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Suz Tolwinski-Ward

@suztw.bsky.social
1.9K followers 293 following 30 posts

Fighting the evils of climatic nonstationarity. (On risk quantification.... gotta pick yer best battlefield, ya know?)

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Reposted by Suz Tolwinski-Ward
Michael Clemens @mclem.org · 12/09/2026
The US President's new proposal to tax international students has been approved by the White House for release this week. It's an unprecedented $100,000 tax on int'l grads who stay to work after graduation on Optional Practical Training (most grads do), a crucial bridge to remaining by any channel.
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Sean Carroll @seanmcarroll.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
If I understand this, two mathematicians (one at Anthropic) combined a great deal of human effort with LLM input to come close to a famous problem, showing that the Navier-Stokes equations of fluid mechanics developed singularities. But someone from OpenAI might have peeked at their ChatGPT logs...
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 01/07/2025
What a beautiful visualization!
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Reposted by Suz Tolwinski-Ward
Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 31/05/2025
Huge opportunity to try to reach Weather Channel viewers on the importance of supporting the science their reporting depends upon?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Familiar with use of dropsonds in TCs… assume these are dropped by drones? What’re the little stick thingies in the styro cups actually measuring?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
High-level explanation of a hailsonde for civilian science fan?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 31/05/2025
Dooope. Is raw data available to public? Or I gotta wait?!?
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ICECHIP @nsficechip.bsky.social · 30/05/2025
On Thursday, the #ICECHIP teams performed an impressive hail sampling effort on a storm to the south of Lubbock, Texas. Hail reports from our teams can always be found here on our website: icechip.niu.edu/reports/
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cira-csu.bsky.social @cira-csu.bsky.social · 17/05/2025
Simply incredible satellite imagery of a dust storm hitting Chicago this evening.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 19/05/2025
This is hella cool!
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 14/04/2025
This all-out assault is just relentless….
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 15/03/2025
Brewing tornados and wildfires… potential for a real expensive few days, according to @walkerashley.bsky.social. Stay safe, folks.
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Mónica C. Camacho @mc2x.bsky.social · 08/02/2025
This profile has been scrubbed from the site. Rose Ferreira grew up without reliable electricity, immigrated to NY, then survived homelessness and cancer on her way to NASA. She was so moved by images from the Webb telescope she wept. This is what’s at stake web.archive.org/web/20231206...
web.archive.org
NASA Intern Found Hope in the Moon - NASA
Lee esta historia en español aquí
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Prof. Sonia I Seneviratne @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social · 12/11/2024
Here is another #Bluesky starter pack with scientists who were involved in the @ipcc.bsky.social #AR6 reports (with a likely WGI bias). Please let me know if I missed you! go.bsky.app/Erpq9Sq @valmasdel.bsky.social @edhawkins.org @glenpeters.bsky.social @lisaschipper.bsky.social
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Bob Kopp @bobkopp.net · 31/01/2025
My wish for the future: 1) government data sets receive DOIs and 2) data.gov facilitates automatic mirroring of the entire archive.
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Michael Tippett 🎃 @mktippett.bsky.social · 02/12/2024
Tenure track positions in Natural Hazards Modeling at Lehigh University’s Center for Catastrophe Modeling and Resilience academicjobsonline.org/ajo/jobs/29144
academicjobsonline.org
Lehigh University, Research
Full service online faculty recruitment and application management system for academic institutions worldwide. We offer unique solutions tailored for academic communities.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 12/01/2025
You gotta teach me how to wrangle these interwebs like this. So— in the end, did you get anything out of AGU via this method?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
I dont understand your implicit connection between public availability and capacity for building/operationalizing…
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
We are working toward full-scale climate cat models quite hard in my organization. Lots of exciting progress but the ultimate goal of unified risk view everywhere is still many years away.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Exactly why (at least at the company I work for) we dont spend nearly as the resources on projections of risk! Can only provide physically plausible and scientifically reasonable sketches, but the sci uncertainty is too huge to validate.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
@adamsobel.bsky.social took a stab at this about a decade ago. But it didn’t take off—- because who’s to be the arbiter of model quality?? Other than proven use over time…
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 10/01/2025
