iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

🗣️ Can government-led citizens' assemblies strengthen democratic attitudes? ➡️ @mcduarte.bsky.social, @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & @miguelpereira.bsky.social use random selection to Lisbon's citizens' assemblies and find participation increases knowledge, efficacy and trust doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

0104

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

⛪️ Does a politician's religiosity influence their policymaking? ➡️ Luca Vitale finds that narrowly elected religious Catholic mayors in Italy increase debt repayment, showing how religious values can shape politicians' fiscal decisions doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

074

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

🧩 Masking or lexicographic preferences? The same choice patterns can reflect very different processes. ➡️ @scandersen.bsky.social & @mortenhjortskov.bsky.social show how conjoint experiments can distinguish between these two explanations of political choice doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

052

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 16/09/2026

📈 Does the intensity of citizens' policy preferences matter for political representation? ➡️ Zachary Peskowitz & Eddy S.F. Yeung find that preference intensity does not reliably predict policy outcomes across US states, even when measured in multiple ways doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

🤖 Can transformer-based language models deliver accurate text classification at a low cost? ➡️ Cecilia Y. Sui shows how pretrain-finetune models can classify political text with modest labeled data and computing resources, using toxicity in US Senators' X conversation threads doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

054

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 11/09/2026

⚔️ Do wars follow predictable patterns, or are they inherently unpredictable? ➡️ T. Schincariol & @thomaschadefaux.bsky.social use entropy-based analysis to show that conflict fatalities exhibit high levels of randomness, making their dynamics particularly difficult to predict doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

051

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 09/09/2026

🇪🇺When does the European Parliament use vague language in EU policy negotiations? ➡️ A. Khokhlova, N. Yordanova & A. Ershova find that the EP adopts concrete positions in inter-institutional conflict, but uses vagueness when public opinion is divided and issues are contentious doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

021

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 07/09/2026

👵 Do pension expansions mobilise older voters? ➡️ M. Ganslmeier, M. Klymak & T. Vlandas find that a 36% pension increase in Illinois had no effect on turnout—even among low-income retirees—challenging expectations that material gains increase political participation doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

052

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

📰How should researchers debrief participants after exposing them to misinformation? ➡️ @emmahoes.bsky.social & @sachaltay.bsky.social show that specific debriefings with fact-checks reduce belief in false claims, while general warnings may increase skepticism toward true news doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

01810

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 19/08/2026

🧪 Can measuring racial attitudes before a survey experiment bias its results? ➡️ @leahchristiani.bsky.social, Nathan Kelly & @janamorgan.bsky.social find little evidence of treatment bias overall, but show that stereotype endorsement measures are an important exception doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

0116

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 17/08/2026

🗳️ How does far-right terrorism affect support for the far right? ➡️ Studying anti-Roma attacks in Hungary, Simonovits et al. find that Jobbik gained 11-14 percentage points more support in attacked villages, with effects persisting and spreading to nearby areas doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

0229

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 10/08/2026

🏛️ How does patronage shape communication within government bureaucracies? ➡️ Employing rare new data from China, Haemin Jee & @kaipingchen.bsky.social find that patronage ties increase upward information flows, but not public-facing performance and responsiveness in practice doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 07/08/2026

🏛️ Do caretaker governments really stop making policy? ➡️ Using original data on government bills from 238 cabinets in Western Europe, Mingyi Zhang shows that caretaker governments remain active policymakers during government transitions, challenging long-standing assumptions doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

010

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 06/08/2026

🌍 Why do people support the democratic peace? ➡️ In this new article, @juhokim.bsky.social revisits a recent embedding analysis and finds that it is associated with racial and ethnocentric motivations, and offers guidance for embedding analysis in political science doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 23/07/2026

📈 How do people update their perceptions of the economy? ➡️ Derek A. Epp and Christopher Wlezien show that people interpret the same economic changes differently depending on their prior perceptions, suggesting that public opinion is shaped by benchmarking www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

0105

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 21/07/2026

🤝 Do parties reward allies or recruit rivals for cabinet? ➡️ Alexander Herzog and David Schmuck show that rather than favoring moderates, parties prefer loyal MPs: strong government defenders and fierce opposition critics are more likely to become ministers www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

0126

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

🌐What shapes high-end cooperation among militant groups? ➡️Using network data on 53 groups in Northeast India, @ilaydaonder.bsky.social shows that cooperation is more likely between groups with complementary capabilities and distinct constituencies. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

000

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 16/07/2026

🚨Can courts and the media stop democratic backsliding when citizens don't trust them? ➡️@bobbygulotty.bsky.social & @luozhaotian.bsky.social model oversight of subversion, show that when the oversight body is contested, a "fake news effect" undermines it & enables backsliding. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 24/06/2026

🗳️ How much does electability matter to voters? ➡️ Using survey experiments, @mayyakomis.bsky.social & A. Albarello show voters remain driven mainly by policy preferences and often view electability as a signal of candidate quality www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

022

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

🌍 What drives conflict risk within fragile states? ➡️ Studying Nigeria, J.J. Villar-Roldán, A. Galiano & J.M. Martín-Álvarez show wealth lowers conflict risk, while resources and energy infrastructure fuel violence www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

000

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 01/06/2026

🗳️ Do multiple vote ballots increase women’s representation? ➡️ Using a survey experiment, @yoshiono.bsky.social H. Miwa & Y. Kasuya show multiple vote ballots encourage more gender balanced voting, though men retain an overall advantage www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

