Abstract. On 21 November 2024, there was an extreme event within the Bothnian Bay, a sub-basin of the Baltic Sea, when a record low sea level of −153 cm was measured at Kemi, at the northern end of th...

Addressing the debate about global warming acceleration, this study identifies key regions that underwent recent warming shifts. Results show that regional warming speed-ups vary in timing from the 19...

The variability atlas: how internal climate variability affects the estimation of climate extreme indices, Brunner, Lukas, Mithal, Vidur, Borchert, Leonard F, Sillmann, Jana, Poschlod, Benjamin

El Niño saavuttaa huippunsa marras-joulukuussa. Ilmiön vaikutukset näkyvät pitkälle ensi kevääseen saakka.

Mikäli kausiennuste toteutuu, vesisateet pysyvät loitolla ja Suomessa saadaan nauttia todennäköisesti talvisista olosuhteista ensi talvena.

Professor/Associate or Assistant Professor, Meteorology

Professor/Associate or Assistant Professor, Meteorology

Maailman säitä myllertävä El Niño vahvistuu loppuvuoteen asti. Suomessa se voi nostaa suklaan ja kahvin hintaa.

A method combining extreme event attribution with epidemiological models shows that extreme heat-related mortality events in Southern Europe are 26.5 times more likely than in pre-industrial times, wi...

Children are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts and will face intensifying effects of climate change during their lifetimes. Here, we show that children already face disproportionate ex...

When climate changes, statistics derived from past observations become unrepresentative of the true present climate. In 2008, Räisänen and Ruokolainen proposed a method for alleviating this bias, comb...

Nature Geoscience - Uncertain internal variability in Arctic warming

A powerful cyclone has hit Latvia and Lithuania, leaving two people dead and more than half a million without electricity.

Recent surface warming and top-of-atmosphere energy imbalance point to higher future warming than previously estimated Previous constraints on transient climate response using observed surface te...

Rare heat summers today (with ≈ 100-year return period) show a different evolution of sub-seasonal temperatures than similarly rare summers in pre-industrial climate. Faster drying of soils in cu...

Abstract. The June 2026 heatwave established a new benchmark for early-summer heat in Germany, producing the highest temperatures observed since instrumental records began and culminating in a new pro...

Abstract. We present here ATDT (Attribution Tool for Daily-to-monthly Temperatures), a method for quantifying the effect of climate change on local daily mean, maximum and minimum temperatures as well...