Reposted by Stephen EvansSchool for Government @schoolforgovt.bsky.social · 17hIn the first instalment of our new series – The Growth Papers – authors John Kingman and Shriti Vadera set out why Britain needs a truly ambitious growth policy agenda, and how this can be achieved. 🧵⬇️ Read the report and subscribe to receive future issues 101
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 06/10/2026My work in progress calculator agrees this will cost £2.3bn. To raise employment by 8k at £585k per job. Reason is payroll taxes largely feed through to pay. So for jobs alone other measures better targeted (but of course other reasons you might want to do this). www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/...thetimes.comVerifying Device 100
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 02/10/2026In an article for @cityam.bsky.social, Steve Rigby reflects on L&W's new report with the Rigby Foundation showing that AI skills investment could add £80 billion to the UK economy. ⬇️✍️cityam.comClosing the AI skills gap is an £80 billion opportunitySmart use of AI could add £80bn in productivity gains to the British economy by 2035, but too few businesses have the workforce to deploy it effectively 002
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 01/10/2026www.theguardian.com/politics/202...theguardian.comKey disability benefit for young people may be axed under major welfare changesExclusive: Plan under discussion involves intensive support to help young people into employment 001
Reposted by Stephen EvansAndrew Carter @andrewcities.bsky.social · 28/09/2026www.ft.com/content/78ec...ft.comPost-Covid economic inactivity was much lower than thought, ONS saysFindings come days after agency said UK productivity grew twice as fast as estimated after global financial crisis 001
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Yes, overall (not just here) we seem to be adjusting employment for PAYE, sticking with LFS self employment. Then there's the hours stuff last week. Basically it's hard to measure things anyway, people have stopped answering, and splitting the pandemic effect on responses v reality is v difficult! 010
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Turns out employment rate is probably (we don't know) what we thought. But might (not sure) be falling after post-Covid recovery, rather than flatlining. Difficult when people won't respond to surveys, ONS working hard on admin sources. But this does make life tricker! www.ons.gov.uk/employmentan... 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Personally I think part of the issue is a decline in the cost of e.g. polling etc and increase in range of outlets (which means you'll get at least some coverage somewhere). Coupled with funding tightness which makes larger & longer funding needed for more in depth research tougher to find. 050
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 28/09/2026Good news & something we've long argued for. 1 in 4 NEETs receives incapacity benefits. Hopefully some access will also be opened to young people not on benefits (the other 50% of NEETs) who've been NEET for some time, when referred by a trusted body like a local authority.feweek.co.ukJobs guarantee scheme to be expanded to disabled young peopleLabour expects ‘thousands’ on health benefits to take up subsidised jobs 175
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 25/09/2026A productive day already as the nightmare of last years queue is forgotten and Oasis tickets for next year are secured! Now to try and find a hotel… 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 24/09/2026"The best firms know that investing in their people is what separates those who adapt from those who get left behind." Great to see our new report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org in @peoplemanagement.bsky.social with a quote from L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social. 🗞️peoplemanagement.co.ukL&D spending dropped by a third since 2011, research findsExperts warn reduced investment and shorter training could make addressing skills gaps harder 102
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 24/09/2026Thank you for writing this - I was sure we'd done something similar before but couldn't properly recall! 110
Reposted by Stephen EvansTom Richmond @tom-richmond.com · 24/09/2026So, Vocational GCSEs, eh? If you think that something about this announcement feels eerily familiar, you're in good company. Time for a quick history lesson.... My new post on LinkedIn: lnkd.in/p/eJVMzP-S 202