Some of it is publicly available. I am always astounded that nobody outside the modeling companies who purports to be interested in building cat models ever looks at it, or what the required exhibits are….
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Reposted by Suz Tolwinski-Ward
Doug McNeall @dougmcneall.bsky.social · 11/11/2024
Repost this if you’re old enough to remember when they tried to convince us that “global warming stopped in 2008” (or whenever).
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Randall Munroe @xkcd.com · 05/11/2024
Probabilistic Uncertainty xkcd.com/3007
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 28/10/2024
Oooooh, aaaah. …But what differentiates it? (And did we need another better one and I just haven’t known about that?)
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 22/10/2024
Thanks!
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Julie Patton Lawson @srfrjulie.bsky.social · 02/10/2024
Incredible photo via Potomac Riverkeeper today (credit: Nathan Hitt) of the Shenandoah River, muddy with polluted runoff from Helene, meeting the Potomac at Harper’s Ferry.
Aerial photo of the Shenandoah and Potomac rivers converging. Green tree-covered hill on the left, the town of Harper’s Ferry in the middle. Two bridges cross the water. The Shenandoah on the left is murky brown; the Potomac is green-blue. A sharp line between them.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 01/10/2024
A time series trace is worth a thousand words…
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Brian McNoldy @bmcnoldy.bsky.social · 27/09/2024
#Helene made landfall ~11pm Thursday night in the Big Bend area of Florida as a Category 4 hurricane and as of 5am Friday is centered over central Georgia. Significant impacts from rain, tornadoes, and strong winds will continue over the next 1-2 days. www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 26/09/2024
“As the prospect of a major hurricane menaces much of Florida, a quick reminder: Under Project 2025, that controversial right-wing blueprint for a GOP-led national government, the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration would be dismantled” www.miamiherald.com/opinion/edit...
miamiherald.com
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 25/09/2024
Thanks @scottstgeorge.paleohydrology.com !
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 25/09/2024
Please let me know if you learn anything new or if anything surprises you!!!
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 25/09/2024
Wow! how often is RI forecast, and when it is, how’s that skill? (Of course on “the outside” we mostly hear about RI materializing in the absence of it being forecast.) also: are RI forecasts based entirely on statistical models, or dynamical ones as well these days?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 25/09/2024
(Printed out and on top of my pile!)
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Mika Rantanen @mikarantane.bsky.social · 06/09/2024
Such a warm summer in Europe would have been practically impossible in pre-industrial times. Under the SSP2-4.5 scenario, a summer like 2024 will be unusually cold in 2100.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 24/09/2024
How is it we’re so sure even before TD status in this case? (Btw: big fan of yours and one of a zillion folks loving/obsessing over your OHC plots— thanks for those)
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 13/09/2024
Thx K!
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Katharine Hayhoe @katharinehayhoe.com · 07/09/2024
In which YouTube personalities were paid $100,000 per video to generate fake content while I, a real climate scientist, supported the development of my PBS Global Weirding YouTube series on real climate content out of my own pocket resulting in a net $ loss. You can’t make these things up.
cbsnews.com
U.S. says Russia funded media company that paid right-wing influencers millions for videos
The Justice Department charged two Russian nationals who worked for RT, a media outlet funded and controlled by the Russian government.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 12/09/2024
Lolz!
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 12/09/2024
Epic. I can’t get enough :) www.nytimes.com/2024/09/11/o...
nytimes.com
Opinion | A Debate Recap With Song, Dance and Joseph Gordon-Levitt
The debate analysis you didn’t know you needed.
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 05/09/2024
Also…. High impact (or prestige) and difference in publication speeds are literal differences, contradicting your earlier argument!
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 05/09/2024
Sections of an overarching journal sounds again like multiple journals :)
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Kate Marvel @drkatemarvel.bsky.social · 04/09/2024
can you believe we used to make solar energy by letting plants convert sunlight to sugar, waiting a couple hundred million years, digging them up, and setting them on fire
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 26/08/2024
#4!
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 18/08/2024
Can you give a bit more color for those of us waiting with baited breath since your piece in March for an update in August?
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Suz Tolwinski-Ward @suztw.bsky.social · 18/08/2024
Thx @kellyhereid.bsky.social! Needed to follow up on @climateofgavin.bsky.social’s recent paper about anomalous 2023 temps now that it’s August, looked on twitter and got redirected here…. Annnnnd I’m back. Thanks for the starter pack, rebuilding sucks!
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