · 05/03/2026
🚨 Techno-optimism reduces willingness to address climate change 🚨 In a new preprint, @maiensachis.bsky.social, @fdabl.bsky.social, and I examined the causal effect of techno-optimist beliefs on the willingness to contribute to addressing climate change. 🔗 Read the paper: lnkd.in/eE847_jK
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Dr Samuel Finnerty @samuelfinnerty.bsky.social · 23/02/2026
How do scientists balance science with protest? My new piece for @theconversation.com, explores how scientists transition into activism and sustain their engagement. This is based on my recently published ethnographic paper journals.plos.org/climate/arti... theconversation.com/how-climate-...
theconversation.com
How climate scientists balance the tension between research and public protest – new study
Researchers said they tried to manage how their activism was perceived by clarifying their expertise and acting alongside other scientists.
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Rupert Read @rupertread.bsky.social · 14/02/2026
No one trains teachers for this part of the job. Watch The Hardest Lesson - a short film about what it's really like to teach during a #climate crisis. Not the facts. The feelings. The silence. The responsibility. www.youtube.com/watch?v=4H-5...
youtube.com
The Hardest Lesson | Climate Majority Project
The one lesson he's afraid to teach. Watch. Discuss. Act. Use our Discussion Guide to start a conversation in your classroom, community, or home:…
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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 05/02/2026
Important new @annualreviews.bsky.social review on #AMOC collapse. 🌊⚠️ 🔗 www.annualreviews.org/content/jour... Here are 8 key takeaways from Dijkstra & van Westen (2026) on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and its risks. 👇🧵
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Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · 21/01/2026
Status of the most recent monthly-averaged greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide. Observational data provided by gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/
Graphic shows three line graph time series of monthly carbon dioxide abundance in ppm (blue line), monthly methane abundance in ppb (red line), and monthly nitrous oxide in ppb (purple line). Graphs are all shown from January 1984 through December 2025/September 2025. Current levels of CO2 are 427 ppm. Current levels of methane are 1941 ppb. Current levels of nitrous oxide are 339 ppb. All graphs show long-term increasing trends along with some interannual variability and seasonality.
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Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change @acscc.bsky.social · 22/01/2026
Speaker Spotlight: Rachel Donald How can we make sense of a world shaped by interlocking crises? Where in the world can we find stories and places already modeling the changes we need? We're excited to have @racheldonald.bsky.social help us tackle these questions! ⏳ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl
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Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change @acscc.bsky.social · 21/01/2026
Speaker Spotlight: Kristian Nielsen How do individual behavior change & broader systems change interact? How can behavioral science realize its full potential to address climate change? We're excited to have @kristiansn89.bsky.social help us tackle these questions! ⏳ Apply until Jan 26: acscc.nl
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Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change @acscc.bsky.social · 12/01/2026
Speaker Spotlight: Julia Steinberger How can societies ensure decent living for all while staying within planetary boundaries? We are excited to have @jksteinberger.bsky.social as an ACSCC keynote speaker to address this critical question. ⏳ Apply until Jan 26 at acscc.nl
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Blue Georgia @bluegeorgia.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Stephen Miller goes on a rant defending Trump's imperialist aggression against Venezuela: "We’re a superpower… we are going to conduct ourselves as a superpower." Jake Tapper: "I don't even know what you're talking about right now."
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Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they) @doctorvive.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Just a few things I'd like to say about this @hausfath.bsky.social piece. The first is that every 10th of a degree of heating over 2C raises risks for multiple irreversible catastrophes MORE than every 10th of a degree of heating under 2C. That's why the 2C target exists. It's not random. 🧵
How the level of global warming affects impacts and/or risks associated with the Reasons for Concern (RFCs) and selected natural, managed and human
systems Five Reasons For Concern (RFCs) illustrate the impacts and risks of different levels of global warming for people, economies and ecosystems
across sectors and regions.
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Wajahat Ali @wajali.bsky.social · 05/01/2026
Eyes wide open, folks. They're revealing the supervillain plot.
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Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · 03/01/2026
This one is resonating today. #Andor
Screen shot from the show Andor. Someone says to Mon Mothma “They [meaning the Empire] don’t even bother to lie badly anymore.” Mon replies “I suppose that’s the final humiliation.”
