Reposted by Erica GroshenErika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 07/05/2026A simple primer for understanding the various jobs releases that come out each month: The jobs report that BLS releases each month is the best and clearest signal we have of labor market health. The ADP and Revelio data that come out before the release are mostly shaping expectations about … 111025
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 05/05/2026An important white paper has just been released which explores the deleterious effect the firing of the BLS Commissioner on Aug 1, 2025 had on the U.S. economy. Reliable statistics matter! @ericagroshen.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135nber.orgThe Value of Reliable StatisticsFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an... 043
Reposted by Erica GroshenJames Downie @jamescdownie.bsky.social · 05/05/2026A new working paper from four researchers, including @ericagroshen.bsky.social, calculates that the "firing of then-BLS Commissioner Erika McEntarfer...caused a spike in uncertainty associated with a $20 billion loss in industrial production."news.cornell.eduBusinesses, investors ‘flying blind’ when trust in government statistics declines | Cornell ChronicleEven a temporary loss of trust in official data may be costly, with an economic impact many times the budgets of the agencies that report key indicators. 052
Reposted by Erica GroshenOpinion Today @opiniontoday.bsky.social · 04/05/2026Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the BLS budget — @nickbloom.bsky.social @ericagroshen.bsky.social Duncan Hobbs @michaelrstrain.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35135nber.orgThe Value of Reliable StatisticsFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an... 0159
Reposted by Erica GroshenMichael R Strain @michaelrstrain.bsky.social · 04/05/2026🚨New paper. 🧵Our baseline estimate implies that preserving trust in the integrity and quality of official statistics generates economic benefits of about $25 for every $1 spent on the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget. cc: @nickbloom.bsky.social, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #econsky 325790
Reposted by Erica GroshenBen Casselman @bencasselman.bsky.social · 03/04/2026Former BLS commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social tells me she views this budget "with alarm." If the cuts go through, she said, “What you lose there is first of all resilience and modernization" -- both of which are badly needed right now. 1245
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026BLS staffing is down 25% but they are now allowed to hire again. www.usajobs.gov/job/859334800 1184
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 01/03/2026Here's background about Friends of BLS www.friendsofbls.orgfriendsofbls.orgThe Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics 1182
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 10/02/2026On the nomination of Brett Matsumoto as BLS commissioner, #CornellILR senior economics advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social says: "I was happy to see that we’re getting someone who has a strong professional record and knows BLS from the inside."news.bloomberglaw.comTrump’s BLS Pick to Contend With Leadership Vacuum, Staff LossesPresident Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics will go up against critical leadership gaps and staffing shortages that threaten the agency’s role in informing economic policy. 111
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 09/02/2026#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says New York's effort to track AI-related layoffs is a start, but argues employers should be required to share more detailed data on changing skills and occupations so workers can navigate transitions, rather than simply labeling job losses as caused by AI.wired.comNo Company Has Admitted to Replacing Workers With AI in New YorkNew York state has required companies to disclose if “technological innovation or automation” was the cause of job loss for nearly a year. So far, none has. 1115
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 06/02/2026Bad news today. The administration finalized a plan to remove civil service protections from about 50,000 federal workers, with no exemption for statistical or scientific agency personnel. This erodes protection of those agencies from political influence. www.govexec.com/workforce/20... #econskygovexec.comTrump admin moves to finalize return of Schedule FOfficials estimate that around 50,000 federal workers will be stripped of their civil service protections beginning in around a month, as unions, employee associations and good government groups decry... 910675
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 05/02/2026When the #jobsreport is released on Wed. significant shifts in the jobs benchmarks are anticipated. The Friends of BLS has issued a statement outlining what to expect and the reasons why. Don't fall for uninformed overreactions! www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026... #econskyfriendsofbls.orgAnnual Revisions for BLS Jobs Numbers Expected To Be Downward: The Causes Explained — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe Friends of BLS have authored an explanation for the causes for the annual revisions of the BLS Jobs Numbers. You can access the document here . 33310
