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Tony Yates

@t0nyyates.bsky.social
35K followers 1.9K following 30K posts

Economist. Ex Prof / central banker. Macro, politics, money, central banks, finance, Brexit, covid, AI, climbing, MUFC, Blueskyism. Don't have a podcast.

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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 3m
Excellent stuff. I loved this idiotic quote from Gruber. What does he think replies are for if they are not for repliers 'shoving their views' in them?
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Rebecca Spang @rlspang.bsky.social · 2h
And I am similarly eager to read Kim Bowes's _Surviving Rome_ press.princeton.edu/books/hardco...
press.princeton.edu
Surviving Rome
A radical revision—and worker’s-eye view—of everything we thought we knew about the ancient Roman economy
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Isaiah Bishop @isaiahbishop.bsky.social · 3h
This is the good stuff
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 3h
We lose 2-0. Atletico have made a great start to their season. Ours has been terrible.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 4h
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 5h
Yep
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 5h
Great!
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 5h
Come on Roland, your country needs you
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 6h
Johnson explaining why people should vote Democrat
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David Higham @oldtrotter.bsky.social · 6h
Just wait until Matt learns about the third Baron Stanley of Alderley. Personally I think it’s an example of both integration and democracy but I have this nagging doubt that that’s the answer Matt wants.
Matt Goodwin 
New Labour MP Sagal Abdi-Wali swore the oath of
allegiance on the Quran, NOT the Bible.
She is also the first Somali refugee to become an MP.
What do you think about this?
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 6h
Establishment of MI5 in 1909
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 6h
Would need to be a kind of Ken character but having pumped iron to excess.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 6h
Love it!
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Katie Martin @katie0martin.ft.com · 7h
hahahah #fail
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 6h
His best chance is to support Ukraine so that Russia gives up and pulls out of Ukrainian territory. The fighting would stop at that point, even if a formal peace could not be concluded. Trump doesn't want to do that. Maybe because he has a personal animus against Zelensky.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 7h
Maybe those who saw Russian sponsored pro Brexit material spoke to their friends and family. Maybe if it had been known for certain during the campaign that Russia was keen for Brexit to win and was using these tactics it would have discredited the Brexit campaign. Maybe it had no effect at all.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 7h
Having to avoid insulting the Dear Leader, who can't countenance that he might be losing a race in a formerly solid red state, harms the campaign and makes losing more likely.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 7h
In a close race, he ought surely to be trying to encourage GOP voters to turn up. Implying that it's not close and they will win easily as per usual isn't going to help.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 7h
It's also not appropriate to say that there's no evidence to suggest the vote was swayed. There is also no evidence - using this language - to suggest it wasn't swayed. It's an impossible thing to determine.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 7h
This guy is not really qualified to assess whether the Brexit vote was swayed or not. He should point out that that is outside his expertise and is a social scientific not a security question. www.theguardian.com/politics/liv...
theguardian.com
MI5 chief Ken McCallum confirms Russia did interfere in Brexit referendum but says it had little impact – UK politics live
He argued there was no evidence to suggest the result of the Brexit vote had been swayed as a result of the effort
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
This is a good one. Yep, you don't need to lower expected future short term risk free rates. You can try to lower premia in longer term govt bond yields [or buy private assets]. Just wanted to concentrate on Woodford's contribution here.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
Taylor rule fanatic here
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
Not a new observation but it's grim how the women that make it into Trump's circle are all filtered through those MAGA beauty criteria, revealing the ideology at work.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
'utter gibberish'... it's like being back at the BoE and writing for MPC clients again.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
I guess not, [because the consequences are the same] except in so far as we think of them as victims or perpetrators.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
As always, some great comments under my piece about Woodford's Nobel. www.ft.com/content/0c82...
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
Time for the annual tale of the IMF-central bank field meetings. where the IMF ask about the [eg] UK forecast, and the [eg] UK forecast team ask about the IMF world forecast [which is being constructed using all the other country forecasts as an input] so they can do their UK forecast which
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ChrisO_wiki @chriso-wiki.bsky.social · 9h
"Ukraine decided to bomb the shit out of the server facility and now I've lost 2 TB of rare ass porn that I've been saving mostly over the past 2 years." 😢
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
I think it's always hard to tell whether their views generally change and pickle in the juice, or if it's about manufacturing clicks and reach given the audience they find themselves in.
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Colin @colin-fraser.net · 9h
rip bozo
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 8h
Just want to point out that so far as @columnist.bsky.social and I are aware there has been no Russian interference in the organisation of the Emergency Brexit Drinks, yet.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 9h
This is not a debate about what films you watch or which cricket team you support.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 9h
Yep this is a precursor to Jenrick's Nazi Deportation Command creating a national paint chart list and determining a hierarchy of citizenship, with different rights depending on how white you are.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 9h
good analogy
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 12h
Is t this just the mundane fact of aircon being OTT and highly variable
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Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 12h
Last night the BBC’s Newsnight booked the former spokesperson to a war criminal to call UK PM Andy Burnham a liar about Russian interference in the Brexit vote: Putin mouthpiece Sergei Markov. What was he supposed to say? Yeah, hands up, you got us.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 12h
Also read (in your feed?) that it might threaten the Russian banking system which would be the biggest deal.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
16 signed up, just under 20% are Jones’
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
Russia speaks with authority here, being experts at blatant violations of international law.
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Twlldun @twlldun.bsky.social · 13h
Is this good y/n
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Mark Wallace @wallaceme.bsky.social · 13h
Small children and uncontacted tribes in the Amazon would pause and think better of shaking hands on any sort of deal with Vladimir Putin. Yet Trump falls for Putin’s lies again and again, whenever they suit his agenda or his self-image. My @theipaper.com column: inews.co.uk/opinion/trum...
inews.co.uk
Trump's ultimate humiliation - being ignored by Putin
Mark Wallace: The US President loves a deal. Russia's leader knows how to exploit that
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Sir Almaviva @ilcontealmaviva.bsky.social · 12/10/2026
Also the language is despicable: the "danger to Britain's [...] social fabric" of allowing immigrants and their relatives to settle? Extremely inflammatory and irresponsible language. You can feel that the writer barely considers care workers (and immigrants) as human beings.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
Great! Yes, same venue.
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
I've just had 3 quick replies from people called Jones. Come on you lot, you have got to keep up with the Jones'!
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
Well yes, but I'd really love it if we could also get rid of 'immigration=bad'
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
It is frankly odd that Thornberry is implying that it would be desirable or productive to approach the EU with 'can we rejoin but maybe without freedom of movement?' How do we think they would respond to that?
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AJ 🦋 @andjamwar.uk · 15h
Novgorod Nige never changes
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 13h
Yep you need to open your DMs. Time is 7pm.
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Joshua Livestro @joshualivestro.bsky.social · 14h
When you find yourself debating what’s the “most humane” way of killing a person, it’s time to go see a psychiatrist
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Tony Yates @t0nyyates.bsky.social · 14h
Good point!
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