Reposted by Stephen EvansAndrew Carter @andrewcities.bsky.social · 28/09/2026www.ft.com/content/78ec...ft.comPost-Covid economic inactivity was much lower than thought, ONS saysFindings come days after agency said UK productivity grew twice as fast as estimated after global financial crisis 001
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Turns out employment rate is probably (we don't know) what we thought. But might (not sure) be falling after post-Covid recovery, rather than flatlining. Difficult when people won't respond to surveys, ONS working hard on admin sources. But this does make life tricker! www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Good news & something we've long argued for. 1 in 4 NEETs receives incapacity benefits. Hopefully some access will also be opened to young people not on benefits (the other 50% of NEETs) who've been NEET for some time, when referred by a trusted body like a local authority.feweek.co.ukJobs guarantee scheme to be expanded to disabled young peopleLabour expects ‘thousands’ on health benefits to take up subsidised jobs 175
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 25/09/2026A productive day already as the nightmare of last years queue is forgotten and Oasis tickets for next year are secured! Now to try and find a hotel… 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026"The best firms know that investing in their people is what separates those who adapt from those who get left behind." Great to see our new report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org in @peoplemanagement.bsky.social with a quote from L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social. 🗞️peoplemanagement.co.ukL&D spending dropped by a third since 2011, research findsExperts warn reduced investment and shorter training could make addressing skills gaps harder 102
Reposted by Stephen EvansTom Richmond @tom-richmond.com · 24/09/2026So, Vocational GCSEs, eh? If you think that something about this announcement feels eerily familiar, you're in good company. Time for a quick history lesson.... My new post on LinkedIn: lnkd.in/p/eJVMzP-S 202
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Is it just me or did we not do this (applied GCSEs) in the 2000s? May or may not be a good idea, but creating a new qualification is never (on its own) the answer people seem to think it is.thetimes.comNew digital tech and business GCSEs to ‘prepare teenagers for work’Vocational courses in construction and child development could be introduced as early as 2029 as ministers aim to give hands-on learning parity with academia 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansJonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 22/09/2026We're not quite as useless as we thought, just a bit lazier. Me on the ONS productivity revisions. ukandeu.ac.uk/britains-pro...ukandeu.ac.ukBritain’s productivity disaster was real—but not quite as disastrous as we thought - UK in a changing EuropeJonathan Portes explains why the ONS updated its productivity estimates for the period between 2009 and 2019 from 0.7 per cent to 1.3 per cent and what this change actually means for the UK economy. 75016
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I'm sure numbers will ramp up somewhat. But foundation apprenticeships are not actually apprenticeships & have always felt like a solution in search of a problem. We do need good pre-apprenticeship training mind you - whole apprenticeship system needs getting back on track.theguardian.comOnly 160 apprenticeship starts in eight months on Labour’s flagship schemeExclusive: Government warned ‘skills revolution’ at risk amid slow start to project with target of 30,000 starts by end of parliament 141
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026"Headline stability in the job stats masks two underlying and related challenges." Read L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social's comment on today's labour market stats in @personneltoday.bsky.social: www.personneltoday.com/hr/uk-labour... And @fenews.bsky.social: www.fenews.co.uk/fe-voices/on...personneltoday.comLabour market: Vacancies fall to five-year lowUK labour market fragility persists as official figures estimate vacancies have fallen to their lowest level since April 2026. 001
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Our labour market briefing is now live. 🔴 Discover our analysis of the latest labour market stats from ONS. ⬇️ #Employment #LabourMarketlearningandwork.org.ukLabour Market Briefing: September 2026 - Learning and Work InstituteOur analysis of the ONS labour market statistics, released on the morning of 15 September 2026. 001
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026The Times has reported that the Government is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for the first rule breach. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/... 🗞️ We evaluated a previous trial in 2018 looking at its effectiveness. ⬇️learningandwork.org.ukJobseeker’s Allowance: Sanctions Early Warning Trial - Learning and Work InstituteIn April 2016, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) commissioned Learning and Work Institute (L&W) to conduct a qualitative research with DWP and Work Programme (WP) staff who had delivered a Jo... 012