000

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 21/05/2026

🎲 Do political lotteries change how legislators vote? ➡️ Studying 19th century Belgium, @bvancoppenolle.bsky.social J. De Rongé & S. Riegger show random committee assignments affected legislators’ likelihood of rebelling against party majorities www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

041

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 20/05/2026

⚖️ Does electoral uncertainty make governments short sighted? ➡️ Using Swedish local data, @axelcronert.bsky.social & Pär Nyman show electoral competition moderates tax policy, but find little evidence of policy myopia www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0115

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 15/05/2026

🏛️ Does women's representation shape perceived fairness of decisions? ➡️ @reidingerve.bsky.social @lucasleemann.bsky.social & @jbslapin.bsky.social show effects vary by policy type, sometimes reducing fairness perceptions when women are overrepresented www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0153

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 14/05/2026

⚖️ Do major campaign scandals change voters’ minds? ➡️ @maclockhart.bsky.social G. Huber, A. Gerber, J. Walker II show Donald Trump’s felony conviction had virtually no effect on his supporters, while common survey methods produce conflicting estimates www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

041

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 04/05/2026

🤖Can open source machine translation match commercial tools? ➡️ @haukelicht.bsky.social @ronjasczepanski.bsky.social @moritzlaurer.bsky.social & A Bekmuratovna show open source MT models perform similarly to Google Translate and DeepL in multilingual text www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

071

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 30/04/2026

💰 Do community donations reduce support for paying taxes? ➡️ Using a survey experiment in Kenya, C. A. Jansson, E. Lust & A. Oguso show community donations lower tax compliance attitudes, while public goods increase support for taxes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

061

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 28/04/2026

🇸🇪 Does far right entry into local politics affect minority representation? ➡️ Using an RDD, @grahn.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show far right entry reduced immigrant candidates on the right, while left parties increased immigrant recruitment www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0123

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 10/04/2026

🗳️ Do early wins in US presidential primaries create momentum? ➡️ @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social et al. show that winning early contests like Iowa or New Hampshire has no lasting effect on later outcomes, challenging the idea of momentum in primaries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

132

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 09/04/2026

💍 Do interethnic marriages measure social cohesion? ➡️ Using census data from Zambia, @danielposnermd.bsky.social introduces a new approach showing intermarriage estimates change once local exposure to outgroup members is considered www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

083

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 08/04/2026

📰 Do the effects of partisan media fade quickly or accumulate over time? ➡️ Using multiwave experiments, M Baum et al. show a single exposure can have effects lasting up to a week, while cumulative effects are hard to detect www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

1147

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 10/03/2026

🌍 Why do not all immigrant groups support progressive parties? ➡️ @korinlind.bsky.social & @antvalentim.bsky.social show immigrants from established democracies are more likely to back green parties than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

1278

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 08/03/2026

🏙️ Do district-based elections change who gets elected locally? ➡️ Studying California's recent shift, M Cushing-Daniels, D Jones & @brookenshannon.bsky.social show they increased representation from lower-income areas and reduced business influence www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

061

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 05/03/2026

💬 How can we measure inter party communication? ➡️ Using a transformer based approach, @annather-nerd.bsky.social et al. classify how parties talk about rivals (positive-negative), studying coalition signals in Germany and campaigning in Austria www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

1114

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 04/03/2026

🏛️ Why would an authoritarian state not enforce its own policies? ➡️ Studying China’s social insurance system, H Zhang & @yezhang.bsky.social find that promotion incentives and competition lead local officials to tolerate firm payroll tax evasion www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

010

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 03/03/2026

📞 What motivates participation in consultative events? ➡️ In a field trial with Australian voters, W Minozzi, M A Neblo & @aleighmp.bsky.social show that generic invites increased uptake, while some framed messages kept participants on the call longer www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

010

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 27/02/2026

🤖 Can LLMs replicate expert text coding? ➡️ Using interest group documents, @dahyunchoi.bsky.social D. Peskoff & B. M. Stewart show that fine tuned LLMs outperform trained coders and zero shot models in identifying informative vs associative signals www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

060

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 25/02/2026

🧐 Can we trust estimates of political trust when preferences are hidden? ➡D Li, @xiaobolu.bsky.social S Ma & W Yang show social desirability can bias regressions, question the link between welfare and trust, and offer ways to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0112

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 22/02/2026

🗳️ How can we better study the impact of major events with surveys? ➡A bertoli, L Jakli & H Pascoe clarify the strengths and weaknesses of pre and post survey designs and introduce a dual randomised survey to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

030

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 15/02/2026

🏛️ Do anti elitist parties behave differently in parliament? ➡️ @simonotjes.bsky.social & L Vorsteveld use a new voting model to show that anti elitist parties vote alike and differently from others, but only on legislative votes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

022

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 12/02/2026

🏘️ Why is restrictive zoning linked to racial segregation? ➡️ Using agent based models and parcel level zoning data, @trounstine.bsky.social shows that restrictive rules cluster housing costs and, with unequal wealth & homophily, foster racial segregation www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

052

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 09/02/2026

🧠 Do politicians misread their constituents' preferences? ➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0132

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 06/02/2026

🧑‍🤝‍🧑Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners? ➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

0259

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 29/01/2026

🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion? ➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

020

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 28/01/2026

📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data? ➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

020

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 27/01/2026

🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies? ➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 26/01/2026

🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty? ➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

031

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 23/01/2026

📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments. ➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

030

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 22/01/2026

📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments? ➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

040

Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 20/01/2026

📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19? ➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

031