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Agathe Demarais @agathedemarais.com · 19h

Russia's draft budget for 2027-29 suggests Moscow is preparing for many more years of war • In 2027 defence spending could total US$205bn, up 40% from 2026 and 380% from 2021 • Financing remains open question as Moscow has exhausted politically affordable money pots www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 21h

Who owes who an apology? More than 176,000 tonnes of fuel, mostly diesel, was shipped from South Korean ports to Russia in July and August, Guardian analysis found. Three of seven tankers involved were under UK and EU sanctions, while one received its cargo via a ship-to-ship transfer. #Russia

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Chise @sailorrooscout.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

WELL NOW, would you look at that? A massive, 4-YEAR-LONG study of NEARLY 30 MILLION people in France found that individuals who received a COVID-19 mRNA vaccine had a 74% LOWER risk of death from severe COVID-19 compared to unvaccinated individuals and ZERO increased risk of all-cause mortality.

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 06/10/2026

If you find two ants in your kitchen, you don't have a 2-ant-problem...

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Marcel Dirsus @marceldirsus.com · 06/10/2026

The former boss of Germany's most important intelligence agency, the BND, has been arrested on suspicion of treason.

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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 06/10/2026

Mark Rutte is still insisting that Europe stay reliant on a Schrödinger’s NATO. Is it alive or dead? We won’t know until Russia invades. But most signals point to the latter. Christian Spillman in Morning Post Europe today: europemorningpost.substack.com/p/natos-amer...

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Stephen Judkins @stephenjudkins.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

It's pretty funny to say this right now, when the world's dictators and aspiring dictators are demonstrating their extreme non-benevolence and commensurate inefficiency. Was invading Ukraine efficient? Were the gulf princelings cheerleading the disastrous Iran war efficient?

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

security. He also touches upon the nuclear questions, and is quite blunt that Europe does NOT have a US extended nuclear deterrence, and we will have to, somehow, develop one for ourselves. If we don't get a EU wide deterrence, individual countries surely will, like Poland, Ukraine and maybe Sweden

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

www.youtube.com/watch?v=HjaU... This is an amazingly blunt lecture by prof. Phillips O'Brien. He argues that the US's decline is structural and NOT only tired to Trump and that we are not going back to a "Biden" type of US. For Europe, this has profound consequences when it comes to defense and

youtube.com

America as a revisionist power | LSE Event

YouTube video by LSE

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Americans picked Trump II, and their biggest objection is high prices. Hungary chose Orban, and their eventual big objection was corruption. Erdogan and Modi won multiple terms. Brazilians about to go Bolsonaro again. Not always free and fair, but yeah, millions want it. Wouldn’t work otherwise.

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Colliu @colliu.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

Key point: The news is not Putin trying to subvert “the West”: Brexit, AfD, Le Pen, Orban, everything remotely right wing he supported. The news is that the U.S. have turned. There is no “West” anymore. There is a fragile island of liberal democracies in Europe encircled by autocracies.

While I saw some real weaknesses in Biden's policy towards Ukraine (and still do), he remained absolutely committed to the Atlantic alliance.

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I think th pro Russians in our parliaments would make "good" use of it as an argument for stopping aid to Ukraine. Also, at least in Europe, I think most don't understand how tough war really is, especially an existential war.

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 05/10/2026

I was thinking about the outrage in the west....

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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 04/10/2026

Footage captures a strike on Kyiv’s Pivnichnyi Bridge as cars crossed it, fortunately without being hit. The bridge has now come under attack for three consecutive days. #Ukraine

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 04/10/2026

Just imagine the outrage if a Ukrainian drone hit a bridge like this in the Moscow region.

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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 03/10/2026

European leaders have been unable to explain why releasing oil reserves just before a risky winter with likely supply disruptions due to the Iran War will help their citizens. They should just be honest: they felt they had no choice but to surrender to 🇺🇸extortion.

davekeating.substack.com

Yet again, Europe has surrendered to Trump

Yesterday leaders caved to Trump’s demand that they release Europe’s oil reserves ahead of a risky winter, to lower US energy prices before the midterm election.