Reposted by Stephen EvansLouise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 15/09/2026DWP has just published a flurry of new data on how PIP and UC-Health assessments are carried out (face-to-face or via phone, video or paper) and whether this impacts who gets awarded health-related benefits. Five takeaways 🧵 11814
Reposted by Stephen EvansIain Mansfield @igmansfield.bsky.social · 15/09/2026'Cold economic reality is about to intrude on the Burnham honeymoon when Healey delivers his first Budget next month.' Well worth a read. www.ft.com/content/59a0...ft.comBritain, Burnham and tax: the walls close inThe new prime minister wants a feelgood factor. But tax rises look all but inevitable — just to stay still 022
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026"The employment rate is relatively high by international standards, but risks trending in the wrong direction with 3.9 million people not in work but saying they want a job." ✍️ L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social comments on today's labour market stats from ONS.learningandwork.org.ukLabour market stats response, September 2026 - Learning and Work InstituteL&W's chief executive Stephen Evans responds to the latest labour market data from ONS. 111
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Fairly flat labour market data but two underpinning & linked challenges. First, job growth esp in sector like retail & hospitality (down 150k in a year) is struggling. International uncertainty won't help. Second, 1m young people are NEET and we need to do more than we are to help them. 0117
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 14/09/20261. Times reports Govt is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for first rule breach. We evaluated something similar in 2018. TLDR some small +ve benefits but also ignored by some claimants & staff concerned about admin burden. Doesn't mean a bad idea, does mean need to do it right!assets.publishing.service.gov.uk 123
Reposted by Stephen EvansDan Neidle @danneidle.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Universities UK wants the government to scrap employer National Insurance for everyone under 25. It doesn’t say what that would cost. Or how many jobs it would create. So we did the maths: £6–7bn a year, or £60-100k for every additional job. A 🧵 on dumb tax policy. 1110334
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Connect to Work isn't hitting the Government's expectations which it published in July (six weeks ago). Those expectations were revised down from previous ones published earlier in the year. It needs to work with local government (who are responsible in their areas) to ramp things up. 011
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026In June we found that Connect to Work (Govt's flagship programme to help disabled people into work) had only achieved 50% of what it's business case expected so far. In July the business case was reprofiled. But new stats today show delivery is short again! What's going on?! 135
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/20266% (42k) of 16-17 year olds in college are missing >50% of their classes (the measure used in schools). Good work by the Children's Commissioner to get this data. Not a huge %, but suggests we need to do more for those YP - are they really hidden NEET? That would double the 16-17 NEET pop. 110
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Looks like the Social Mobility Commission is to close with the civil servants transferring to Bridget Phillipson. Continues trend of bringing various functions (e.g. on apprenticeships) in house, but with no overall reduction in staff numbers as far as I can see).theguardian.comMinisters to put white working-class people in UK at heart of new equalities unitBridget Phillipson to announce creation of unit which will make class a key part of its equalities agenda 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Great in-person launch of our report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org today! 🚀 The report warns that the Govt’s plans to grow the economy risk falling short unless it takes action to reverse sharp falls in the training employees get at work. Find out more: learningandwork.org.uk/understandin... 011
Reposted by Stephen EvansJohn Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 08/09/2026Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results: 1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline. Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling. 41856343
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Fabulous to see England doing so well in PISA rankings for reading, science & maths. This is a genuine policy success story! England's scores have remained broadly flat, but that's better than others inc Scotland, Wales and NI. Need to keep going & also put same effort into adult essential skills 130
