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Per Nielsen

@perwagner.bsky.social
418 followers 140 following 1.9K posts

perwagner.substack.com “The old world is dying, and the new world struggles to be born: now is the time of monsters” (Antonio Gramsci)

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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 14h
European leaders have been unable to explain why releasing oil reserves just before a risky winter with likely supply disruptions due to the Iran War will help their citizens. They should just be honest: they felt they had no choice but to surrender to 🇺🇸extortion.
davekeating.substack.com
Yet again, Europe has surrendered to Trump
Yesterday leaders caved to Trump’s demand that they release Europe’s oil reserves ahead of a risky winter, to lower US energy prices before the midterm election.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 14h
Trump’s insider trading is, on its own, the worst corruption scandal in US history, with $$$ dwarfing Teapot Dome. So are Trump’s bribes-for-pardons. So is the Qatar bribe plane. So is all the Saudi money he (and Kushner) have pocketed. And the ballroom. And more. Each alone would be the worst.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 13h
The 2024 GOP policy platform was: -Put Trump above the law, let him crime without consequence -Hurt the darkies and the queers -Make things more expensive -Censor media and academia -Empower corrupt tech oligarchs And it worked! Voters were into it. So I can see the logic of trying that again.
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🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 @specialkhersoncat.bsky.social · 16h
Footage from a Russian FPV drone shows it diving toward a Ukrainian unmanned ground vehicle. Moments before impact, the UGV fires an anti-drone net from its rear section, catching and bringing down the attacking FPV.
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Jake Broe @realjakebroe.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
"They aren't really shooting at us."
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 02/10/2026
So this means that in the coming months, Europeans will have to pay higher energy bills so that Americans can pay lower energy bills - in order to bail Trump out in his looming midterm election walloping. Could there be any more apt summary of the relationship between 🇪🇺🇬🇧 and 🇺🇸?
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 02/10/2026
How does anyone think diplomacy with Russia hasn’t been tried? That’s been absurd the whole time—there’s been constant diplomatic efforts to stop Russia’s war—but even more absurd after 1.5 years of Trump-Kushner-Witkoff trying to get Putin what he wants. Sorry that aggression is real. Now what?
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Ulrike Franke @rikefranke.eu · 02/10/2026
Spiegel reports that Chinese counter-drone systems seem to be in use with Russian troops. That would be a significant step-up in Chinese military support for Russia’s war. www.spiegel.de/ausland/ukra...
spiegel.de
(S+) Ukrainekrieg: Setzt Russland jetzt auf Flugabwehr aus China?
Die Ukraine greift Russland mittlerweile monatlich mit über 17.000 Drohnen an. Dort könnte die Luftverteidigung knapp werden. Fernsehbilder deuten nun auf chinesische Waffen bei den Kremltruppen hin.
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Ruth Deyermond @ruthdeyermond.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
European political elites need to understand that if they say European security isn't possible without the US, they are actually saying that European security isn't possible. For many reasons, they don't want to accept that, but they urgently need to.
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
In order to filter out garbage posts and videos, my rough rules of thumb are: 1. If heading has "exposed" or "revealed" in it => garbage 2. If heading or text all caps => garbage 3. Any combination of "This is what everyone is missing about xyz" => typically garbage
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
"Kremlin called on NATO not to view threats of nuclear strikes as 'confrontational'" Uh, ok. Thanks?
ru.themoscowtimes.com
В Кремле призвали НАТО не считать «конфронтацией» угрозы ударов ядерным оружием - Русская служба The Moscow Times
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Jan Rosenow @janrosenow.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
Since the Hormuz crisis, EU gas prices are up 132% and oil 52%. Electricity is up 44%, after falling through spring. Every boiler, car and furnace that switches to electricity is less exposed to the energy crisis. Electrification is increasingly energy security.
