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Paul Johnson

@paulrjohnson.net
2K followers 873 following 1K posts

Data Scientist interested in causal inference, machine learning, and statistics | He/Him Website: paulrjohnson.net Github: github.com/paulj1989

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Reposted by Paul Johnson
Jack Bailey @jack-bailey.co.uk · 28/09/2026
Sick of work this Monday lunchtime? Or perhaps hungover from one too many on the first night of Labour Conference? If so, distract yourself with ✨ 𝘄𝗮𝗿𝗱-𝗹𝗲𝘃𝗲𝗹 𝗠𝗥𝗣 𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗺𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝗴𝗲𝗻𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 ✨ Full interactive at: jack-bailey.co.uk/ward2024
Screenshot showing interactive ward level MRP estimates at the 2024 UK general election.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 31/08/2026
Just get yourself a dog so you can focus on whether they are gonna eat it or not
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 31/08/2026
Bin collection timings occupy 100% of my brain's capacity
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 29/08/2026
Sucks for Dortmund and even more so for Konstantelias. Poor lad.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 29/08/2026
The heady days of woke 1
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Kyle Griffin @kylegriffin1.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Dolly Parton's Imagination Library gifted more than 332,000,000 books since it was first created 31 years ago.
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Phil West @philwest.bsky.social · 25/08/2026
Just spreading the word, in light of Dolly's passing, to donate here in her memory. What a loss for humans everywhere. imaginationlibrary.com
imaginationlibrary.com
Dolly Parton's Imagination Library | USA, UK, IE, CA, AU
Dolly Parton’s Imagination Library is a book gifting program that mails free books to children from birth until they begin school in participating areas.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 25/08/2026
A real one
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 22/08/2026
Nah just kidding we are fucking amazing
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 22/08/2026
Maybe Saints are gonna do a Sheffield Wednesday and we are gonna spend all season wondering if they can get out of the minuses?
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 22/08/2026
Nothing more satisfying than watching a newly promoted team buck all expectations
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Philipp Markolin @philippmarkolin.eurosky.social · 18/08/2026
In 2026, there is no longer any lab leak hypothesis you can state consistently with the available evidence. Despite this, it has been the dominant media narrative for six years. Read my new data-driven investigation: www.protagonist-science.com/p/biased-med...
protagonist-science.com
Biased media coverage and the lab leak theory
Gain-of-function fearmongering and blame gets the glitzy NYT visual treatment as Republicans weaponize the lab leak theory again in attacks on Dr. Anthony Fauci
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It's Pipes, Mum! Pipes is here! @scriblit.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
I'm sorry... 'Prof Gone'? They made a man's sacking the main news story for weeks as the country went on fire, which might have contributed to his death and 'Prof Gone'? This is the same clique that wept & wailed for a week when we dared mention their dinner party pal was a wife beating nonce.
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Marie Le Conte @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com · 14/08/2026
Cambridge University should have known better, Fleet Street should have known better, the people hungrily absorbing every bit of news about it, making newsrooms feel like they had to keep going with it as a story, should have known better, horrible horrible horrible
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 14/08/2026
Nazi ghost haunted the Clacton by-election
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Nicola Rennie @nrennie.bsky.social · 14/08/2026
🎨New blog post 🎨 I've written down some of the things I talked about in my Ihaka Lecture last month ❓ what is creativity in #DataViz ❓ why does it matter ❓ how to create more creative charts Link: nrennie.rbind.io/blog/creativ... #RStats #ggplot2
nrennie.rbind.io
Why creativity matters in data visualisation – Nicola Rennie
Creativity is an important aspect of data visualisation, and it can affect engagement, recall, and trustworthiness. This blog post outlines what creativity means when it comes to data visualisation, w...
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Julia M. Rohrer @dingdingpeng.the100.ci · 30/07/2026
New blog post! Odds ratios are...a bit weird. Here I explain two problems (interpretation, non-collapsibility) and provide some simple recommendations for improved reporting. www.the100.ci/2026/07/30/r...
the100.ci
Reviewer notes: Odds ratios are really odd
When psychological researchers investigate binary outcomes, they routinely report odds ratios to quantify the strength of an effect or an association. This is quite understandable given that psycholog...
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 17/07/2026
Also, calling a fascist a fascist should not be in question. I'm sorry for such a blazing hot take.
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Elizabeth Taylor @elizabethtaylor47.bsky.social · 17/07/2026
I have a real problem with this piece. I would never celebrate someone’s death much less their murder, but for me what you do says more about who you are then if you’re ’straightforward’. If you’re a bigot who hurts people, you are hideous, no matter what sparkling wit you bring to a dinner party
I got to know Ann Widdecombe reasonably well in the late gos, when she was a media-savvy Tory grassroots darling and I a novice political reporter still confounded by the discovery that some MPs whose beliefs I shared turned out to be hideous human beings, and vice versa. Widdecombe was in the latter category. I couldn't have agreed less with her on abortion rights, Europe, gay rights or modern feminism. But she was also unusually straightforward: she didn't lie or dissemble, though she could gossip and plot with the best, or hide her ambition. She relished an argument but when she lost them - and perhaps it's easier for me to acknowledge her good qualities because she did lose almost every battle against progressives, over everything from gay marriage to restricting IVF to attempts to get more women into politics - she accepted the democratic outcome.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 17/07/2026
So the BBC is debating whether the words political opponents use to describe Farage and Reform are putting them in danger... But not whether their rhetoric has contributed at all? Cool, cool, cool.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15/07/2026
That'll get everyone onside...
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 09/07/2026
@whatsallthispod.bsky.social tier list must have missed H-E-B because it's in a special elite tier far beyond every other grocery store (not because it's Texas/Mexico specific).
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 08/07/2026
I'm hearing that Weak Keir refused his Erdogun? Disappointing.
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Kevin Elliott @kjephd.bsky.social · 07/07/2026
Parties exist partly to vet candidates & vouch for them so voters don't pick someone bad out of ignorance. Primaries short-circuit this function since primary electorates can no more do this vetting than can general election ones.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 30/06/2026
Ffs
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Jack Bailey @jack-bailey.co.uk · 30/06/2026
I have a new paper on the Gallagher index: the most common measure of electoral disproportionality. We often assume it runs from 0 (perfect 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺) to 1 (perfect 𝘥𝘪𝘴𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘱𝘰𝘳𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘪𝘵𝘺). But I show that in most party systems, 1 is not a possible value. journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 30/06/2026
Adding rounds until Germany go out: "Ahhh, juuuuust right."
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 26/06/2026
New PMs call elections when they come in to try and capitalise on a potential bump in popularity. That's a risky game if you've already got a majority, and it would be insane given Labour's majority and current polling. New manager bounce is not that strong!
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 26/06/2026
Skinwigs album the sound of the summer 👀
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Helen Czerski @helenczerski.bsky.social · 23/06/2026
Londoners, there is a webpage for you to see where your nearest "cool spaces" are when the extreme heat hits - places with water, air-conditioning & shade. Have a look and spread the word, especially to those who may need this but might not think to look for it: apps.london.gov.uk/cool-spaces/
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 24/06/2026
There is nothing and no one that can destroy the vibes of the World Cup. Fifa have tried their hardest to ruin it but it's still the World Cup.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 24/06/2026
I wonder whether the Fox broadcast ever explained the significance of this fan and what he represents...
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Grace Robertson 🏳️‍⚧️ @graceonfootball.com · 22/06/2026
starmer era felt like all the analytics nerds saying "this is so dumb" while the sporting director kept leaking to supportive journalists that he was a data genius for signing players who overperformed their xG and made lots of tackles.
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BUM CHILLUPS AKA SPENCER HALL AKA PRESIDENT FOOTBALL @edsbs.bsky.social · 20/06/2026
The Dutch are in Houston, and there have to be so many beet red dudes who look like Louis Van Gaal going through it today
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 20/06/2026
It's a really good album, what are we doing here?
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Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan @london.gov.uk · 20/06/2026
Greatest city in the world.
timeout.com
It’s official: the world’s best burger is in London
In fact, the Big Smoke boasts three of the top ten burger places on the planet.
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BUM CHILLUPS AKA SPENCER HALL AKA PRESIDENT FOOTBALL @edsbs.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
pausa de hidratación
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Emily✨ @emilyoram.bsky.social · 19/06/2026
YES, FUCK YOU