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 02/02/2026Erica Groshen (@ericagroshen.bsky.social), senior labor market advisor at #CornellILR, said she supports the selection of Brett Matsumoto as the new commissioner, explaining: “He’s a B.L.S.-er, he’s a data nerd.” Read more via @nytimes.com: www.nytimes.com/2026/01/30/b...nytimes.comTrump Names ‘Data Nerd’ to Lead Labor Statistics Agency 011
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 04/02/20261. On Brett Matsumoto's Nomination for BLS Commissioner www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2026... 172
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/01/2026JOB OPENING Seattle's Office of Labor Standards is hiring a Data Strategist to lead data and policv work related to “gig economy” and serve on their policy team. Learn more and apply here. www.governmentjobs.com/careers/seat... Position closes on 1/27. #econskygovernmentjobs.comData StrategistThe City of Seattle is a leader on wage, labor, and workforce practices that enhance equity, address wage gaps, and create a fair and healthy economy for workers, businesses, and residents. The Office... 155
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 03/01/2026Please join me and my colleagues for this fun session! 041
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 01/01/2026New statement from Friends of BLS: "Some controversy...erupted on Dec. 30 following release of a highly informative Q&A that addressed how [BLS] estimated the Nov. 2025 CPI. We..find no reason to see the hand of politics anywhere in the Bureau’s CPI work..." www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...friendsofbls.orgCo-Chairs of the Friends of BLS Statement on the CPI Estimates for November 2025 — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsMany of the Friends of BLS follow the Bureau’s publications and press statements very closely. So do many who have not yet found the Friends but nevertheless value what BLS does, particularly in the a... 22410
Reposted by Erica GroshenDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 31/12/2025Livestreamed sessions from this weekend's American Economic Association annual gathering will be posted at www.aeaweb.org/conference/l...aeaweb.orgASSA 2026 Live-Streamed Sessions 053
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 30/12/202512/30/25: New info from #BLS on impact of #shutdown on #CPI data, including: How were Nov. indexes calculated? Why BLS chose carry-forward imputation? How missing Oct data will impact April 2026 rent & OER indexes? Statistical weighting changes made in 11/25? www.bls.gov/cpi/addition... #econsky 1159
Reposted by Erica GroshenEconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 21/11/2025Thank you all experts for explaining "why BLS can't just ask people whether they were unemployed in Oct for the household survey" to me And this one from Erika is a clear and definite one if you like a TLDR 0125
Reposted by Erica GroshenAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 21/11/2025Hey, #EconSky! The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics is here @usbls.bsky.social! bsky.app/profile/usbl... 919356
Reposted by Erica GroshenErika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 20/11/2025So great to see BLS back to work measuring and informing us about our large and dynamic economy. It’s a great institution full of dedicated civil servants deeply committed their mission. They have had a tough year, and everyone is covering for someone who left. I thank them all for their service. 316929
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 19/11/2025Revised Release Dates for BLS Data Products. www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...bls.govRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriationsRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations 041
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 18/11/2025#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social says that the unusual length of the government closure means that some data was not collected on schedule, creating potential gaps in the upcoming reports. Each economic series will be affected differently depending on how, when + from whom data was gathered.economictimes.indiatimes.comEconomic data is back following government reopening - here are the key events this weekUS economic data 2025: The U.S. government has reopened after its longest shutdown, paving the way for the release of critical economic data such as the September jobs report, CPI, PPI, and PCE. Key c... 032
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 18/11/2025Please join The Friends of BLS in welcoming BLSers back to their important work with gratitude for their skills and dedication. Link to the message: www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025... #econskyfriendsofbls.orgTo the BLS Staff from the Leadership of the Friends of BLS — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsWelcome back. On behalf of the Friends of BLS, we extend our deepest appreciation to each of you for your work this year. As you return from the recent government shutdown, we want to express this gra... 1238
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 17/11/2025Each economic data series will be affected differently by the shutdown, depending on how, when and from whom the data is collected, said @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economics advisor at #CornellILR. Still, expect the BLS and other agencies to prioritize Principal Federal Economic Indicators.cnn.comThe government is back open. Here’s what that means for economic data | CNN BusinessThe US government has reopened following its longest-ever shutdown, setting the stage for the eventual release of the gold-standard federal data that is crucial in analyzing the health and trajectory ... 323
