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Stephen Evans

@stephenevans.bsky.social
1.3K followers 394 following 832 posts

Chief Executive, Learning and Work Institute. Ex HMT, SMF and London government. Learning, skills, labour markets & public policy. Views my own.

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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Andrew Carter @andrewcities.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
www.ft.com/content/78ec...
ft.com
Post-Covid economic inactivity was much lower than thought, ONS says
Findings come days after agency said UK productivity grew twice as fast as estimated after global financial crisis
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Turns out employment rate is probably (we don't know) what we thought. But might (not sure) be falling after post-Covid recovery, rather than flatlining. Difficult when people won't respond to surveys, ONS working hard on admin sources. But this does make life tricker! www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan...
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
Good news & something we've long argued for. 1 in 4 NEETs receives incapacity benefits. Hopefully some access will also be opened to young people not on benefits (the other 50% of NEETs) who've been NEET for some time, when referred by a trusted body like a local authority.
feweek.co.uk
Jobs guarantee scheme to be expanded to disabled young people
Labour expects ‘thousands’ on health benefits to take up subsidised jobs
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
A productive day already as the nightmare of last years queue is forgotten and Oasis tickets for next year are secured! Now to try and find a hotel…
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
"The best firms know that investing in their people is what separates those who adapt from those who get left behind." Great to see our new report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org in @peoplemanagement.bsky.social with a quote from L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social. 🗞️
peoplemanagement.co.uk
L&D spending dropped by a third since 2011, research finds
Experts warn reduced investment and shorter training could make addressing skills gaps harder
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Tom Richmond @tom-richmond.com · 24/09/2026
So, Vocational GCSEs, eh? If you think that something about this announcement feels eerily familiar, you're in good company. Time for a quick history lesson.... My new post on LinkedIn: lnkd.in/p/eJVMzP-S
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
Is it just me or did we not do this (applied GCSEs) in the 2000s? May or may not be a good idea, but creating a new qualification is never (on its own) the answer people seem to think it is.
thetimes.com
New digital tech and business GCSEs to ‘prepare teenagers for work’
Vocational courses in construction and child development could be introduced as early as 2029 as ministers aim to give hands-on learning parity with academia
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Jonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
We're not quite as useless as we thought, just a bit lazier. Me on the ONS productivity revisions. ukandeu.ac.uk/britains-pro...
ukandeu.ac.uk
Britain’s productivity disaster was real—but not quite as disastrous as we thought - UK in a changing Europe
Jonathan Portes explains why the ONS updated its productivity estimates for the period between 2009 and 2019 from 0.7 per cent to 1.3 per cent and what this change actually means for the UK economy.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
I'm sure numbers will ramp up somewhat. But foundation apprenticeships are not actually apprenticeships & have always felt like a solution in search of a problem. We do need good pre-apprenticeship training mind you - whole apprenticeship system needs getting back on track.
theguardian.com
Only 160 apprenticeship starts in eight months on Labour’s flagship scheme
Exclusive: Government warned ‘skills revolution’ at risk amid slow start to project with target of 30,000 starts by end of parliament
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
"Headline stability in the job stats masks two underlying and related challenges." Read L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social's comment on today's labour market stats in @personneltoday.bsky.social: www.personneltoday.com/hr/uk-labour... And @fenews.bsky.social: www.fenews.co.uk/fe-voices/on...
personneltoday.com
Labour market: Vacancies fall to five-year low
UK labour market fragility persists as official figures estimate vacancies have fallen to their lowest level since April 2026.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Our labour market briefing is now live. 🔴 Discover our analysis of the latest labour market stats from ONS. ⬇️ #Employment #LabourMarket
learningandwork.org.uk
Labour Market Briefing: September 2026 - Learning and Work Institute
Our analysis of the ONS labour market statistics, released on the morning of 15 September 2026.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
The Times has reported that the Government is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for the first rule breach. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/... 🗞️ We evaluated a previous trial in 2018 looking at its effectiveness. ⬇️
learningandwork.org.uk
Jobseeker’s Allowance: Sanctions Early Warning Trial - Learning and Work Institute
In April 2016, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) commissioned Learning and Work Institute (L&W) to conduct a qualitative research with DWP and Work Programme (WP) staff who had delivered a Jo...
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Louise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
DWP has just published a flurry of new data on how PIP and UC-Health assessments are carried out (face-to-face or via phone, video or paper) and whether this impacts who gets awarded health-related benefits. Five takeaways 🧵
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Iain Mansfield @igmansfield.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
'Cold economic reality is about to intrude on the Burnham honeymoon when Healey delivers his first Budget next month.' Well worth a read. www.ft.com/content/59a0...
ft.com
Britain, Burnham and tax: the walls close in
The new prime minister wants a feelgood factor. But tax rises look all but inevitable — just to stay still
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
"The employment rate is relatively high by international standards, but risks trending in the wrong direction with 3.9 million people not in work but saying they want a job." ✍️ L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social comments on today's labour market stats from ONS.
learningandwork.org.uk
Labour market stats response, September 2026 - Learning and Work Institute
L&W's chief executive Stephen Evans responds to the latest labour market data from ONS.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
Fairly flat labour market data but two underpinning & linked challenges. First, job growth esp in sector like retail & hospitality (down 150k in a year) is struggling. International uncertainty won't help. Second, 1m young people are NEET and we need to do more than we are to help them.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
1. Times reports Govt is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for first rule breach. We evaluated something similar in 2018. TLDR some small +ve benefits but also ignored by some claimants & staff concerned about admin burden. Doesn't mean a bad idea, does mean need to do it right!
