Reposted by Cory SmithJas Easterly @jaseasterly.bsky.social · 25/08/2026Canada is our indispensable ally and friend. ✔️211 years since the last war ✔️~5,500 miles of shared border ✔️Economic and military integration. Only neighboring countries Portugal–Spain (225 years) and Sweden–Denmark and Britain–France (~211–212 years) have been at peace for so long. 1168
Reposted by Cory SmithAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 28/07/2026Imagine if you mailed the IRS a check to pay your taxes, but they left their mail unopened for years and then arrested you for failure to pay taxes. That’s effectively what ICE is doing to increasing numbers of people now; people out of status only because of GOVERNMENT delay. 191376473
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 23/07/2026My only contribution to the lottery debate is that the impacts of lottery wins have been studied already. e.g., $50k USD gets your kids 0.3pp more likely to go to college. The shot at $1m gets your kids 0.5 x 6pp ~3pp more likely to go to college. So, much higher! www.nber.org/papers/w22679nber.orgParental Resources and College Attendance: Evidence from Lottery WinsFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an... 000
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 20/07/2026Claude is currently indirectly referring to itself as human ("human-transcribed" for work it transcribed). Should I be worried, Anthropic? 020
Reposted by Cory SmithKori Schake @kschake.bsky.social · 04/07/2026“My country right or wrong: when right, to be kept right, when wrong, to be put right.” - Major General Carl Schurz 🇺🇸 28119
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 06/06/2026My calendar for the fall just shows one never-ending faculty meeting 020
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 15/05/2026There's something very satisfying about catching an LLM tripping up on a Stata "gotcha" behavior you're very familiar with and you can wisely instruct it with your experience 100
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 08/05/2026My take on the cell phone ban study (tom-dee.github.io/files/w35132...): I think the subjective well-being increase would be worth it, but we need to treat it as preliminary rather than definitive given how many outcomes and periods are tested 121
Reposted by Cory SmithAaron Reichlin-Melnick @reichlinmelnick.bsky.social · 25/04/2026Four months ago, the Trump admin “temporarily paused” immigration benefits for nationals of 39 countries plus the Palestinian Authority. Tens of thousands of applications each month have just been stuck in a filing cabinet with no progress. People are stuck in limbo; some are even losing their jobs. 718799
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 20/04/2026This should hopefully become a textbook example of “passthrough.” Consumers paid most of the tariffs in higher prices even though importers nominally made the payments Unfortunately, consumers won’t get rebates it seems 120
Reposted by Cory SmithMark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Evil. No other word for it. 1051595299
Reposted by Cory SmithBill Kristol @billkristolbulwark.bsky.social · 07/04/2026Gen. Caine and Adm. Cooper should put a statement now making clear the U.S. military will not follow orders that would mean committing war crimes, including military actions whose purpose would be to destroy a country or a civilization. 1153141690
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 04/04/2026In another world, another timeline, I have the space to marvel at these achievements without my mind falling back down to darknesses here on Earth 070
Reposted by Cory SmithThe Wall Street Journal @wsj.com · 25/03/2026Student visas for Africa’s best and brightest were canceled by the Trump administration, leaving empty seats and broken dreams. “A punch to the heart,” said one woman who lost her scholarship.on.wsj.comHe Had a Full Ride at Duke—Until America Cut Him OffStudent visas for Africa’s best and brightest were canceled by the Trump administration, leaving behind empty seats and broken dreams. 46845336
Reposted by Cory SmithJohn Gramlich @johngramlich.bsky.social · 24/03/202689% – percentage of disaster aid requests Trump has approved for states with a Republican governor and two Republican senators 23% – percentage of disaster aid requests Trump has approved for states with a Democratic governor and two Democratic senators www.politico.com/news/2026/03... 10329551400
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 24/03/2026They were never serious about making this a "pause." Now, thousands of people can't get work permits or are separated from their spouses/kids because the administration wrote out a list of disfavored countries 010
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 20/03/2026I think the president should need Congressional approval to send thousands of ground troops to invade another country 001
