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Tim Bartik

@timbartik.bsky.social
8.1K followers 4.1K following 436 posts

Senior Economist at Upjohn Institute, fan of "place-based policies" (or at least some of them!). www.upjohn.org/about/upjohn-team/st…

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Reposted by Tim Bartik
Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 16/09/2026
The research team includes @timbartik.bsky.social, Gerrit Anderson, Brian Asquith, @kathleenbolter.bsky.social, Kyle Huisman, Iryna Lendel, Jeremy Morris, and Sevrin Williams. The report is sponsored by the nonprofit RMI @rockymtninst.bsky.social.
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Reposted by Tim Bartik
Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Business incentives go a lot further when paired with workforce training. A new Upjohn Institute report finds targeted training could generate $5.24 in benefits for every $1 invested. Helping local workers land the jobs being created pays off. Read more: bit.ly/4h5hbN9
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Pairing incentives with job training could deliver major gains
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
My report (w/ 2 @upjohninstitute.bsky.social colleagues) on the benefits & costs of adding training to business tax incentives, in the City of Chattanooga, is being released today: research.upjohn.org/up_technical... Bottom-line: adding training has benefit-cost ratio of over 25 to 1.
research.upjohn.org
Benefits and Costs for Chattanooga Residents of Incorporating Training into Economic Development Strategies
This report evaluates the benefit-cost tradeoffs of adding a workforce training component to Chattanooga's economic development incentive packages, using the Bartik Benefit-Cost Model of Business Ince...
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Interesting article. I would argue that in addition to retraining policies, place-based policies would help us adjust to economic changes. My understanding is that Norway, for example, has both regionally-differentiated payroll taxes and some regional adjustment programs.
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Doug Webber @dougwebberecon.bsky.social · 22/06/2026
I (joint with three wonderful coauthors: Katie Lim, @bradhershbein.bsky.social , and Mike Zabek) have a new working paper on local labor market tightness and job quality. www.federalreserve.gov/econres/feds...
federalreserve.gov
Local Labor Market Tightness and Job Quality: Evidence from Job Changers
The Federal Reserve Board of Governors in Washington DC.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 09/06/2026
This report highlights that the devil is in the details on incentives. Out of these 50 large clean energy projects, the "median" project has benefits>incentive costs by 47% -- but 13 projects have B/C ratio >3, and 7 have B/C < 0.5.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 08/06/2026
I am presenting tomorrow a major new report, on state/local incentives for clean energy projects. Report by me and other Upjohn Institute co-authors. Report evaluates benefits/costs of 50 of the largest clean energy projects -- 22 states, 95K jobs, $29B in incentives. rmi.org/events/webin...
rmi.org
Webinar — Assessing State and Local Incentives for Attracting New Energy Investment
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 21/05/2026
I'm honored to join a panel conversation at the upcoming @MinneapolisFed event "How Can Public Policy Boost Hiring?" Join us May 21, 11-12 CT, for a virtual discussion of new research on public hiring programs and policy options to boost labor demand: www.minneapolisfed.org/events/2026/...
minneapolisfed.org
How Can Public Policy Boost Hiring? | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
An event exploring employer-based interventions in the labor market
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/05/2026
Love employment research and policy? We do too! @upjohninstitute.bsky.social is hiring a full-time research analyst. Our current RAs' degrees range from BA to PhD, so give the opening a look. #econ_ra #EconSky #sociology #policysky
JOB POSTING – RESEARCH ANALYST
POSTING DATE: May 1, 2026
The W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research is seeking a talented Research Analyst to support 
social science PhD researchers with statistical programming, analysis of data, and other analytical 
tasks for research projects. The ideal candidate for this position will have demonstrated programming, 
data management, analytical, writing, and communication skills through a bachelor’s or graduate