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Dan Neidle @danneidle.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Universities UK wants the government to scrap employer National Insurance for everyone under 25. It doesn’t say what that would cost. Or how many jobs it would create. So we did the maths: £6–7bn a year, or £60-100k for every additional job. A 🧵 on dumb tax policy.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
Connect to Work isn't hitting the Government's expectations which it published in July (six weeks ago). Those expectations were revised down from previous ones published earlier in the year. It needs to work with local government (who are responsible in their areas) to ramp things up.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026
In June we found that Connect to Work (Govt's flagship programme to help disabled people into work) had only achieved 50% of what it's business case expected so far. In July the business case was reprofiled. But new stats today show delivery is short again! What's going on?!
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
6% (42k) of 16-17 year olds in college are missing >50% of their classes (the measure used in schools). Good work by the Children's Commissioner to get this data. Not a huge %, but suggests we need to do more for those YP - are they really hidden NEET? That would double the 16-17 NEET pop.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/2026
Looks like the Social Mobility Commission is to close with the civil servants transferring to Bridget Phillipson. Continues trend of bringing various functions (e.g. on apprenticeships) in house, but with no overall reduction in staff numbers as far as I can see).
theguardian.com
Ministers to put white working-class people in UK at heart of new equalities unit
Bridget Phillipson to announce creation of unit which will make class a key part of its equalities agenda
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Great in-person launch of our report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org today! 🚀 The report warns that the Govt’s plans to grow the economy risk falling short unless it takes action to reverse sharp falls in the training employees get at work. Find out more: learningandwork.org.uk/understandin...
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
John Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 08/09/2026
Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results: 1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline. Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
Fabulous to see England doing so well in PISA rankings for reading, science & maths. This is a genuine policy success story! England's scores have remained broadly flat, but that's better than others inc Scotland, Wales and NI. Need to keep going & also put same effort into adult essential skills
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
📢 New report shows employers are spending less on training, risking productivity. Proportion getting training has held up, but training is shorter. There's less jam, it's spread more thinly, and with H&S biggest reason for training given. 🧵👇
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
As ever, really thought provoking from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com . And a good accompaniment to catching up to @soumayakeynes.ft.com summer podcast with Nick Bloom on whether & how AI is affecting productivity. Great to have all these signals and parts of the picture in real time during this huge shift.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026
New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 07/09/2026
Really looking forward to our launch event on this tomorrow. Great panel including @andywestwood.bsky.social & other not on Bluesky (I think) panellists. Thread on this to come…
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Ed Conway @edconway.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
✍️ The little holes in your bread are telling you something... 🟤How a lab in an obscure village in the south of England invented modern British bread. 🟤What all this has to do with economics. 🟤And why, technically, British bread might no longer be bread... edconway.substack.com/p/the-little...
edconway.substack.com
The little holes in your bread are telling you something
How a Hertfordshire research lab quietly transformed an iconic British staple food, and the complexion of the countryside - without anyone actually noticing
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Ben Zaranko @benzaranko.bsky.social · 03/09/2026
Company insolvencies in England and Wales are still running at elevated levels. Presumably, higher interest rates are part of the reason why. Question: could this have something to do with the UK's apparent productivity rebound, if weaker firms are going under?
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 24/08/2026
This is such a good piece by @daisychristo.bsky.social . English and maths are NOT optional extras and we CAN do better - not easy, but necessary. Part of a great run of blogs on policy around this that are all well worth reading. substack.com/inbox/post/2...
substack.com
What should we do about the “forgotten third”?
The importance of foundational skills
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
"I definitely say it's never too late to learn." Fantastic coverage of our 2025 #GetTheNationLearning Patron's Award winner Maddison Walker in BBC News for GCSE results day, highlighting the impact learning throughout life can have. "Your education belongs to you and nobody else."
bbc.co.uk
Grade gap between boys and girls narrows
The overall pass rate has fallen slightly for the fifth year in a row - but top grades have edged up across England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Mel Bartley @zetkin.bsky.social · 21/08/2026
And another important finding this time from 1970 British Birth Cohort cls.ucl.ac.uk/wp-content/u...
cls.ucl.ac.uk
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Learning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 19/08/2026
In BBC News, L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social highlights inequality in access to apprenticeships, saying you are "less likely to get one if you're from a working-class family". ⬇️🗞️ #Apprenticeships #Employment
bbc.co.uk
Competition for degree apprenticeships quadruples in three years
The popularity of degree apprenticeships has grown as the cost of university has come under increased scrutiny.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Couple of key charts from our briefing, showing the falls in employment & vacancies in retail & hospitality, contrasting with a more positive / less negative picture in other areas, predominantly public services. A tale of two economies?