Morocco captain Achraf HakimiooTBALL ordered to stand trial on rape charges after losing court appeal
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 18/06/2026
My partner, a casual fan and not ball knower, said she learned more about football from those short explainers Emma Hayes gave during the England game last night than from anything else she has ever seen on TV. It's not just the immense knowledge of the game, it was how easy she made it for others.
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Michael Caley @michaelcaley.bsky.social · 18/06/2026
I think it's a legitimate question whether fixing offside is better than playing four quarters is bad. But of course you could just fix offside and not play four quarters, so you know, swings and roundabouts but I am *loving* how much less refchat there is at this World Cup thanks to technology
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 17/06/2026
Always has been
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Dave Andress @davidandress.bsky.social · 16/06/2026
Brianna Ghey found safety online. She found acceptance and support, and reasons to go on living. She was murdered by her actual classmates, who hated her for existing in her own body. Anything else is a lie.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 15/06/2026
She's turned the weans against us
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Hugo Gordon @hugogordon.bsky.social · 14/06/2026
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Tim Murphy @timothypmurphy.bsky.social · 11/06/2026
i love the Chopped dynamic in international soccer. congratulations, your country produced three world-class right backs and no strikers. go make a meal with it.
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Sam Freedman @samfr.bsky.social · 10/06/2026
We need leaders who can spell out what's happening clearly and with force.
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Paul Johnson @paulrjohnson.net · 10/06/2026
The longer we keep kicking the can down the road on this, the worse it gets. Punish everyone involved.
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Annie Kelly @annieknk.bsky.social · 03/06/2026
It just feels absolutely mad to me that we're being asked to believe the police would have treated that poor boy any better if he were black
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James Ball @jamesrball.com · 03/06/2026
Stephen Lawrence was killed by six men. It took 19 years for two of them to face justice. Four never did. Henry Nowak's killer has been convicted and jailed within six months of his death. The two cases *are not the same*. www.thenewworld.co.uk/james-ball-o...
thenewworld.co.uk
Our ‘pure cold rage’ should be at Farage and Robinson
The police made a terrible mistake with Henry Nowak. But deliberately stoking racial tensions for personal advantage is despicable
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Jack Bailey @jack-bailey.co.uk · 03/06/2026
Last year, we shared a paper showing that Labour's accommodation of the radical right did not work. We now have a new version of the paper online: osf.io/preprints/so...
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