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Minna Ålander 🌻 @alanderminna.bsky.social · 01/10/2026
The Finnish companies Nokia and Iceye want to challenge Starlink and start producing communications satellite systems for governments. First satellites to be launched 2028. Great if they can make this happen on scale
hs.fi
Teknologia | Nokia ja Iceye haastavat SpaceX:n Starlinkin
Nokia ja Iceye alkavat kehittää viestintäsatelliittijärjestelmää valtioiden tarpeisiin. Ensimmäiset satelliitit on tarkoitus laukaista jo 2028.
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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
The same issue has been recognised in Canada and the state of Schelswig-Holstein in Germany. Others are taking note and it won't be long before yet another full scale decoupling of governments in Europe from American business is underway. Linux seems to be what most are willing to settle on.
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The Analyst @militaryanalyst.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
DUTCH GOVERNMENT MOVING AWAY FROM MICROSOFT Trump regime sanctions on the ICC have revealed big issues with Microsoft. The members of the court were personally cut off from their accounts and the whole court has been told further sanctions are coming. That sent a warning to the entire Government.
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Pollik @pollik.bsky.social · 30/09/2026
Wow.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 29/09/2026
Proof beyond a reasonable doubt that Trump and Co. conducted a criminal conspiracy to defraud the United States out of its presidential election — ie attempted an autogolpe, or "self-coup" — was in the public record. The facts and the law were never in question. Only if America would follow them.
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Daniel Knowles @dlknowles.bsky.social · 28/09/2026
I struggled to finish reading this important and horrifying reporting www.theatlantic.com/magazine/202...
theatlantic.com
The Babies Left Behind in America
The United States is deporting parents without their children, creating a whole new family-separation crisis.
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Phillips OBrien @phillipspobrien.bsky.social · 27/09/2026
The pay for a US Secretary of Defense is $246000 a year. They don’t even bother to hide the corruption these days
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Defective Cook @novaoulx.eurosky.social · 27/09/2026
This is what I'm concerned about in regards to the "new" Greenland deal. At what point does "the deal maker" decide it's not working out for him and wants to extract more -- or worse?
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Anne Applebaum @anneapplebaum.wsocial.eu · 27/09/2026
An alliance of ideologues and grifters is remaking U.S. foreign policy, from Iran and Ukraine to Venezuela and Cuba. On @firinglineshow.bsky.social Watch here: youtu.be/4okBq3W_E-o
youtu.be
Anne Applebaum | Full Episode 9.25.26 | Firing Line with Margaret Hoover | PBS
YouTube video by Firing Line with Margaret Hoover | PBS
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 26/09/2026
www.youtube.com/live/1tUCY3F... He makes lots of good points on the coming US election. - What happens if Republicans win (maybe through Trump shenanigans)? the democrats for sure think they are going to win. What will happen then? (the podcast is mostly about political violence in the US)
youtube.com
30% OF AMERICANS SUPPORT POLITICAL VIOLENCE – w/ Prof. Robert Pape
YouTube video by Mario Nawfal
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Jon B. Wolfsthal @jonatomic.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
I was away when this excellent piece came out. The authors do an excellent job explaining how Trump moves are making allies and US homeland less safe. www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... Abandoning allies in Europe encourages aggression there, in Asia, and at home.
foreignaffairs.com
The Crumbling Defense of Europe
Trump has already undermined NATO and allied deterrence.
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Andrew Chakhoyan 🇺🇦 @andrewchak.bsky.social · 25/09/2026
There is no “conflict” to resolve, no misunderstanding, no magical win-win formula russia’s war persists because russia keeps waging it Reagan's doctrine of strength worked. Attempts to sacrifice 🇺🇦 on the altar of peace-through-weakness had the opposite effect kyivindependent.com/washington-a...
kyivindependent.com
Washington attempts dealmaking, Moscow sticks with warmaking
"I can't die now. I still need to do the Russia sanctions," Lindsey Graham joked hours before his passing. Nine weeks later, the bill bearing his name became law with the U.S. president's signature. ...