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Trump’s insider trading is, on its own, the worst corruption scandal in US history, with $$$ dwarfing Teapot Dome. So are Trump’s bribes-for-pardons. So is the Qatar bribe plane. So is all the Saudi money he (and Kushner) have pocketed. And the ballroom. And more. Each alone would be the worst.

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

The 2024 GOP policy platform was: -Put Trump above the law, let him crime without consequence -Hurt the darkies and the queers -Make things more expensive -Censor media and academia -Empower corrupt tech oligarchs And it worked! Voters were into it. So I can see the logic of trying that again.

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🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 @specialkhersoncat.bsky.social · 03/10/2026

Footage from a Russian FPV drone shows it diving toward a Ukrainian unmanned ground vehicle. Moments before impact, the UGV fires an anti-drone net from its rear section, catching and bringing down the attacking FPV.

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Jake Broe @realjakebroe.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

"They aren't really shooting at us."

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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 02/10/2026

So this means that in the coming months, Europeans will have to pay higher energy bills so that Americans can pay lower energy bills - in order to bail Trump out in his looming midterm election walloping. Could there be any more apt summary of the relationship between 🇪🇺🇬🇧 and 🇺🇸?

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 02/10/2026

How does anyone think diplomacy with Russia hasn’t been tried? That’s been absurd the whole time—there’s been constant diplomatic efforts to stop Russia’s war—but even more absurd after 1.5 years of Trump-Kushner-Witkoff trying to get Putin what he wants. Sorry that aggression is real. Now what?

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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 02/10/2026

Spiegel reports that Chinese counter-drone systems seem to be in use with Russian troops. That would be a significant step-up in Chinese military support for Russia’s war. www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukra...

spiegel.de

(S+) Ukrainekrieg: Setzt Russland jetzt auf Flugabwehr aus China?

Die Ukraine greift Russland mittlerweile monatlich mit über 17.000 Drohnen an. Dort könnte die Luftverteidigung knapp werden. Fernsehbilder deuten nun auf chinesische Waffen bei den Kremltruppen hin.

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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

European political elites need to understand that if they say European security isn't possible without the US, they are actually saying that European security isn't possible. For many reasons, they don't want to accept that, but they urgently need to.

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

In order to filter out garbage posts and videos, my rough rules of thumb are: 1. If heading has "exposed" or "revealed" in it => garbage 2. If heading or text all caps => garbage 3. Any combination of "This is what everyone is missing about xyz" => typically garbage

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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

Since the Hormuz crisis, EU gas prices are up 132% and oil 52%. Electricity is up 44%, after falling through spring. Every boiler, car and furnace that switches to electricity is less exposed to the energy crisis. Electrification is increasingly energy security.

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Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 01/10/2026

The Finnish companies Nokia and Iceye want to challenge Starlink and start producing communications satellite systems for governments. First satellites to be launched 2028. Great if they can make this happen on scale

hs.fi

Teknologia | Nokia ja Iceye haastavat SpaceX:n Starlinkin

Nokia ja Iceye alkavat kehittää viestintäsatelliittijärjestelmää valtioiden tarpeisiin. Ensimmäiset satelliitit on tarkoitus laukaista jo 2028.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

The same issue has been recognised in Canada and the state of Schelswig-Holstein in Germany. Others are taking note and it won't be long before yet another full scale decoupling of governments in Europe from American business is underway. Linux seems to be what most are willing to settle on.

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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

DUTCH GOVERNMENT MOVING AWAY FROM MICROSOFT Trump regime sanctions on the ICC have revealed big issues with Microsoft. The members of the court were personally cut off from their accounts and the whole court has been told further sanctions are coming. That sent a warning to the entire Government.

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Pollik @pollik.bsky.social · 30/09/2026

Wow.

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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 29/09/2026

Proof beyond a reasonable doubt that Trump and Co. conducted a criminal conspiracy to defraud the United States out of its presidential election — ie attempted an autogolpe, or "self-coup" — was in the public record. The facts and the law were never in question. Only if America would follow them.