Reposted by Cory Smith"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 13/03/2026I struggle to communicate my fury about the easing of sanctions on Russia's oil as a result of the Iran war. Unlike basically anything suggested as an objective in this fool war, containing Russia's ability to brutalize and dominate Eastern Europe *actually is* a vital US security interest. 14713134
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 10/03/2026Trump fantasizes about conquering NATO allies Canada, Denmark/Greenland, but we’re struggling to keep global shipping open with Iran — poorer, fewer allies, and a divided population Insane 030
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 05/03/2026Thousands of people will likely die in this war and the most consistent rationale given is that it’s for one man’s ego Trump wants to be “personally involved” (per article). Not the US, not US interests — Trump personally 000
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 28/02/2026It’s incredible how much US military power can do without achieving concrete political goals. We removed one hostile head of state (Maduro) and maybe another (Khamenei) But what will change in Iran/Venezuela for the good? 220
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 20/02/2026It’s (effectively) a joke, but this actually reflects the real costs of tariffs. Businesses handed over the money but also raised their prices and bore less of the cost US Consumers paid most of the tariffs via those high prices, meaning they should get the rebates 000
Reposted by Cory SmithTrade Diversion (Jonathan Dingel) @tradediversion.bsky.social · 19/02/2026Kevin Hassett condemning an analysis of the incidence of import tariffs that looks at import prices because he says one should also look at quantities. The second exhibit in libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org/2026/02/who-is… is titled "China’s Share of U.S. Imports Has Fallen Markedly".libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.orgLiberty Street EconomicsInsight and analysis from the New York Fed's economists 142
Reposted by Cory SmithErika McEntarfer @erikamcentarfer.bsky.social · 11/02/2026Person who was fired here - you should still trust BLS data. The agency is being run by the same dedicated career staff who were running it while I was awaiting confirmation from the Senate. And the staff have made it clear that they are blowing a loud whistle if there is interference. 17606109
Reposted by Cory SmithBelinda Archibong @belindaarch.bsky.social · 10/02/2026Glad to see this is out in @nber.org WP series and since my excellent co-author @chinemeluokafor.bsky.social and I have been discussing the results for the past few weeks, here's an old-fashioned paper thread on why protests matter/can work to influence economic redistribution 1/n 11310
Reposted by Cory SmithFilipe Campante @filipecampante.bsky.social · 09/02/2026No one will be able to say they didn't know what was happening. 04521
Reposted by Cory SmithMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 02/02/2026This implies death. Mass death. Caused directly by the decision of the White House and M*sk (then a top White House official) to recklessly obliterate—not reform—our overseas assistance capacity. 021582
Reposted by Cory SmithRep. Kelly Morrison @kellymorrisonmn.bsky.social · 01/02/2026My office has been flooded with reports of the cruel, unsafe, unlawful conditions inside of the Whipple detention facility in Minneapolis. This weekend, I was finally granted access to perform oversight of the facility. youtu.be/0SxPn8n2Bfgyoutu.beRep. Morrison details her oversight of the federal Whipple buildingYouTube video by Rep. Kelly Morrison 621778739
Reposted by Cory SmithJess Calarco @jessicacalarco.com · 22/01/2026This is sickeningly cruel and inhumane. 521676
Reposted by Cory SmithNed Resnikoff @resnikoff.bsky.social · 21/01/2026I'd just add I don't think the crisis is at all over, because Trump never sticks to agreements just because they're conventionally considered binding. The crisis will only be over when his regime is dislodged from Washington, if then. 171361263
Reposted by Cory SmithJustin Wolfers @justinwolfers.bsky.social · 20/01/2026Some perspective: The S&P opened down -1.3% on Trump's Greenland saber-rattling. That's $750 billion of wealth destroyed -- roughly equal to estimates of the value of Greenland. And so ~in dollar terms~ his shenanigans have already cost the US one Greenland, and we've got nothing to show for it. 582146215792
Reposted by Cory SmithPatrick De Klotz @patdeklotz.bsky.social · 19/01/2026A lot of international conflicts aren’t black-and-white, but here it is crystal clear. And it really sucks to unambiguously be the villain. 11633109