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
youtu.be/RFEvcVh3Y8k Prof. Pape talks about how Trump might use various means to disrupt the US midterm elections.
youtu.be
When the Military is Pulled into Politics | Robert Pape
YouTube video by At the Water's Edge
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The Great Pumpkin Papers 🎃🎃🎃 @professormusgrave.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
I think the Iraq war (2003 ed) left people in the USA with a maladaptive idea of what terminating a war looks like. The USA can leave Hormuz when Iran allows it to leave, or it can suffer a strategic defeat unlike any in its history
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
youtu.be/nQmxNTloGmw?... Very interesting from Anders Puck. Among other things he discusses the nuclear question, both WHY Russia will not use a nuclear weapon, and also why the non-proliferation treaty is under a lot of pressure. Many other topics discussed. Worth a listen.
youtu.be
Q&A: Air campaign, hybrid warfare, nuclear weapons, lessons for modern warfare
YouTube video by Anders Puck Nielsen
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Tim O’Brien @timobrien.bsky.social · 24/09/2026
The AI build-out is on track to become the biggest economic bet in U.S. history, dwarfing the investments made to fund other huge U.S. infrastructure projects such as the railroads, the highway system and the plumbing for the internet. www.wsj.com/economy/the-...
wsj.com
The AI Build-Out Is Becoming the Biggest Economic Bet in U.S. History
Data-center spending is greater than that for canals, railroads and grid combined—creating jobs and stock-market wealth, while boosting inflation and crowding out housing.
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Rafael Mentges @mentges.bsky.social · 23/09/2026
ZDF has seen the F-35 contracts and I am seriously shocked! In a Letter from the German Federal Ministry of Defence to the Bundestag’s Budget Committee it says “The contractual terms are dictated by the US side and are non-negotiable.”
zdfheute.de
US-Rüstungsdeals: Teure Knebelverträge für die Bundeswehr
Deutschland kauft Kampfjets in den USA. Die vertraulichen Kaufverträge zeigen: Deutschland liefert sich noch mehr der Trump-Administration aus.
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Anthony Zacharzewski @anthonyzach.be · 23/09/2026
Fire insurance now only available to houses already on fire.
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Janis Kluge @jakluge.de · 23/09/2026
The EU completely sold out its principles today. The symbolic effect of lifting sanctions on Usmanov and Fridman is a catastrophy. There is hardly any justification for this. Who's next? Is this the beginning of EU sanctions collapsing?
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Anders Puck Nielsen @anderspucknielsen.dk · 22/09/2026
The new Apple Watch is creepy.
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 22/09/2026
"Telling Europeans they should pool sovereignty without first being honest with them about how dependent they are on America is like telling someone to start chemotherapy before telling them they have cancer." An interview about my book The Owned Continent with The European Republic podcast:
youtu.be
Europe Is Awake — But It Still Doesn't Get Out of Bed | Dave Keating on European Federalism
YouTube video by The European Republic with Nikodem Skrobisz
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Nearly 7 months of the Iran war, 6 months since regime change failed, 3 months since the failed MOU, and somehow still the conventional wisdom is that the war will be over soon, end smoothly and immediately restore commerce, and it's up to Trump when. It's not. The situation is out of his control.
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 22/09/2026
Very interesting read. What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario here understandingwar.org/research/def...
understandingwar.org
What a Limited Russian Incursion Into Estonia Might Look Like: A Narva Scenario
A Russian invasion of a NATO state is unlikely while Russia at war with Ukraine. But that is not Putin’s only option against a NATO state.
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 21/09/2026
"Rusland kan angribe NATO-territorium om »måneder, ikke år«, siger efterretningschef" (www.berlingske.dk/internationa...). It is interesting how this number has changed during the war in Ukraine. 3-4 years ago: it will take Russia 10-15 years to re-constitute and be ready. 2 years ago: Russia
berlingske.dk
Krig i Europa – følg udviklingen her
Krigen raser videre i Ukraine, mens Rusland mistænkes for at stå bag sabotageaktioner og dronehændelser i flere europæiske lande. Få seneste nyt her.