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026📢 New report shows employers are spending less on training, risking productivity. Proportion getting training has held up, but training is shorter. There's less jam, it's spread more thinly, and with H&S biggest reason for training given. 🧵👇 110
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026As ever, really thought provoking from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com . And a good accompaniment to catching up to @soumayakeynes.ft.com summer podcast with Nick Bloom on whether & how AI is affecting productivity. Great to have all these signals and parts of the picture in real time during this huge shift. 020
Reposted by Stephen EvansSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success. 451039254
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Really looking forward to our launch event on this tomorrow. Great panel including @andywestwood.bsky.social & other not on Bluesky (I think) panellists. Thread on this to come… 112
Reposted by Stephen EvansEd Conway @edconway.bsky.social · 03/09/2026✍️ The little holes in your bread are telling you something... 🟤How a lab in an obscure village in the south of England invented modern British bread. 🟤What all this has to do with economics. 🟤And why, technically, British bread might no longer be bread... edconway.substack.com/p/the-little...edconway.substack.comThe little holes in your bread are telling you somethingHow a Hertfordshire research lab quietly transformed an iconic British staple food, and the complexion of the countryside - without anyone actually noticing 22912
Reposted by Stephen EvansBen Zaranko @benzaranko.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Company insolvencies in England and Wales are still running at elevated levels. Presumably, higher interest rates are part of the reason why. Question: could this have something to do with the UK's apparent productivity rebound, if weaker firms are going under? 3183
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 24/08/2026This is such a good piece by @daisychristo.bsky.social . English and maths are NOT optional extras and we CAN do better - not easy, but necessary. Part of a great run of blogs on policy around this that are all well worth reading. substack.com/inbox/post/2...substack.comWhat should we do about the “forgotten third”?The importance of foundational skills 043
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 21/08/2026"I definitely say it's never too late to learn." Fantastic coverage of our 2025 #GetTheNationLearning Patron's Award winner Maddison Walker in BBC News for GCSE results day, highlighting the impact learning throughout life can have. "Your education belongs to you and nobody else."bbc.co.ukGrade gap between boys and girls narrowsThe overall pass rate has fallen slightly for the fifth year in a row - but top grades have edged up across England, Wales and Northern Ireland. 111
Reposted by Stephen EvansMel Bartley @zetkin.bsky.social · 21/08/2026And another important finding this time from 1970 British Birth Cohort cls.ucl.ac.uk/wp-content/u...cls.ucl.ac.uk 012
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 19/08/2026In BBC News, L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social highlights inequality in access to apprenticeships, saying you are "less likely to get one if you're from a working-class family". ⬇️🗞️ #Apprenticeships #Employmentbbc.co.ukCompetition for degree apprenticeships quadruples in three yearsThe popularity of degree apprenticeships has grown as the cost of university has come under increased scrutiny. 013
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Couple of key charts from our briefing, showing the falls in employment & vacancies in retail & hospitality, contrasting with a more positive / less negative picture in other areas, predominantly public services. A tale of two economies? 130
Reposted by Stephen EvansEmily Andrews @emilyishness.bsky.social · 04/08/2026Further scepticism on post-14 vocational education from @daisychristo.bsky.social. I, like her, became a teacher in 2007, but had forgotten the insanity of all kids being put through the European Computer Driving License to boost league table standings. substack.nomoremarking.com/p/the-proble...substack.nomoremarking.comThe problem with "parity of esteem"Vocational education at age 14 is not the answer 032
Reposted by Stephen EvansHannah Slaughter @hannahslaughter.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Today’s labour market statistics show that the decent GDP growth from the early summer isn’t (yet) translating into stronger employment and pay, which both remained fairly flat in the latest month. Our @resolutionfoundation.org thread from me and @louisemurphy.bsky.social 🧵... 2146
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026Relatively quiet set of labour market stats. But flat figures in context of 3.9m people out of work and say they want a job & 1m+ young people are NEET. Glass half full: labour market resilient given everything. Glass half empty: can't see improvements in underlying challenges coming anytime soon. 011
