Sign in

Ilayda B. Onder

@ilaydaonder.bsky.social
1.8K followers 859 following 31 posts

Assistant Professor of Political Science at Texas A&M, studying political violence, civil conflict, and rebel organizations. www.ilaydaonder.com

PostsRepliesMedia
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 09/07/2026
Our new article is out in the JoGSS! We look at why armed groups use extreme forms of violence like beheadings and find that irregular leadership successions are a big factor in explaining escalation to extreme tactics. But groups deescalate as new leaders consolidate power. It's open access👇
072
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 28/10/2025
Our latest publication with @markberlin2.bsky.social is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social. We examine what happens when armed groups deny responsibility for violence and find that denials can erode trust in government and shape how people feel about violence. Read more here: doi.org/10.1111/pops...
063
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 11/09/2025
Finn Klebe will be presenting our joint project that we’ve been developing over the past year. Join the panel tomorrow to hear about our dataset on defections across and co-membership among rebel and nonviolent resistance groups.
050
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 22/07/2025
We’re accepting submissions for Fall 2025 until August 14. If you’re on the market, it’s a great chance to practice your job talk with an audience! We also welcome paper presentations. Apply here: iu.co1.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_...
iu.co1.qualtrics.com
Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop Submission
We are now accepting submissions for the Fall 2025 sessions of the Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop! This virtual workshop provides a supportive space for junior scholars (PhD candida...
056
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 22/05/2025
In our new article, we show that groups that claim credit for attacks have shorter lifespans. Not because of government crackdowns, but likely from internal breakdowns. These findings raise questions about how state threats shape terrorist behavior and whether the logic of deterrence really holds.
031
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 25/02/2025
One of my recent articles has now been officially assigned page numbers in Journal of Conflict Resolution. 🔍 Key finding: The spatial distribution of loyal, disloyal, and wavering rebel supporters explains who gets targeted and where. Check it out here: doi.org/10.1177/0022...
0103
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Political Violence New Publications and Working Papers @polviolencepapers.bsky.social · 05/12/2024
Check out this new JoGSS article on rebel fragmentation! Using the PKK in Turkey as a case study, @ulaserdogdu.bsky.social identifies two pathways to rebel fragmentation: democratization creating divides over armed struggle and foreign military intervention empowering rival groups.
043
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 24/11/2024
Double trouble, couch snuggle…
040
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Based on overwhelming community feedback (okay, 3 people), I’ve decided that @polviolencepapers.bsky.social will also cover new publications on political violence in addition to working papers. Tag the account when sharing your new articles to help grow this space!
060
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Resharing this for those who missed it last night. Follow @polviolencepapers.bsky.social and share if you think this could be a useful resource. I’m trying to assess interest in this initiative.
152
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
I’ve created @polviolencepapers.bsky.social to repost working papers on political violence. Since Bluesky doesn’t have a bookmark function yet, I thought we needed a dedicated space to store all those working papers often shared here.
22113
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/11/2024
Our article on the lasting impact of rebel governance on post-conflict state and citizens' perceptions of state institutions now has page numbers and is open-access in Comparative Political Studies. Check out here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
0172
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 22/10/2024
We are now accepting proposals for this year's Junior Scholars in Quantitative Conflict Workshop. Please share, apply, and volunteer, if you can, to serve as a discussant.
021
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 20/06/2024
Excited to announce my new article, "How Civilian Loyalties Shape Rebel-Led Victimization of Rebel Constituencies," published in the Journal of Conflict Resolution! 🎉📚 doi.org/10.1177/0022...
doi.org
How Civilian Loyalties Shape Rebel-Led Victimization of Rebel Constituencies - Ilayda B. Onder, 2024
Rebels rely on the support of their civilian constituency, but often victimize them to enforce compliance. Scholars know relatively little about how rebels stra...
120
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 27/02/2024