degree in quantitative social sciences or a related program. The position offers the opportunity for 
career growth with promotions based on performance and experience, and initial placement is 
commensurate with experience.
Research Analysts work closely with PhD researchers on empirical projects related to the labor market 
and the economy. Their work largely involves statistical programming; assembling, structuring, and 
managing databases; analysis of data; and preparation of empirical results for presentation in reports, 
working papers, and articles. Tasks also may include writing documents that describe how data were 
processed, designing and maintaining databases, conducting literature reviews, proofreading final 
written documents, and contributing to the development of software programs to implement frontier 
statistical analysis.
Hybrid work arrangements (both in-office and remote work) may be available depending on the nature 
of assigned research projects, but the position is not fully remote. Projects involving confidential data 
may require the incumbent to undergo fingerprinting and a background check.
A bachelor’s degree with experience in statistics, econometrics, and computer programming is 
required. Demonstrated research experience—e.g., working with a faculty member on a research 
project or independent research through a graduate program—is desirable.
Knowledge of basic statistical and econometric methods; experience with at least one statistical 
programming language, p…
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 21/04/2026
I'm honored to join a panel conversation at the upcoming @MinneapolisFed event "How Can Public Policy Boost Hiring?" Join us May 21, 11-12 CT, for a virtual discussion of new research on public hiring programs and policy options to boost labor demand: www.minneapolisfed.org/events/2026/...
minneapolisfed.org
How Can Public Policy Boost Hiring? | Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
An event exploring employer-based interventions in the labor market
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Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 27/03/2026
Where a person lives plays a role in shaping their opportunities. In an upcoming seminar hosted by @fedcommunities.bsky.social, our own @timbartik.bsky.social will join other experts to discuss how place based policies can strengthen local economies. Learn more: fedcommunities.org/event/place-...
fedcommunities.org
Place-Based Strategies: Strengthening Local Economies in Low-Income Communities
Experts from research and policy will discuss how location affects job markets and can contribute to income inequality.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 14/03/2026
Hi all, Paul Krugman and I did a podcast on the Trump Administration and what might be happening in the bombing of Iran. Not the most uplifting of talks, but you might find it interesting. substack.com/@phillipspob...
substack.com
Phillips P. OBrien (@phillipspobrien)
Hi all, @Paul Krugman and I did a podcast on the Trump Administration and what might be happening in the bombing of Iran. Not the most uplifting of talks, but you might find it interesting.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
What I've learned in 45 years of reporting on the military. And why that makes the current reckless folly even worse than it looks. (Most before paywall.) fallows.substack.com/p/the-arroga...
fallows.substack.com
The Arrogance of Ignorance.
What I have learned in 45 years of interviewing experts about peace and war, and how it applies to the tumult of these past nine days.
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 09/03/2026
The opening scene of my 2004 article 'Blind Into Baghdad' is an interview with Feith, at the Pentagon, on why it didn't make sense to plan for "the day after" in Iraq. 20+ years later, applying same 'logic' to Iran See also: fallows.substack.com/p/the-arroga... www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc...
theatlantic.com
Blind Into Baghdad
The U.S. occupation of Iraq is a debacle not because the government did no planning but because a vast amount of expert planning was willfully ignored by the people in charge. The inside story of a hi...
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026
Care about Americans, employment, earnings, consumer prices, your local or our national economy? @usbls.bsky.social empowers us to better recognize these & make decisions. Consider signing onto Friends of BLS's new letter to Congress re its budget. And spread the word.