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The Economist @economist.com · 20/09/2026
Not long ago Danes were amongst the most pro-American of Europeans. Just 7% called America an ally in a poll this summer
bit.ly
Donald Trump drops demands to own Greenland, but the harm has been done
A revised defence pact with Denmark and Greenland is a modest improvement, but annexation threats were a costly blunder
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 20/09/2026
"Ukraine is the clearest example. Ukraine surrendered its nuclear arsenal and received written security assurances, including from the United States. Now the oligarchs mock Ukraine for asking Washington to honour those assurances, while an American envoy travels around
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Abbey @abbeyarletto.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
When reality surpasses fiction! Top: fictional forecast for August 2050, broadcast by French TV in 2014 to warn about the consequences of global warming. Bottom: Real French forecast for yesterday, June 22, 2026.
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Adam Keiper @adamkeiper.com · 18/09/2026
The Trump-lovers who hate Ukraine like to say Ukraine should just give up territory to Russia. But look at the reality of Russian-occupied Ukraine: hunger, untreated illness, mined streets, circling drones, bodies going unburied. This is horrible. www.kyivpost.com/opinion/84635
kyivpost.com
Oleshky Starving: The Human Cost of Territorial Concessions
Anyone who has been paying attention knows what horrors come with Russian occupation. So giving territory to Russia is inviting more death and degradation.
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 17/09/2026
I have listened to a couple of people (respectable analysts I would say) that believe a Russian victory in Ukraine is where it is headed. The arguments they make seems to be similar. On Russian military victory: - It is inevitable due to Russia's size which favors Russia. - If Russia really
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Ian Bond @cerianbond.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
I was honoured to take part in this discussion. The point I want to underline: European governments can't just rely on Ukraine to take the whole weight of defending Europe forever. Europe needs to help UA much more actively, not just praise the resilience of the Ukrainian people.
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Dave Keating @davekeating.substack.com · 15/09/2026
As Russia comes closer and closer to direct attacks on NATO, officials in Brussels are growing increasingly nervous. And there is anger here that France has chosen this moment to block renewal of Russian sanctions - the day before 🇪🇺President von der Leyen's #SOTEU speech.
youtu.be
France blocks Russia sanctions as Moscow escalates attacks on West
YouTube video by Dave Keating
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Baltic Takes (formerly badbaltictakes) @baltictakes.com · 15/09/2026
The Baltic countries warned the world what Russia is. They were exactly right.
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NOELREPORTS @noelreports.com · 15/09/2026
77% of Ukrainians say Ukraine should continue armed resistance even if Russian winter attacks leave people without electricity, heat or sewage, a KIIS poll found. 12% favor accepting any Russian demands, even if they look like capitulation, while 11% are undecided. Kyiv recorded 83% support #Ukraine
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Franz-Stefan Gady @hoanssolo.bsky.social · 15/09/2026
‚New Geran drones and Banderol cruise missiles are lethal reminders that Russia still has the resources and supply chains to field fresh threats, this time packed with advanced electronics that allow them to find targets accurately and evade interception.‘ www.wsj.com/world/russia...
wsj.com
Russia Is Churning Out Smart, Cheap New Weapons Faster Than Ukraine or the U.S.
Engineers in Russia are using Chinese components to mass-produce inexpensive arms and steal a march on its adversaries.
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Nicholas Grossman @nicholasgrossman.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
Why is anyone analyzing Trump’s blatant lie about checks as if it’s a real policy or has any chance of happening, thereby advertising fake benefits? If I claimed I could fly to Asia propelled by my own farts, you don’t need multiple pieces like “Grossman’s Plan for Inexpensive Flight—Will it Work?”
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Brian Taylor @bdtaylor-su.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
And the ProPublica piece is here:
propublica.org
Donald Trump Jr.’s Wedding Bankrolled by Putin-Linked Russian Oligarch
The oligarch, Umar Kremlev, spent hundreds of thousands on expenses like renting out a private island. He appears to have met Trump Jr. only recently, but he attended the intimate wedding with a large...
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Per Nielsen @perwagner.bsky.social · 14/09/2026
www.instagram.com/reel/DdPHGq6... Yes.. This is they way. Aggressive exercises along the Russian border so Putin has to draw forces there.
instagram.com
Instagram
Create an account or log in to Instagram - Share what you're into with the people who get you.
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