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026This seems genuinely good news. Bizarre that with 1m young people NEET, the Govt has to date not funded colleges for c25k young people on courses (they get lagged funding & Govt has said 'you've recruited too many, we don't have the £). Sounds like that's changing for next year. Good step forward.feweek.co.ukColleges given in-year growth funding ‘guarantee’ for 2026-27DfE promise is intended to give leaders 'confidence to offer post-16 places to all young people who want one' 050
Reposted by Stephen EvansAmy Borrett @amyborrett.ft.com · 11/08/2026📉 Long-term sickness may be smaller problem for the UK than previously thought, according to early estimates from the overhauled ONS jobs survey @financialtimes.com as.ft.com/r/25abc82a-7...as.ft.comLong-term sickness may be smaller problem for UK than thought, says ONSStatistics agency’s new labour market survey shows lower levels of economic inactivity due to ill health 021
Reposted by Stephen EvansPaul Bivand @paulbivand.bsky.social · 11/08/2026Good article. But, the ONS response rates chart starts too late, in 2015. Response rates had been falling for a long time, including a near 10% fall in 2010, mostly in 2nd-5th wave interviews (maybe survey cutbacks). 70% response in 2000, now back up to 25%. 031
Reposted by Stephen EvansSefydliad Dysgu a Gwaith | Learning and Work Institute @learnworkcymru.bsky.social · 11/08/2026📢 Have your say on Wales' future skills needs. L&W is undertaking a new Skills Audit for Wales on behalf of Welsh Government and is inviting employers, industry representatives, training providers and stakeholders to share their insights. 🗓️ Closes 25 September 2026 🔗 www.smartsurvey.co.uk/t/X10VS4/smartsurvey.co.ukWelsh Government: Skills Audit for WalesPlease take the time to complete our survey. Your feedback is important. 002
Reposted by Stephen EvansStephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 09/08/2026A must-read by @daisychristo.bsky.social:substack.nomoremarking.comSchools aren’t to blame for the NEET crisisWhen learning more doesn’t help you earn more 811530
Reposted by Stephen EvansJennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Final newsletter before I lie down in a darkened room Tried to explain the genesis of Burnham’s skills policy so far, including what it is and isn’t (I think) as.ft.com/r/bffeca37-3...as.ft.comThe Manchester roots of Andy Burnham’s skills revolutionAn early political dividing line on technical education risks obscuring the case for which he has long argued 37213
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 07/08/2026Interesting blog from the Bank of England (thanks to @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social @resolutionfoundation.org newsletter) on whether there's early signs of faster productivity growth in AI producing and AI using sectors. One to keep an eye on...bankunderground.co.ukIs artificial intelligence making us more productive? What the UK industry data showSandra Batten Unlike previous waves of automation, machine learning and generative AI (Gen AI) technologies can perform non-routine cognitive tasks, such as those involving written or spoken langua… 173
Reposted by Stephen EvansJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Anthropic's CEO says AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Victorian bootmakers suggest a different possibility. A story about sewing machines, economics, and why history can help us think more clearly about AI. newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/what-victo...newsletter.platypuseconomics.comWhat Bootmakers Can Teach Us About AIAnthropic's CEO warns AI could erase half of entry-level jobs. Victorian England suggests a different possibility. 25331101
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Sensible to iron out any falls in household income from a young person taking an apprenticeship (as always, devil in detail). But also need to double down on increasing high quality apprenticeships: you can't take up an apprenticeship that doesn't exist. 010
Reposted by Stephen EvansJennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 05/08/2026A bit from me on devo max and the outlines of an emerging question: what will councils be for? as.ft.com/r/731ed47f-f...as.ft.comAndy Burnham rewires the ‘unaccountable’ statePrime minister’s opening devolution gambit does not lack ambition 104013
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 05/08/2026Initial reflections. 1. Good to focus rather than have a laundry list. 2. Lots of this happens now but patchy. Need to support public bodies to do it well & monitor delivery. 3. Public procurement is huge so chance to drive change. But you do also need to deliver VfM for thing you're buying!ft.comUK to strip back procurement rules to focus on job creation, says Louise HaighAndy Burnham’s de facto deputy PM says requirements for businesses vying for Whitehall contracts will be streamlined 010