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 14/11/2025#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economic advisor and former commissioner of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), advises against substituting private-sector data for official federal economic reports, underscoring the challenges facing policymakers and investors.fortune.comButchered jobs and inflation data may add fuel to the fire of uncertainty already blazing in the markets | FortuneA worldwide selloff accelerates as patchy U.S. data clouds the Fed’s next move, sending Wall Street tumbling and volatility surging into the end of the week. 162
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 14/11/2025Breaking news: The SEPTEMBER JOBS REPORT comes out on THURSDAY., Nov. 20. BLS will announce revised news release dates on this page as they become available. #econsky @aaronsojourner.org www.bls.gov/bls/2025-lap...bls.govRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriationsRevised news release dates following the 2025 lapse in appropriations 2229
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 13/11/2025The Friends of BLS FY26 Endorsement Letter awaits your organizational & individual signatures! We ask Congress for no less than the amount recommended by House appropriators: $714 million for FY26. Show your support today! docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... #econsky (Form for individuals in comments)docs.google.comFriends of BLS FY26 Endorsement Letter Organizational Sign-on FormNovember xx, 2025 The Honorable Susan Collins, Chair Senate Appropriations Committee Washington, DC 20510 The Honorable Tom Cole, Chair House Appropriations Committee Washington, DC 20515 The Honora... 142
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 12/11/2025Wondering when you'll get your #BLS data?? The Friends of BLS have posted an FAQ about the impact of the shutdown on #BLSdata: www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025... #econsky @aaronsojourner.org @betseystevenson.bsky.social @justinwolfers.bsky.social @jasonfurman.bsky.social @jedkolko.bsky.socialfriendsofbls.org2025 Government Shutdown FAQs on BLS Data — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe Friends of BLS The 2025 Government Shutdown and BLS Data: Questions & Answers How will the government shutdown, which may be over by the time you read this, affect BLS data? F... 15029
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 12/11/2025The #FriendsofBLS has posted FAQs which explain what is likely to happen with reagrd to BLS data collection and releases. both during and after the shutdown. www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...friendsofbls.org2025 Government Shutdown FAQs on BLS Data — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsThe Friends of BLS The 2025 Government Shutdown and BLS Data: Questions & Answers How will the government shutdown, which may be over by the time you read this, affect BLS data? F... 163
Reposted by Erica GroshenCOPAFS @copafs.bsky.social · 27/10/2025On Oct 23, the #FriendsofBLS hosted a webinar featuring @ericagroshen.bsky.social, @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social and Bill Beach giving an update on BLS and #FriendsofBLS activities as well as issuing a call to action. www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...friendsofbls.orgVIDEO: Friends of BLS Member Webinar - Oct 2025 — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor StatisticsOn Thursday, October 23, 2025, the Friends of BLS hosted a webinar featuring three former BLS Commissioners: Erika McEntarfer, Bill Beach, and Erica Groshen. The webinar gives an update o... 022
Reposted by Erica GroshenEconReporter @econreporter.bsky.social · 25/10/2025Just realized.... BLS's CPI Q&A page recently added an answer on "Is tipping included in the CPI?" the answer is quite detailed!! 142
Reposted by Erica GroshenJulia Angwin @juliaangwin.com · 25/10/2025Come work with me! I'm hiring a data scientist to join me at @harvardkennedy.bsky.social @shorensteinctr.bsky.social careers.harvard.edu/job/senior-d...careers.harvard.eduSenior Data and Network Scientist 35631
Reposted by Erica GroshenSara @ms-theman.bsky.social · 23/10/2025"We're being thrown back into the late 19th century." - @ericagroshen.bsky.social on going without federal statistics during the shutdown Join the Friends of BLS - www.friendsofbls.org/join - and help us advocate for funding and modernization of federal statistics. Save-Our-Stats #EconSkyfriendsofbls.orgJoin — The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics 23014
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 13/10/2025#CornellILR senior econ. advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social says private-sector alternatives to government jobs data "can't fully substitute, because they just don't have the breadth, the transparency, the historical track record data that really allows you to compare current conditions to the past."qz.comAlternatives to the monthly jobs report during the government shutdownEconomists are seeking alternatives while the government shutdown has the monthly jobs report on ice. We asked former BLS chiefs what they watch 032
