iiinova — where your digital self keeps evolving

Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 1h

I mostly don't believe the AI existential risk hype (and am modestly upbeat that AI is a net positive). But, it sure would be nice if the framing of that debate could not so subtly shift from: "AI might kill us all" to "The people building AI might kill us all"

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Reposted by Jason Reifler

Flavio Azevedo @flavioazevedo.bsky.social · 21h

🚨📢 WE’RE HIRING! Junior Research Assistant for PPBS at Utrecht University 🗳️🔬 💅 R + Quarto + reproducible survey pipelines ✨ Post-Master’s experience desirable, not required 📍 20–24 h/week | 2.5–3.5 months (pay step dependent) 📅 Apply by Sun 11 Oct 👉 lnkd.in/e7FZGFaK 🌐 ppbs.science

lnkd.in

This link will take you to a page that’s not on LinkedIn

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Just for the record, I went to at least one Hawks game when I lived in Atlanta. My favorite NBA team (San Antonio Spurs) was in town. Not exactly sure what year though. If I’m ever asked during a Congressional hearing, I’m more apt to answer correctly if framed as a Spurs game.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

I just want to brag that I have seen the impossible -- someone replying to an academic listserv asking to be removed from said listserv without it turning into a reply-all free for all. Not a single additional reply! There is hope for us yet.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

Southampton is an excellent intellectually vibrant department and @rikkidean.bsky.social is a fantastic scholar and supervisor/PI. Highly recommend!

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

The No No Nos or possibly the The Black Heart Peas

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

While @faineg.com is obviously right that this is not the group ideally suited for supervising teenagers, I want to push back on an additional fundamental point. My strong view is that the SF techbro billionaire space is not in any way reflective of “real life” practically or intellectually.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

While “constitutional crisis” has barely kept any meaning under Trump, this still qualifies — the White House defying a judicial order to respect the 1st Amendment. www.theguardian.com/us-news/live...

theguardian.com

CNN and Politico blocked from White House hours after judge temporarily restores access – live

A federal judge had ruled Trump administration must immediately return the outlets’ press passes and said ban likely unconstitutional

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Alexander Wuttke @kunkakom.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

We are hiring at LMU Munich: two PhD positions and one postdoc on democracy, political psychology and computational social science. Start: January 2027 or as soon as possible. We review applications on a rolling basis until October 20. Details below. Reposts very welcome! 1/7

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 21/09/2026

How bad are the Spurs so this season? 20th in the table is, understatement, not great. But, are they relegation candidates? Probably not. For xG/xGA/xPTS, rank is ~15th. If Brentford game was an outlier (I think/hope it was), then considerably better for xGA (5th best) and xPTS (12th). xG ~16th

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 20/09/2026

My football hot take of the weekend: Manchester United in blue uniforms is wrong and stupid.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 19/09/2026

My line-up for Spurs vs Villa, knowing I’m always wrong. Kinsky Porro JPvH VdV Udogie Bentancur Tonali Kudus Marmoush Savio Solanke Subs at 60’: Fernandes -> Bentancur Maddison -> Solanke (OM to 9) Subs at 75’: Robbo -> Udogie Gallagher -> Tonali Sub at 85’: Tel -> Kudus (Savio to rt)

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17/09/2026

My Slack message to coauthors this morning: Rage Against the Machine school of experimental design: Take the Power Back! The [pub] is relentless We need a [study] with a quickness You are the witness of change And to counteract We gotta take the power back

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

AI apocalypse by movie analogy: What movie best represents your view of the AI overlord future? -Terminator -Matrix -I, Robot -2001 (HAL goes a little crazy) -Dr Strangelove (but with human errors replicated in AI systems and oops there goes the doomsday machine) -Other

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 14/09/2026

Alas, I have no expertise to share on Swedish coalition bargaining. But, I can share an article that focuses on a potentially related topic -- the extent to which election results affect perceptions of likely coalitions (using the 2021 German election). www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

sciencedirect.com

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 13/09/2026

What’s the record for the team with the most consecutive 0-0 PL draws?

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12/09/2026

This is bad enough at face value. But, there is an even worse interpretation that would keep the unionists happy (and actually seems more in keeping with Trump’s general worldview). Of course, it doesn’t mean either — it is someone who knows nothing just saying stuff.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 08/09/2026

I am going to Exeter FC vs Spurs U21 tonight. For those who know the youth teams better than I do, what/who should I look for? I’m aware of the players on the fringe of the first team — what else, if anything, should I pay attention to?

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 04/09/2026

To all my political science friends (and future friends) in Boston -- I'm not going to be at APSA this year, so hello from a distance. Hopefully our paths will cross soon. I do have a question about the conference. Well, I guess it's actually more of a comment...

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

I like Brice’s thread. I have no idea how well these transfers are going to work out in 3 weeks, 3 months, and 3 years. Is Van Hecke better than peak Romero? Probably not. But, good chance Spurs will have Van Hecke for 30+ PL games. How many — between injury and suspension — would Romero get?