Reposted by Cory SmithDavid J. Bier @davidjbier.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Yesterday, the State Department expanded the immigrant visa ban to half of all legal immigrants, including all immigrants from 93 countries. No law was passed. Not even an executive order was signed. They just did it. Tweeted it. Banana Republic. www.cato.org/blog/new-ban...cato.orgNew Ban Bars Half of Legal Immigrants, Even Citizens’ Spouses & KidsCongress needs to reassert its control over the legal immigration system and prevent further attacks by an administration intent on destroying its system. 13438229
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 15/01/2026Have a friend who is likely stranded from his wife & kids indefinitely because of this. No warning to people who have sunk years of their life into an onerous process www.npr.org/2026/01/14/g...npr.orgU.S. to suspend immigrant visas from 75 countries over public assistance concernsThe State Department says it will suspend the processing of immigrant visas for citizens of 75 countries whose nationals are deemed likely to require public assistance while living in the United State... 131
Reposted by Cory SmithAnna Gifty @itsafronomics.blacksky.app · 12/01/2026You do not want interest rates to be set by political whims because historically everyday people paid the price. Literally. 313228
Reposted by Cory SmithMichael Clemens @mclem.org · 07/01/2026I am tired of the lies. Truth exists. This federal officer was clearly not "run over"—as the US president lied. He was not under attack. He was not forced to shoot this US citizen in the face. Draw the line now. Allowing government murder with impunity will harm all Conservatives, all Liberals. 18627
Reposted by Cory Smith"Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux @bretdevereaux.bsky.social · 07/01/2026I was listening to @thebulwark.com's Next Level podcast today and they were thinking through the chance that Trump actually tries to seize Greenland and there was a @jvl.bsky.social sort of 'I kinda hope he does it to drop the mask entirely' and I just cannot scream loudly enough: No, You Do Not. 1/ 371152260
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 04/01/2026A bit contrary to my expectations, Kalshi has opposition candidates with majority odds* to run Venezuela by the end of the year kalshi.com/markets/kxve... * probabilities add up to > 100%, so adjustments necessary to say exactlykalshi.comWho will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? Odds & PredictionsTrack what Kalshi's markets predict for "Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?", or trade it yourself. 100
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 03/01/2026The president cannot unilaterally declare war. At least with Iraq, they made a public case for regime change and held a congressional vote. 051
Reposted by Cory SmithDon Moynihan @donmoyn.bsky.social · 06/12/2025This really is grotesque: they went through years-long citizenship processes and are now being denied simply because if the country they are from. It’s formalized bigotry. 6127221056
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 01/12/2025This corresponds to my basic, two-part take (1) the essay isn't my cup of tea, but 0/25 seems harsh based on the rubric (2) there are way saner grade dispute mechanisms that don't involve administrative leave and a national conversation 150
Reposted by Cory SmithPatrick Chovanec @prchovanec.bsky.social · 27/11/2025My wife went through this process. It’s horrific that it’s being turned into a game of Russian roulette by ICE. 7343105
Cory Smith @politicory.bsky.social · 26/11/2025This is really sad news -- and I'd hoped so hard this would never happen 020
Reposted by Cory SmithAdam Serwer @adamserwer.bsky.social · 26/11/2025This is very bad wjla.com/news/local/s...wjla.com3 people, including 2 National Guard troops, hurt in Northwest DC shootingMetropolitan police are investigating a shooting in Northwest DCOfficers confirmed the gunfire in the area of 17th and I streets Northwest 1622541
Reposted by Cory SmithVoxDev @voxdev.bsky.social · 24/11/2025🆕 How public education transforms opportunity: Evidence from the 1870 Education Act Today on VoxDev, Ben Milner explores lessons from British history showing how targeted public investment in education can help narrow the gap in opportunity between rich and poor children: voxdev.org/topic/educat...voxdev.orgHow public education transforms opportunity: Evidence from the 1870 Education ActThe 1870 Education Act demonstrates how targeted public investment in education can help narrow the gap in opportunity between rich and poor children. 13926
Reposted by Cory SmithAaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 17/11/2025Thanks, BLS Staff! #EconSky #NumbersDay www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025... 1429