We are currently seeking organizational and individual support for our FY27 Funding Recommendation Letter and hope you will join us in asking for more robust funding for BLS. We are asking Congress to approve $754 million for BLS in FY27 which is a 5% increase over FY26. These funds will allow BLS to train new staff, implement delayed modernization efforts, and sustain response rates in multiple programs.
 

We are accepting sign-ons from both organizations and individuals no later than COB Wednesday March 4. Please select the appropriate link below to read the full letter and sign-on.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 25/02/2026
Many workers have missed shifts without jobs being destroyed making it challenging to measure labor impacts with conventional sources. We use real-time daily data from Homebase to measure impacts. Thanks to UChicago and Homebase for making the data available. #EconSky #NumbersDay
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 13/02/2026
This is a sign up for "ENIAC Day": the 80th anniversary of the Feb 15 1946 first public demonstration of the ENIAC, which led to the modern computer industry. Signing up for the virtual version of the event is free.
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Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
Our own @mmilleradams.bsky.social and @timbartik.bsky.social have a new piece in @bridgemi.com examining the economics of tuition-free college. By their reckoning, the cost-benefit ratio of free college is nearly unmatched. Read more: bridgemi.com/guest-commen... #highereducation, #michigan,
bridgemi.com
Opinion | Investing in tuition-free college can be a good economic bet for Michigan - Bridge Michigan
Having more educated workers strengthens communities, making it easier to attract new businesses and enabling existing employers to improve productivity and expand.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 06/02/2026
bridgemi.com/guest-commen...
bridgemi.com
Opinion | Investing in tuition-free college can be a good economic bet for Michigan - Bridge Michigan
Having more educated workers strengthens communities, making it easier to attract new businesses and enabling existing employers to improve productivity and expand.
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Upjohn Institute @upjohninstitute.bsky.social · 17/12/2025
With funding for Michigan’s Rx Kids program back in the news, it’s good to look at the data. Read our report on the economic effects of #RxKids in Flint here: www.upjohn.org/research-hig... #Econsky, #MI, #Flint, #Michigan
upjohn.org
Study finds Rx Kids program supports families, drives jobs and income growth
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 01/12/2025
Great article on a new book.
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 17/11/2025
A senior academic using mentoring as leverage to obtain sex is a contemptible abuser of power.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 10/11/2025
I have a new essay on place-based economic development policies as "broadly-shared abundance policy" at Site Selection magazine: siteselection.com/incentives-s... Key pt: econ dev policies can boost abundance IF targeted at distressed areas/non-employed, & if local housing policies accommodate.
siteselection.com
INCENTIVES: SMART LOCAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT POLICY Can Gain Support from The Abundance Movement – Site Selection Magazine
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 30/10/2025
So, what does our study find? The RxKids program is a program that started in Flint, which provides universal benefits during pregnancy & the first year of a child's life. We find that the "demand-side" effects of the program are sufficient to provide sizable spillover benefits.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 21/09/2025
Useful article by @patricktuohey.bsky.social at @thehill.com regarding Tulsa Remote, in part drawing on my research on Tulsa Remote. thehill.com/opinion/fina.... As article says, part of reason why Tulsa Remote can have success is that it is cheaper per job induced than typical business incentives.
thehill.com
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Gbenga Ajilore @gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Today, @equitablegrowth.bsky.social released their second series of papers on the rise of right-wing populism. My contribution is a policy piece that provides an affirmative vision for investment in rural America. (1/9) equitablegrowth.org/a-place-base...
equitablegrowth.org
A place-based economic development strategy to foster rural U.S. prosperity
How a three-pronged, place-based strategy to spur economic growth in rural communities across the country boasts proven success.
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markmuro1.bsky.social @markmuro1.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
There's lots to be said for the "abundance" movement but it says too little about distressed places. Interesting take from @timbartik.bsky.social @dkthomp.bsky.social @ezrakleinbot.bsky.social @yappelbaum.bsky.social @andreperryedu.bsky.social @brookings.edu @upjohninstitute.bsky.social
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Andrew Carter @andrewcities.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
I haven't read Tim's work yet, but I can guarantee they will be excellent
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James Fallows @jfallows.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
Important paper on the need to include place-based strategies in "Abundance" Follow the thread by @timbartik.bsky.social
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 02/09/2025
My papers arguing that the "Abundance Movement" needs broadening to include place-based jobs policies for distressed places are being released today, with a long paper at the Upjohn Institute & a shorter summary at Brookings Metro.
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Trump perceives basically all independent institutions as a threat to himself, including economic institutions like the BLS and the Fed, he won't stop trying to wreck them until he's out of office, and it's everyday Americans who are going to feel the consequences
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 26/08/2025
Yes, the stakes here are large. Very large.
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 19/08/2025
My op-ed at @bridgemi.com on Michigan economic development strategies following the cancellation of a large semiconductor plant near Flint. Overall point: there are strategies that have higher bang for the buck.
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Betty C. Jung @bettycjung.bsky.social · 14/08/2025
Report suggests FDA may not reauthorize Pfizer COVID vaccine for young kids www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/rep...
cidrap.umn.edu
Report suggests FDA may not reauthorize Pfizer COVID vaccine for young kids
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
Am Econ Assn speaks out about firing the #BLS Commish. "It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as [better] data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor--not failure or bias."
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Prof Dynarski @dynarski.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
Statement from the largest economics association about the BLS firing As context: AEA approximately never makes such public statements This is a big deal
August 1, 2025
AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION
Committee on Economic Statistics and Committee on Government Relations


Statement from the American Economic Association on the
Dismissal of the BLS Commissioner

Leaders of the American Economic Association express their grave concern over the dismissal of the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) earlier today.
The independence of the federal statistical agencies is essential to the proper functioning of a modern economy. Accurate, timely, and impartial statistics are the foundation upon which households, businesses, and policymakers make critical decisions. Undermining the independence or credibility of these agencies threatens the integrity of the information that markets, institutions, and the public rely on every day.
Measuring the vast and dynamic U.S. economy in real time is inherently challenging. It is standard practice for statistical estimates to be revised as more complete and higher-quality data become available. These revisions reflect the commitment of statistical agencies to accuracy, transparency, and methodological rigor-not failure or bias.
The BLS has long had a well-deserved reputation for professional excellence and nonpartisan integrity.
Safeguarding this tradition is vital for the continued health of the U.S. economy and public trust in our institutions.
We call upon elected officials to respect and preserve the independence of the nation's statistical infrastructure.