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Emily Andrews @emilyishness.bsky.social · 04/08/2026
Further scepticism on post-14 vocational education from @daisychristo.bsky.social. I, like her, became a teacher in 2007, but had forgotten the insanity of all kids being put through the European Computer Driving License to boost league table standings. substack.nomoremarking.com/p/the-proble...
substack.nomoremarking.com
The problem with "parity of esteem"
Vocational education at age 14 is not the answer
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Hannah Slaughter @hannahslaughter.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Today’s labour market statistics show that the decent GDP growth from the early summer isn’t (yet) translating into stronger employment and pay, which both remained fairly flat in the latest month. Our @resolutionfoundation.org thread from me and @louisemurphy.bsky.social 🧵...
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
Relatively quiet set of labour market stats. But flat figures in context of 3.9m people out of work and say they want a job & 1m+ young people are NEET. Glass half full: labour market resilient given everything. Glass half empty: can't see improvements in underlying challenges coming anytime soon.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 18/08/2026
This seems genuinely good news. Bizarre that with 1m young people NEET, the Govt has to date not funded colleges for c25k young people on courses (they get lagged funding & Govt has said 'you've recruited too many, we don't have the £). Sounds like that's changing for next year. Good step forward.
feweek.co.uk
Colleges given in-year growth funding ‘guarantee’ for 2026-27
DfE promise is intended to give leaders 'confidence to offer post-16 places to all young people who want one'
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Amy Borrett @amyborrett.ft.com · 11/08/2026
📉 Long-term sickness may be smaller problem for the UK than previously thought, according to early estimates from the overhauled ONS jobs survey @financialtimes.com as.ft.com/r/25abc82a-7...
as.ft.com
Long-term sickness may be smaller problem for UK than thought, says ONS
Statistics agency’s new labour market survey shows lower levels of economic inactivity due to ill health
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Paul Bivand @paulbivand.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
Good article. But, the ONS response rates chart starts too late, in 2015. Response rates had been falling for a long time, including a near 10% fall in 2010, mostly in 2nd-5th wave interviews (maybe survey cutbacks). 70% response in 2000, now back up to 25%.
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Sefydliad Dysgu a Gwaith | Learning and Work Institute @learnworkcymru.bsky.social · 11/08/2026
📢 Have your say on Wales' future skills needs. L&W is undertaking a new Skills Audit for Wales on behalf of Welsh Government and is inviting employers, industry representatives, training providers and stakeholders to share their insights. 🗓️ Closes 25 September 2026 🔗 www.smartsurvey.co.uk/t/X10VS4/
smartsurvey.co.uk
Welsh Government: Skills Audit for Wales
Please take the time to complete our survey. Your feedback is important.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 09/08/2026
A must-read by @daisychristo.bsky.social:
substack.nomoremarking.com
Schools aren’t to blame for the NEET crisis
When learning more doesn’t help you earn more
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Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Final newsletter before I lie down in a darkened room Tried to explain the genesis of Burnham’s skills policy so far, including what it is and isn’t (I think) as.ft.com/r/bffeca37-3...
as.ft.com
The Manchester roots of Andy Burnham’s skills revolution
An early political dividing line on technical education risks obscuring the case for which he has long argued
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 07/08/2026
Interesting blog from the Bank of England (thanks to @mikebrewerecon.bsky.social @resolutionfoundation.org newsletter) on whether there's early signs of faster productivity growth in AI producing and AI using sectors. One to keep an eye on...
bankunderground.co.uk
Is artificial intelligence making us more productive? What the UK industry data show
Sandra Batten Unlike previous waves of automation, machine learning and generative AI (Gen AI) technologies can perform non-routine cognitive tasks, such as those involving written or spoken langua…
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Justin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Anthropic's CEO says AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white-collar jobs. Victorian bootmakers suggest a different possibility. A story about sewing machines, economics, and why history can help us think more clearly about AI. newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/what-victo...
newsletter.platypuseconomics.com
What Bootmakers Can Teach Us About AI
Anthropic's CEO warns AI could erase half of entry-level jobs. Victorian England suggests a different possibility.
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Sensible to iron out any falls in household income from a young person taking an apprenticeship (as always, devil in detail). But also need to double down on increasing high quality apprenticeships: you can't take up an apprenticeship that doesn't exist.
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Reposted by Stephen Evans
Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
A bit from me on devo max and the outlines of an emerging question: what will councils be for? as.ft.com/r/731ed47f-f...
as.ft.com
Andy Burnham rewires the ‘unaccountable’ state
Prime minister’s opening devolution gambit does not lack ambition
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Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 05/08/2026
Initial reflections. 1. Good to focus rather than have a laundry list. 2. Lots of this happens now but patchy. Need to support public bodies to do it well & monitor delivery. 3. Public procurement is huge so chance to drive change. But you do also need to deliver VfM for thing you're buying!
ft.com
UK to strip back procurement rules to focus on job creation, says Louise Haigh
Andy Burnham’s de facto deputy PM says requirements for businesses vying for Whitehall contracts will be streamlined
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