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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 27/09/2026

The pay for a US Secretary of Defense is $246000 a year. They don’t even bother to hide the corruption these days

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Defective Cook @novaoulx.eurosky.social · 27/09/2026

This is what I'm concerned about in regards to the "new" Greenland deal. At what point does "the deal maker" decide it's not working out for him and wants to extract more -- or worse?

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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 27/09/2026

An alliance of ideologues and grifters is remaking U.S. foreign policy, from Iran and Ukraine to Venezuela and Cuba. On @firinglineshow.bsky.social Watch here: youtu.be/4okBq3W_E-o

youtu.be

Anne Applebaum | Full Episode 9.25.26 | Firing Line with Margaret Hoover | PBS

YouTube video by Firing Line with Margaret Hoover | PBS

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 26/09/2026

www.youtube.com/live/1tUCY3F... He makes lots of good points on the coming US election. - What happens if Republicans win (maybe through Trump shenanigans)? the democrats for sure think they are going to win. What will happen then? (the podcast is mostly about political violence in the US)

youtube.com

30% OF AMERICANS SUPPORT POLITICAL VIOLENCE – w/ Prof. Robert Pape

YouTube video by Mario Nawfal

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Jon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

I was away when this excellent piece came out. The authors do an excellent job explaining how Trump moves are making allies and US homeland less safe. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... Abandoning allies in Europe encourages aggression there, in Asia, and at home.

foreignaffairs.com

The Crumbling Defense of Europe

Trump has already undermined NATO and allied deterrence.

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Andrew Chakhoyan 🇺🇦 @andrewchak.bsky.social · 25/09/2026

There is no “conflict” to resolve, no misunderstanding, no magical win-win formula russia’s war persists because russia keeps waging it Reagan's doctrine of strength worked. Attempts to sacrifice 🇺🇦 on the altar of peace-through-weakness had the opposite effect kyivindependent.com/washington-a...

kyivindependent.com

Washington attempts dealmaking, Moscow sticks with warmaking

"I can't die now. I still need to do the Russia sanctions," Lindsey Graham joked hours before his passing. Nine weeks later, the bill bearing his name became law with the U.S. president's signature. ...

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

youtu.be/RFEvcVh3Y8k Prof. Pape talks about how Trump might use various means to disrupt the US midterm elections.

youtu.be

When the Military is Pulled into Politics | Robert Pape

YouTube video by At the Water's Edge

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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

I think the Iraq war (2003 ed) left people in the USA with a maladaptive idea of what terminating a war looks like. The USA can leave Hormuz when Iran allows it to leave, or it can suffer a strategic defeat unlike any in its history

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

youtu.be/nQmxNTloGmw?... Very interesting from Anders Puck. Among other things he discusses the nuclear question, both WHY Russia will not use a nuclear weapon, and also why the non-proliferation treaty is under a lot of pressure. Many other topics discussed. Worth a listen.

youtu.be

Q&A: Air campaign, hybrid warfare, nuclear weapons, lessons for modern warfare

YouTube video by Anders Puck Nielsen

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Tim O’Brien @timobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026

The AI build-out is on track to become the biggest economic bet in U.S. history, dwarfing the investments made to fund other huge U.S. infrastructure projects such as the railroads, the highway system and the plumbing for the internet. www.wsj.com/economy/the-...

wsj.com

The AI Build-Out Is Becoming the Biggest Economic Bet in U.S. History

Data-center spending is greater than that for canals, railroads and grid combined—creating jobs and stock-market wealth, while boosting inflation and crowding out housing.

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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

ZDF has seen the F-35 contracts and I am seriously shocked! In a Letter from the German Federal Ministry of Defence to the Bundestag’s Budget Committee it says “The contractual terms are dictated by the US side and are non-negotiable.”

zdfheute.de

US-Rüstungsdeals: Teure Knebelverträge für die Bundeswehr

Deutschland kauft Kampfjets in den USA. Die vertraulichen Kaufverträge zeigen: Deutschland liefert sich noch mehr der Trump-Administration aus.

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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 23/09/2026

But will he also leave Moscow alive?

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Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 23/09/2026

Fire insurance now only available to houses already on fire.

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