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Kristian Steensen Nielsen @kristiansn89.bsky.social · 28/12/2025
What better way to end 2025 than getting our paper published in Global Environmental Change 🥳💚 We studied perceptions of the feasibility of climate-relevant behavior change and how these perceptions connect to income differences and climate policy support. Let me tell you all about it🧵👇
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Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they) @doctorvive.bsky.social · 12/12/2025
On the 10th Anniversary of the Paris Agreement, you’re going to hear a lot about the progress we’ve made — people saying we “are” heading to 2.5 degrees heating instead of four. I deeply regret to tell you that this is complacent misinformation. 🧵
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 02/12/2025
🚨 Mapping climate change coverage In a new preprint, Simon Wimmer, @jmbh.bsky.social, and I analyzed over 50,000 articles about climate change from major German newspapers across the political spectrum (2010-2024) using large language models 🧵 🔗 Link: osf.io/preprints/so...
Title page of our paper
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Anne Urai @anne-urai.bsky.social · 24/11/2025
My latest: with @fdabl.bsky.social and JW Bolderdijk we argue that environmental psychology needs formal theory to make progress and increase real-world impact doi.org/10.1016/j.co... Part of special issue Behavioral Science for Climate Change by @madalina.bsky.social & @neurograce.bsky.social
doi.org
Redirecting
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Dr Samuel Finnerty @samuelfinnerty.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
Scientists are becoming more visible in public climate debates, but the effects of this engagement are far from straightforward. We often hear strong claims about credibility and trust, yet what does the evidence say? Our new preprint explores this osf.io/preprints/ps... Thread 1/n
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Kristian Steensen Nielsen @kristiansn89.bsky.social · 19/11/2025
⚠️ When “technology will save us” becomes a climate risk! A new paper from great colleagues takes a careful look at techno-optimism — the belief that technology will largely solve climate change — and what it means for real-world climate action. (1/4)👇 osf.io/preprints/ps...
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
I am beyond excited to announce that the applications are now open for the third Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change! Come visit a beautiful city, hear from world-renowned experts, and work with passionate individuals on challenges related to climate change. More info: acscc.nl
Announcement that the applications are open for the third Amsterdam Complexity School on Climate Change, with speakers including Clare Farrell, Ben Franta, Julia Steinberger, Vítor Vasconcelos, and Rachel Donald, with more to come!
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George Monbiot @georgemonbiot.bsky.social · 16/11/2025
"If you're not careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed and loving the people who are doing the oppressing." Malcolm X. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
theguardian.com
Dark forces are preventing us fighting the climate crisis – by taking knowledge hostage | George Monbiot
The fundamental problem is this: that most of the means of communication are owned or influenced by the very rich, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 14/11/2025
🚨Techno-optimistic scientists take fewer climate actions In a new preprint, @colognaviktoria.bsky.social, @maiensachis.bsky.social, @jmbh.bsky.social & I examine techno-optimism among 9,199 scientists and how it relates to their civic engagement and lifestyle choices🧵 🔗 Link: tinyurl.com/hh94huzv
Title page of the paper "Techno-optimistic scientists take fewer climate action"
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Dr Charlie Gardner @charliejgardner.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
Understanding and Accelerating Collective Climate Action Important new report from @fdabl.bsky.social, @jksteinberger.bsky.social, @swaziadam.bsky.social, @berglundoscar.bsky.social and other leading thinkers in the climate movement A must read for all climate activists zenodo.org/records/1758...
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Fabian Dablander @fdabl.bsky.social · 12/11/2025
🔥We've crossed 7 out of 9 planetary boundaries, & global heating is accelerating. What is to be done? 24 scholars, activists & practitioners met at a 5-day workshop to explore how to accelerate collective climate action. Our summary report is out now ⤵️ 🔗 tinyurl.com/cxxembyw 🔗 tinyurl.com/54rmhykx
Poster of the workshop, including the names of all participants and organisersGroup picture of the participants
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BeijingPalmer @beijingpalmer.bsky.social · 09/11/2025
the Iranian drought story is insanely undercovered. foreignpolicy.com/2025/08/07/i...
foreignpolicy.com
Iran’s Taps Are Nearly Empty
After five straight years of drought, the country is running dry.
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Ketan Joshi @ketanjoshi.co · 06/11/2025
Bill Gates Gave $3.5M to Think Tank Run by Climate Crisis Denier Bjorn Lomborg www.desmog.com/2025/11/05/b...
desmog.com
Bill Gates Gave $3.5M to Think Tank Run by Climate Crisis Denier Bjorn Lomborg
Tax records reveal that the billionaire’s foundation has donated for years to Lomborg’s Copenhagen Consensus Center.
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Glen Peters @glenpeters.bsky.social · 05/11/2025
Global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions rise again in 2024, up 2.3%. This is our collective progress, 10 years after the Paris Agreement. www.unep.org/resources/em... 1/
A figure showing all ghg emissions rising
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