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 03/09/2026

I’m delighted to share that I’ve been elected a Fellow of the Academy of Social Sciences (FAcSS). Thanks to my incredible family, my many amazing co-authors, advisers formal & informal, and all of the wonderful colleagues I know across the globe. Thank you! www.southampton.ac.uk/news/2026/09...

southampton.ac.uk

Southampton experts elected to Academy of Social Sciences

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 01/09/2026

I have no idea how good/bad Adarabioyo is. But, data profile suggests positives (aerial, athleticism) that Spurs lack. £7m for backup seems reasonable. Mudryk on loan seems fine? xG+xA ~.45/90, albeit 3 years ago. He'll probably be a bust, but maybe not? He will have Spurs most punchable face.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 30/08/2026

Here are my thoughts on Spurs yesterday, in no particular order: 1) Losing sucks, but a 0-2 loss is not reflective of the game as a whole. Spurs held a slight advantage in xG (and that edge was probably more decisive in first half). A 1-1 draw would have fair.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 28/08/2026

If in the last few days of the transfer window Spurs bring in a 10, another winger, and a right back that would be an entire XI. I kinda want that to happen.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 27/08/2026

Well done to the university currently currently antagonizing their two main constituencies — staff (through financially unnecessary redundancies, primarily targeted at humanities, arts, and social sciences) and students (by accepting more students than there is housing for). 10/10, no notes.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

List of healthy 10s at least 18 years old at Tottenham Hotspur right now: <end list>

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

If the Playboy article linked somewhere in repost is remotely true (and different from how real women behaved in the past—color me skeptical)…please fellow men, for the love of god, do not let the take home message be “I can score hot chicks so I will ‘up my game’” and become a scummy creep.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 25/08/2026

Here's my early guess for Spurs line-up against Newcastle on Sat. Kinsky Porro JPvH VdV Udogie Fernandes Tonali Savio Maddison Tel Solanke Bentancur -> Maddison 45' (Fernandes to 10) Marmoush -> Solanke 65' Robertson -> Udogie 65' Gray -> Porro 75' Kudus -> Savio 80'

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

Following up on game thread, here is what I think Spurs should do rest of transfer market considering both long and short term. (I would have said all of these things before yesterday’s game, so I don’t think it is loss overreaction.) Assumed: Savinho and Marmoush incoming.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 23/08/2026

Mulling over the reasons for yesterday’s Spurs debacle at Brentford. Curious what people think. 1. Brentford is simply a better team. Outcome should have been expected, even if manner of it is surprising. 2. Not Tottenham’s best XI. If transfer rumors come true (Savinho and Marmoush), the best XI…

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 20/08/2026

2026/27 PL. (I was quite wrong last year.) 1. Arsenal 2. Man City 3. Chelsea 4. Liverpool 5. Spurs 6. Man United 7. Leeds 8. Villa 9. Brentford 10. Bournemouth 11. Brighton 12. Everton 13. Newcastle 14. Forest 15. Palace 16. Coventry 17. Palace 18. Sunderland 19. Ipswich 20. Hull

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12/08/2026

As a Spurs fan, I reluctantly went on an Arsenal stadium tour 10 years ago today (with a relative who is a big fan). Anyway, still some payoff for me as I got to witness the own goal of them spelling the name of their primary sponsor incorrectly. I even found the missing “i”! #COYS

Photo of advertising boards in Arsenal’s stadium where “Emirates” is misspelled Emrates.

Photo from 2016 wheee advertising board in Arsenal’s stadium misspells “Emirates” as Emiirates. At least we found the missing “i”!

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 31/07/2026

“FIFA is corrupt and generally sucks” is arguable the most evergreen sports post of all time. And yet, Infantino seems intent on merging that with the “hold my beer” meme.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 29/07/2026

The Star Wars universe of day to day life consisting of authoritarian government, desert planets, organized crime, gambling, drug running, and street food feels a little too on the nose these days.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 20/07/2026

I would love Lankshear (or any player) to stay with Spurs if a high likelihood of a PL/CL level player. If judged below that level, staying helps neither team nor player. (And some errors in judgment will happen.) Regularly selling players at a good but not top level means the academy is succeeding.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17/07/2026

This is a really excellent paper by a wonderful Southampton colleague!

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12/07/2026

Who is going to play RB for Spurs in early preseason? With Porro and Spence still in the World Cup — and 3 weeks rest before reporting — who plays there? I I fully expect Porro to play the majority of minutes upon return, so this just dumb idle depth chart speculation.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 08/07/2026

Same. Farage won 45% of the vote. Winning on the platform unveiled “I’m not Nigel Farage” is unlikely but not impossible. I can see a world where that takes on a life of its own. It’s a one-off by-election with the incumbent rerunning. A high turnout protest vote seems imaginable.

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Christian Radnedge @christianrad.com · 25/06/2026

Nobody actually understands the full process of buying a house in the UK. Everyone involved just nods along to the terminology and jargon, maintaining an unspoken bond of ignorance.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 22/06/2026

Thinking about Kulusevski’s unhealing knee and curious if anyone knows implications for team finances, especially under squad cost rules, of injury retirements? I assume there’s insurance, but how do the policies work? How does it affect amortization and how do payouts get accounted for in SCR?

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 21/06/2026

Reputable sources have Lucas Bergvall and Luka Vuskovic of Spurs seeking transfers. I’d love for both to stay. But Spurs should be able to get at least £80m for the two (having spent about £20m). That’s reasonable player trading on future upside (and speaks well of Lange rather than ill).

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 17/06/2026

Nothing shows your commitment to free speech more than painfully causing a permanent change to someone’s appearance when you disagree with something they said. And that’s your “friends”!!!

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

The only valuation metric that even remotely makes sense regarding the SpaceX IPO is that the market cap of SPCX is higher that the total value of all Bitcoin. But that only makes sense in relative terms. In absolute terms, both still seem bonkers.

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Jason Reifler @jasonreifler.bsky.social · 12/06/2026

I think data centers in space and magical thinking about AI enterprise applications is not actually a business plan. But apparently the investing world disagrees with me by like $1.7 trillion dollars.

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Pietro Biroli @pietrobiroli.bsky.social · 05/06/2026

Anyone has experience with Prolific asking questions 2 or 3 weeks apart? how's the attrition?

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