Lawrence Katz
President, American Economic Association
Katharine Abraham
President-Elect, American Economic Association
Karen Dynan
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Economic Statistics
Kenneth Troske
Chair, American Economic Association Committee on Government Relations
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Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 02/08/2025
The Friends of #BLS protest the firing of BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer. The rationale for firing her is without merit and undermines the credibility of federal economic statistics that are a cornerstone of intelligent economic decision-making by businesses, families, and policymakers.
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Jonathan Chait @jonathanbchait.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
theatlantic.com
Trump’s Self-Defeating Authoritarian Gambit
Firing the government’s statisticians over bad jobs numbers won’t make voters any happier with the economy.
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Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/08/2025
What to make of POTUS's attempt to fire the Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)? Let's run down what knowledgable people are saying...
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Joshua Goodman @joshua-goodman.com · 01/08/2025
I was a colleague of Erika's at CEA and can't think of a smarter, more honest person to run BLS. Which is why the president fired her. Fed govt data is going to be a lot harder to trust going forward.
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Steve Liesman @steveliesman.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
“The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) strongly condemns the removal of Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Commissioner Erika McEntarfer and the unfounded accusations leveled against the work of the agency… A totally apolitical group. files.constantcontact.com/668faa28001/...
files.constantcontact.com
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Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 01/08/2025
This is an attack on democracy itself. No Democratic or Republican politician can be allowed to suppress the most basic facts that the reveal real-world effects of policy. Facts are the only basis for accountability, and thus a firebreak against dictatorship.
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Joey Politano🏳️‍🌈 @josephpolitano.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Unquestionably the most dangerous and corrupt attack on the independence of US economic data in American history. Trump is firing the head of the BLS, a longtime civil servant confirmed 86-8 by the Senate, simply because the job numbers came in below his expectations today
I was just informed that our Country’s “Jobs Numbers” are being produced by a Biden Appointee, Dr. Erika McEntarfer, the Commissioner of Labor Statistics, who faked the Jobs Numbers before the Election to try and boost Kamala’s chances of Victory. This is the same Bureau of Labor Statistics that overstated the Jobs Growth in March 2024 by approximately 818,000 and, then again, right before the 2024 Presidential Election, in August and September, by 112,000. These were Records — No one can be that wrong? We need accurate Jobs Numbers. I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY. She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified. Important numbers like this must be fair and accurate, they can’t be manipulated for political purposes. McEntarfer said there were only 73,000 Jobs added (a shock!) but, more importantly, that a major mistake was made by them, 258,000 Jobs downward, in the prior two months. Similar things happened in the first part of the year, always to the negative. The Economy is BOOMING under “TRUMP” despite a Fed that also plays games, this time with Interest Rates, where they lowered them twice, and substantially, just before the Presidential Election, I assume in the hopes of getting “Kamala” elected – How did that work out? Jerome “Too Late” Powell should also be put “out to pasture.” Thank you for your attention to this matter!
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Michael R Strain @michaelrstrain.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
Dr. Erika McEntarfer has devoted her career to public service. She has conducted herself as BLS Commissioner with great integrity. There is no evidence whatsoever that BLS data are politically biased. #econsky
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Jed Kolko @jedkolko.bsky.social · 01/08/2025
For six months, I've said that threats to economic data have been more collateral damage than intentional harm. No longer. Firing the head of the BLS is five-alarm intentional harm to the integrity of US economic data and the entire statistical system.
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Eva Vivalt @evavivalt.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
🚨 New NBER working paper: "The Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Parenting and Children" This paper estimates the effects of receiving a $1,000/month guaranteed income for 3 years, compared to a control group receiving $50/month, on children and parents in the US. 1/
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Sarah Miller @smiller.bsky.social · 21/07/2025
1000 low income adults were randomly selected to receive $1000/month for 3 years, with a control group receiving $50/month over that same period. Many of them had children in the household. How did it affect how they parented and their kids’ outcomes? www.nber.org/papers/w34040
Abstract for NBER WP 34040, “The Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Parenting and Children”
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 08/07/2025
I have an update to my prior paper on the benefits of Michigan's pre-K program. This new paper estimates the fiscal benefits of Michigan moving from its current program to a universal program. Key finding: fiscal benefits for state cover about 2/3rds of costs. research.upjohn.org/up_policypap...
research.upjohn.org
Short-Run Fiscal Effects of Expanding Michigan's Preschool Program to be Universal
This policy paper provides some updated estimates of the short-run fiscal effects of expanding Michigan’s state-funded preschool program, the Great Start Readiness Program (GSRP), to encompass univers...
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Tim Bartik @timbartik.bsky.social · 26/06/2025
My colleague Brad Hershbein has a useful thread -- backed by data -- that argues that (1) the overall labor market has been weakening, which does tend to hurt younger workers entering the labor market; (2) but young BAs are not necessarily the ones who are worse off, if we look at employment rates.
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🍁🍂 🎃 Diva for the Season 💚💙🏈🫶👠👑 @queenofthinair.bsky.social · 25/06/2025
My story. Told my way with truth and as much grace I can muster. Thank you, Tom.
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