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 23/09/2026Is it just me or did we not do this (applied GCSEs) in the 2000s? May or may not be a good idea, but creating a new qualification is never (on its own) the answer people seem to think it is.thetimes.comNew digital tech and business GCSEs to ‘prepare teenagers for work’Vocational courses in construction and child development could be introduced as early as 2029 as ministers aim to give hands-on learning parity with academia 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansJonathan Portes @jdportes.bsky.social · 22/09/2026We're not quite as useless as we thought, just a bit lazier. Me on the ONS productivity revisions. ukandeu.ac.uk/britains-pro...ukandeu.ac.ukBritain’s productivity disaster was real—but not quite as disastrous as we thought - UK in a changing EuropeJonathan Portes explains why the ONS updated its productivity estimates for the period between 2009 and 2019 from 0.7 per cent to 1.3 per cent and what this change actually means for the UK economy. 75016
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 21/09/2026I'm sure numbers will ramp up somewhat. But foundation apprenticeships are not actually apprenticeships & have always felt like a solution in search of a problem. We do need good pre-apprenticeship training mind you - whole apprenticeship system needs getting back on track.theguardian.comOnly 160 apprenticeship starts in eight months on Labour’s flagship schemeExclusive: Government warned ‘skills revolution’ at risk amid slow start to project with target of 30,000 starts by end of parliament 141
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026"Headline stability in the job stats masks two underlying and related challenges." Read L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social's comment on today's labour market stats in @personneltoday.bsky.social: www.personneltoday.com/hr/uk-labour... And @fenews.bsky.social: www.fenews.co.uk/fe-voices/on...personneltoday.comLabour market: Vacancies fall to five-year lowUK labour market fragility persists as official figures estimate vacancies have fallen to their lowest level since April 2026. 001
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Our labour market briefing is now live. 🔴 Discover our analysis of the latest labour market stats from ONS. ⬇️ #Employment #LabourMarketlearningandwork.org.ukLabour Market Briefing: September 2026 - Learning and Work InstituteOur analysis of the ONS labour market statistics, released on the morning of 15 September 2026. 001
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026The Times has reported that the Government is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for the first rule breach. www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/... 🗞️ We evaluated a previous trial in 2018 looking at its effectiveness. ⬇️learningandwork.org.ukJobseeker’s Allowance: Sanctions Early Warning Trial - Learning and Work InstituteIn April 2016, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) commissioned Learning and Work Institute (L&W) to conduct a qualitative research with DWP and Work Programme (WP) staff who had delivered a Jo... 012
Reposted by Stephen EvansLouise Murphy @louisemurphy.bsky.social · 15/09/2026DWP has just published a flurry of new data on how PIP and UC-Health assessments are carried out (face-to-face or via phone, video or paper) and whether this impacts who gets awarded health-related benefits. Five takeaways 🧵 11814
Reposted by Stephen EvansIain Mansfield @igmansfield.bsky.social · 15/09/2026'Cold economic reality is about to intrude on the Burnham honeymoon when Healey delivers his first Budget next month.' Well worth a read. www.ft.com/content/59a0...ft.comBritain, Burnham and tax: the walls close inThe new prime minister wants a feelgood factor. But tax rises look all but inevitable — just to stay still 022
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 15/09/2026"The employment rate is relatively high by international standards, but risks trending in the wrong direction with 3.9 million people not in work but saying they want a job." ✍️ L&W chief exec @stephenevans.bsky.social comments on today's labour market stats from ONS.learningandwork.org.ukLabour market stats response, September 2026 - Learning and Work InstituteL&W's chief executive Stephen Evans responds to the latest labour market data from ONS. 111
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 15/09/2026Fairly flat labour market data but two underpinning & linked challenges. First, job growth esp in sector like retail & hospitality (down 150k in a year) is struggling. International uncertainty won't help. Second, 1m young people are NEET and we need to do more than we are to help them. 0117
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 14/09/2026As it happens I had a report proposing more of those sectoral/ regional bodies out last week. Some of us haven't moved on from our work on that review(!). And happily @andywestwood.bsky.social spoke at the launch with a quote from the Statute of Artificers!learningandwork.org.ukUnderstanding employer investment in skills - Learning and Work InstituteThis is the third and final report of our project funded by the Nuffield Foundation looking at employer investment in skills, and how employees are responding to the need to upskill and retrain in a t... 110