New publication! What is the long-term impact of rebel governance? We use survey data from Turkey to show that individual engagement with rebel governance institutions and personal conflict experience decrease future trust in the Turkish state. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
journals.sagepub.com
The Legacies of Rebel Rule in Southeast Turkey - Cyanne E. Loyle, Ilayda B. Onder, 2023
During armed conflict civilians often inhabit areas of contested governance or areas where rebel groups, NGOs, and/or criminal syndicates vie for authority and ...
000
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 02/01/2024
It has been official for a while but I am happy to share that I will be joining the Department of Political Science at Texas A&M University as an Assistant Professor in Fall 2024. Thanks to everyone who has offered support throughout this process!
080
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Page Fortna @pagefortna.bsky.social · 04/12/2023
Polisky: please help us spread the word about the Saltzman Institute’s postdoc, and tell your best students to apply! www.siwps.org/programs/cal...
siwps.org
Call for Applications: Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University, Postdoctora...
02736
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Good Authority @goodauth.bsky.social · 15/10/2023
🎙️FYI @danigilbert.bsky.social also did an interview on the Politicology podcast talking about this piece and more on the hostage crisis: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/p...
podcasts.apple.com
‎Politicology: TAPPED: Why the Gaza hostage crisis is different on Apple Podcasts
‎Show Politicology, Ep TAPPED: Why the Gaza hostage crisis is different - Oct 13, 2023
085
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 07/10/2023
My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" now has an issue number in International Interactions. I show that younger armed groups and groups that recently suffered leadership decapitation publicly claim more attacks to burnish their reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
tandfonline.com
Signaling Resolve through Credit-claiming
What explains when militant groups claim attacks? In this study, I argue that militant groups are more likely to claim attacks early in the organization’s lifespan and after major blows to reputati....
040
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 28/09/2023
🚨New Publication🚨 My article is published online in Terrorism and Political Violence. Using original data on the counterinsurgency capacity of the Indian police, I show that militants switch to targeting civilians when faced with harsh counterinsurgency measures. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
tandfonline.com
Target Hardening and Non-State Armed Groups’ Target Selection: Evidence from India
This study explores the variation in the non-state armed group (NSAGs)'s behavior concerning target selection. Scholars of transnational terrorism have investigated transnational NSAGs' target sele...
140
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 25/09/2023
Honestly, this website could use some enhancements. We're still missing bookmarking and the ability to save draft posts for later sharing. I feel like if folks are going to use this platform for meaningful exchange of ideas/information, bookmarks are a must.
050
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Dr. Kelebogile Zvobgo (she/her) @kellyzvobgo.bsky.social · 21/09/2023
Today's the day! @goodauth.bsky.social is here! Good Authority is the successor to The Monkey Cage, a site about politics + political science founded in 2007 + published at The Washington Post from 2013-22. The spirit of TMC will carry on here. Excited to be on the team! goodauthority.org #polisky
Good Authority website landing page
07930
Reposted by Ilayda B. Onder
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/09/2023
Junior Scholars in International Security's (JSISE) call for proposals for Fall 2024 is open! Are you a junior scholar studying topics in international security? We have a space for you to receive feedback! 🗓 Deadline: September 25, 10 pm EST. 📎 Info on our website: sites.google.com/view/jsise-w...
11116
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 17/09/2023
Junior Scholars in International Security's (JSISE) call for proposals for Fall 2024 is open! Are you a junior scholar studying topics in international security? We have a space for you to receive feedback! 🗓 Deadline: September 25, 10 pm EST. 📎 Info on our website: sites.google.com/view/jsise-w...
11116
Ilayda B. Onder @ilaydaonder.bsky.social · 08/09/2023
My article titled "Signaling Resolve through Credit-Claiming" is now published online in International Interactions. I show that groups that are younger or have recently suffered the loss of a leader claim attacks to burnish their organizational reputation. www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...
tandfonline.com
Signaling Resolve through Credit-claiming
What explains when militant groups claim attacks? In this study, I argue that militant groups are more likely to claim attacks early in the organization’s lifespan and after major blows to reputati....
3113