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 09/10/2025In a discussion at the Cato Institute, @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #CornellILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, comments on the importance of the trustability of statistical agencies, revisions to jobs numbers under the Obama administration, and more. 031
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 09/10/2025“Private data are very useful complements — they can be more timely and give you granularity — but they’re also fundamentally dependent on federal data,” said #CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social. “Data has to be re-weighted to represent everyone, and that weighting is based on federal data.”washingtonpost.comThe government isn’t releasing economic data. Private firms are stepping in.The government shutdown has prompted private firms to release their own economic data, filling a gap left by the absence of official figures. 045
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 06/10/2025#CornellILR's @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior labor market advisor and former BLS commissioner, cautions that unreliable or unavailable government data complicates economic decision-making during periods of economic slowdown and uncertainty.france24.comUS delays key jobs report due to government shutdownThe United States suspended the publication of a key employment report Friday as a partial government shutdown entered its third day, casting a fog over the health of the world's biggest economy. 134
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 03/10/2025“Without today’s jobs report and next week’s scheduled inflation release, the Federal Reserve, U.S. treasury, financial markets, businesses and households will be flying blind,” said @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #CornellILR senior economics advisor and former BLS commissioner.theguardian.comUS ‘flying blind’ at critical moment for economy, experts warn, with no jobs data amid shutdownData was collected for closely-watched jobs report before shutdown, but Trump officials so far defy calls to publish it 143
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 02/10/2025The White House has withdrawn its nomination of E.J. Antoni to lead the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). @ericagroshen.bsky.social, senior economics advisor at #CornellILR and former BLS commissioner, provided expert commentary: 052
Reposted by Erica GroshenWashington Center for Equitable Growth @equitablegrowth.bsky.social · 03/10/20252/ Bureau of Labor Statistics data inform spending, investment, and location decisions. Former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social cautions that BLS disruptions could stall choices and raise risks for U.S. households, firms, and the wider economy. 131
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 03/10/2025#CornellILR senior econ. advisor @ericagroshen.bsky.social—who was BLS commissioner from 2013-2017—says that “it’s a particularly fraught time because of the economic conditions right now.” Following a 16-day shutdown in 2013, BLS released info when the govt was back up & running, Groshen explains.motherjones.comThe shutdown means no jobs data—conveniently for Trump"To lose this source of data at this critical time, it's just a real problem." 012
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 01/10/2025#CornellILR senior economics advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social said the president’s next pick for BLS commissioner “needs to be up to a difficult job.”ft.comDonald Trump pulls ally EJ Antoni’s nomination to lead statistics agencyWhite House also drops bid to name Brian Quintenz as chair of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission 031
Reposted by Erica GroshenCornell ILR School @cornellilr.bsky.social · 01/10/2025“It’s another obstacle being thrown in their path,” said @ericagroshen.bsky.social, #CornellILR senior labor market advisor and former Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner, about the potential impact of a federal government shutdown on the bureau’s efforts to hire new staff. 092
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 24/09/2025Here's a new GAO report on the federal statistical system's need to modernize and adapt to a rapidly changing data landscape--based on a forum GAO held in 2024 with experts and stakeholders. #econsky www.gao.gov/products/gao...gao.gov 1146
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 24/09/202512 Senators want to know the Administration's plans for federal #statistics by 10/6. “The integrity of America’s #economicdata is fundamental to our economic prosperity and global leadership – it is not a partisan issue...” www.banking.senate.gov/imo/media/do... #econskybanking.senate.gov 35615
Erica Groshen @ericagroshen.bsky.social · 22/09/2025Yeah for transparency! I hear that staffing in CPI is down by 30%--a loss of some of their most experienced staff. That means BLS has less ability to keep to deadlines when a glitch happens. Modernization, generally a very good thing, is prone to glitches. 2237
Reposted by Erica GroshenDavid Wessel @davidmwessel.bsky.social · 20/09/2025No need to distort the data. Just don't collect it: Trump administration cancels an annual USDA survey on food insecurity. “This nonstatutory report became overly politicized ...was unnecessary to carry out the work of the Department,” a USDA spokesman said. www.wsj.com/economy/trum...wsj.comExclusive | Trump Administration Cancels Annual Hunger SurveyThe government has been measuring food insecurity since the mid-1990s, but now says the report has become “overly politicized.” 1315670