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 14/09/20262. Worth saying conditionality has always been a feature of the benefit system. But starter is to promote engagement, with sanctions a backstop when that doesn't happen. At times they instead become a first port of call which doesn't really help anyone. As ever, life's a balance.thetimes.comBenefit claimants could face softer sanctions for first-time breachesThe proposed change would ease pressure on claimants to comply with strict demands 021
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 14/09/20261. Times reports Govt is testing not sanctioning benefit claimants for first rule breach. We evaluated something similar in 2018. TLDR some small +ve benefits but also ignored by some claimants & staff concerned about admin burden. Doesn't mean a bad idea, does mean need to do it right!assets.publishing.service.gov.uk 123
Reposted by Stephen EvansDan Neidle @danneidle.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Universities UK wants the government to scrap employer National Insurance for everyone under 25. It doesn’t say what that would cost. Or how many jobs it would create. So we did the maths: £6–7bn a year, or £60-100k for every additional job. A 🧵 on dumb tax policy. 1110334
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Connect to Work isn't hitting the Government's expectations which it published in July (six weeks ago). Those expectations were revised down from previous ones published earlier in the year. It needs to work with local government (who are responsible in their areas) to ramp things up. 011
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026Note that the business case gives annual figures, so we've had to estimate a monthly profile. But it would be a heroic ramp up in the rest of the year to catch up... 000
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 10/09/2026In June we found that Connect to Work (Govt's flagship programme to help disabled people into work) had only achieved 50% of what it's business case expected so far. In July the business case was reprofiled. But new stats today show delivery is short again! What's going on?! 135
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/2026I agree & add that 2024's PIAAC data showed relative improvements in English and maths for England's 16-19 year olds too. An age group where we lagged previously & put effort into changing. My worry is we risk going backwards, watering down rather than investing in E&M for that age group...gov.ukSurvey of Adult Skills 2023: national reports for EnglandThese reports looks at the literacy, numeracy and problem-solving skills of adults in England compared with those in other countries. 000
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/20266% (42k) of 16-17 year olds in college are missing >50% of their classes (the measure used in schools). Good work by the Children's Commissioner to get this data. Not a huge %, but suggests we need to do more for those YP - are they really hidden NEET? That would double the 16-17 NEET pop. 110
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 09/09/2026Looks like the Social Mobility Commission is to close with the civil servants transferring to Bridget Phillipson. Continues trend of bringing various functions (e.g. on apprenticeships) in house, but with no overall reduction in staff numbers as far as I can see).theguardian.comMinisters to put white working-class people in UK at heart of new equalities unitBridget Phillipson to announce creation of unit which will make class a key part of its equalities agenda 000
Reposted by Stephen EvansLearning and Work Institute @learnworkuk.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Great in-person launch of our report funded by @nuffieldfoundation.org today! 🚀 The report warns that the Govt’s plans to grow the economy risk falling short unless it takes action to reverse sharp falls in the training employees get at work. Find out more: learningandwork.org.uk/understandin... 011
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026I would add that 2024's PIAAC data showed relative improvements in English and maths for England's 16-19 year olds. An age group where we lagged previously & put effort into changing. My worry is we're now going backwards, watering down rather than investing in E&M for that age group...gov.ukSurvey of Adult Skills 2023: national reports for EnglandThese reports looks at the literacy, numeracy and problem-solving skills of adults in England compared with those in other countries. 180
Reposted by Stephen EvansJohn Burn-Murdoch @jburnmurdoch.ft.com · 08/09/2026Two extraordinary charts from today’s PISA test results: 1) School test scores continue to collapse internationally, underscoring how this is no longer a Covid effect but sustained decline. Those falls in reading and maths are equivalent to about two years of lost schooling. 41856344
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Story here. Worth reflecting on why England's done well, what others (inc elsewhere in UK) can learn, and how we go further. For example, on another survey our 16-19 scores improved, but the Govt is now reducing or considering reducing English & maths study requirements - should instead invest more.bbc.co.ukUK pupils rank highly in international reading, maths and science testsBut the Pisa test scores vary significantly between England, Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales. 000
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026Fabulous to see England doing so well in PISA rankings for reading, science & maths. This is a genuine policy success story! England's scores have remained broadly flat, but that's better than others inc Scotland, Wales and NI. Need to keep going & also put same effort into adult essential skills 130
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/20266. This all usually gets overlooked with a focus on the publicly-funded system & how employers influence that. That matters, but isn't enough & misses the bigger picture. Give the report a read and also FT write up. Thanks @nuffieldfoundation.org for supporting the work. www.ft.com/content/4d52...learningandwork.org.ukUnderstanding employer investment in skills - Learning and Work InstituteThis is the third and final report of our project funded by the Nuffield Foundation looking at employer investment in skills, and how employees are responding to the need to upskill and retrain in a t... 000
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/20265. To change this we propose actions to grow skills demand, build skills into other policy areas, promote collective action among employers, improve financial incentives for employers, and support employers to make informed choices linked to business strategy. 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/20264. Also a general point about firms not always knowing what training option is best, how to assess its impact, or linking it to business strategy. But not clear that's got worse & hence can explain training declines of recent decades. 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/20263. Big trend is shift online. 88% of training days are online, for all forms of training (not just induction or H&S). Firms told us this saved commute time etc. But risks missing interaction & benefits of learning? Beyond that, no single answer (labour turnover, low capital etc) - varies by sector. 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/20262. UK employers are spending less on training. Around 60% of people get some training each year, little changed. But average training days per employee down from 7.8 in 2011 to 5.7 in 2024. UK has fewer hours training per year than other countries & highest & of training that lasts <1 day. 100
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026📢 New report shows employers are spending less on training, risking productivity. Proportion getting training has held up, but training is shorter. There's less jam, it's spread more thinly, and with H&S biggest reason for training given. 🧵👇 110
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 08/09/2026As ever, really thought provoking from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com . And a good accompaniment to catching up to @soumayakeynes.ft.com summer podcast with Nick Bloom on whether & how AI is affecting productivity. Great to have all these signals and parts of the picture in real time during this huge shift. 020
Reposted by Stephen EvansSam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 08/09/2026New PISA data out England is now top ten in all three areas (reading, maths, science) and the second highest performing country outside of east Asia (after Estonia). This is a huge public policy success. 451038253
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 07/09/2026Really looking forward to our launch event on this tomorrow. Great panel including @andywestwood.bsky.social & other not on Bluesky (I think) panellists. Thread on this to come… 112
Reposted by Stephen EvansEd Conway @edconway.bsky.social · 03/09/2026✍️ The little holes in your bread are telling you something... 🟤How a lab in an obscure village in the south of England invented modern British bread. 🟤What all this has to do with economics. 🟤And why, technically, British bread might no longer be bread... edconway.substack.com/p/the-little...edconway.substack.comThe little holes in your bread are telling you somethingHow a Hertfordshire research lab quietly transformed an iconic British staple food, and the complexion of the countryside - without anyone actually noticing 22912
Reposted by Stephen EvansBen Zaranko @benzaranko.bsky.social · 03/09/2026Company insolvencies in England and Wales are still running at elevated levels. Presumably, higher interest rates are part of the reason why. Question: could this have something to do with the UK's apparent productivity rebound, if weaker firms are going under? 3183
Stephen Evans @stephenevans.bsky.social · 24/08/2026This is such a good piece by @daisychristo.bsky.social . English and maths are NOT optional extras and we CAN do better - not easy, but necessary. Part of a great run of blogs on policy around this that are all well worth reading. substack.com/inbox/post/2...substack.comWhat should we do about the “forgotten third”?The importance of foundational skills 043